| LEC/REC # | TOPICS | KEY DATES | 
|---|---|---|
| L1 | Course Introduction Course Logistics Repeated Trials, Virtual Experiments, Probability, Statistics | |
| R1 | Programming in MATLAB® Downloading Data, Accessing MATLAB®, MATLAB® Environment, Variables, Arrays, Scripts Plotting Data | |
| L2 | Descriptive Statistics Histograms, Percentiles, Mean, Median, Variance, etc. Characterizing Streamflow Data | |
| L3 | Probability Experiments, Outcomes, Sample Spaces, Events, Probability, Axioms of Probability Methods for Assigning Probabilities | PS1 Issued | 
| R2 | MATLAB® Operations Internal MATLAB® Functions. Common MATLAB® Operations, Element-wise Computations, Loops Translating Equations to Programs | |
| L4 | Joint Probability, Independence, Repeated Trials Joint Probability, Independent Events, Repeated Trials | |
| L5 | Combinatorial Methods | PS1 Due PS2 Issued | 
| R3 | MATLAB® Tests and Loops Relational and Logical Operations, User-defined Functions, if Tests. Virtual Experiments | |
| L6 | Conditional Probability and Bayes Theorem Joint Probability, Conditional Probability, Prior & Posterior Probabilities, Bayes Theorem Engineering Applications | |
| L7 | Random Variables and Probability Distributions Definition of a Random Variable Cumulative Distribution Functions, Mass and Density Functions Using Distributions to Assign Probabilities | PS2 Due PS3 Issued | 
| R4 | Virtual Experiments | |
| L8 | Expectation, Functions of a Random Variable Expectation, Population Mean and Variance Defining and Functions of a Single Random Variable Solving Derived Distribution Problems with Stochastic Simulation | |
| L9 | Risk Defining and Evaluating Risk Engineering Applications | PS3 Due | 
| R5 | Recitation 5 — Quiz Review | |
| Quiz 1 | ||
| L10 | Some Common Probability Distributions Uniform, Exponential, Normal, and Lognormal Distributions Special Properties of Normal Random Variables Fitting Distributions to Data | PS4 Issued | 
| L11 | Multivariate Probability Multiple Random Variables, Joint and Conditional Distributions, Independence, Covariance and Correlation Computing Conditional Probabilities in MATLAB® |  | 
| L12 | Functions of Many Random Variables Derived distributions for multivariate problems, moments of linear functions of several random variables. Central Limit Theorem |  | 
| R6 | Time Series and Central Limit Theorem | |
| L13 | Populations and Samples Populations, random samples. Sample statistics, moments of the sample mean and variance. | PS4 Due PS5 Issued | 
| L14 | Estimation Estimating Distributional Properties, Assessing Estimation Error Comparing Alternative Estimators | |
| L15 | Confidence Intervals Basic Concepts, Large Sample Confidence Intervals for the Population Mean Computing Large Sample Confidence Intervals | PS5 Due PS6 Issued | 
| R7 | Review | |
| L16 | Testing Hypotheses about a Single Population Formulating Hypothesis Testing Problems, Definitions Large Sample Tests of Hypotheses about a Single Population Applications Using MATLAB® | |
| L17 | Testing Hypotheses about Two Populations Large Sample Tests of Hypotheses about Two Populations Controlled Experiments Applications Using MATLAB® | PS6 Due | 
| R8 | Quiz Review | |
| Quiz 2 | ||
| L18 | Small Samples | PS7 Issued | 
| L19-L20 | Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) Testing the Significance of a Single Factor, the F Test | PS7 Due PS8 Issued | 
| Review of Quiz 2, ANOVA examples |  | |
| L21 | Multifactor Analysis of Variance Extension of the Single-Factor Model, Significance Testing Applications on MATLAB® | PS8 Due PS9 Issued | 
| Examples | ||
| L22 | Linear Regression Objectives and Assumptions of Linear Regression, Estimating Regression Coefficients, Normal Equations Some Typical Environmental Applications | |
| R11 | Quiz Review | |
| L23 | Analyzing Regression Results Accuracy of Regression Estimates and Predictions, Prediction Confidence Intervals, Testing Significance Continuation of Environmental Examples | PS9 Due | 
| Quiz 3 | ||
| Some Practical Applications | 
