1 00:00:00,950 --> 00:00:03,320 The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:04,710 Commons license. 3 00:00:04,710 --> 00:00:06,920 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare 4 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:11,010 continue to offer high quality educational resources for free. 5 00:00:11,010 --> 00:00:13,580 To make a donation, or to view additional materials 6 00:00:13,580 --> 00:00:17,540 from hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare 7 00:00:17,540 --> 00:00:18,426 at ocw.mit.edu. 8 00:00:22,950 --> 00:00:25,290 GARY GENSLER: So we're going to sort of come back 9 00:00:25,290 --> 00:00:27,790 to central banking. 10 00:00:27,790 --> 00:00:32,820 I thought it was appropriate to have two classes on this 11 00:00:32,820 --> 00:00:36,120 when I was laying out the whole semester in August, thinking 12 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:39,250 about how to build the class. 13 00:00:39,250 --> 00:00:43,350 In part because central banks play such a significant role 14 00:00:43,350 --> 00:00:46,470 to the world of finance, but it's really 15 00:00:46,470 --> 00:00:48,250 about their role in money. 16 00:00:48,250 --> 00:00:50,550 I mean, money and central banking 17 00:00:50,550 --> 00:00:54,090 have been so intertwined for 300 or 400 years, 18 00:00:54,090 --> 00:01:00,480 and they are the custodians, the essence of what Fiat money is. 19 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:04,830 And of course, this course is blockchain and money. 20 00:01:04,830 --> 00:01:07,710 And many of the things we're talking about here actually 21 00:01:07,710 --> 00:01:10,640 do relate to Bitcoin and crypto finance, 22 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:13,590 even though a central bank digital currency doesn't 23 00:01:13,590 --> 00:01:20,820 have to be tied to a blockchain technology. 24 00:01:20,820 --> 00:01:24,120 So I'm going to do a little bit back 25 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:29,520 to what we talked about Tuesday, partly because Robleh Ali was 26 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:34,080 with us on Tuesday, I moved up some of the content from today 27 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:40,080 to then as well just to go through that. 28 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,630 And of course if we do end up-- 29 00:01:42,630 --> 00:01:45,132 end early, we can always talk about Tuesday's election too. 30 00:01:45,132 --> 00:01:45,840 That's all right. 31 00:01:48,510 --> 00:01:51,630 So we're going to, as always, sort of touch on the readings. 32 00:01:51,630 --> 00:01:54,480 I'm going to be asking you all a bunch of questions about things 33 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:58,590 like Ecuador and Senegal and Sweden 34 00:01:58,590 --> 00:02:01,500 and maybe the Philippines that were in the readings 35 00:02:01,500 --> 00:02:02,970 and so forth. 36 00:02:02,970 --> 00:02:08,190 But it's all experimentation by those four countries 37 00:02:08,190 --> 00:02:08,699 and others. 38 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,350 We're going to talk a little bit about-- 39 00:02:13,350 --> 00:02:14,850 I'm just going to try to come back 40 00:02:14,850 --> 00:02:16,470 to what we were talking about Tuesday 41 00:02:16,470 --> 00:02:19,500 and why, again, I think it's relevant to any course 42 00:02:19,500 --> 00:02:22,050 in blockchain technology, and particularly 43 00:02:22,050 --> 00:02:24,795 if you're interested in Bitcoin and crypto finance. 44 00:02:28,940 --> 00:02:30,830 Introduce a new subject, really, which 45 00:02:30,830 --> 00:02:33,800 is stable value tokens, which are 46 00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,050 a significant part of experimentation 47 00:02:36,050 --> 00:02:39,440 right now, again, in the world of crypto finance, 48 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:43,190 but relate them back to the world of private banknotes. 49 00:02:43,190 --> 00:02:47,390 Because I see in the current approach to stable value 50 00:02:47,390 --> 00:02:52,520 tokens something similar that we saw in the past. 51 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:57,050 Central bank digital currency, which we introduced on Tuesday, 52 00:02:57,050 --> 00:02:59,600 and that's going to be the bulk of what we talk about today, 53 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:00,560 and you're going to-- 54 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:02,480 hopefully we'll have a nice discussion 55 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:07,130 to see what all of you think of these Sweden, Senegal, Ecuador 56 00:03:07,130 --> 00:03:09,790 and the Philippines a bit. 57 00:03:09,790 --> 00:03:14,290 And so that's what we're going to try to do. 58 00:03:14,290 --> 00:03:18,430 And again, we're going to sort of dive into these questions 59 00:03:18,430 --> 00:03:22,900 as we go through those four countries. 60 00:03:22,900 --> 00:03:25,780 We talked a little bit about MasterCard 61 00:03:25,780 --> 00:03:29,090 when Sriham was with us-- 62 00:03:29,090 --> 00:03:29,790 right? 63 00:03:29,790 --> 00:03:32,440 Priya's husband was with us because he was with MasterCard, 64 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:33,580 but we can touch back. 65 00:03:33,580 --> 00:03:35,880 That was really a reading for today, 66 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:42,990 and MasterCard took a out of a patent on fractional banking. 67 00:03:46,940 --> 00:03:49,280 So central bank, goals and functions. 68 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:51,170 Anybody remember we talked about Tuesday 69 00:03:51,170 --> 00:03:53,150 as to what are central banks about 70 00:03:53,150 --> 00:03:56,620 and what their main goals are and their functions? 71 00:03:56,620 --> 00:03:58,410 Anybody want to-- 72 00:03:58,410 --> 00:04:02,350 STUDENT: Maximum employment [INAUDIBLE] stability and also 73 00:04:02,350 --> 00:04:04,777 the moderate long term interest rates. 74 00:04:04,777 --> 00:04:06,360 GARY GENSLER: Wow, that's pretty good. 75 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:07,880 You've got the three-- 76 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:10,050 the three things that go into the US dual mandate. 77 00:04:10,050 --> 00:04:12,600 So there's an economic function, that central banks 78 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,900 in almost every country have taken on some role 79 00:04:15,900 --> 00:04:17,100 to promote the economy. 80 00:04:17,100 --> 00:04:22,190 But dominantly, it's about price stability. 81 00:04:22,190 --> 00:04:24,170 And how does price stability relate to money? 82 00:04:26,912 --> 00:04:27,720 Anybody? 83 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:28,220 James. 84 00:04:28,220 --> 00:04:29,720 Is that a hand up? 85 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:31,740 STUDENT: No, but I can give a guess. 86 00:04:31,740 --> 00:04:32,477 Inflation? 87 00:04:32,477 --> 00:04:33,935 GARY GENSLER: All right, inflation. 88 00:04:33,935 --> 00:04:35,760 STUDENT: Inflation, making sure-- 89 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,750 STUDENT: I would add [INAUDIBLE].. 90 00:04:38,750 --> 00:04:40,480 GARY GENSLER: So that's cost of money. 91 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:41,000 Right. 92 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:47,660 So price stability and money relate because, what's 93 00:04:47,660 --> 00:04:50,540 the three functions of money? 94 00:04:50,540 --> 00:04:52,040 STUDENT: Dependable unit of account. 95 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:53,957 GARY GENSLER: So a dependable unit of account. 96 00:04:53,957 --> 00:04:54,830 It's right in that. 97 00:04:54,830 --> 00:04:56,870 So the third function of money-- 98 00:04:56,870 --> 00:05:01,520 store value, medium of exchange, a unit of account. 99 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:03,710 So stable pricing is about making sure 100 00:05:03,710 --> 00:05:07,880 that unit of accounting, that unit of pricing, 101 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:08,990 has some stability. 102 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:16,930 So price stability is really about money. 103 00:05:16,930 --> 00:05:20,810 And it also promotes an economy. 104 00:05:20,810 --> 00:05:24,390 They sit at the center of the money system, central banks. 105 00:05:24,390 --> 00:05:27,080 At first a check on the king to make sure 106 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:28,790 that the king didn't overspend when 107 00:05:28,790 --> 00:05:31,745 he was at war with another king in another country. 108 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:38,900 That's where it all started, but they sit right 109 00:05:38,900 --> 00:05:40,760 at the center of money. 110 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:42,980 So the four things we talked about, 111 00:05:42,980 --> 00:05:50,510 they managed the nation's Fiat money in every country-- 112 00:05:50,510 --> 00:05:53,540 the supply, the price, the payment systems. 113 00:05:53,540 --> 00:05:58,000 Payment systems are how we move money around. 114 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,933 So if you really want to just boil it down, 115 00:06:00,933 --> 00:06:02,100 you can take a whole course. 116 00:06:02,100 --> 00:06:03,505 There's wonderful professors here 117 00:06:03,505 --> 00:06:04,630 that teach central banking. 118 00:06:04,630 --> 00:06:09,750 But I'd say manage the nation's Fiat money. 119 00:06:09,750 --> 00:06:12,540 Oversee the banking system, because the banking system 120 00:06:12,540 --> 00:06:17,370 is a way to basically move money around the system 121 00:06:17,370 --> 00:06:19,290 and provides credit-- 122 00:06:19,290 --> 00:06:22,200 Tom, what does a bank do when it provides credit? 123 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:26,892 Just use the word "money" somewhere in your definition. 124 00:06:26,892 --> 00:06:29,607 STUDENT: It expands the quantity of money. 125 00:06:29,607 --> 00:06:31,440 GARY GENSLER: Expands the quantity of money. 126 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,472 And how does it do that? 127 00:06:34,472 --> 00:06:35,430 STUDENT: Lending money. 128 00:06:35,430 --> 00:06:37,260 GARY GENSLER: Lending money. 129 00:06:37,260 --> 00:06:41,430 So banks stand in between investors or savers. 130 00:06:41,430 --> 00:06:43,530 We can call them depositors. 131 00:06:43,530 --> 00:06:46,050 So on the one hand, you have depositors or investors. 132 00:06:46,050 --> 00:06:48,300 On the other hand, you have borrowers. 133 00:06:48,300 --> 00:06:50,590 And banks are just in the middle. 134 00:06:50,590 --> 00:06:53,640 And that's why it's called financial intermediation-- 135 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:56,863 intermediates, they're just in the middle. 136 00:06:56,863 --> 00:06:58,530 It's more than just being in the middle. 137 00:06:58,530 --> 00:07:01,260 I mean, it's a big role, but-- 138 00:07:01,260 --> 00:07:05,790 So the banks in the middle are all about money. 139 00:07:05,790 --> 00:07:08,690 And so central banks want to get involved 140 00:07:08,690 --> 00:07:11,660 to manage those institutions. 141 00:07:11,660 --> 00:07:17,610 Initially, commercial banks came before central banks. 142 00:07:17,610 --> 00:07:19,770 Commercial banks were around, and they 143 00:07:19,770 --> 00:07:28,130 kept failing, even in a time of the small Italian states. 144 00:07:28,130 --> 00:07:31,760 They would fail, and there were some family usually, 145 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,370 or central authority that helped out. 146 00:07:34,370 --> 00:07:36,740 And ultimately, the central banks seem to-- 147 00:07:36,740 --> 00:07:39,140 today, it seems like the central banks came first. 148 00:07:39,140 --> 00:07:41,450 But the commercial banks kind of came first 149 00:07:41,450 --> 00:07:45,700 and then there was a central way to protect the system. 150 00:07:45,700 --> 00:07:50,410 Central banks are bankers to their own governments. 151 00:07:50,410 --> 00:07:54,340 Paul Tucker, who now teaches over at the Harvard Kennedy 152 00:07:54,340 --> 00:07:56,720 School, but Paul Tucker just came out with a book-- 153 00:07:56,720 --> 00:07:59,140 he was the deputy governor of the Bank of England-- 154 00:07:59,140 --> 00:08:03,250 about the unelected power. 155 00:08:03,250 --> 00:08:05,200 Central banks are unelected usually. 156 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:08,420 They're don't stand before the voters, 157 00:08:08,420 --> 00:08:12,910 but they have a tremendous amount of authority. 158 00:08:12,910 --> 00:08:16,480 So the four types of buckets of things they do. 159 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:17,800 So we talked about-- 160 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:19,870 I used this chart the other day a little bit, 161 00:08:19,870 --> 00:08:23,520 but the three different types of money. 162 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:24,240 Please. 163 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,430 STUDENT: In the context of currencies, 164 00:08:27,430 --> 00:08:29,800 I would add also that the central bank have 165 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:32,650 a key role in international payments 166 00:08:32,650 --> 00:08:34,470 and international reserves. 167 00:08:34,470 --> 00:08:36,010 GARY GENSLER: Well, so the question 168 00:08:36,010 --> 00:08:38,409 is, will the central banks have a similar role 169 00:08:38,409 --> 00:08:40,770 for cryptocurrencies? 170 00:08:40,770 --> 00:08:44,380 Anybody want to take one side or the other about it? 171 00:08:44,380 --> 00:08:46,090 Eileen, you think it's going to go to 0. 172 00:08:46,090 --> 00:08:48,160 So you would probably say central banks will not 173 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:51,075 have any role if cryptocurrencies go to 0. 174 00:08:51,075 --> 00:08:52,450 STUDENT: I'm trying to understand 175 00:08:52,450 --> 00:08:54,117 the question, what do central banks have 176 00:08:54,117 --> 00:08:55,583 to do with cryptocurrencies? 177 00:08:55,583 --> 00:08:58,000 GARY GENSLER: All right, so Alin just took the other side. 178 00:08:58,000 --> 00:08:59,458 He said, what do central banks have 179 00:08:59,458 --> 00:09:00,970 to do with cryptocurrencies? 180 00:09:00,970 --> 00:09:02,470 STUDENT: I mean, there's going to be 181 00:09:02,470 --> 00:09:04,010 a currency for one country. 182 00:09:04,010 --> 00:09:07,500 They will still need to manage international reserves 183 00:09:07,500 --> 00:09:11,610 and manage international cross-border payments. 184 00:09:11,610 --> 00:09:14,170 If it's going to be a global currency, 185 00:09:14,170 --> 00:09:15,862 they need to [INAUDIBLE]. 186 00:09:15,862 --> 00:09:19,010 GARY GENSLER: So it's a hypothetical. 187 00:09:19,010 --> 00:09:20,430 STUDENT: But it's a choice, right? 188 00:09:20,430 --> 00:09:21,888 It's whether you want your currency 189 00:09:21,888 --> 00:09:23,650 to float versus Bitcoin, or whether you 190 00:09:23,650 --> 00:09:26,980 want to defensively buy Bitcoin and hedge your currency. 191 00:09:26,980 --> 00:09:31,460 I think the central bank has a choice to pursue [INAUDIBLE].. 192 00:09:31,460 --> 00:09:34,600 GARY GENSLER: So any other views on whether central banks 193 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:40,470 will get steeply involved in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies? 194 00:09:40,470 --> 00:09:42,480 Brotish. 195 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:47,060 STUDENT: I think if your currency can [INAUDIBLE] 196 00:09:47,060 --> 00:09:50,910 of its own [INAUDIBLE] where it does not interact with the Fiat 197 00:09:50,910 --> 00:09:54,210 currencies, then the role of central banks 198 00:09:54,210 --> 00:09:58,257 would be completely restricted to the governance of activities 199 00:09:58,257 --> 00:10:01,520 [INAUDIBLE],, whatever it takes to get involved in that 200 00:10:01,520 --> 00:10:06,060 [INAUDIBLE] attracting the Fiat currency at any level, 201 00:10:06,060 --> 00:10:09,080 then the central banks' role becomes more involved in that. 202 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:10,580 GARY GENSLER: The more [INAUDIBLE],, 203 00:10:10,580 --> 00:10:11,910 the more it's more central. 204 00:10:11,910 --> 00:10:14,040 So isn't it possible that-- 205 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:16,920 I mean, we don't know what the future will bring. 206 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:18,030 And Alin might be right. 207 00:10:18,030 --> 00:10:19,980 If cryptocurrency doesn't take off, 208 00:10:19,980 --> 00:10:22,740 then central banks can kind of just 209 00:10:22,740 --> 00:10:26,820 wave it away as some experiment on the side of finance. 210 00:10:26,820 --> 00:10:29,430 But if it starts to take off, I think-- 211 00:10:29,430 --> 00:10:31,960 do you pronounce it Guillermo? 212 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:37,650 Guillermo says that if it becomes somewhat central, 213 00:10:37,650 --> 00:10:40,590 as Brotish and others have said, I 214 00:10:40,590 --> 00:10:43,020 think that there would be a role for central banks. 215 00:10:43,020 --> 00:10:45,360 If a country actually was going to use it 216 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:47,970 as its medium of exchange, a unit of account, 217 00:10:47,970 --> 00:10:49,610 a store of value-- 218 00:10:49,610 --> 00:10:54,240 and particularly if there became fractional crypto banking. 219 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,820 This Mastercard patent. 220 00:10:56,820 --> 00:11:03,300 Like if you actually saw somebody taking crypto deposits 221 00:11:03,300 --> 00:11:07,620 and making crypto loans, and you had credit facility 222 00:11:07,620 --> 00:11:08,970 through crypto-- 223 00:11:08,970 --> 00:11:10,720 we're a far way away from that. 224 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:11,430 We're not there. 225 00:11:11,430 --> 00:11:13,690 But I'm saying, if that happened. 226 00:11:13,690 --> 00:11:14,488 Sean? 227 00:11:14,488 --> 00:11:15,780 STUDENT: So I was just curious. 228 00:11:15,780 --> 00:11:17,690 A follow up on that, if that happened, 229 00:11:17,690 --> 00:11:22,710 and it becomes a fraction of the monetary supply, 230 00:11:22,710 --> 00:11:26,640 in order for the central bank to carry out its functionality, 231 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:30,000 just like [INAUDIBLE] operations, 232 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:31,710 does that also apply to-- 233 00:11:31,710 --> 00:11:34,020 kind of if the cryptocurrency plays a role, 234 00:11:34,020 --> 00:11:36,960 does that also apply to [INAUDIBLE] 235 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:38,848 to the crytpocurrency project? 236 00:11:38,848 --> 00:11:40,890 GARY GENSLER: Well so Sean's asking, if we really 237 00:11:40,890 --> 00:11:43,930 were in this world we're not yet in, 238 00:11:43,930 --> 00:11:49,650 and cryptocurrency was a dominant form of finance, 239 00:11:49,650 --> 00:11:52,980 banking and so forth, would you envision 240 00:11:52,980 --> 00:11:57,972 the central bank trying to do an open market operation? 241 00:11:57,972 --> 00:11:59,430 Anybody want to tell the class what 242 00:11:59,430 --> 00:12:01,140 open market-- it's not in the readings, 243 00:12:01,140 --> 00:12:04,250 but what open market operations are used for? 244 00:12:04,250 --> 00:12:07,710 GARY GENSLER: Is it increasing or decreasing the money supply? 245 00:12:07,710 --> 00:12:10,940 So yes the central bank can buy some of the money 246 00:12:10,940 --> 00:12:14,570 or sell some of the money which affects the supply 247 00:12:14,570 --> 00:12:16,820 and thus affects the price. 248 00:12:16,820 --> 00:12:20,660 So open market operations effectively affects 249 00:12:20,660 --> 00:12:22,190 the interest rate. 250 00:12:22,190 --> 00:12:25,190 You have often probably read the interest rate targets. 251 00:12:25,190 --> 00:12:27,170 The Federal Reserve has a target. 252 00:12:27,170 --> 00:12:29,330 But what they're doing in an open market operation 253 00:12:29,330 --> 00:12:32,950 is really buying and selling supply of money. 254 00:12:32,950 --> 00:12:35,000 And when you influence the supply of something, 255 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:36,270 you change the price. 256 00:12:36,270 --> 00:12:39,050 And the price of money is measured in interest rates 257 00:12:39,050 --> 00:12:41,700 or foreign exchange rates. 258 00:12:41,700 --> 00:12:43,520 So Sean, I would say that if it becomes 259 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:47,700 a dominant part of an economy, then some central authority 260 00:12:47,700 --> 00:12:50,340 might want to try to influence its price. 261 00:12:50,340 --> 00:12:52,320 But there's a challenge. 262 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:56,955 Does anybody want to guess what challenge I'm thinking 263 00:12:56,955 --> 00:12:58,780 about why cryptocurrency-- 264 00:12:58,780 --> 00:13:02,880 let's say Venezuela was adopting Bitcoin as a central means 265 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:04,530 in that country. 266 00:13:04,530 --> 00:13:06,750 What would be their challenge of trying 267 00:13:06,750 --> 00:13:09,900 to influence the price of Bitcoin in Venezuela? 268 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:17,220 Alin. 269 00:13:17,220 --> 00:13:19,600 STUDENT: Well if the other economies outside Venezuela 270 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:20,620 are using Bitcoin-- 271 00:13:20,620 --> 00:13:23,170 GARY GENSLER: [INAUDIBLE] so Venezuela 272 00:13:23,170 --> 00:13:26,800 might be only a small portion of the overall Bitcoin 273 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:29,460 usage around the globe. 274 00:13:29,460 --> 00:13:33,350 So it's one thing if you're one country and trying 275 00:13:33,350 --> 00:13:36,050 to influence the price of the currency that's 276 00:13:36,050 --> 00:13:37,940 in use in that country. 277 00:13:37,940 --> 00:13:42,680 If Sweden wants to influence the price of the krona, or Israel 278 00:13:42,680 --> 00:13:43,185 the-- 279 00:13:43,185 --> 00:13:43,685 Shekel? 280 00:13:48,310 --> 00:13:53,710 But it's far more problematic if it's a worldwide currency. 281 00:13:53,710 --> 00:13:55,480 Hugo and then Tom. 282 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:57,790 STUDENT: I mean, I could see that being kind 283 00:13:57,790 --> 00:13:59,940 of like what we saw earlier this year 284 00:13:59,940 --> 00:14:03,080 or last year when there was like a Korean-- 285 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:04,455 the price of Bitcoin in Korea was 286 00:14:04,455 --> 00:14:06,830 higher than the price of bitcoin in the rest of the world 287 00:14:06,830 --> 00:14:08,570 because there was so much demand there. 288 00:14:08,570 --> 00:14:11,650 So if you get like the Central bank of a certain country 289 00:14:11,650 --> 00:14:13,780 buying Bitcoin in their currency, 290 00:14:13,780 --> 00:14:16,270 they're basically devaluing their currency in relation 291 00:14:16,270 --> 00:14:19,100 to Bitcoin and it might not-- 292 00:14:19,100 --> 00:14:21,648 like it might not affect the world market in the way 293 00:14:21,648 --> 00:14:22,690 that they think it would. 294 00:14:22,690 --> 00:14:23,230 Right? 295 00:14:23,230 --> 00:14:25,960 Unless they're effectively buying Bitcoin on all 296 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:27,687 open markets around the world. 297 00:14:27,687 --> 00:14:28,520 GARY GENSLER: Right. 298 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:33,070 And do you have a view as to why the pricing went up 299 00:14:33,070 --> 00:14:35,050 in Korea versus elsewhere? 300 00:14:35,050 --> 00:14:38,020 It's called the kimchi premium. 301 00:14:38,020 --> 00:14:39,880 Literally, I don't make this up. 302 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:44,640 But that was what it was called in Bitcoin, the kimchi premium, 303 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,760 which was that Bitcoin was valued at a higher 304 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:49,890 price in Korea than elsewhere. 305 00:14:49,890 --> 00:14:53,377 Hugo, do you have a-- you had one reason you said it's just 306 00:14:53,377 --> 00:14:55,710 thought that the Koreans were trying to buy a lot of it, 307 00:14:55,710 --> 00:14:57,240 so there was a kimchi premium. 308 00:14:57,240 --> 00:14:57,770 Other? 309 00:14:57,770 --> 00:15:00,455 Tom, we're going to get to you. 310 00:15:00,455 --> 00:15:02,830 STUDENT: In order to open an account on a Korean exchange 311 00:15:02,830 --> 00:15:04,090 and [INAUDIBLE]. 312 00:15:04,090 --> 00:15:06,120 So you weren't really able to arbitrage very-- 313 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:07,120 GARY GENSLER: All right. 314 00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:09,000 So Hugo, you're on to something. 315 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:10,100 You're saying arbitrage. 316 00:15:10,100 --> 00:15:10,645 Ben? 317 00:15:10,645 --> 00:15:13,800 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] it was difficult to arbitrage 318 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,710 because of the capital controls in Korea. 319 00:15:16,710 --> 00:15:17,502 Is that something-- 320 00:15:17,502 --> 00:15:18,502 GARY GENSLER: All right. 321 00:15:18,502 --> 00:15:20,120 So it was difficult to arbitrage. 322 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:21,853 So the basics of finance-- 323 00:15:21,853 --> 00:15:23,520 we're moving a little away from Bitcoin. 324 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,340 But the basis of finance is arbitrage 325 00:15:26,340 --> 00:15:30,180 has been a part of finance for, again, thousands of years. 326 00:15:30,180 --> 00:15:33,360 If I can buy something in France and sell it 327 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,310 for a different price in Switzerland, 328 00:15:36,310 --> 00:15:39,720 and it doesn't cost too much to travel the roads between France 329 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:42,120 and Switzerland, I might buy it in one country, 330 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:43,720 sell it in another. 331 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,370 And that's called locational or geographic arbitrage. 332 00:15:47,370 --> 00:15:51,390 In a modern digital age, digital assets 333 00:15:51,390 --> 00:15:55,390 don't have much locational arbitrage. 334 00:15:55,390 --> 00:15:57,450 Oil still has locational arbitrage 335 00:15:57,450 --> 00:16:00,570 because you might be buying it in the Gulf Coast 336 00:16:00,570 --> 00:16:02,910 and selling it in Africa. 337 00:16:02,910 --> 00:16:05,100 Or, you know, there might be locational arbitrage 338 00:16:05,100 --> 00:16:06,390 in physical commodities. 339 00:16:06,390 --> 00:16:08,850 But in digital financial assets, there's 340 00:16:08,850 --> 00:16:11,160 far little locational arbitrage. 341 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:12,870 And it's interesting, in Korea's case, 342 00:16:12,870 --> 00:16:15,120 there was a locational arbitrage. 343 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:16,860 What was this about? 344 00:16:16,860 --> 00:16:20,880 And it was because it was hard for regulatory reasons. 345 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:22,950 So there was a kimchi premium, literally, 346 00:16:22,950 --> 00:16:26,820 for quite some time, because it was 347 00:16:26,820 --> 00:16:29,880 hard to move Bitcoin across the borders 348 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:33,330 for regulatory constraints and so forth. 349 00:16:33,330 --> 00:16:34,450 But now, we've got-- 350 00:16:34,450 --> 00:16:35,520 Tom, you [INAUDIBLE]. 351 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:38,040 STUDENT: Yeah, when we talk about bank capital 352 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,430 requirements, does US Federal Reserve 353 00:16:41,430 --> 00:16:43,860 require banks to hold dollars? 354 00:16:43,860 --> 00:16:50,210 Or are banks allowed to hold any currency [INAUDIBLE]?? 355 00:16:50,210 --> 00:16:51,960 GARY GENSLER: Has anybody been in banking? 356 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:53,210 Want to answer Tom's question? 357 00:16:56,690 --> 00:17:00,530 STUDENT: Whether or not bank capital, bank reserves, 358 00:17:00,530 --> 00:17:02,510 have to be held in dollar denominated-- 359 00:17:05,900 --> 00:17:09,960 GARY GENSLER: Josh, you've spent a lifetime in banking, right? 360 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:11,900 STUDENT: Yeah, so there's a lot of rules. 361 00:17:11,900 --> 00:17:17,597 A lot of the rules are based on the liquidity of the assets 362 00:17:17,597 --> 00:17:18,430 that you're holding. 363 00:17:18,430 --> 00:17:21,470 So if you're holding capital, if you hold it 364 00:17:21,470 --> 00:17:23,569 in treasuries, which are very liquid, 365 00:17:23,569 --> 00:17:26,780 and you could get out of them in a certain amount of time, 366 00:17:26,780 --> 00:17:30,290 there's a big premium to hold your capital 367 00:17:30,290 --> 00:17:32,360 in those types of assets. 368 00:17:32,360 --> 00:17:35,750 So I think the rules don't necessarily 369 00:17:35,750 --> 00:17:39,650 specify whether it's dollars or another currency, 370 00:17:39,650 --> 00:17:44,370 but they heavily favor very liquid. 371 00:17:44,370 --> 00:17:45,920 GARY GENSLER: So Josh is right. 372 00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:48,260 It's basically-- it's all brought back 373 00:17:48,260 --> 00:17:52,010 to the home nation's currency unit, 374 00:17:52,010 --> 00:17:54,910 dollars or euros or renminbi. 375 00:17:54,910 --> 00:17:58,200 In some accounting books it's brought back into that, 376 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,620 but there's different haircuts or weights 377 00:18:00,620 --> 00:18:05,580 depending upon some perceived model of liquidity. 378 00:18:05,580 --> 00:18:10,820 So a US treasury bond versus a German government bond 379 00:18:10,820 --> 00:18:16,522 might have similar liquidity and the regulators 380 00:18:16,522 --> 00:18:17,480 will count it the same. 381 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:20,840 But you're, in a very real time basis, 382 00:18:20,840 --> 00:18:23,990 using the foreign exchange rate to bring it back 383 00:18:23,990 --> 00:18:25,447 to the unit of your home country. 384 00:18:25,447 --> 00:18:26,030 STUDENT: Yeah. 385 00:18:26,030 --> 00:18:27,447 I'm jumping the shark a little bit 386 00:18:27,447 --> 00:18:29,540 on my knowledge of finance and central banking. 387 00:18:29,540 --> 00:18:31,490 But thinking about whether or not 388 00:18:31,490 --> 00:18:34,500 Bitcoin becomes a reserve currency, 389 00:18:34,500 --> 00:18:39,750 or whether or not banks hold it, to Guillermo's point of-- 390 00:18:39,750 --> 00:18:43,550 if central banks aren't allowing financial institutions 391 00:18:43,550 --> 00:18:47,500 to get credit for holding bitcoin [INAUDIBLE].. 392 00:18:47,500 --> 00:18:48,860 Why would they have to do it? 393 00:18:48,860 --> 00:18:50,693 GARY GENSLER: Well, currently, central banks 394 00:18:50,693 --> 00:18:53,630 are not that favorable to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, 395 00:18:53,630 --> 00:18:55,070 but they're probably right. 396 00:18:55,070 --> 00:18:58,100 There's not a deep history, there's not a lot of liquidity, 397 00:18:58,100 --> 00:19:00,350 and there's high volatility. 398 00:19:00,350 --> 00:19:02,300 And the underlying markets are highly 399 00:19:02,300 --> 00:19:05,150 susceptible to manipulation. 400 00:19:05,150 --> 00:19:08,900 We don't know for sure what the real pricing 401 00:19:08,900 --> 00:19:10,610 is at any given time. 402 00:19:10,610 --> 00:19:12,620 But in the hypothetical world, where 403 00:19:12,620 --> 00:19:15,350 it's be becoming largely adopted, 404 00:19:15,350 --> 00:19:18,590 I would suspect that central banks around the globe 405 00:19:18,590 --> 00:19:21,110 would have some capital regime that would treat it 406 00:19:21,110 --> 00:19:23,810 more favorably than it's treated today 407 00:19:23,810 --> 00:19:28,935 but less favorably than government Fiat currency. 408 00:19:28,935 --> 00:19:29,560 STUDENT: Right. 409 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:31,510 I mean, you trust the German bond 410 00:19:31,510 --> 00:19:35,290 because you trust the German government [INAUDIBLE].. 411 00:19:35,290 --> 00:19:36,740 GARY GENSLER: Generally speaking. 412 00:19:36,740 --> 00:19:40,770 STUDENT: More so than you do decentralized governance 413 00:19:40,770 --> 00:19:41,882 structure. 414 00:19:41,882 --> 00:19:43,840 GARY GENSLER: So there are three types of money 415 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:45,520 that central banks are involved in. 416 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:46,540 Does anybody remember? 417 00:19:46,540 --> 00:19:49,540 There's even a chart up here you could see, 418 00:19:49,540 --> 00:19:50,740 you can grab it from. 419 00:19:53,570 --> 00:19:55,315 Akira? 420 00:19:55,315 --> 00:20:00,570 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] central bank databases Fiat authorized? 421 00:20:00,570 --> 00:20:01,620 GARY GENSLER: Fiat what? 422 00:20:01,620 --> 00:20:02,730 STUDENT: Fiat collateralized. 423 00:20:02,730 --> 00:20:03,665 GARY GENSLER: Fiat collateralized. 424 00:20:03,665 --> 00:20:05,350 No, we're going to get there. 425 00:20:05,350 --> 00:20:07,750 That's going to be about stable value tokens. 426 00:20:07,750 --> 00:20:09,224 I'm talking about-- 427 00:20:09,224 --> 00:20:10,960 STUDENT: M1 M2 and M3. 428 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,660 GARY GENSLER: All right, so we talk about M1, M2, M3. 429 00:20:13,660 --> 00:20:16,240 So what's the what's the first thing 430 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,550 that you might think about? 431 00:20:19,550 --> 00:20:20,260 What's that? 432 00:20:20,260 --> 00:20:23,830 I heard the word "cash," but-- 433 00:20:23,830 --> 00:20:25,210 some deposits. 434 00:20:25,210 --> 00:20:28,010 But starting with just cash is money. 435 00:20:28,010 --> 00:20:29,110 So did I make it green? 436 00:20:29,110 --> 00:20:30,080 Yes! 437 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:31,100 There we go. 438 00:20:31,100 --> 00:20:31,600 Thank you. 439 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:32,475 I got some help here. 440 00:20:32,475 --> 00:20:33,560 Cash. 441 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:36,730 That's one form of money, and we all have it or-- 442 00:20:36,730 --> 00:20:38,890 actually, I've never asked. 443 00:20:38,890 --> 00:20:41,020 I always have cash in my pocket. 444 00:20:41,020 --> 00:20:43,780 How many people in this room actually currently have cash 445 00:20:43,780 --> 00:20:47,510 of some country in their pocket? 446 00:20:47,510 --> 00:20:51,250 So we're down to about 70%, but 30% 447 00:20:51,250 --> 00:20:53,947 have no cash in their pocket. 448 00:20:53,947 --> 00:20:55,030 You're putting yours away? 449 00:20:55,030 --> 00:20:55,750 STUDENT: $1.00. 450 00:20:55,750 --> 00:20:56,980 GARY GENSLER: $1.00. 451 00:20:56,980 --> 00:21:00,500 If we were in Japan, it would probably be higher though. 452 00:21:00,500 --> 00:21:01,000 Right? 453 00:21:03,660 --> 00:21:06,000 So one form of money is cash. 454 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,668 Another form of money that the central banks-- 455 00:21:08,668 --> 00:21:09,960 STUDENT: Central bank reserves. 456 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:10,910 GARY GENSLER: Central bank reserves. 457 00:21:10,910 --> 00:21:12,202 Let's see if I made that green. 458 00:21:12,202 --> 00:21:13,020 Yes! 459 00:21:13,020 --> 00:21:14,460 So central bank reserves. 460 00:21:14,460 --> 00:21:17,550 Again, I'm just going back through this from Tuesday. 461 00:21:17,550 --> 00:21:21,660 Reserves started, but because they were commercial banks-- 462 00:21:21,660 --> 00:21:24,090 and when governments set up central banks, they said, 463 00:21:24,090 --> 00:21:27,460 you have to save and put some of your money-- 464 00:21:27,460 --> 00:21:30,820 a reserve-- with the central bank. 465 00:21:30,820 --> 00:21:33,450 So that we might give you deposit insurance. 466 00:21:33,450 --> 00:21:38,670 We might give you access to liquidity 467 00:21:38,670 --> 00:21:43,230 in hard times, which is called opening up 468 00:21:43,230 --> 00:21:46,200 some liquidity or lending facilities. 469 00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,160 So you have to keep a reserve from us. 470 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:49,950 That's where the word came from. 471 00:21:49,950 --> 00:21:51,813 But it's a form of money. 472 00:21:51,813 --> 00:21:53,730 And the third form of money, the form of money 473 00:21:53,730 --> 00:21:57,570 that almost everybody in this room uses on a daily basis? 474 00:21:57,570 --> 00:22:00,840 The real form of money that we use almost all the time? 475 00:22:04,130 --> 00:22:04,910 So we had cash. 476 00:22:04,910 --> 00:22:06,590 We had central bank reserves. 477 00:22:06,590 --> 00:22:09,980 What do we actually use almost every day? 478 00:22:09,980 --> 00:22:10,650 What's that? 479 00:22:10,650 --> 00:22:11,400 STUDENT: Deposits. 480 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:12,720 GARY GENSLER: Deposits. 481 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,020 So our bank deposits, we are actually 482 00:22:15,020 --> 00:22:17,120 transacting-- when we go into Starbucks, 483 00:22:17,120 --> 00:22:20,030 I know it doesn't feel this way, but you're actually 484 00:22:20,030 --> 00:22:22,190 moving some of your bank deposits 485 00:22:22,190 --> 00:22:23,285 to their bank deposits. 486 00:22:26,050 --> 00:22:29,807 That's how we're really moving money. 487 00:22:29,807 --> 00:22:31,390 So those are the three forms of money. 488 00:22:31,390 --> 00:22:37,480 We never see Federal Reserve or central bank reserves, 489 00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:40,810 we just see the cash in the bank deposits. 490 00:22:40,810 --> 00:22:41,310 Kelly? 491 00:22:41,310 --> 00:22:46,010 STUDENT: You talked about being able to facilitate lending 492 00:22:46,010 --> 00:22:47,390 when times are tough. 493 00:22:47,390 --> 00:22:53,150 So we go back a decade, how have the rules sort of change 494 00:22:53,150 --> 00:22:57,890 to prepare for that scenario where banks-- 495 00:22:57,890 --> 00:23:00,320 were the central bank would need the ability 496 00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:02,330 to have a lot [INAUDIBLE]? 497 00:23:02,330 --> 00:23:04,190 GARY GENSLER: So Kelly's asking, you know, 498 00:23:04,190 --> 00:23:07,340 we all lived through the financial crisis. 499 00:23:07,340 --> 00:23:10,280 How many of you in 2008 were in banking? 500 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:12,290 In any way? 501 00:23:12,290 --> 00:23:14,990 All right. 502 00:23:14,990 --> 00:23:16,110 Oh Josh, you-- 503 00:23:20,590 --> 00:23:23,410 Alpha, where were you working in 2008? 504 00:23:23,410 --> 00:23:24,830 You were at Goldman Sachs. 505 00:23:24,830 --> 00:23:26,890 Yeah, I've heard of them. 506 00:23:26,890 --> 00:23:29,060 The other people that raised their hands? 507 00:23:29,060 --> 00:23:30,670 Who else raised their hand? 508 00:23:30,670 --> 00:23:32,500 Where were you working? 509 00:23:32,500 --> 00:23:35,445 STUDENT: I was working for Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi. 510 00:23:35,445 --> 00:23:37,070 GARY GENSLER: Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi. 511 00:23:37,070 --> 00:23:37,737 I've heard them. 512 00:23:37,737 --> 00:23:38,380 Very big bank. 513 00:23:38,380 --> 00:23:39,850 Josh? 514 00:23:39,850 --> 00:23:41,178 A hedge fund, right? 515 00:23:41,178 --> 00:23:42,470 STUDENT: A mortgage hedge fund. 516 00:23:42,470 --> 00:23:46,000 GARY GENSLER: A mortgage hedge fund. 517 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:46,670 Yeah. 518 00:23:46,670 --> 00:23:48,330 Yeah, uh-huh. 519 00:23:48,330 --> 00:23:51,780 We thank you, Josh. 520 00:23:51,780 --> 00:23:55,980 So the question is, how would Josh, Alfa or Kira 521 00:23:55,980 --> 00:23:59,360 get money today? 522 00:23:59,360 --> 00:24:02,480 Who-- did anybody work in central banking? 523 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:04,780 No. 524 00:24:04,780 --> 00:24:10,620 So the 2008 crisis came along, and Josh, we let him fail. 525 00:24:10,620 --> 00:24:12,243 He was a mortgage hedge fund? 526 00:24:12,243 --> 00:24:13,410 STUDENT: We did pretty good. 527 00:24:17,010 --> 00:24:17,940 GARY GENSLER: OK. 528 00:24:17,940 --> 00:24:19,210 What's that? 529 00:24:19,210 --> 00:24:20,550 STUDENT: He let us fail. 530 00:24:20,550 --> 00:24:21,900 GARY GENSLER: He let us fail. 531 00:24:21,900 --> 00:24:24,810 Goldman Sachs got a bit of government support. 532 00:24:28,050 --> 00:24:32,460 Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, did you get any government support? 533 00:24:32,460 --> 00:24:32,970 STUDENT: No. 534 00:24:32,970 --> 00:24:39,110 We had some [INAUDIBLE],, but not critical [INAUDIBLE].. 535 00:24:39,110 --> 00:24:40,720 GARY GENSLER: It was not critical. 536 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,260 But the central banks around the globe, 537 00:24:43,260 --> 00:24:48,120 particularly here in the US, provided liquidity 538 00:24:48,120 --> 00:24:49,290 in multiple ways. 539 00:24:49,290 --> 00:24:50,970 But it wasn't going to be enough. 540 00:24:50,970 --> 00:24:53,490 They were providing liquidity, one, 541 00:24:53,490 --> 00:24:57,540 for some banks that were failing, Bear Stearns in 2007 542 00:24:57,540 --> 00:24:58,500 failed. 543 00:24:58,500 --> 00:25:00,330 And through a legal authority they 544 00:25:00,330 --> 00:25:03,540 had from Congress from the 1930s, 545 00:25:03,540 --> 00:25:06,810 where you could actually lend to a financial institution-- 546 00:25:06,810 --> 00:25:10,790 actually, you could lend to any company in society. 547 00:25:10,790 --> 00:25:15,060 But they had never used the authority. 548 00:25:15,060 --> 00:25:16,560 But they used the authority that you 549 00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:19,860 could lend versus collateral. 550 00:25:19,860 --> 00:25:23,400 And that was done with Bear Stearns in 2007, 551 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,480 and then it was done again in 2008 for others. 552 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:28,230 And what did they do with Lehman Brothers? 553 00:25:28,230 --> 00:25:30,510 On the fateful weekend that Lehman Brothers failed, 554 00:25:30,510 --> 00:25:32,800 what did the Federal Reserve say to Lehman Brothers? 555 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:33,960 STUDENT: Let them go bust. 556 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:35,918 GARY GENSLER: James said they let them go bust. 557 00:25:35,918 --> 00:25:36,810 That is correct. 558 00:25:36,810 --> 00:25:39,060 They said, we can't use this authority. 559 00:25:39,060 --> 00:25:44,060 And then we all know in the history books 560 00:25:44,060 --> 00:25:47,910 it's written how that fateful week in September of 2008, 561 00:25:47,910 --> 00:25:49,940 then everything falls bust. 562 00:25:49,940 --> 00:25:54,840 Because there was uncertainty in the marketplace. 563 00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:56,480 And so what they did next, Kelly-- 564 00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:58,827 so they were using traditional authorities. 565 00:25:58,827 --> 00:26:00,410 And what they did next is they started 566 00:26:00,410 --> 00:26:03,397 to test the limits of their legal authority, 567 00:26:03,397 --> 00:26:05,480 along with the Treasury Department and the Federal 568 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,210 Deposit Insurance Corporation, and they put 569 00:26:08,210 --> 00:26:10,400 a series of other things in. 570 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:14,030 And under an old authority of the Federal Deposit Insurance 571 00:26:14,030 --> 00:26:16,280 Corporation, they actually guaranteed 572 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:22,610 all debts of the banking system in the US for a period of time. 573 00:26:22,610 --> 00:26:24,410 Under other authorities, they figured out 574 00:26:24,410 --> 00:26:29,300 how to put a guarantee on money market funds. 575 00:26:29,300 --> 00:26:32,450 It was about $2 trillion in money market funds. 576 00:26:32,450 --> 00:26:36,110 All of these almost extra legal authorities. 577 00:26:36,110 --> 00:26:41,180 I mean, they were not written right into congressional law, 578 00:26:41,180 --> 00:26:43,070 but they pushed the outer boundaries. 579 00:26:43,070 --> 00:26:45,680 And we knew when Larry Lessig was here 580 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,170 he said that every contract has some ambiguity. 581 00:26:48,170 --> 00:26:50,450 Every law has some ambiguity. 582 00:26:50,450 --> 00:26:52,760 And the best lawyers at the Federal Reserve, the best 583 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,430 lawyers at the US Department of Treasury and elsewhere 584 00:26:55,430 --> 00:26:58,020 were thinking, where is the ambiguity? 585 00:26:58,020 --> 00:27:04,520 And can we use that uncertainty in the law to save the system? 586 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:06,080 And then they went to Congress. 587 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:08,750 They went to Congress and asked for $700 billion. 588 00:27:08,750 --> 00:27:13,830 When Hank Paulson Treasury Secretary went to Congress, 589 00:27:13,830 --> 00:27:15,390 they sent a four page, but it might 590 00:27:15,390 --> 00:27:19,320 have been three page legislative request for $700 billion. 591 00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:24,970 I remember I first read that three or four page 592 00:27:24,970 --> 00:27:29,650 request, because then a senator from New York, Hillary Clinton, 593 00:27:29,650 --> 00:27:31,450 asked me, this thing's come up. 594 00:27:31,450 --> 00:27:33,760 Will you read it and give me your advice? 595 00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:35,830 It didn't take me long to read three pages. 596 00:27:35,830 --> 00:27:38,260 It was an outright request for $700 billion. 597 00:27:38,260 --> 00:27:40,480 It finally did pass. 598 00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:43,120 It first failed in the House of Representatives. 599 00:27:43,120 --> 00:27:48,730 It became, I think, a couple hundred page document. 600 00:27:48,730 --> 00:27:53,110 But $700 billion of US taxpayer money went to the treasury, 601 00:27:53,110 --> 00:27:56,510 and the treasury then lended out and so forth. 602 00:27:56,510 --> 00:27:57,690 So it was multiple things. 603 00:27:57,690 --> 00:27:59,260 10 years later-- 604 00:27:59,260 --> 00:28:01,570 10 years later, a law here, Dodd-Frank, 605 00:28:01,570 --> 00:28:04,720 limits some of what the federal government can do. 606 00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:09,470 It tightened the ability to be the fire department 607 00:28:09,470 --> 00:28:13,400 in the midst of a raging fire. 608 00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,562 And there's lively public debate recently. 609 00:28:16,562 --> 00:28:18,770 Tim Geithner, who was Treasury Secretary at the time, 610 00:28:18,770 --> 00:28:20,720 has come out publicly, and Ben Bernanke, 611 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,178 I think, and they've written an Op-Ed and some other pieces 612 00:28:23,178 --> 00:28:26,150 saying, it would be good to loosen some of those Dodd-Frank 613 00:28:26,150 --> 00:28:27,710 restrictions. 614 00:28:27,710 --> 00:28:29,210 But there's others on the other side 615 00:28:29,210 --> 00:28:32,720 who have said, no, we need to keep those restrictions tight. 616 00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,900 Because if the restrictions are loose, then we have something 617 00:28:35,900 --> 00:28:37,510 called moral hazard. 618 00:28:37,510 --> 00:28:40,590 Does anybody know what moral hazard might be? 619 00:28:43,650 --> 00:28:47,800 STUDENT: I think it's you run a risk that 620 00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:50,860 is not commensurate with what you can do. 621 00:28:50,860 --> 00:28:55,043 But if you're confident because [INAUDIBLE].. 622 00:28:55,043 --> 00:28:56,710 GARY GENSLER: And who will run the risk? 623 00:28:56,710 --> 00:28:59,560 STUDENT: It could be a bank or it could be-- 624 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,860 GARY GENSLER: So the banks or financial institutions, 625 00:29:01,860 --> 00:29:03,610 if you know you're going to be bailed out, 626 00:29:03,610 --> 00:29:04,660 will take more risk. 627 00:29:04,660 --> 00:29:10,600 It's human-- it's who we are. 628 00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,330 So my father had a small business in Baltimore. 629 00:29:13,330 --> 00:29:15,580 He never had more than 30 employees. 630 00:29:15,580 --> 00:29:20,890 It was a cigarette and candy and pinball machine business. 631 00:29:20,890 --> 00:29:23,680 If he couldn't make payroll on Friday, the city of Baltimore 632 00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,670 was not going to help him out on Monday. 633 00:29:26,670 --> 00:29:29,930 His employees might give him another week or two-- hey, Sam! 634 00:29:29,930 --> 00:29:32,370 My dad's name is Sam. 635 00:29:32,370 --> 00:29:34,440 We'll give Mr. Sam another week. 636 00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:38,390 But two or three weeks later, they would have all quit. 637 00:29:38,390 --> 00:29:44,570 But the banks, so large, so tied into their economies-- 638 00:29:44,570 --> 00:29:46,760 for many decades. 639 00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:49,460 2008 wasn't the only time. 640 00:29:49,460 --> 00:29:51,110 The sovereign steps in. 641 00:29:51,110 --> 00:29:53,030 The central bank steps in. 642 00:29:53,030 --> 00:29:54,590 So Kelly, the answer to your question 643 00:29:54,590 --> 00:29:58,760 is, there's probably less ability for the central bank 644 00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:00,770 in the US to step in. 645 00:30:00,770 --> 00:30:03,410 They still have very real tools to be 646 00:30:03,410 --> 00:30:05,780 the firefighter in the middle of a raging fire, 647 00:30:05,780 --> 00:30:08,870 but they're a little bit more constrained. 648 00:30:08,870 --> 00:30:11,390 We as a society spoke through our Congress and said, 649 00:30:11,390 --> 00:30:14,490 we don't want bailouts. 650 00:30:14,490 --> 00:30:17,430 But in the midst of the next crisis, some Treasury 651 00:30:17,430 --> 00:30:19,710 Secretary, and some Federal Reserve chair, 652 00:30:19,710 --> 00:30:23,280 and maybe some president, will be testing the limits 653 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,760 of those statutory authorities. 654 00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:28,287 And they might be knocking on the doors of Congress again. 655 00:30:28,287 --> 00:30:30,120 STUDENT: I guess my question is more testing 656 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:33,190 out the implications of if we were to have-- 657 00:30:33,190 --> 00:30:37,980 for example, if Bitcoin were to be backed by central banks what 658 00:30:37,980 --> 00:30:42,875 those implications would be that say, all of a sudden, instead 659 00:30:42,875 --> 00:30:44,920 of a ton of Bitcoin had to be issued, 660 00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,490 we probably all know there's a restriction on the supply 661 00:30:47,490 --> 00:30:48,510 there. 662 00:30:48,510 --> 00:30:49,430 So-- 663 00:30:49,430 --> 00:30:49,710 GARY GENSLER: All right. 664 00:30:49,710 --> 00:30:52,150 Anybody want to take the other side of Kelly's question? 665 00:30:52,150 --> 00:30:56,190 Bitcoin's now the currency that's-- 666 00:30:56,190 --> 00:31:00,830 hypothetically, the Bitcoin or some crypto. 667 00:31:00,830 --> 00:31:03,870 Alin would tell us it would be some other crypto. 668 00:31:03,870 --> 00:31:07,470 Maybe it's Algorand or something. 669 00:31:07,470 --> 00:31:08,190 What happens? 670 00:31:08,190 --> 00:31:11,850 What's going to happen to the flexibility of a central bank 671 00:31:11,850 --> 00:31:15,390 and a government to bail out their economy if it 672 00:31:15,390 --> 00:31:16,745 was a crypto? 673 00:31:16,745 --> 00:31:17,850 STUDENT: It goes down. 674 00:31:17,850 --> 00:31:19,550 Kind of like the example of the EU. 675 00:31:20,773 --> 00:31:22,440 GARY GENSLER: Remind me your first name? 676 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:23,070 STUDENT: Isaac. 677 00:31:23,070 --> 00:31:23,903 GARY GENSLER: Isaac. 678 00:31:23,903 --> 00:31:25,210 So Isaac says it goes down. 679 00:31:25,210 --> 00:31:25,940 What do you mean? 680 00:31:25,940 --> 00:31:27,510 It means their flexibility goes down? 681 00:31:30,780 --> 00:31:31,350 Tom? 682 00:31:31,350 --> 00:31:33,142 STUDENT: I mean, if it's a crypto currency, 683 00:31:33,142 --> 00:31:36,580 like we know from today, it's impossible. 684 00:31:36,580 --> 00:31:37,080 Right? 685 00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:41,430 I mean, there has to be a finite set of coins, 686 00:31:41,430 --> 00:31:43,180 tokens, whatever they are. 687 00:31:43,180 --> 00:31:48,228 And there has to be consensus protocols. it has to be-- 688 00:31:48,228 --> 00:31:49,020 GARY GENSLER: Eric? 689 00:31:49,020 --> 00:31:51,270 So Tom contends-- 690 00:31:51,270 --> 00:31:53,310 Isaac says it gets a lot harder. 691 00:31:53,310 --> 00:31:55,510 Tom says it's not just harder, it's impossible. 692 00:31:55,510 --> 00:31:56,010 Eric? 693 00:31:56,010 --> 00:31:57,600 STUDENT: It depends on the design 694 00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,850 of the cryptocurrency platform that underlines 695 00:31:59,850 --> 00:32:01,230 the crypto that's being used. 696 00:32:01,230 --> 00:32:06,900 Because we will see maybe later in this class 697 00:32:06,900 --> 00:32:11,280 there are some known collateralized stable coins 698 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:13,740 that actually have smart contracts that 699 00:32:13,740 --> 00:32:18,210 enforce money supply policies to keep [INAUDIBLE] stable, 700 00:32:18,210 --> 00:32:20,910 which is really similar to handling money 701 00:32:20,910 --> 00:32:23,740 supply in an automatic way. 702 00:32:23,740 --> 00:32:25,900 GARY GENSLER: So Eric is saying-- 703 00:32:25,900 --> 00:32:26,780 we'll take one more. 704 00:32:26,780 --> 00:32:27,820 STUDENT: Well in the case of Bitcoin rates-- 705 00:32:27,820 --> 00:32:28,525 GARY GENSLER: Remind me your first name. 706 00:32:28,525 --> 00:32:29,300 STUDENT: I'm Santosh. 707 00:32:29,300 --> 00:32:30,010 GARY GENSLER: What's that? 708 00:32:30,010 --> 00:32:30,580 STUDENT: Santosh. 709 00:32:30,580 --> 00:32:31,405 GARY GENSLER: Santosh. 710 00:32:31,405 --> 00:32:33,197 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] like the mining system 711 00:32:33,197 --> 00:32:34,370 contains protocol. 712 00:32:34,370 --> 00:32:35,845 [INAUDIBLE] 713 00:32:35,845 --> 00:32:38,160 GARY GENSLER: So what Eric and Santosh are saying 714 00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,640 is there's some flexibility-- either flexibility written 715 00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,610 into the algorithm, or flexibility 716 00:32:44,610 --> 00:32:50,490 in that the 51%, if there's a consensus or a hard fork, 717 00:32:50,490 --> 00:32:53,170 you might be able to adjust. 718 00:32:53,170 --> 00:32:55,570 But at its core, it's probably-- 719 00:32:55,570 --> 00:32:58,130 as Isaac introduced it, it's harder. 720 00:32:58,130 --> 00:33:02,120 I don't know if it's impossible, but I think it's a lot harder. 721 00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:05,630 Just like the European Union has a lot harder time helping out 722 00:33:05,630 --> 00:33:09,680 Greece because you now have multiple countries involved 723 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:10,820 in the decision making. 724 00:33:10,820 --> 00:33:15,530 The consensus-- what satisfies German economics 725 00:33:15,530 --> 00:33:17,660 and German politics is different than what 726 00:33:17,660 --> 00:33:21,390 might satisfy Greek economics and Greek politics. 727 00:33:21,390 --> 00:33:22,442 [INAUDIBLE] 728 00:33:22,442 --> 00:33:24,400 STUDENT: So I'm a bit confused, because I guess 729 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:25,820 we're switching terminology. 730 00:33:25,820 --> 00:33:28,070 So when you say central banks and cryptocurrency, 731 00:33:28,070 --> 00:33:30,500 you don't mean central banks and CBDCs? 732 00:33:30,500 --> 00:33:32,150 You mean something else? 733 00:33:32,150 --> 00:33:33,808 It's not-- [INAUDIBLE]. 734 00:33:33,808 --> 00:33:34,850 GARY GENSLER: Yeah, yeah. 735 00:33:34,850 --> 00:33:38,570 I think we're dealing in a hypothetical discussion. 736 00:33:38,570 --> 00:33:43,640 What if a cryptocurrency were to actually take hold, 737 00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:45,600 like a Bitcoin, in the future? 738 00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,360 I think that's what your questions were about. 739 00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:48,860 Eric? 740 00:33:48,860 --> 00:33:51,282 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] popular enough and used. 741 00:33:51,282 --> 00:33:52,490 GARY GENSLER: Popular enough. 742 00:33:52,490 --> 00:33:55,100 Used enough as a store of value, used enough as 743 00:33:55,100 --> 00:33:56,920 a medium of exchange. 744 00:33:56,920 --> 00:33:59,990 And then there was a crisis. 745 00:33:59,990 --> 00:34:03,660 Very different than a central bank digital currency. 746 00:34:03,660 --> 00:34:06,120 Yes. 747 00:34:06,120 --> 00:34:06,940 [INAUDIBLE] 748 00:34:06,940 --> 00:34:10,139 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] sort of like an old days stat 749 00:34:10,139 --> 00:34:11,739 specialist on the foreign exchange. 750 00:34:11,739 --> 00:34:14,340 Would they make markets know that there was-- 751 00:34:14,340 --> 00:34:18,250 if there was hard selling, then they could actually come in, 752 00:34:18,250 --> 00:34:21,310 be a backstop or [INAUDIBLE]. 753 00:34:21,310 --> 00:34:24,460 GARY GENSLER: Andrew's asking, could the private sector be-- 754 00:34:24,460 --> 00:34:26,070 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] the central bank 755 00:34:26,070 --> 00:34:29,920 serve sort of like a private sector really works. 756 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,199 GARY GENSLER: So could a central bank in essence 757 00:34:32,199 --> 00:34:36,489 come in and support a cryptocurrency? 758 00:34:36,489 --> 00:34:38,409 To some extent, for sure. 759 00:34:38,409 --> 00:34:40,480 Depends on what their reserves are. 760 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,040 And they also, of course, are part 761 00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,350 of a government that has a taxing authority, has 762 00:34:44,350 --> 00:34:45,570 a military. 763 00:34:45,570 --> 00:34:47,860 I mean, there's a lot of extra might 764 00:34:47,860 --> 00:34:51,350 that comes with being part of a government. 765 00:34:51,350 --> 00:34:53,230 So I think the answer is yes. 766 00:34:53,230 --> 00:34:55,900 But multi-jurisdictional currencies 767 00:34:55,900 --> 00:34:58,600 usually fail on some level. 768 00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:01,390 The euro is still an experiment. 769 00:35:01,390 --> 00:35:04,850 It may still fail some decades in the future. 770 00:35:04,850 --> 00:35:06,440 It's been tested. 771 00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:09,040 But multi-jurisdictional currencies 772 00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:14,720 in the past, high probability is they usually fail. 773 00:35:14,720 --> 00:35:18,830 Because you don't have one political system, one unified 774 00:35:18,830 --> 00:35:22,500 set of government accounts, one taxing authority. 775 00:35:22,500 --> 00:35:24,970 You know, there's a bunch of challenges. 776 00:35:24,970 --> 00:35:27,740 But let's move on and try to hit some of the things on-- 777 00:35:27,740 --> 00:35:30,890 so that's kind of a review a little bit of the other day. 778 00:35:30,890 --> 00:35:32,540 We said, what's Fiat currency? 779 00:35:32,540 --> 00:35:34,070 We've talked about it of course. 780 00:35:34,070 --> 00:35:37,760 Fiat currency then represents all three forms-- 781 00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,840 bank deposits and notes and reserves, and it's 782 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:44,930 accepted for taxes and it's legal tender. 783 00:35:44,930 --> 00:35:46,910 In this hypothetical case, we hadn't even 784 00:35:46,910 --> 00:35:49,010 gotten to whether would Bitcoin be accepted 785 00:35:49,010 --> 00:35:51,250 for taxes with Bitcoin, or crypto 786 00:35:51,250 --> 00:35:54,440 be accepted as legal tender. 787 00:35:54,440 --> 00:36:00,690 But I would remind everybody, whatever the future holds, 788 00:36:00,690 --> 00:36:05,040 I think wide adoption in any country you'd have to address, 789 00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:07,860 will the government accept it for taxes? 790 00:36:07,860 --> 00:36:11,175 Will the government say it's accepted as legal tender? 791 00:36:11,175 --> 00:36:16,370 And until and unless that happens, 792 00:36:16,370 --> 00:36:18,440 usually it wouldn't have wide adoption, 793 00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:20,390 even in a country that's in distress. 794 00:36:20,390 --> 00:36:23,125 Again, we're not talking about central bank digital currency, 795 00:36:23,125 --> 00:36:25,250 but you could say the same thing about central bank 796 00:36:25,250 --> 00:36:26,270 digital currency. 797 00:36:26,270 --> 00:36:30,980 Unless it's accepted for taxes, which it probably would be, 798 00:36:30,980 --> 00:36:32,650 or accepted as legal tender. 799 00:36:36,770 --> 00:36:42,800 So I wanted to go back to private banknotes. 800 00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:46,770 So commercial banks have issued notes in the past. 801 00:36:46,770 --> 00:36:48,980 Think of this as basically a piece of paper 802 00:36:48,980 --> 00:36:51,530 that represents a bank deposit. 803 00:36:51,530 --> 00:36:55,340 The same way that we might be moving mobile money now, 804 00:36:55,340 --> 00:36:56,510 think of it-- 805 00:36:56,510 --> 00:36:58,580 but most of this was done before there 806 00:36:58,580 --> 00:37:01,440 was a time of central banks. 807 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,230 And in the US, it was called the free banking area. 808 00:37:05,230 --> 00:37:08,110 Andrew Jackson was the seventh president of the United States, 809 00:37:08,110 --> 00:37:11,385 and he really didn't like a central bank. 810 00:37:11,385 --> 00:37:13,900 It was called the second bank of the United States, 811 00:37:13,900 --> 00:37:18,810 but he let it expire in the 1830s. 812 00:37:18,810 --> 00:37:20,730 Andrew Jackson-- does anybody know 813 00:37:20,730 --> 00:37:23,970 what piece of currency Andrew Jackson is on? 814 00:37:23,970 --> 00:37:26,630 Where is his portrait? 815 00:37:26,630 --> 00:37:27,650 $20 bill. 816 00:37:27,650 --> 00:37:31,500 The one that we keep passing around and everything. 817 00:37:31,500 --> 00:37:33,900 Andrew Jackson also was president in a period of time 818 00:37:33,900 --> 00:37:37,150 that it paid off the national debt. 819 00:37:37,150 --> 00:37:39,110 Paid it off to zero. 820 00:37:39,110 --> 00:37:44,810 He was a Tennesseean that had a strong view about finance. 821 00:37:44,810 --> 00:37:46,930 We had a very tough time in the 1840s, 822 00:37:46,930 --> 00:37:49,430 so I'm not sure we should have paid off the debt completely. 823 00:37:49,430 --> 00:37:53,970 But the free banking era, the notes 824 00:37:53,970 --> 00:37:56,880 that went around in the US for 20 to 30 years, 825 00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:59,490 were all banknotes. 826 00:38:02,110 --> 00:38:04,810 And then the Civil War came along, 827 00:38:04,810 --> 00:38:08,860 and the US government needed to finance a war. 828 00:38:08,860 --> 00:38:13,590 And the word "greenback" comes from 1863, 829 00:38:13,590 --> 00:38:18,540 when the North, the union, wanted to raise some money. 830 00:38:18,540 --> 00:38:22,450 And they literally started printing greenbacks. 831 00:38:22,450 --> 00:38:25,450 And also the first National Bank Act 832 00:38:25,450 --> 00:38:27,540 passed during the Civil War. 833 00:38:27,540 --> 00:38:29,500 And the National Bank Act set up something 834 00:38:29,500 --> 00:38:32,230 called the Comptroller of the Currency. 835 00:38:32,230 --> 00:38:34,660 And the Comptroller of the Currency-- those two words, 836 00:38:34,660 --> 00:38:37,090 they confused me a lot when I was on Wall Street. 837 00:38:37,090 --> 00:38:39,670 Why was the bank regulator called the Comptroller 838 00:38:39,670 --> 00:38:41,350 of the Currency? 839 00:38:41,350 --> 00:38:45,520 But in the 1860s, it was to control all these banknotes 840 00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:50,290 that were being issued by a bunch of commercial banks, most 841 00:38:50,290 --> 00:38:51,730 of which that failed. 842 00:38:51,730 --> 00:38:53,560 Hundreds failed. 843 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:55,570 Many of the pieces of paper would 844 00:38:55,570 --> 00:38:59,590 trade at different values, discounts to each other 845 00:38:59,590 --> 00:39:02,140 and so forth. 846 00:39:02,140 --> 00:39:03,640 And some say that the world we're 847 00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,620 living in now with cryptocurrency, 848 00:39:05,620 --> 00:39:10,400 this new market, is a little bit like the private note period. 849 00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:13,120 Interestingly, there's two countries or two areas that 850 00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:14,410 still use private banknotes. 851 00:39:14,410 --> 00:39:16,180 Anybody from Hong Kong? 852 00:39:16,180 --> 00:39:19,620 James and Anton. 853 00:39:19,620 --> 00:39:23,410 So who issues your currency, your cash? 854 00:39:23,410 --> 00:39:25,350 STUDENT: There are three banks. 855 00:39:25,350 --> 00:39:29,490 GARY GENSLER: Bank of China, HSBC and Standard Chartered. 856 00:39:29,490 --> 00:39:33,630 Bank of China represents the People's Republic of China. 857 00:39:33,630 --> 00:39:37,140 HSBC represents local Hong Kong and Standard 858 00:39:37,140 --> 00:39:39,690 Chartered represents Britain. 859 00:39:39,690 --> 00:39:41,330 STUDENT: Actually, we should also 860 00:39:41,330 --> 00:39:43,890 add the monetary authority. 861 00:39:43,890 --> 00:39:46,080 Because they issue [INAUDIBLE] $10. 862 00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:49,340 GARY GENSLER: They do, but it's not really a private bank note. 863 00:39:49,340 --> 00:39:50,250 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] 864 00:39:50,250 --> 00:39:51,690 GARY GENSLER: No. 865 00:39:51,690 --> 00:39:54,270 So in Hong Kong, the notes-- 866 00:39:54,270 --> 00:39:56,455 the dominant notes, am I right? 867 00:39:56,455 --> 00:39:57,580 STUDENT: Anything over $10. 868 00:39:57,580 --> 00:40:02,710 GARY GENSLER: Anything over $10 is by a bank. 869 00:40:02,710 --> 00:40:05,530 They have to follow the rules of the central bank. 870 00:40:05,530 --> 00:40:07,420 And anybody from Scotland or Ireland? 871 00:40:10,940 --> 00:40:12,950 Is that too far north? 872 00:40:12,950 --> 00:40:14,900 But similarly, in the United Kingdom, 873 00:40:14,900 --> 00:40:17,300 there's Sterling Bank notes. 874 00:40:17,300 --> 00:40:19,130 So we still do have some of this. 875 00:40:19,130 --> 00:40:21,350 There's still a little legacy of it left-- 876 00:40:21,350 --> 00:40:24,380 a tightly, highly constrained legacy 877 00:40:24,380 --> 00:40:27,050 because it's-- the monetary authority, 878 00:40:27,050 --> 00:40:29,090 it's called in Hong Kong? 879 00:40:29,090 --> 00:40:30,560 STUDENT: Actually, no. 880 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:32,310 GARY GENSLER: Is it called a central bank? 881 00:40:32,310 --> 00:40:34,227 STUDENT: It's not called central [INAUDIBLE].. 882 00:40:34,227 --> 00:40:36,770 STUDENT: It's called [INAUDIBLE] financial authority. 883 00:40:36,770 --> 00:40:38,728 GARY GENSLER: Monetary and financial authority. 884 00:40:38,728 --> 00:40:40,650 So the word "monetary" is right in there. 885 00:40:40,650 --> 00:40:42,545 Just like in the 1860s in the US, 886 00:40:42,545 --> 00:40:44,420 the bank authority was called the Comptroller 887 00:40:44,420 --> 00:40:45,650 of the Currency. 888 00:40:45,650 --> 00:40:49,140 And it still is called the Comptroller of the Currency. 889 00:40:49,140 --> 00:40:50,005 James? 890 00:40:50,005 --> 00:40:51,290 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] UK. 891 00:40:51,290 --> 00:40:54,110 If anyone ever travels to the UK and gets a Scottish bank note, 892 00:40:54,110 --> 00:40:55,693 give it back to the person who gave it 893 00:40:55,693 --> 00:40:59,750 to you, because you [INAUDIBLE] in England, everyone panics. 894 00:40:59,750 --> 00:41:01,070 It's like, what is this? 895 00:41:01,070 --> 00:41:03,290 This does not look like a usual banknote. 896 00:41:03,290 --> 00:41:04,940 It is technically legal tender. 897 00:41:04,940 --> 00:41:06,000 But people go, ah! 898 00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:07,615 Don't want it. 899 00:41:07,615 --> 00:41:09,740 GARY GENSLER: So it's not good north of a certain-- 900 00:41:09,740 --> 00:41:11,060 STUDENT: It's not good south-- 901 00:41:11,060 --> 00:41:12,950 GARY GENSLER: [INAUDIBLE] south of something. 902 00:41:13,450 --> 00:41:17,360 STUDENT: I read that it's not legal tender in South-- 903 00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:20,960 but it's also not legal tender in Scotland. 904 00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:24,560 So you can use them in Scotland, as a matter of custom. 905 00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:26,210 That's a question I had. 906 00:41:26,210 --> 00:41:29,690 But as a technical legal matter, it's actually not-- 907 00:41:29,690 --> 00:41:33,680 it doesn't extinguish the debt, but somebody won't sue you. 908 00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,040 GARY GENSLER: I believe Ross is right. 909 00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:38,720 But for those who don't know, Ross 910 00:41:38,720 --> 00:41:42,440 spent a career as a bankruptcy lawyer, as a partner of a firm, 911 00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:44,840 before he came back for a Sloan MBA. 912 00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,142 So I'll go with Ross on this one. 913 00:41:47,142 --> 00:41:48,412 [LAUGHTER] 914 00:41:48,412 --> 00:41:50,120 STUDENT: Moral of the story is, if you've 915 00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:52,300 got a Scottish banknote, just give it back. 916 00:41:52,300 --> 00:41:53,770 Because I don't want this. 917 00:41:53,770 --> 00:41:55,130 GARY GENSLER: There you go. 918 00:41:55,130 --> 00:41:58,220 So stable value tokens. 919 00:41:58,220 --> 00:41:59,810 What's the moral on this, James? 920 00:41:59,810 --> 00:42:03,560 If you've got a stable value token, do you give it back? 921 00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:06,100 STUDENT: Well, in theory, it's stable value. 922 00:42:06,100 --> 00:42:08,690 So you can exchange it for whatever it's tethered to. 923 00:42:08,690 --> 00:42:10,300 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] 924 00:42:10,300 --> 00:42:12,320 GARY GENSLER: So what are stable value tokens, 925 00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:15,530 and what value might they have? 926 00:42:15,530 --> 00:42:18,620 What pain point in the crypto space? 927 00:42:18,620 --> 00:42:21,440 Why did they come about? 928 00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:25,136 There was a reading on it, so maybe it was just-- 929 00:42:25,136 --> 00:42:28,400 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] off the volatility 930 00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:34,590 of the cryptocurrency in a way that it's backed by-- 931 00:42:34,590 --> 00:42:39,000 [INAUDIBLE] currency so that the [INAUDIBLE] volatility. 932 00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:40,320 GARY GENSLER: Volatility. 933 00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:44,420 So ease to dampen the volatility. 934 00:42:44,420 --> 00:42:51,100 Why would somebody want a crypto asset but ease the volatility? 935 00:42:51,100 --> 00:42:54,060 What are the use cases for crypto without volatility? 936 00:42:56,527 --> 00:42:58,360 STUDENT: Well they just mentioned like loans 937 00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:00,555 and savings accounts as an example. 938 00:43:00,555 --> 00:43:01,930 But the thing with the volatility 939 00:43:01,930 --> 00:43:04,880 is that it struggled as a store of value, 940 00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:08,600 because it's not stable and it just goes all over the place. 941 00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:09,510 GARY GENSLER: So-- 942 00:43:09,510 --> 00:43:11,753 STUDENT: They use it a lot for trading. 943 00:43:11,753 --> 00:43:12,670 GARY GENSLER: Trading. 944 00:43:12,670 --> 00:43:13,170 What type? 945 00:43:13,170 --> 00:43:14,950 STUDENT: Different cryptocurrencies. 946 00:43:14,950 --> 00:43:15,790 GARY GENSLER: Cryptocurrency trading. 947 00:43:15,790 --> 00:43:16,990 STUDENT: You want to sell-- 948 00:43:16,990 --> 00:43:19,630 you're going back to the stable one, 949 00:43:19,630 --> 00:43:21,760 then going back to another cryptocurrency. 950 00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,240 You don't have to go into the banking system. 951 00:43:24,240 --> 00:43:25,240 GARY GENSLER: All right. 952 00:43:25,240 --> 00:43:27,700 So maybe it's also being used for trading. 953 00:43:27,700 --> 00:43:29,710 So I've heard that it dampens volatility. 954 00:43:29,710 --> 00:43:31,030 I agree. 955 00:43:31,030 --> 00:43:32,980 It could be used for trading. 956 00:43:32,980 --> 00:43:36,160 Because you might go crypto to crypto to crypto, 957 00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:39,040 but you want to keep a better store of value 958 00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:44,260 and a stable token as well. 959 00:43:44,260 --> 00:43:47,130 And that's what it's been. 960 00:43:47,130 --> 00:43:50,200 I list four different approaches to it. 961 00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:51,870 These are design features. 962 00:43:51,870 --> 00:43:54,300 They are trying to do the same thing-- 963 00:43:54,300 --> 00:43:57,900 have a cryptocurrency that's not centralized, 964 00:43:57,900 --> 00:44:00,120 or at least not backed by a government. 965 00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:02,040 Not centralized that way-- 966 00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:05,130 it might be centralized that the algorithm in the software 967 00:44:05,130 --> 00:44:07,500 is centralized-- 968 00:44:07,500 --> 00:44:10,930 and four different design features. 969 00:44:10,930 --> 00:44:13,920 And I think there was a reading on this if I remember. 970 00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:17,340 Does anybody want to say anything about tether? 971 00:44:17,340 --> 00:44:21,470 What-- basically backed by US dollars? 972 00:44:25,460 --> 00:44:27,380 STUDENT: I think one of the big issues 973 00:44:27,380 --> 00:44:30,360 with it is that, if it were to be really adopted, 974 00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:32,210 you would need to have a ton of collateral 975 00:44:32,210 --> 00:44:34,760 to make it useful to people. 976 00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:37,010 And then the other issue is that you'd also probably 977 00:44:37,010 --> 00:44:40,570 need a central bank like the Fed to actually 978 00:44:40,570 --> 00:44:41,690 be there intervening. 979 00:44:41,690 --> 00:44:43,695 And that kind of goes against the purpose. 980 00:44:43,695 --> 00:44:46,070 GARY GENSLER: Stephanie is saying, if it really took off, 981 00:44:46,070 --> 00:44:47,410 you'd need a ton of collateral. 982 00:44:47,410 --> 00:44:52,550 What if tether, or any Fiat collateralized currency, 983 00:44:52,550 --> 00:44:54,470 was not just a couple billion dollars 984 00:44:54,470 --> 00:44:58,520 but it was a trillion dollars or a couple of trillion? 985 00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,685 The whole US banking system is about $16 trillion. 986 00:45:04,270 --> 00:45:08,800 There's $13-ish trillion of deposits. 987 00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:13,070 What if you had a coin that's 1 trillion of that? 988 00:45:13,070 --> 00:45:17,470 STUDENT: If it's supposedly backed by-- if it's that large 989 00:45:17,470 --> 00:45:21,040 and it's supposedly backed by US dollars, you have two choices-- 990 00:45:21,040 --> 00:45:22,060 three choices, right? 991 00:45:22,060 --> 00:45:25,570 You either have a stack of $100s for a trillion dollars. 992 00:45:25,570 --> 00:45:26,110 Physical-- 993 00:45:26,110 --> 00:45:26,735 GARY GENSLER: Paper. 994 00:45:26,735 --> 00:45:27,250 Linen. 995 00:45:27,250 --> 00:45:28,240 STUDENT: Paper. 996 00:45:28,240 --> 00:45:31,060 Or you have bank deposits, which is what 997 00:45:31,060 --> 00:45:32,370 you're trying to get out of. 998 00:45:32,370 --> 00:45:35,710 Or you've got the money with the Federal Reserve, which you're 999 00:45:35,710 --> 00:45:36,990 also trying to get out of. 1000 00:45:36,990 --> 00:45:39,220 So those are your only three choices for, 1001 00:45:39,220 --> 00:45:40,920 where actually is the collateral? 1002 00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:43,150 It has to be somewhere. 1003 00:45:43,150 --> 00:45:45,400 GARY GENSLER: But the reason to drill into this, this 1004 00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:48,040 is part of the motivation of why central banks are 1005 00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:50,860 looking at central bank digital currency. 1006 00:45:50,860 --> 00:45:53,710 They've been watching not just Bitcoin and the whole crypto 1007 00:45:53,710 --> 00:45:56,980 space, but then they've watched stable value tokens 1008 00:45:56,980 --> 00:45:57,880 come along-- 1009 00:45:57,880 --> 00:45:59,980 stable value tokens that are generally 1010 00:45:59,980 --> 00:46:03,610 backed by some blockchain technology and blockchain 1011 00:46:03,610 --> 00:46:07,450 initiative that, frankly, they don't have to be blockchain. 1012 00:46:07,450 --> 00:46:11,050 I think you could build something without it. 1013 00:46:11,050 --> 00:46:14,190 STUDENT: Something-- if you have a Fiat collateralized stable 1014 00:46:14,190 --> 00:46:17,630 coin like Heather, I can understand why there's 1015 00:46:17,630 --> 00:46:19,090 a technological use case. 1016 00:46:19,090 --> 00:46:21,090 Maybe you want to use it as [INAUDIBLE] trading, 1017 00:46:21,090 --> 00:46:25,700 or you want to lock value on a blockchain that's not volatile. 1018 00:46:25,700 --> 00:46:27,400 And there's also a business case where, 1019 00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:29,550 if it does go above a dollar-- 1020 00:46:29,550 --> 00:46:31,860 the coin goes above $1 or below $1, 1021 00:46:31,860 --> 00:46:34,150 you can either issue more and keep the difference 1022 00:46:34,150 --> 00:46:36,600 or buy that coin and keep the difference. 1023 00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:39,250 And you can potentially-- if it's small enough, 1024 00:46:39,250 --> 00:46:43,890 you can invest that in a bank and you can get interest 1025 00:46:43,890 --> 00:46:46,410 on the collateral. 1026 00:46:46,410 --> 00:46:48,870 But I do agree with you. 1027 00:46:48,870 --> 00:46:51,300 The problem comes along when you have 1028 00:46:51,300 --> 00:46:53,730 this huge scale of a trillion. 1029 00:46:53,730 --> 00:46:55,180 Then at that point-- 1030 00:46:55,180 --> 00:46:58,230 I don't know if it's a trillion, the $10 trillion, 1031 00:46:58,230 --> 00:47:00,100 a couple billion or whatever. 1032 00:47:00,100 --> 00:47:04,650 But when you run into the same type of scenario 1033 00:47:04,650 --> 00:47:09,180 where the US dollar went off the gold reserve or we just became 1034 00:47:09,180 --> 00:47:12,600 untethered to the reserves of the coin. 1035 00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:15,360 Because it's so widespread and ubiquitous, 1036 00:47:15,360 --> 00:47:17,737 that stability is now-- 1037 00:47:17,737 --> 00:47:19,320 GARY GENSLER: So is your thought being 1038 00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:22,680 that if it really grew and it was accepted 1039 00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:26,250 in commerce that maybe it wouldn't 1040 00:47:26,250 --> 00:47:28,830 have to be tethered to the Fiat currency, 1041 00:47:28,830 --> 00:47:30,960 it would then become-- 1042 00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:32,280 trust the trusted? 1043 00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:35,970 The way that the paper currency became trusted. 1044 00:47:35,970 --> 00:47:39,910 And Richard Nixon in 1971 could say, 1045 00:47:39,910 --> 00:47:43,400 we're no longer going to follow Bretton Woods. 1046 00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:47,210 Or in 1933 when FDR and our country said, 1047 00:47:47,210 --> 00:47:49,110 we're going off the gold standard. 1048 00:47:49,110 --> 00:47:50,693 STUDENT: With that, you would probably 1049 00:47:50,693 --> 00:47:54,770 need to create some kind of central authority that manages 1050 00:47:54,770 --> 00:47:57,092 monetary policy [INAUDIBLE]. 1051 00:47:57,092 --> 00:47:59,300 GARY GENSLER: I think you raise an interesting point. 1052 00:47:59,300 --> 00:48:04,610 I think we're well, well before that. 1053 00:48:04,610 --> 00:48:07,010 I think right now, though, the interesting thing 1054 00:48:07,010 --> 00:48:11,060 is there's a lot of entrepreneurial activity 1055 00:48:11,060 --> 00:48:14,740 in stable value tokens. 1056 00:48:14,740 --> 00:48:17,710 My observation is one of the leading reasons 1057 00:48:17,710 --> 00:48:19,540 was stated right here. 1058 00:48:19,540 --> 00:48:21,970 In the crypto exchange markets, which 1059 00:48:21,970 --> 00:48:24,820 we'll talk about next Tuesday, in the crypto exchange markets, 1060 00:48:24,820 --> 00:48:27,280 a lot of people want to go and trade 1061 00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:31,380 crypto to crypto and not crypto to Fiat. 1062 00:48:31,380 --> 00:48:34,120 And what are some of the regulatory or economic reasons 1063 00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:37,220 they don't want to trade crypto to Fiat? 1064 00:48:37,220 --> 00:48:38,380 Tom? 1065 00:48:38,380 --> 00:48:39,160 Taxes? 1066 00:48:39,160 --> 00:48:39,850 Anything else? 1067 00:48:42,349 --> 00:48:44,266 That's another big thing that the government-- 1068 00:48:44,266 --> 00:48:45,943 STUDENT: It could potentially be traced. 1069 00:48:45,943 --> 00:48:47,360 GARY GENSLER: It could potentially 1070 00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:50,740 be maybe more readily traced. 1071 00:48:50,740 --> 00:48:52,360 STUDENT: KYC and AML. 1072 00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:53,480 GARY GENSLER: So KYC. 1073 00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:55,865 You want to remind the class what those letters mean? 1074 00:48:55,865 --> 00:48:58,308 STUDENT: Know Your Customer and Anti Money Laundering. 1075 00:48:58,308 --> 00:49:02,710 GARY GENSLER: So there's a whole regime around the world-- 1076 00:49:02,710 --> 00:49:04,750 in the US, it's called the Bank Secrecy Act-- 1077 00:49:04,750 --> 00:49:06,550 but around the world about knowing 1078 00:49:06,550 --> 00:49:12,460 one's customer, tracking anti money laundering and so forth. 1079 00:49:12,460 --> 00:49:16,440 One of the dominant things in crypto that's going on-- 1080 00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:20,160 maybe mistakenly, maybe just because it's an early stage-- 1081 00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:22,980 is that some people who have crypto assets feel, 1082 00:49:22,980 --> 00:49:25,900 I don't want to trade that for a Fiat asset. 1083 00:49:25,900 --> 00:49:29,130 I don't want to trade it to euros or dollars or yen. 1084 00:49:29,130 --> 00:49:33,120 Because then, it's more likely the official sector 1085 00:49:33,120 --> 00:49:34,695 can track me for taxes. 1086 00:49:37,250 --> 00:49:40,650 I think there is a false notion that if I sell something crypto 1087 00:49:40,650 --> 00:49:42,740 and I buy something else crypto, I 1088 00:49:42,740 --> 00:49:46,700 do not have to report my gains or losses in my taxes. 1089 00:49:46,700 --> 00:49:49,625 Now the US has clarified that you do. 1090 00:49:49,625 --> 00:49:51,500 But for a couple of years, people were going, 1091 00:49:51,500 --> 00:49:55,868 well, maybe it's just what's called a like kind exchange, 1092 00:49:55,868 --> 00:49:57,410 like selling one piece of real estate 1093 00:49:57,410 --> 00:49:58,970 for another piece of real estate. 1094 00:49:58,970 --> 00:50:02,750 By the way, if you sold gold and bought silver-- 1095 00:50:02,750 --> 00:50:06,980 gold for silver, that was not a like kind exchange under US tax 1096 00:50:06,980 --> 00:50:08,060 law. 1097 00:50:08,060 --> 00:50:11,120 But they were tax advisors going around saying, well, there's 1098 00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:12,935 some ambiguity. 1099 00:50:12,935 --> 00:50:14,810 Maybe you don't need to pay your taxes if you 1100 00:50:14,810 --> 00:50:17,230 went from Bitcoin to ether. 1101 00:50:17,230 --> 00:50:20,590 The tax bill that was passed in December, that's called 1102 00:50:20,590 --> 00:50:24,697 the Trump tax bill, that closed that window. 1103 00:50:24,697 --> 00:50:26,030 One of the few things it closed. 1104 00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:34,170 But I think because of illicit activity, because of taxes, 1105 00:50:34,170 --> 00:50:36,440 there's still a lot of people that would say, 1106 00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:38,000 I'd just rather go crypto to crypto. 1107 00:50:38,000 --> 00:50:40,220 But there's one other thing, the reason 1108 00:50:40,220 --> 00:50:43,040 why people might want a stable value token about the payment 1109 00:50:43,040 --> 00:50:43,550 system. 1110 00:50:43,550 --> 00:50:47,150 We talked about it last week. 1111 00:50:47,150 --> 00:50:47,960 Do I see a hand up? 1112 00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:49,035 Are you going to help me out? 1113 00:50:49,035 --> 00:50:50,660 STUDENT: I was going to say, it's quick 1114 00:50:50,660 --> 00:50:52,222 and it's very cost efficient. 1115 00:50:52,222 --> 00:50:54,680 GARY GENSLER: So it's quick and it might be cost efficient. 1116 00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:56,660 We talked about-- and I had a chart 1117 00:50:56,660 --> 00:50:59,420 about using crypto as a bridge currency 1118 00:50:59,420 --> 00:51:02,120 to move cross-border payments. 1119 00:51:02,120 --> 00:51:05,720 If you're moving from US dollars to Mexican peso, 1120 00:51:05,720 --> 00:51:09,410 that can take 2, 3, 4 days in correspondent banking 1121 00:51:09,410 --> 00:51:11,120 systems and the like. 1122 00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:12,920 But what if you use from US dollars 1123 00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:16,490 to crypto to Mexican peso? 1124 00:51:16,490 --> 00:51:19,520 Very legitimate use case that can 1125 00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:22,310 lower your cross-border payment down 1126 00:51:22,310 --> 00:51:25,040 to seconds rather than days. 1127 00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:28,340 Very legitimate use case that may be stable value tokens 1128 00:51:28,340 --> 00:51:30,410 would be a good use case. 1129 00:51:30,410 --> 00:51:34,070 So again, if anybody's interested 1130 00:51:34,070 --> 00:51:38,150 in the different design characteristics, 1131 00:51:38,150 --> 00:51:41,390 it's interesting, there's a professor over at Harvard 1132 00:51:41,390 --> 00:51:42,295 that came to see. 1133 00:51:42,295 --> 00:51:44,420 He teaches Harvard Business School, came to see me, 1134 00:51:44,420 --> 00:51:47,930 that he's creating a non collateralized seigniorage 1135 00:51:47,930 --> 00:51:50,030 based stable value token. 1136 00:51:50,030 --> 00:51:52,040 So just even here in Cambridge there's 1137 00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:55,430 a bunch of people looking at trying to create things and do 1138 00:51:55,430 --> 00:51:58,988 things, and a lot of energy. 1139 00:51:58,988 --> 00:52:01,280 They're always asking me, what's a real blockchain use? 1140 00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:03,170 Some of it's just in this area. 1141 00:52:03,170 --> 00:52:04,820 Hugo, and then we'll move on. 1142 00:52:04,820 --> 00:52:06,110 STUDENT: One other thing that with a couple 1143 00:52:06,110 --> 00:52:08,410 of the Fiat collateralized ones that you don't have up 1144 00:52:08,410 --> 00:52:09,100 on there. 1145 00:52:09,100 --> 00:52:12,320 So like Gemini, the exchange recently created one, 1146 00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:15,590 and Circle created one that Coinbase adopted. 1147 00:52:15,590 --> 00:52:17,910 And those are both on top of Ethereum. 1148 00:52:17,910 --> 00:52:20,000 And I think actually-- at least with Gemini. 1149 00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:22,670 I'm not positive about that Circle one. 1150 00:52:22,670 --> 00:52:28,040 Coded into the smart contract is the ability to freeze tokens. 1151 00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:32,690 So you could say that's an AML type of thing, right? 1152 00:52:32,690 --> 00:52:38,600 If I see something weird with transactions with GUSD, 1153 00:52:38,600 --> 00:52:41,945 then they could actually stop and seize tokens. 1154 00:52:41,945 --> 00:52:43,820 GARY GENSLER: So what's the mood of the class 1155 00:52:43,820 --> 00:52:47,180 around stable value tokens that can be frozen right 1156 00:52:47,180 --> 00:52:48,440 in the smart contract? 1157 00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:52,220 Does that seem in the spirit of Satoshi Nakamoto? 1158 00:52:52,220 --> 00:52:53,360 What's that Hugo? 1159 00:52:53,360 --> 00:52:53,920 No? 1160 00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:54,420 Ross? 1161 00:52:54,420 --> 00:52:55,760 STUDENT: I have a question. 1162 00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:56,290 Who's they? 1163 00:52:57,350 --> 00:53:00,650 STUDENT: Gemini, whoever wrote the smart contract. 1164 00:53:00,650 --> 00:53:02,820 GARY GENSLER: Whoever controls the smart contract. 1165 00:53:02,820 --> 00:53:05,780 In that case, that would be a crypto exchange 1166 00:53:05,780 --> 00:53:07,912 run by-- who's Gemini run by? 1167 00:53:07,912 --> 00:53:09,120 STUDENT: Winklevoss brothers. 1168 00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:11,990 GARY GENSLER: A couple of identical twins. 1169 00:53:11,990 --> 00:53:13,070 Not the Genslers. 1170 00:53:15,940 --> 00:53:18,290 Well, the Genslers weren't in the movie 1171 00:53:18,290 --> 00:53:21,920 and didn't make a lot of money on crypto. 1172 00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,835 The Winklevoss twins, by the way, who were at the-- 1173 00:53:24,835 --> 00:53:28,290 the wonderful story with Mark Zuckerberg at Harvard, 1174 00:53:28,290 --> 00:53:29,990 if you remember the Winklevoss twins, 1175 00:53:29,990 --> 00:53:33,200 and they're rowing, part of a rowing elite, 1176 00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:37,070 too, have made a lot of money in crypto. 1177 00:53:37,070 --> 00:53:41,460 And we'll talk a little bit about them next Tuesday. 1178 00:53:41,460 --> 00:53:44,990 So then central banks and cryptocurrencies. 1179 00:53:44,990 --> 00:53:47,390 There was-- we talked about this the other day. 1180 00:53:47,390 --> 00:53:49,820 There's four things they're really doing. 1181 00:53:49,820 --> 00:53:52,400 They're monitoring and studying. 1182 00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:56,060 Some are restricting the use, like the Central Bank of China, 1183 00:53:56,060 --> 00:53:59,120 some are trying to do payment system experimentation. 1184 00:53:59,120 --> 00:54:02,000 We talked about Singapore and Canada. 1185 00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,430 Those are real blockchain initiatives, 1186 00:54:04,430 --> 00:54:06,350 the payment systems. 1187 00:54:06,350 --> 00:54:09,950 School's still out as to whether they need to use the blockchain 1188 00:54:09,950 --> 00:54:11,730 technology. 1189 00:54:11,730 --> 00:54:14,250 But they are seriously leaning in, particularly 1190 00:54:14,250 --> 00:54:16,380 in Singapore and Canada, saying there 1191 00:54:16,380 --> 00:54:18,270 might be a more resilient payment 1192 00:54:18,270 --> 00:54:21,870 system if we use a decentralized distributed blockchain 1193 00:54:21,870 --> 00:54:29,000 technology based on Quorum or Quarta or Hyperledger Fabric. 1194 00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:32,310 I think we're a few years away from them sort of coming-- 1195 00:54:32,310 --> 00:54:33,670 is there enough there? 1196 00:54:33,670 --> 00:54:35,900 Enough there there that it would be better 1197 00:54:35,900 --> 00:54:37,220 than traditional databases? 1198 00:54:37,220 --> 00:54:39,890 But they are definitely putting a lot of energy-- 1199 00:54:39,890 --> 00:54:43,880 and even the European Central Bank, with the Bank of Japan, 1200 00:54:43,880 --> 00:54:47,000 has an initiative as well. 1201 00:54:47,000 --> 00:54:49,700 But in the fourth category, central bank digital currency 1202 00:54:49,700 --> 00:54:51,350 initiatives, I caution everybody. 1203 00:54:51,350 --> 00:54:54,120 You don't necessarily need to use blockchain technology. 1204 00:54:54,120 --> 00:54:56,120 This is the part of the course to say, 1205 00:54:56,120 --> 00:54:58,280 this is something clearly inspired 1206 00:54:58,280 --> 00:55:03,380 by Satoshi Nakamoto's innovation and inspired by stable value 1207 00:55:03,380 --> 00:55:05,730 tokens. 1208 00:55:05,730 --> 00:55:08,700 But when we talk about the bank of Sweden's initiative 1209 00:55:08,700 --> 00:55:10,200 and some of these other initiatives, 1210 00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:12,060 you'll find that, to my knowledge, 1211 00:55:12,060 --> 00:55:15,478 they're not built on blockchain technology. 1212 00:55:15,478 --> 00:55:17,520 That doesn't mean they couldn't be in the future, 1213 00:55:17,520 --> 00:55:19,530 but I think they're important, because they're 1214 00:55:19,530 --> 00:55:22,260 really important to blockchain and money 1215 00:55:22,260 --> 00:55:26,070 and how central banks are thinking about this area 1216 00:55:26,070 --> 00:55:28,780 right now, 1217 00:55:28,780 --> 00:55:32,750 We talked about this last week, the first wave of payments 1218 00:55:32,750 --> 00:55:34,050 were all on Ethereum. 1219 00:55:34,050 --> 00:55:37,090 And as I said, they've moved on from Ethereum. 1220 00:55:37,090 --> 00:55:40,540 And the second wave of the payment system initiatives 1221 00:55:40,540 --> 00:55:43,060 are all permission blockchains. 1222 00:55:43,060 --> 00:55:45,850 And now they're looking at a third wave. 1223 00:55:45,850 --> 00:55:48,670 If there's further questions about how central banks are 1224 00:55:48,670 --> 00:55:51,100 looking, I'll take them now, or we'll 1225 00:55:51,100 --> 00:55:55,510 go on to the central bank digital currencies. 1226 00:55:55,510 --> 00:55:56,310 Please. 1227 00:55:56,310 --> 00:55:57,977 STUDENT: What do central banks currently 1228 00:55:57,977 --> 00:55:59,668 use to manage whose deposits are whose? 1229 00:55:59,668 --> 00:56:00,710 GARY GENSLER: Whose what? 1230 00:56:00,710 --> 00:56:03,300 STUDENT: Like if it's Morgan Stanley's deposits or Goldman 1231 00:56:03,300 --> 00:56:05,800 Sachs' deposits, when they exchange deposits 1232 00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:08,730 within the central bank, what do they currently use to manage-- 1233 00:56:08,730 --> 00:56:12,450 GARY GENSLER: They use various forms of traditional databases, 1234 00:56:12,450 --> 00:56:15,240 and I'm not going to pretend that I know exactly 1235 00:56:15,240 --> 00:56:16,740 each of those databases. 1236 00:56:16,740 --> 00:56:20,520 But usually, for interbank money, 1237 00:56:20,520 --> 00:56:23,940 as you've talked about Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs, 1238 00:56:23,940 --> 00:56:27,120 they would call it the Real Time Gross Settlement System, 1239 00:56:27,120 --> 00:56:29,020 RTGS system. 1240 00:56:29,020 --> 00:56:32,670 But the actual underlying database structure 1241 00:56:32,670 --> 00:56:35,520 frankly probably goes back to batch processing. 1242 00:56:35,520 --> 00:56:37,560 Most of them are still batch processing. 1243 00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:41,220 In the US, I think we'll roll out a faster payment 1244 00:56:41,220 --> 00:56:45,530 structure in 2020. 1245 00:56:45,530 --> 00:56:48,410 And Sriham who was visiting with us, 1246 00:56:48,410 --> 00:56:52,370 was on a whole big advisory group to the Federal Reserve 1247 00:56:52,370 --> 00:56:53,430 to do that. 1248 00:56:53,430 --> 00:56:56,210 Does that help a little bit? 1249 00:56:56,210 --> 00:56:59,060 But the question really is, could blockchain technology 1250 00:56:59,060 --> 00:57:02,180 inspire the next generation for the mid 2020s 1251 00:57:02,180 --> 00:57:04,010 for any of these countries? 1252 00:57:04,010 --> 00:57:07,310 To have 24 hour, seven days a week, 1253 00:57:07,310 --> 00:57:10,430 but also no one central place where 1254 00:57:10,430 --> 00:57:13,820 the ledger is kept, with multiple parties sharing 1255 00:57:13,820 --> 00:57:15,480 the ledger. 1256 00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:16,983 And as Alin said, but wait a minute, 1257 00:57:16,983 --> 00:57:18,400 wouldn't a central bank still want 1258 00:57:18,400 --> 00:57:21,440 to have authority over the protocol? 1259 00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:24,730 The protocol amongst 20 or 50 banks. 1260 00:57:24,730 --> 00:57:27,970 And the answer is probably yes, but they're 1261 00:57:27,970 --> 00:57:30,640 trying to explore what's the most resilient system. 1262 00:57:33,170 --> 00:57:36,020 So central bank digital currencies. 1263 00:57:36,020 --> 00:57:38,720 Central banks, of course, already issue digital reserves. 1264 00:57:38,720 --> 00:57:40,550 So the real question is this. 1265 00:57:40,550 --> 00:57:43,550 Should access be given to others? 1266 00:57:43,550 --> 00:57:47,400 Should it be expanded to the retail public? 1267 00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:49,882 And so these were the ones we chatted about. 1268 00:57:49,882 --> 00:57:51,840 And we're just going to go through four of them 1269 00:57:51,840 --> 00:57:54,660 quickly just to say-- 1270 00:57:54,660 --> 00:57:59,820 you had a little reading on each of Ecuador, Senegal, Sweden 1271 00:57:59,820 --> 00:58:03,570 and the Philippines. 1272 00:58:03,570 --> 00:58:06,900 These are the opportunities that the central bankers even 1273 00:58:06,900 --> 00:58:09,300 talk about. 1274 00:58:09,300 --> 00:58:11,460 Basically, in Sweden's perspective, 1275 00:58:11,460 --> 00:58:13,860 they want to stay in the business of providing 1276 00:58:13,860 --> 00:58:16,160 a means of payment. 1277 00:58:16,160 --> 00:58:19,520 And the krona is so barely used. 1278 00:58:19,520 --> 00:58:22,466 Nobody's here from Scandinavia? 1279 00:58:22,466 --> 00:58:24,440 No. 1280 00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:27,750 The krona is so barely used they want to keep 1281 00:58:27,750 --> 00:58:31,690 it having some influence. 1282 00:58:31,690 --> 00:58:35,070 I'm trying to think if I put that chart in. 1283 00:58:35,070 --> 00:58:37,110 I'm going to skip over a couple of things. 1284 00:58:37,110 --> 00:58:40,080 No, I didn't put the chart in, so I apologize. 1285 00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:43,140 So what challenges do you think are really there 1286 00:58:43,140 --> 00:58:44,670 from our readings? 1287 00:58:44,670 --> 00:58:46,620 Which of these challenges do you think scares 1288 00:58:46,620 --> 00:58:49,810 the central banks the most? 1289 00:58:49,810 --> 00:58:51,340 Is it financial stability? 1290 00:58:51,340 --> 00:58:55,630 Is it changing the credit intermediation of banks? 1291 00:58:55,630 --> 00:58:56,905 Is it monetary policy? 1292 00:58:56,905 --> 00:58:59,750 Is it a payment structure? 1293 00:58:59,750 --> 00:59:01,370 Or is it all of the above? 1294 00:59:01,370 --> 00:59:02,452 Alin. 1295 00:59:02,452 --> 00:59:04,273 STUDENT: I guess financial stability. 1296 00:59:04,273 --> 00:59:05,690 GARY GENSLER: Financial stability. 1297 00:59:05,690 --> 00:59:07,400 Basically, a run on the banks. 1298 00:59:12,078 --> 00:59:12,620 I don't know. 1299 00:59:12,620 --> 00:59:14,660 I would say that in my conversations-- 1300 00:59:14,660 --> 00:59:16,520 and Robleh Ali has many more of them. 1301 00:59:16,520 --> 00:59:19,340 But my conversations with central bankers, 1302 00:59:19,340 --> 00:59:22,970 it's a mixture of the first one-- the one Alin did say. 1303 00:59:22,970 --> 00:59:26,660 And then, basically the third one. 1304 00:59:26,660 --> 00:59:28,340 Credit allocation. 1305 00:59:28,340 --> 00:59:32,360 That they feel like if we insert the central bank more directly 1306 00:59:32,360 --> 00:59:36,250 into taking retail deposits, are we 1307 00:59:36,250 --> 00:59:38,270 going to be inserting the central bank more 1308 00:59:38,270 --> 00:59:40,820 into credit allocation? 1309 00:59:40,820 --> 00:59:45,580 Or in essence, if we shrink the need for commercial banks, 1310 00:59:45,580 --> 00:59:48,650 are we somehow shrinking the credit allocation 1311 00:59:48,650 --> 00:59:50,890 in the economy? 1312 00:59:50,890 --> 00:59:53,340 So in normal times, they worry, in essence, 1313 00:59:53,340 --> 00:59:56,580 about credit and the extension of credit. 1314 00:59:56,580 --> 00:59:59,340 And in crisis, they worry about being-- 1315 00:59:59,340 --> 01:00:03,310 that it would destabilize the system. 1316 01:00:03,310 --> 01:00:07,000 That's been my experience talking just in these eight 1317 01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:09,530 months to central bankers. 1318 01:00:09,530 --> 01:00:10,030 Isaac? 1319 01:00:10,030 --> 01:00:12,730 STUDENT: The central bank is taking the deposits, rather 1320 01:00:12,730 --> 01:00:14,410 than the commercial bank. 1321 01:00:14,410 --> 01:00:17,020 Wouldn't that just be reflected in a change of the interest 1322 01:00:17,020 --> 01:00:17,520 rate? 1323 01:00:17,520 --> 01:00:19,812 Because they would have the underlying funds. 1324 01:00:19,812 --> 01:00:21,520 And so that might just flow back through. 1325 01:00:21,520 --> 01:00:23,890 When the central bank is determining the federal funds 1326 01:00:23,890 --> 01:00:25,093 rate, it would be adjusted. 1327 01:00:25,093 --> 01:00:27,760 And so corporate borrowers would be able to borrow [INAUDIBLE].. 1328 01:00:27,760 --> 01:00:29,080 GARY GENSLER: So what Isaac is saying is, 1329 01:00:29,080 --> 01:00:31,300 couldn't you just address this as a central bank 1330 01:00:31,300 --> 01:00:34,930 through interest rate policy and some differential interest rate 1331 01:00:34,930 --> 01:00:37,410 and the pricing of money? 1332 01:00:37,410 --> 01:00:40,700 And I think some would contend you could. 1333 01:00:40,700 --> 01:00:41,920 But on the other side-- 1334 01:00:41,920 --> 01:00:43,420 anybody want to take the other side? 1335 01:00:46,150 --> 01:00:49,510 The question really is is, does the central bank 1336 01:00:49,510 --> 01:00:50,695 want to start making loans? 1337 01:00:53,320 --> 01:00:55,780 Now the US central bank has a $4.5 trillion 1338 01:00:55,780 --> 01:00:58,150 balance sheet, as we talked about two days ago, 1339 01:00:58,150 --> 01:01:00,380 and owns about $2-- 1340 01:01:00,380 --> 01:01:04,780 a little less than $2 trillion, $1.5 trillion of mortgages. 1341 01:01:04,780 --> 01:01:06,820 So in a sense, the central bank is already 1342 01:01:06,820 --> 01:01:09,070 making a credit decision. 1343 01:01:09,070 --> 01:01:11,840 They're lending to the mortgage market. 1344 01:01:11,840 --> 01:01:14,340 But the question is, do you want to go even further and have 1345 01:01:14,340 --> 01:01:18,060 the central bank picking individual companies 1346 01:01:18,060 --> 01:01:21,180 or individual homeowners to lend to? 1347 01:01:21,180 --> 01:01:26,040 And that's what-- if it got to any scale or size, 1348 01:01:26,040 --> 01:01:27,050 they talk about. 1349 01:01:27,050 --> 01:01:29,780 Of course, they could just lend to the commercial bank system, 1350 01:01:29,780 --> 01:01:32,708 and then the public would be lending to the central bank, 1351 01:01:32,708 --> 01:01:34,250 and the central bank would be lending 1352 01:01:34,250 --> 01:01:37,180 to the commercial banks. 1353 01:01:37,180 --> 01:01:40,605 So the design considerations-- and we didn't talk about these. 1354 01:01:40,605 --> 01:01:43,380 These eight design considerations 1355 01:01:43,380 --> 01:01:45,000 are all in the loop. 1356 01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:46,140 Does everybody get it? 1357 01:01:46,140 --> 01:01:47,280 Only a few people get it. 1358 01:01:47,280 --> 01:01:52,080 It's a token or account and so forth. 1359 01:01:52,080 --> 01:01:54,390 This little money flower that Garrett 1360 01:01:54,390 --> 01:01:56,700 has put out there-- and central banks 1361 01:01:56,700 --> 01:01:58,025 talk about the money flower. 1362 01:02:00,980 --> 01:02:03,180 Where is Bitcoin on this? 1363 01:02:03,180 --> 01:02:04,843 Who wants to tell me where Bitcoin is? 1364 01:02:04,843 --> 01:02:06,260 We'll bring it back to blockchain. 1365 01:02:09,960 --> 01:02:11,460 Eilon. 1366 01:02:11,460 --> 01:02:13,988 STUDENT: Private digital tokens, wholesale only. 1367 01:02:13,988 --> 01:02:15,030 GARY GENSLER: Wait, wait. 1368 01:02:15,030 --> 01:02:16,690 So where am I pointing? 1369 01:02:16,690 --> 01:02:18,040 STUDENT: Blue and orange. 1370 01:02:18,040 --> 01:02:19,450 GARY GENSLER: Blue and orange. 1371 01:02:19,450 --> 01:02:20,790 Oh, it's written there. 1372 01:02:20,790 --> 01:02:22,690 You mean right there. 1373 01:02:22,690 --> 01:02:25,045 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] without the red. 1374 01:02:25,045 --> 01:02:26,860 GARY GENSLER: Without the red, right here. 1375 01:02:26,860 --> 01:02:29,680 Private digital tokens, wholesale only? 1376 01:02:29,680 --> 01:02:31,010 No. 1377 01:02:31,010 --> 01:02:35,200 [INTERPOSING VOICES] 1378 01:02:35,200 --> 01:02:37,610 GARY GENSLER: Tell me where you want me to point. 1379 01:02:37,610 --> 01:02:41,760 So you're saying it's orange and what? 1380 01:02:41,760 --> 01:02:43,192 And blue. 1381 01:02:43,192 --> 01:02:45,530 [INTERPOSING VOICES] 1382 01:02:48,990 --> 01:02:51,530 GARY GENSLER: It is widely acceptable. 1383 01:02:51,530 --> 01:02:56,870 Bitcoin's widely accessible, meaning anybody can get it. 1384 01:02:56,870 --> 01:02:59,060 [INTERPOSING VOICES] 1385 01:03:01,095 --> 01:03:03,435 GARY GENSLER: I would say you can put any form of money 1386 01:03:03,435 --> 01:03:04,810 into one of these little blocks-- 1387 01:03:08,030 --> 01:03:10,910 government backed and not government backed. 1388 01:03:10,910 --> 01:03:12,380 Where is stable value tokens? 1389 01:03:14,808 --> 01:03:15,350 Look at this. 1390 01:03:15,350 --> 01:03:17,612 You're the closest, and I can't remember your name. 1391 01:03:17,612 --> 01:03:18,320 STUDENT: Connery. 1392 01:03:18,320 --> 01:03:21,500 GARY GENSLER: Connery, where's stable value tokens? 1393 01:03:21,500 --> 01:03:22,795 It's not central bank issued. 1394 01:03:22,795 --> 01:03:23,670 I'll give you a hint. 1395 01:03:23,670 --> 01:03:24,780 So it's not in the green. 1396 01:03:30,040 --> 01:03:31,966 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] private digital? 1397 01:03:31,966 --> 01:03:32,758 GARY GENSLER: Yeah. 1398 01:03:32,758 --> 01:03:34,110 It's private digital tokens. 1399 01:03:34,110 --> 01:03:35,610 You could make it wholesale only, 1400 01:03:35,610 --> 01:03:40,460 or you can make it widely accessible like this. 1401 01:03:40,460 --> 01:03:43,470 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] but they can be, and most of them are, 1402 01:03:43,470 --> 01:03:48,280 central issued even if it's not central bank. 1403 01:03:48,280 --> 01:03:52,603 I mean, I guess it depends on how you define central bank. 1404 01:03:52,603 --> 01:03:54,020 It's not a sovereign central bank, 1405 01:03:54,020 --> 01:03:57,840 but it's one entity that issues a token that's 1406 01:03:57,840 --> 01:03:59,100 tethered to the US dollar. 1407 01:03:59,100 --> 01:04:01,300 It holds the US dollar. 1408 01:04:01,300 --> 01:04:04,100 GARY GENSLER: So I think it's an excellent point. 1409 01:04:04,100 --> 01:04:10,220 A stable value token that is backed by a Fiat currency 1410 01:04:10,220 --> 01:04:12,620 is not central bank issue. 1411 01:04:12,620 --> 01:04:15,170 I would say that it's not in the light green. 1412 01:04:15,170 --> 01:04:20,750 But it's highly dependent on the central bank. 1413 01:04:20,750 --> 01:04:24,290 It's highly dependent on putting deposits in commercial banks. 1414 01:04:24,290 --> 01:04:28,910 Tether, which purports to be a little over two $2, 1415 01:04:28,910 --> 01:04:33,110 $2.5 billion crypto which is all backed by US dollars, 1416 01:04:33,110 --> 01:04:35,960 at one point in time last year, they 1417 01:04:35,960 --> 01:04:39,050 lost some of their commercial bank accounts. 1418 01:04:39,050 --> 01:04:42,650 Meaning the commercial banks would not take their dollars. 1419 01:04:42,650 --> 01:04:45,350 The commercial banks in many countries said, forget it, 1420 01:04:45,350 --> 01:04:48,110 I can't have you as a customer, I 1421 01:04:48,110 --> 01:04:51,720 can't follow you for any money laundering and otherwise. 1422 01:04:51,720 --> 01:04:55,550 And so in essence, you are highly dependent, 1423 01:04:55,550 --> 01:04:59,570 if you're a custodial stable value, on the central bank. 1424 01:04:59,570 --> 01:05:00,480 I agree with that. 1425 01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:03,110 But I think you're not not central bank. 1426 01:05:03,110 --> 01:05:04,455 [INAUDIBLE] a little-- 1427 01:05:04,955 --> 01:05:06,260 STUDENT: It's just central. 1428 01:05:06,260 --> 01:05:07,427 GARY GENSLER: It is central. 1429 01:05:07,427 --> 01:05:09,160 Right. 1430 01:05:09,160 --> 01:05:11,390 So there's a lot of paradoxes and irony 1431 01:05:11,390 --> 01:05:14,600 in the blockchain crypto space as to how centralized something 1432 01:05:14,600 --> 01:05:16,160 it is and how decentralized. 1433 01:05:16,160 --> 01:05:21,200 And from Satoshi Nakamoto is a very decentralized way. 1434 01:05:21,200 --> 01:05:22,760 So we're going back to these. 1435 01:05:22,760 --> 01:05:23,495 And so Ecuador. 1436 01:05:26,870 --> 01:05:28,520 Anybody read the Ecuador thing? 1437 01:05:28,520 --> 01:05:31,240 Want to tell us a little bit about-- 1438 01:05:31,240 --> 01:05:33,040 Leonardo? 1439 01:05:33,040 --> 01:05:37,250 STUDENT: Well, I think it was a story of failure. 1440 01:05:37,250 --> 01:05:39,462 GARY GENSLER: A story of failure. 1441 01:05:39,462 --> 01:05:43,150 STUDENT: Because [INAUDIBLE] issue the [INAUDIBLE] money. 1442 01:05:43,150 --> 01:05:46,030 It was backed by the central bank. 1443 01:05:46,030 --> 01:05:48,460 But the central bank had no credibility or trust 1444 01:05:48,460 --> 01:05:49,870 from the users. 1445 01:05:49,870 --> 01:05:51,760 So it never took off. 1446 01:05:51,760 --> 01:05:56,050 So the government of Ecuador had just defaulted a few years 1447 01:05:56,050 --> 01:05:57,720 before they launched this. 1448 01:05:57,720 --> 01:05:59,740 The economy was [INAUDIBLE]. 1449 01:05:59,740 --> 01:06:02,080 So they issued something where people didn't really 1450 01:06:02,080 --> 01:06:06,840 know whether it would still be there within a few years. 1451 01:06:06,840 --> 01:06:09,130 The usage was extremely disappointing 1452 01:06:09,130 --> 01:06:12,030 compared with the initial expectations. 1453 01:06:12,030 --> 01:06:14,440 STUDENT: But another interesting point in that article 1454 01:06:14,440 --> 01:06:17,050 was that financial institutions were not 1455 01:06:17,050 --> 01:06:19,420 obliged to use it whatsoever. 1456 01:06:19,420 --> 01:06:21,820 And I sort of wonder if there had 1457 01:06:21,820 --> 01:06:27,010 been a minimum level of balance sheets at these institutions, 1458 01:06:27,010 --> 01:06:29,500 where they were required to have a minimum level 1459 01:06:29,500 --> 01:06:34,450 of the cryptocurrency, could that 1460 01:06:34,450 --> 01:06:36,408 have helped it a little bit? 1461 01:06:36,408 --> 01:06:36,950 I don't know. 1462 01:06:39,508 --> 01:06:41,050 STUDENT: That's [INAUDIBLE] they also 1463 01:06:41,050 --> 01:06:42,730 failed to manage expectations. 1464 01:06:42,730 --> 01:06:45,280 Because even in the first year, what they 1465 01:06:45,280 --> 01:06:47,440 are saying, what they are claiming is, 1466 01:06:47,440 --> 01:06:51,710 there are going to be 500,000 users or something. 1467 01:06:51,710 --> 01:06:57,310 [INAUDIBLE] turns out just 5,000 accounts or users came up. 1468 01:06:57,310 --> 01:07:02,650 So it's a great story of failure. 1469 01:07:02,650 --> 01:07:03,760 [INAUDIBLE] 1470 01:07:03,760 --> 01:07:07,990 STUDENT: Bitcoin was also these matching benefits and costs 1471 01:07:07,990 --> 01:07:09,650 that were associated with the project. 1472 01:07:09,650 --> 01:07:14,360 They kind of [INAUDIBLE] calculations were made. 1473 01:07:14,360 --> 01:07:16,540 The benefits were less than $1 million 1474 01:07:16,540 --> 01:07:21,100 compared to almost $7 million [INAUDIBLE] 1475 01:07:21,100 --> 01:07:23,450 From the start, from the outset, the design 1476 01:07:23,450 --> 01:07:26,112 wasn't conceived in an appropriate manner. 1477 01:07:26,112 --> 01:07:27,820 GARY GENSLER: And again, this is somewhat 1478 01:07:27,820 --> 01:07:32,610 inspired by crypto finance. 1479 01:07:32,610 --> 01:07:36,355 No blockchain technology involved in it. 1480 01:07:36,355 --> 01:07:38,730 Which, by the way, is going to be true for the next three 1481 01:07:38,730 --> 01:07:40,290 examples as well. 1482 01:07:40,290 --> 01:07:41,220 But it's relevant. 1483 01:07:41,220 --> 01:07:43,680 This is sort of also inspired by initiatives 1484 01:07:43,680 --> 01:07:45,360 like [INAUDIBLE] and so forth. 1485 01:07:45,360 --> 01:07:48,052 It's like, how do we get more inclusion and use dollars? 1486 01:07:48,052 --> 01:07:49,260 Kelly, and then we'll go to-- 1487 01:07:49,760 --> 01:07:52,680 STUDENT: I just feel like it was less of a-- 1488 01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:54,330 I feel like it was less of an attempt 1489 01:07:54,330 --> 01:07:57,300 to take some new digital currency initiative 1490 01:07:57,300 --> 01:08:00,450 and more of an attempt to make profits. 1491 01:08:00,450 --> 01:08:03,720 Because they said that basically the state 1492 01:08:03,720 --> 01:08:05,430 had a monopoly on this. 1493 01:08:05,430 --> 01:08:10,260 And as Leonardo mentioned, there was previously hyper inflation. 1494 01:08:10,260 --> 01:08:12,980 So once they discovered that it wasn't really getting 1495 01:08:12,980 --> 01:08:15,308 them the profits they wanted [INAUDIBLE] 1496 01:08:15,308 --> 01:08:16,350 GARY GENSLER: [INAUDIBLE] 1497 01:08:16,350 --> 01:08:16,975 STUDENT: Right. 1498 01:08:16,975 --> 01:08:19,260 So I'm sort of wondering-- 1499 01:08:19,260 --> 01:08:20,819 the motivation I don't really think 1500 01:08:20,819 --> 01:08:24,062 was to do a proper job on the technology side. 1501 01:08:24,062 --> 01:08:27,502 GARY GENSLER: And you're probably right about that. 1502 01:08:27,502 --> 01:08:28,960 One good thing that came out of it, 1503 01:08:28,960 --> 01:08:31,470 they finally sort of admitted that they shouldn't maybe 1504 01:08:31,470 --> 01:08:34,800 be in the monopoly, and they let-- mobile phone payment 1505 01:08:34,800 --> 01:08:37,979 alternatives were authorized for the phone companies. 1506 01:08:37,979 --> 01:08:39,779 But I'm not close enough to Ecuador to know 1507 01:08:39,779 --> 01:08:42,210 whether that was really done. 1508 01:08:42,210 --> 01:08:44,250 Maybe it's now just a duopoly of a couple 1509 01:08:44,250 --> 01:08:45,479 of phone companies doing it. 1510 01:08:45,479 --> 01:08:48,810 So they might have just shifted some economic rents 1511 01:08:48,810 --> 01:08:51,990 from the government to a couple of major companies 1512 01:08:51,990 --> 01:08:55,300 that are friends of the government or something. 1513 01:08:55,300 --> 01:08:56,649 The Philippines. 1514 01:08:56,649 --> 01:08:58,120 I think there was a reading on-- 1515 01:09:01,899 --> 01:09:03,910 anybody want to say something about-- anybody 1516 01:09:03,910 --> 01:09:05,261 from the Philippines? 1517 01:09:05,261 --> 01:09:07,203 No. 1518 01:09:07,203 --> 01:09:08,870 Anybody want to say something about what 1519 01:09:08,870 --> 01:09:10,743 happened in the Philippines? 1520 01:09:10,743 --> 01:09:12,410 And you're going to see something that's 1521 01:09:12,410 --> 01:09:13,760 similar about this in Senegal. 1522 01:09:18,069 --> 01:09:20,125 There's a software provider called eCurrency 1523 01:09:20,125 --> 01:09:24,729 Mint Limited in Ireland that is marketing around the globe 1524 01:09:24,729 --> 01:09:28,578 to do digital Fiat currency. 1525 01:09:28,578 --> 01:09:30,120 I think they're careful and they call 1526 01:09:30,120 --> 01:09:32,700 it digital Fiat currency rather than the central bank 1527 01:09:32,700 --> 01:09:33,510 digital currency. 1528 01:09:33,510 --> 01:09:35,640 But nonetheless, every time there's 1529 01:09:35,640 --> 01:09:38,520 a press release, whether from the Philippines or Senegal 1530 01:09:38,520 --> 01:09:41,100 or elsewhere, somewhere in the press release 1531 01:09:41,100 --> 01:09:45,600 you see blockchain technology use for-- 1532 01:09:45,600 --> 01:09:48,689 I've done my best to read everything I can on these two 1533 01:09:48,689 --> 01:09:52,680 since last summer, when I stumbled upon them in July. 1534 01:09:52,680 --> 01:09:56,610 I do not believe that either are using blockchain technology. 1535 01:09:56,610 --> 01:09:59,740 But they're sort of using the gloss of the terminology. 1536 01:09:59,740 --> 01:10:01,350 But it's still-- 1537 01:10:01,350 --> 01:10:03,450 Senegal, more than the Philippines, 1538 01:10:03,450 --> 01:10:08,160 is something that central bankers are looking at. 1539 01:10:08,160 --> 01:10:10,290 Importantly, it's issued by a commercial bank. 1540 01:10:10,290 --> 01:10:13,890 It's not technically issued by the central bank. 1541 01:10:13,890 --> 01:10:18,120 The central bank has actually put out a statement and saying, 1542 01:10:18,120 --> 01:10:19,890 this is a test, and a learned thing, 1543 01:10:19,890 --> 01:10:21,570 and a regulatory sandbox. 1544 01:10:21,570 --> 01:10:24,000 The central bank is sort of saying, all right, we'll let-- 1545 01:10:24,000 --> 01:10:27,390 this is a little bit more akin to private banknotes 1546 01:10:27,390 --> 01:10:29,220 in the 19th century in the US. 1547 01:10:30,190 --> 01:10:33,910 And I'll flip to the Senegal one. 1548 01:10:33,910 --> 01:10:38,320 This is in the West African economic and monetary union. 1549 01:10:38,320 --> 01:10:40,120 So there is a monetary union, I think, 1550 01:10:40,120 --> 01:10:45,260 of 14 countries all using a currency. 1551 01:10:45,260 --> 01:10:48,190 It's called the Franc, I think. 1552 01:10:48,190 --> 01:10:49,270 The F-- 1553 01:10:49,270 --> 01:10:50,928 STUDENT: They call it the [INAUDIBLE].. 1554 01:10:50,928 --> 01:10:51,970 GARY GENSLER: What is it? 1555 01:10:51,970 --> 01:10:53,860 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] They use [INAUDIBLE].. 1556 01:10:53,860 --> 01:10:55,690 GARY GENSLER: [INAUDIBLE]. 1557 01:10:55,690 --> 01:10:56,640 Have you ever used it? 1558 01:10:56,640 --> 01:10:57,470 Do you know it? 1559 01:10:57,470 --> 01:10:59,600 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] 1560 01:10:59,600 --> 01:11:02,810 GARY GENSLER: So one country in a 14-nation block 1561 01:11:02,810 --> 01:11:06,340 said, we can maybe get more financial inclusion. 1562 01:11:06,340 --> 01:11:06,923 Good. 1563 01:11:06,923 --> 01:11:08,590 I think there's a good motivation there. 1564 01:11:08,590 --> 01:11:10,330 We can get more financial inclusion. 1565 01:11:10,330 --> 01:11:13,690 We can put [INAUDIBLE]---- did I say it right? 1566 01:11:13,690 --> 01:11:15,940 [INAUDIBLE] on an electronic platform. 1567 01:11:15,940 --> 01:11:17,830 We'll use this software provider out 1568 01:11:17,830 --> 01:11:21,680 of Ireland that keeps knocking on our door. 1569 01:11:21,680 --> 01:11:25,060 And we'll see if we can push it out a little bit 1570 01:11:25,060 --> 01:11:26,860 under some e-money regulations. 1571 01:11:29,860 --> 01:11:35,440 Technically, it's e-money under pre-existing regulations. 1572 01:11:35,440 --> 01:11:38,185 But I would say a lot of central bankers are kind of-- 1573 01:11:38,185 --> 01:11:40,810 elsewhere around the globe sort of watching, what does that do? 1574 01:11:40,810 --> 01:11:42,220 What does that mean? 1575 01:11:42,220 --> 01:11:47,250 Does it increase financial inclusion? 1576 01:11:47,250 --> 01:11:49,110 And probably the most interesting one 1577 01:11:49,110 --> 01:11:51,450 really is in Sweden. 1578 01:11:51,450 --> 01:11:53,747 Sweden has said, these are the benefits. 1579 01:11:53,747 --> 01:11:55,080 These are written in a document. 1580 01:11:55,080 --> 01:11:57,420 They've written now the third document on this. 1581 01:11:57,420 --> 01:11:59,190 It came out a couple of weeks ago. 1582 01:11:59,190 --> 01:12:01,690 It was not assigned reading because it just came out, 1583 01:12:01,690 --> 01:12:03,780 and it's 50 or 60 pages, if anybody 1584 01:12:03,780 --> 01:12:07,500 wants to log through it. 1585 01:12:07,500 --> 01:12:10,380 They say, it's going to continue the public access 1586 01:12:10,380 --> 01:12:12,810 to the risk free guaranteed means of payment. 1587 01:12:12,810 --> 01:12:16,730 That's the key thing to them. 1588 01:12:16,730 --> 01:12:20,320 You have cash in your pocket right now-- 1589 01:12:20,320 --> 01:12:23,480 krona-- but very few people have it. 1590 01:12:23,480 --> 01:12:27,590 So few people have it that most retailers in Sweden 1591 01:12:27,590 --> 01:12:31,460 are now saying, I will not accept krona. 1592 01:12:31,460 --> 01:12:33,710 And it's not such a big country that a bunch of people 1593 01:12:33,710 --> 01:12:38,580 want to own krona for a store of value. 1594 01:12:38,580 --> 01:12:41,170 So the total outstanding-- 1595 01:12:41,170 --> 01:12:42,510 is there a question? 1596 01:12:42,510 --> 01:12:45,750 STUDENT: Because like all the companies that are listed, 1597 01:12:45,750 --> 01:12:48,650 they're listed in kronas in Stockholm. 1598 01:12:48,650 --> 01:12:53,440 So how come it's not used at all but the stock markets use it 1599 01:12:53,440 --> 01:12:54,040 widely? 1600 01:12:54,040 --> 01:12:55,540 GARY GENSLER: The stock market what? 1601 01:12:55,540 --> 01:12:57,880 STUDENT: Like the companies which are listed, 1602 01:12:57,880 --> 01:12:59,593 they're listed in kronas. 1603 01:12:59,593 --> 01:13:00,510 GARY GENSLER: Correct. 1604 01:13:00,510 --> 01:13:03,030 STUDENT: So like how come it's not used at all? 1605 01:13:03,030 --> 01:13:04,890 GARY GENSLER: It's not used-- 1606 01:13:04,890 --> 01:13:06,810 no krona is used digitally. 1607 01:13:06,810 --> 01:13:09,630 I'm saying paper krona is not used. 1608 01:13:09,630 --> 01:13:10,950 Paper krona. 1609 01:13:10,950 --> 01:13:12,600 But they're saying, we maybe want 1610 01:13:12,600 --> 01:13:15,420 to make sure that there's a government's 1611 01:13:15,420 --> 01:13:21,050 direct relationship to electronic government money. 1612 01:13:21,050 --> 01:13:21,890 The properties. 1613 01:13:21,890 --> 01:13:23,570 They've said-- they were willing to put 1614 01:13:23,570 --> 01:13:25,310 a comprehensive range of services 1615 01:13:25,310 --> 01:13:26,960 in, make it widely available. 1616 01:13:26,960 --> 01:13:29,480 They've answered the design considerations. 1617 01:13:29,480 --> 01:13:30,980 And they actually say that they're 1618 01:13:30,980 --> 01:13:33,443 looking at putting interest rate on this. 1619 01:13:33,443 --> 01:13:35,360 They think that putting an interest rate on it 1620 01:13:35,360 --> 01:13:38,270 makes sense. 1621 01:13:38,270 --> 01:13:40,520 And that it should have e-identification. 1622 01:13:40,520 --> 01:13:42,435 They say, it will be traceable. 1623 01:13:42,435 --> 01:13:44,060 They've already said in their documents 1624 01:13:44,060 --> 01:13:48,110 they're not going to go with totally anonymous e-money. 1625 01:13:51,690 --> 01:13:53,700 This is out of their report. 1626 01:13:53,700 --> 01:13:58,290 But as you can see, the blue line is Sweden. 1627 01:13:58,290 --> 01:14:00,420 That their total outstanding cash-- 1628 01:14:00,420 --> 01:14:02,880 this is physical, tokenized cash-- 1629 01:14:02,880 --> 01:14:05,040 was 4% of their GDP. 1630 01:14:05,040 --> 01:14:08,430 It's now less than 2% of their GDP. 1631 01:14:08,430 --> 01:14:10,980 The US and Europe would be the green line. 1632 01:14:10,980 --> 01:14:13,470 We're up to about 10%. 1633 01:14:13,470 --> 01:14:17,090 But as we talked about on Tuesday, 1634 01:14:17,090 --> 01:14:22,820 8 of those 10 points in the US are $100 bills. 1635 01:14:22,820 --> 01:14:28,230 And 4 or 5 of the 10 points in the US are outside of the US. 1636 01:14:28,230 --> 01:14:29,730 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] is part of this 1637 01:14:29,730 --> 01:14:32,670 because bank deposits or reserves 1638 01:14:32,670 --> 01:14:38,040 or what we would hold involves in dollars in the United 1639 01:14:38,040 --> 01:14:38,690 States? 1640 01:14:38,690 --> 01:14:42,114 The banks here are holding in Euros. 1641 01:14:42,114 --> 01:14:44,580 GARY GENSLER: No, this would be cash that's 1642 01:14:44,580 --> 01:14:47,700 outside that the public holds. 1643 01:14:47,700 --> 01:14:48,610 Or the public can-- 1644 01:14:48,610 --> 01:14:51,330 STUDENT: Not held in banks. 1645 01:14:51,330 --> 01:14:52,710 GARY GENSLER: That is correct. 1646 01:14:52,710 --> 01:15:00,700 So if it's-- if it's cash that JP Morgan is holding 1647 01:15:00,700 --> 01:15:03,640 physically, just because they're putting it in that daily ATM 1648 01:15:03,640 --> 01:15:05,410 machine, it might be included. 1649 01:15:05,410 --> 01:15:08,470 STUDENT: Or like the x number of dollars 1650 01:15:08,470 --> 01:15:11,142 in everyone's bank accounts [INAUDIBLE] bank deposits. 1651 01:15:11,142 --> 01:15:13,100 GARY GENSLER: That's [INAUDIBLE] bank deposits. 1652 01:15:13,100 --> 01:15:15,470 STUDENT: [INAUDIBLE] M1. 1653 01:15:15,470 --> 01:15:19,970 GARY GENSLER: This is actually only about half of M1. 1654 01:15:19,970 --> 01:15:24,175 This is the $1.6 or $1.7 trillion of-- 1655 01:15:24,175 --> 01:15:25,960 it's about $1.8 trillion. 1656 01:15:25,960 --> 01:15:33,360 $1.8 trillion in the US, of which $1.6 trillion or $1.5 1657 01:15:33,360 --> 01:15:36,530 trillion is $100 bills. 1658 01:15:36,530 --> 01:15:38,110 There's only $200 to $300 billion 1659 01:15:38,110 --> 01:15:45,700 of US currency, paper currency, that is not $100 bills. 1660 01:15:45,700 --> 01:15:48,040 And well over half of $100 bills are outside 1661 01:15:48,040 --> 01:15:50,230 of the US per Federal Reserve statistics. 1662 01:15:50,230 --> 01:15:52,510 I think 57%. 1663 01:15:52,510 --> 01:15:53,980 How they trace that, that would be 1664 01:15:53,980 --> 01:15:56,870 another story for another day. 1665 01:15:56,870 --> 01:15:59,170 But Sweden doesn't have a bunch of people holding 1666 01:15:59,170 --> 01:16:01,630 the equivalent of $100 bills or 500 euro 1667 01:16:01,630 --> 01:16:04,390 notes as a store of value. 1668 01:16:04,390 --> 01:16:06,220 And so you see a decline of their paper. 1669 01:16:06,220 --> 01:16:08,440 You see the retail merchants aren't taking it. 1670 01:16:08,440 --> 01:16:09,850 People aren't using it. 1671 01:16:09,850 --> 01:16:11,740 So Sweden feels compelled to say, 1672 01:16:11,740 --> 01:16:14,290 I want to do something here. 1673 01:16:14,290 --> 01:16:18,310 Tuesday, we're going to be talking about crypto exchanges. 1674 01:16:18,310 --> 01:16:20,800 It's a bit of a setup also for Thursday 1675 01:16:20,800 --> 01:16:26,200 when we've got our outside speakers I keep chatting about. 1676 01:16:26,200 --> 01:16:27,737 I think Talida-- 1677 01:16:27,737 --> 01:16:29,320 Talida had to leave early today, but I 1678 01:16:29,320 --> 01:16:31,112 think Talida is going to send you a message 1679 01:16:31,112 --> 01:16:35,110 or put up on the website, Jeff Sprecher and Kelly 1680 01:16:35,110 --> 01:16:37,090 sent a list of readings. 1681 01:16:37,090 --> 01:16:39,130 I guess they're used to being-- they're 1682 01:16:39,130 --> 01:16:40,630 not actually used to doing-- they're 1683 01:16:40,630 --> 01:16:41,995 doing this as a favor for me. 1684 01:16:41,995 --> 01:16:44,620 I got to know him very well when I was at the Commodity Futures 1685 01:16:44,620 --> 01:16:45,910 Trading Commission. 1686 01:16:45,910 --> 01:16:49,590 They're rolling out the-- 1687 01:16:49,590 --> 01:16:52,910 both a crypto exchange and a payment alternative. 1688 01:16:52,910 --> 01:16:54,470 And so they sent a bunch of things 1689 01:16:54,470 --> 01:16:56,178 that they thought you might want to read. 1690 01:16:56,178 --> 01:16:59,635 So we put them up on the website midday today. 1691 01:16:59,635 --> 01:17:01,760 I know that you've got a lot of other things to do, 1692 01:17:01,760 --> 01:17:03,410 and it's getting to that time of year 1693 01:17:03,410 --> 01:17:05,668 where there's fewer and fewer things you're reading. 1694 01:17:05,668 --> 01:17:07,460 But what we're trying to do on Thursday is, 1695 01:17:07,460 --> 01:17:10,760 I'm going to open up with a little fireside chat. 1696 01:17:10,760 --> 01:17:14,192 They want me to ask them a few questions for 10 or 15 minutes. 1697 01:17:14,192 --> 01:17:15,650 And then we're going to open it up. 1698 01:17:15,650 --> 01:17:17,570 It's all going to be your time. 1699 01:17:17,570 --> 01:17:19,580 They're with us about an hour. 1700 01:17:19,580 --> 01:17:22,190 Now we might encourage them to stay till the end, 1701 01:17:22,190 --> 01:17:24,800 but they're here from 2:30 to 3:30. 1702 01:17:24,800 --> 01:17:26,900 Now I know we always start at 2:35. 1703 01:17:26,900 --> 01:17:29,960 But if they're ready to go at 2:32 or 2:33, 1704 01:17:29,960 --> 01:17:34,220 I might start with them and start the fireside chat. 1705 01:17:34,220 --> 01:17:37,180 And then it's going to be you're asking them questions. 1706 01:17:37,180 --> 01:17:40,220 So to the extent that you read the things that they 1707 01:17:40,220 --> 01:17:42,812 sent around, better for you. 1708 01:17:42,812 --> 01:17:45,020 I will say this in advance, because one or two of you 1709 01:17:45,020 --> 01:17:46,875 have already come saying, I want to see 1710 01:17:46,875 --> 01:17:49,250 if I could go work for the company that owns the New York 1711 01:17:49,250 --> 01:17:51,530 Stock Exchange and owns [INAUDIBLE] and everything. 1712 01:17:51,530 --> 01:17:53,840 I will be glad to send whatever resumes 1713 01:17:53,840 --> 01:17:56,310 or anything you want to Jeff and Kelly. 1714 01:17:56,310 --> 01:18:00,830 I'll act as a clearinghouse and send it if that's your goal. 1715 01:18:00,830 --> 01:18:06,290 But in advance, I'm not going to give their private emails 1716 01:18:06,290 --> 01:18:08,160 to you and everything like that. 1717 01:18:08,160 --> 01:18:11,120 But I think that would be an interesting conversation 1718 01:18:11,120 --> 01:18:13,400 next week. 1719 01:18:13,400 --> 01:18:16,140 So central banks play an important role in the economy. 1720 01:18:16,140 --> 01:18:18,650 We already live in an electronic age. 1721 01:18:18,650 --> 01:18:23,510 But they really are absolutely at the epicenter of money 1722 01:18:23,510 --> 01:18:26,930 and how money's been defined for 300 or 400 years. 1723 01:18:26,930 --> 01:18:31,070 Payment systems and Fiat currencies have had challenges. 1724 01:18:31,070 --> 01:18:32,960 I still continue to think blockchain-- 1725 01:18:32,960 --> 01:18:34,580 I told you, I'm not a maximalist, 1726 01:18:34,580 --> 01:18:37,820 but blockchain technology can be a catalyst for change. 1727 01:18:37,820 --> 01:18:42,740 Central bank digital currencies is evidence of that, 1728 01:18:42,740 --> 01:18:45,270 even if it's not based on blockchain technology. 1729 01:18:45,270 --> 01:18:50,210 I think it's partly inspired and urged on by this. 1730 01:18:50,210 --> 01:18:53,210 It doesn't solve what blockchain technology 1731 01:18:53,210 --> 01:18:55,370 would do for it, but-- 1732 01:18:55,370 --> 01:18:58,860 I think that central banks by and large are monitoring. 1733 01:18:58,860 --> 01:19:01,640 They're exploring payment systems, 1734 01:19:01,640 --> 01:19:05,240 and a handful are looking at the central bank 1735 01:19:05,240 --> 01:19:06,650 digital currencies. 1736 01:19:06,650 --> 01:19:08,360 I think-- and this is my own prediction-- 1737 01:19:08,360 --> 01:19:10,160 that with 180 countries, somebody, 1738 01:19:10,160 --> 01:19:11,660 Sweden might be the one to do it, 1739 01:19:11,660 --> 01:19:14,930 will be there to do some central bank digital currency. 1740 01:19:14,930 --> 01:19:18,050 Venezuela says they're doing one backed by oil. 1741 01:19:18,050 --> 01:19:19,910 So it might be the other end. 1742 01:19:19,910 --> 01:19:21,590 Iran says they want to do one. 1743 01:19:21,590 --> 01:19:23,000 They would avert sanctions. 1744 01:19:23,000 --> 01:19:25,880 We didn't talk about that, but sanctioned countries 1745 01:19:25,880 --> 01:19:28,170 are looking at ways to avert sanctions. 1746 01:19:28,170 --> 01:19:32,030 So there could be countries in distress, countries looking 1747 01:19:32,030 --> 01:19:36,080 to avert sanctions, or, you know, kind of first tier 1748 01:19:36,080 --> 01:19:39,470 economic countries like Sweden that are looking at it. 1749 01:19:39,470 --> 01:19:42,010 So I will see you next Tuesday.