1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:03,250 The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:03,250 --> 00:00:04,640 Commons license. 3 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:06,850 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare 4 00:00:06,850 --> 00:00:10,940 continue to offer high quality educational resources for free. 5 00:00:10,940 --> 00:00:13,510 To make a donation or to view additional materials 6 00:00:13,510 --> 00:00:17,470 from hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare 7 00:00:17,470 --> 00:00:18,363 at ocw.mit.edu. 8 00:00:23,190 --> 00:00:25,410 GARY GENSLER: So payments part two 9 00:00:25,410 --> 00:00:29,640 we're going to chat a little bit about the overview today. 10 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:32,130 Readings, of course as we always do. 11 00:00:32,130 --> 00:00:34,830 And then what was yesterday? 12 00:00:34,830 --> 00:00:37,900 Does anybody want to tell me what yesterday was? 13 00:00:37,900 --> 00:00:39,206 Kelly? 14 00:00:39,206 --> 00:00:40,580 AUDIENCE: The 10th anniversary. 15 00:00:40,580 --> 00:00:42,330 GARY GENSLER: 10th anniversary of bitcoin. 16 00:00:44,710 --> 00:00:46,760 What else was yesterday? 17 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:48,470 It was Halloween. 18 00:00:48,470 --> 00:00:50,780 No, it is not my birthday again. 19 00:00:50,780 --> 00:00:52,910 Stop that, Tom. 20 00:00:52,910 --> 00:00:55,190 So we're going to chat a little bit, 21 00:00:55,190 --> 00:00:57,800 we're going to have some fun about happy anniversary 22 00:00:57,800 --> 00:00:59,000 or birthday. 23 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:02,390 Would you call it a birthday or anniversary? 24 00:01:02,390 --> 00:01:03,360 Anniversary? 25 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:05,570 OK. 26 00:01:05,570 --> 00:01:07,580 Birthday, all right. 27 00:01:07,580 --> 00:01:09,770 There's no established vocabulary really 28 00:01:09,770 --> 00:01:10,440 in this field. 29 00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:11,062 So-- 30 00:01:11,062 --> 00:01:12,210 AUDIENCE: Birthday comes in January. 31 00:01:12,210 --> 00:01:12,988 GARY GENSLER: What's that? 32 00:01:12,988 --> 00:01:14,780 AUDIENCE: Birthday comes in January. 33 00:01:14,780 --> 00:01:15,947 GARY GENSLER: The birthday-- 34 00:01:15,947 --> 00:01:17,720 Hugo, why's the birthday come in January? 35 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:19,510 AUDIENCE: Birthday marks [INAUDIBLE].. 36 00:01:19,510 --> 00:01:22,920 So the music is [INAUDIBLE]. 37 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:24,204 GARY GENSLER: Riham? 38 00:01:24,204 --> 00:01:27,186 AUDIENCE: Birth means death at a point in time in my mind, 39 00:01:27,186 --> 00:01:31,460 so anniversary [INAUDIBLE] is better. 40 00:01:31,460 --> 00:01:32,630 GARY GENSLER: You got-- 41 00:01:32,630 --> 00:01:34,580 did you get that? 42 00:01:34,580 --> 00:01:38,500 Birth also connotes death. 43 00:01:38,500 --> 00:01:41,480 Did I have that? 44 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,980 And so Rahim was saying she would go with anniversary. 45 00:01:44,980 --> 00:01:47,390 But we have birth over here. 46 00:01:47,390 --> 00:01:50,330 We're going to chat a little bit about that and try-- 47 00:01:50,330 --> 00:01:52,990 the existential. 48 00:01:52,990 --> 00:01:55,670 Then we're going to talk about payment systems and the sort 49 00:01:55,670 --> 00:01:58,250 of some of the pain points. 50 00:01:58,250 --> 00:02:00,235 And we'll have a lively discussion. 51 00:02:00,235 --> 00:02:01,610 What do you think the pain points 52 00:02:01,610 --> 00:02:03,580 are in the payment system? 53 00:02:03,580 --> 00:02:05,360 I, of course, will have listed some, 54 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:08,150 but your input's the most important. 55 00:02:08,150 --> 00:02:11,240 How does blockchain fit into this payment system, 56 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:15,560 and why so far haven't there been any really economy-wide 57 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:19,180 or system-wide adoptions yet? 58 00:02:19,180 --> 00:02:21,680 So one might even say what are the pain points of blockchain 59 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:24,140 technology that there has not yet 60 00:02:24,140 --> 00:02:26,480 been some of those adoptions? 61 00:02:29,270 --> 00:02:33,530 We're going to chat a little bit about some blockchain payment 62 00:02:33,530 --> 00:02:36,140 companies, and there are not many. 63 00:02:36,140 --> 00:02:38,000 I mean, there are many white papers 64 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:41,370 but there are not many that have actually taken off. 65 00:02:41,370 --> 00:02:43,220 And then wrap it up. 66 00:02:43,220 --> 00:02:47,540 So the study questions which we're 67 00:02:47,540 --> 00:02:50,010 going to sort of dig into rather than right now 68 00:02:50,010 --> 00:02:54,400 but just what lessons can be taken. 69 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:57,272 So for my layer two help us. 70 00:02:57,272 --> 00:02:59,480 We're going to come back to these when we sort of dig 71 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:01,970 into the paint points. 72 00:03:01,970 --> 00:03:05,000 What are the opportunities in cross-border and so forth, 73 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:06,830 and the trade offs of using permissioned 74 00:03:06,830 --> 00:03:09,230 versus permissionless systems. 75 00:03:09,230 --> 00:03:13,250 So happy anniversary, happy birthday 76 00:03:13,250 --> 00:03:17,030 for some, 10 years ago. 77 00:03:17,030 --> 00:03:17,900 It's remarkable. 78 00:03:17,900 --> 00:03:21,680 Actually, some people say it was November 1st because I think 79 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:24,590 when it actually got on the website it was November 80 00:03:24,590 --> 00:03:25,790 1st in parts of the world. 81 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:32,090 So what do we know about the 10th anniversary? 82 00:03:32,090 --> 00:03:33,440 Just some fun statistics. 83 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:35,760 This has all happened in 10 years. 84 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:39,600 So the price is around $6,300 to Bitcoin out 85 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:41,950 of nothing, Satoshi Nakamoto. 86 00:03:41,950 --> 00:03:43,955 And it's $110 billion in size. 87 00:03:46,550 --> 00:03:49,040 We might not all know each other in 10 years, 88 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:51,600 but write down for yourself on a piece of paper-- 89 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:54,710 this is a real exercise I'm asking you to do for yourself. 90 00:03:54,710 --> 00:03:57,950 Write down for yourself and put this piece of paper 91 00:03:57,950 --> 00:03:59,720 somewhere or put it on your laptop. 92 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:02,240 You can put it down, where do you think the price of Bitcoin 93 00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:05,890 will be 10 years from today on the 20th anniversary? 94 00:04:05,890 --> 00:04:08,080 And remember this course in 10 years, 95 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:11,590 and look back, and laugh at yourself. 96 00:04:11,590 --> 00:04:13,930 Just we won't all know each other. 97 00:04:13,930 --> 00:04:18,490 Maybe there'll be a group chat, but-- 98 00:04:18,490 --> 00:04:19,242 what's that Alit? 99 00:04:19,242 --> 00:04:20,950 You don't want to guess where it is-- you 100 00:04:20,950 --> 00:04:23,120 don't need to share it with me. 101 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:26,350 No, no, but write down and think about it. 102 00:04:26,350 --> 00:04:30,560 Where do you think this will be in 10 years? 103 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:32,488 Is this a hard question? 104 00:04:32,488 --> 00:04:35,530 [INAUDIBLE] 105 00:04:35,530 --> 00:04:37,918 Alpha, do you want to share your number with the class? 106 00:04:37,918 --> 00:04:39,960 AUDIENCE: We're even just debating directionally, 107 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:42,410 it's really going to be higher or lower. 108 00:04:42,410 --> 00:04:44,660 GARY GENSLER: Well, how many people 109 00:04:44,660 --> 00:04:48,710 think it'll be lower in 10 years? 110 00:04:48,710 --> 00:04:51,760 OK, I'd say it's about 30%, 35%. 111 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:54,310 How many higher? 112 00:04:54,310 --> 00:04:57,190 Yeah, that's 60%, 65%. 113 00:04:57,190 --> 00:04:59,720 Alin, you-- you did two Alin split, right? 114 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:02,280 AUDIENCE: Think it's going to be 0. 115 00:05:02,280 --> 00:05:04,030 GARY GENSLER: I think that would be lower. 116 00:05:04,030 --> 00:05:04,645 [LAUGHTER] 117 00:05:04,645 --> 00:05:06,260 AUDIENCE: It is, because in 10 years 118 00:05:06,260 --> 00:05:07,940 the system might change so dramatically 119 00:05:07,940 --> 00:05:10,347 it might be unfair to even call it bitcoin. 120 00:05:10,347 --> 00:05:11,430 GARY GENSLER: Fair enough. 121 00:05:11,430 --> 00:05:13,340 It might have evolved into something else. 122 00:05:17,180 --> 00:05:18,195 Back here please. 123 00:05:18,195 --> 00:05:19,570 AUDIENCE: I just want to comment. 124 00:05:19,570 --> 00:05:21,260 Isn't the real question market cap, 125 00:05:21,260 --> 00:05:23,720 because that's what people are actually using the currency 126 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:24,440 for? 127 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:26,607 Because the question of what's the price going to be 128 00:05:26,607 --> 00:05:30,080 presupposes a set number of shares of coins or tokens. 129 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:33,450 So the way that people are mining coins in the future also 130 00:05:33,450 --> 00:05:34,820 depends on the price. 131 00:05:34,820 --> 00:05:36,420 GARY GENSLER: So I think you raise a really good question. 132 00:05:36,420 --> 00:05:37,490 If you're writing something down you 133 00:05:37,490 --> 00:05:39,800 could write down the market cap rather than the price. 134 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:40,610 You could say-- 135 00:05:40,610 --> 00:05:44,510 I mean, in the Leeds case you would still say 0 for both, 136 00:05:44,510 --> 00:05:46,400 but you might say that-- of course. 137 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,410 Because it depends on how many coins 138 00:05:48,410 --> 00:05:51,470 there are, how many shares there are. 139 00:05:51,470 --> 00:05:54,830 Does anybody want to take the other side from this-- 140 00:05:54,830 --> 00:05:55,770 the other Alin? 141 00:05:55,770 --> 00:05:57,660 AUDIENCE: I think it'll have zeros-- 142 00:05:57,660 --> 00:05:59,383 it'll have zeros in the price. 143 00:05:59,383 --> 00:06:01,300 GARY GENSLER: It will have zeros in the price. 144 00:06:01,300 --> 00:06:01,820 Hugo? 145 00:06:01,820 --> 00:06:04,320 AUDIENCE: Well, I just want to respond to the other comment. 146 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:06,278 Do you know exactly how many bitcoin there will 147 00:06:06,278 --> 00:06:07,580 be in about 10 years from now? 148 00:06:07,580 --> 00:06:09,913 GARY GENSLER: Do we actually know how many bitcoin there 149 00:06:09,913 --> 00:06:10,797 will be in 10 years? 150 00:06:10,797 --> 00:06:11,380 AUDIENCE: Yes. 151 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,610 GARY GENSLER: Hugo says you do because it's 152 00:06:16,610 --> 00:06:18,290 written in the code. 153 00:06:18,290 --> 00:06:19,790 Remind me your first name? 154 00:06:19,790 --> 00:06:20,410 Isaac. 155 00:06:20,410 --> 00:06:22,398 AUDIENCE: So I think one is mining. 156 00:06:22,398 --> 00:06:24,940 I know that some folks may have a better technical background 157 00:06:24,940 --> 00:06:27,380 on mining and the way you dedicate resources 158 00:06:27,380 --> 00:06:28,370 based on price. 159 00:06:28,370 --> 00:06:32,540 But I'm seeing a shake-up ahead, so maybe not. 160 00:06:32,540 --> 00:06:34,310 The other piece of it, I think, is just 161 00:06:34,310 --> 00:06:35,470 thinking about the flow. 162 00:06:35,470 --> 00:06:37,220 Thinking about the bitcoin that's actually 163 00:06:37,220 --> 00:06:38,960 being traded or transacted. 164 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:41,020 If there's a restricted market cap, 165 00:06:41,020 --> 00:06:44,140 it's similar to looking at big cap stocks trading in China. 166 00:06:44,140 --> 00:06:46,057 You know, you don't actually get a real price. 167 00:06:46,057 --> 00:06:47,682 GARY GENSLER: While I agree with those, 168 00:06:47,682 --> 00:06:49,690 there's one other reason we might not know the-- 169 00:06:49,690 --> 00:06:51,405 AUDIENCE: People could stop mining. 170 00:06:51,405 --> 00:06:53,030 GARY GENSLER: People could stop mining. 171 00:06:53,030 --> 00:06:55,280 AUDIENCE: In five years if it's zero. 172 00:06:55,280 --> 00:06:57,690 GARY GENSLER: Oh, that's if it really just dwindles out. 173 00:06:57,690 --> 00:06:59,660 Nobody wants to expand. 174 00:06:59,660 --> 00:07:01,490 But what's one other reason why it could 175 00:07:01,490 --> 00:07:03,610 be a different number that-- 176 00:07:03,610 --> 00:07:04,235 Shimon? 177 00:07:04,235 --> 00:07:04,860 AUDIENCE: Fork. 178 00:07:04,860 --> 00:07:06,600 GARY GENSLER: A fork. 179 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:10,980 There could be a consensus amongst 51% of the parties 180 00:07:10,980 --> 00:07:17,070 on this node to change the what I'll call monetary policy. 181 00:07:17,070 --> 00:07:19,650 We've seen that twice in Ethereum. 182 00:07:19,650 --> 00:07:25,080 Ethereum was having a certain mining or block reward. 183 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:29,620 They cut it in half once-- or they cut it from 5 to 3, 184 00:07:29,620 --> 00:07:31,720 and I think now they're going from 3 to 2. 185 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:34,410 It was not in the original Ethereum. 186 00:07:34,410 --> 00:07:36,990 So there could be a consensus. 187 00:07:36,990 --> 00:07:39,990 It's not written about a lot, but it 188 00:07:39,990 --> 00:07:41,610 could be either what's called a fork 189 00:07:41,610 --> 00:07:45,660 or it could be so almost unanimous that everybody 190 00:07:45,660 --> 00:07:48,303 went for a change in the monetary policy. 191 00:07:48,303 --> 00:07:50,220 All right, so that's just a little bit of fun. 192 00:07:50,220 --> 00:07:52,680 Some other quick numbers and facts. 193 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:57,840 There's 17.3 million coins right now. 194 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:04,260 So 17 million coins have been mined so far, 195 00:08:04,260 --> 00:08:08,210 550,000 blocks roughly. 196 00:08:08,210 --> 00:08:10,410 189 gigs. 197 00:08:10,410 --> 00:08:14,280 Transactions per day, quarter of a million transactions. 198 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:17,680 And then if I've got my decimals right, 199 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:20,800 the hash rate is 10 to the 18th times 50. 200 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:22,630 That's seven trillion times harder 201 00:08:22,630 --> 00:08:25,650 than when it was in 2009. 202 00:08:25,650 --> 00:08:33,130 There's seven trillion more computational power in Bitcoin 203 00:08:33,130 --> 00:08:36,669 now than there was nine or 10 years ago. 204 00:08:36,669 --> 00:08:42,830 It takes about 1/3 of 1% of the world's electricity, 205 00:08:42,830 --> 00:08:46,680 and there were some nice comments overnight 206 00:08:46,680 --> 00:08:48,770 in the discussion for this class about 207 00:08:48,770 --> 00:08:50,420 whether that's a good thing or not. 208 00:08:50,420 --> 00:08:53,980 And maybe it's not a good thing. 209 00:08:53,980 --> 00:08:55,860 So that's Bitcoin anniversary. 210 00:08:55,860 --> 00:08:58,770 A couple other things, unique addresses. 211 00:08:58,770 --> 00:09:01,850 There's a little bit over 500,000 unique addresses-- 212 00:09:01,850 --> 00:09:05,130 Bitcoin addresses. 213 00:09:05,130 --> 00:09:07,280 So if there's tens of millions of people 214 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:10,040 that have Bitcoin and only half a million Bitcoin addresses, 215 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:13,370 what does it mean about the probably 20 or 30 million 216 00:09:13,370 --> 00:09:16,280 people that believe they own Bitcoin but don't 217 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:17,390 have a Bitcoin address? 218 00:09:17,390 --> 00:09:18,265 Where do they own it? 219 00:09:20,850 --> 00:09:21,358 James? 220 00:09:21,358 --> 00:09:22,400 AUDIENCE: In an exchange? 221 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:23,858 GARY GENSLER: Yeah, on an exchange. 222 00:09:23,858 --> 00:09:26,180 Or in some custodial-- 223 00:09:26,180 --> 00:09:29,150 in essence relying on somebody else 224 00:09:29,150 --> 00:09:31,310 if there's a half a million unique addresses, 225 00:09:31,310 --> 00:09:34,805 but it's thought there's 20 to 30 million accounts. 226 00:09:38,890 --> 00:09:41,510 10,000 nodes. 227 00:09:41,510 --> 00:09:43,650 And bitnodes is a website where you 228 00:09:43,650 --> 00:09:45,090 can see where the nodes are. 229 00:09:47,650 --> 00:09:50,310 And it's concentration of where the actual nodes are. 230 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,760 So pretty spread around. 231 00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:01,060 There's not any alpha in Ethiopia yet. 232 00:10:01,060 --> 00:10:04,350 In fact, I don't see-- 233 00:10:04,350 --> 00:10:04,850 what's that? 234 00:10:04,850 --> 00:10:06,824 Do you see two in Kenya? 235 00:10:06,824 --> 00:10:09,960 AUDIENCE: Yeah, there's two little dots. 236 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:11,888 GARY GENSLER: Anybody from Greenland? 237 00:10:11,888 --> 00:10:13,340 No. 238 00:10:13,340 --> 00:10:15,380 And of course, it's spurred this whole thing-- 239 00:10:15,380 --> 00:10:18,700 we've seen this map before, but initial coin offerings. 240 00:10:18,700 --> 00:10:22,035 $28 billion roughly raised. 241 00:10:22,035 --> 00:10:23,910 Again, we don't know if the numbers are right 242 00:10:23,910 --> 00:10:26,795 but this is what this 10 year anniversary or 10 243 00:10:26,795 --> 00:10:27,920 years since it all started. 244 00:10:30,900 --> 00:10:32,390 This means there's a lot of capital 245 00:10:32,390 --> 00:10:35,150 chasing this field right now. 246 00:10:35,150 --> 00:10:36,900 So anybody want to write down whether they 247 00:10:36,900 --> 00:10:41,840 think ICOs are still going to be around in 10 years? 248 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:47,110 How many people think initial coin offerings will be around? 249 00:10:47,110 --> 00:10:47,820 About half. 250 00:10:51,070 --> 00:10:53,260 And so the other-- oh, I know where Alin is, 251 00:10:53,260 --> 00:10:54,970 but where are the rest of you? 252 00:10:54,970 --> 00:10:55,890 I don't actually know. 253 00:10:55,890 --> 00:10:57,348 I think they're going to slow down. 254 00:10:57,348 --> 00:10:59,860 I think in 2019 and 2020 they'll slow down 255 00:10:59,860 --> 00:11:03,400 because so many will have failed, 256 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:05,207 the market will sort of adjust and say, 257 00:11:05,207 --> 00:11:07,540 well, we're not going to invest in these unless there is 258 00:11:07,540 --> 00:11:10,640 a much better business model. 259 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,280 And so it's spurred, this is just a bucket of other coins. 260 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:17,000 There's 1,600 odd coins, probably 1,500 plus of them 261 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:19,400 will fail or maybe all 1,600. 262 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:23,310 But 1,500 plus will probably fail. 263 00:11:23,310 --> 00:11:26,690 I might be done with-- oh yeah, crypto finance. 264 00:11:26,690 --> 00:11:30,290 Actually there's not as much volatility as there once was. 265 00:11:30,290 --> 00:11:34,190 We're slowly getting a more stable coin. 266 00:11:34,190 --> 00:11:37,550 It doesn't mean it will stay this way, 267 00:11:37,550 --> 00:11:41,660 but to the extent that Bitcoin stabilizes in pricing 268 00:11:41,660 --> 00:11:44,690 and stabilizes for a long period there 269 00:11:44,690 --> 00:11:47,510 might be a little bit more use of it. 270 00:11:47,510 --> 00:11:48,860 But I wouldn't read-- 271 00:11:48,860 --> 00:11:51,350 six months does not make enough history 272 00:11:51,350 --> 00:11:56,210 to say that the volatility's out of this thing. 273 00:11:56,210 --> 00:11:59,870 All right, so let's go back to payment systems. 274 00:11:59,870 --> 00:12:02,568 So now I'm going to ask, what are the pain points? 275 00:12:02,568 --> 00:12:04,610 I mean, maybe just putting up the chart tells you 276 00:12:04,610 --> 00:12:06,068 where the pain points are, but this 277 00:12:06,068 --> 00:12:08,600 is the chart we talked about Tuesday as to what 278 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,990 some of the challenges are. 279 00:12:11,990 --> 00:12:15,920 Anybody want to give me some thoughts on this-- 280 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,350 this was a consumer on one end and a consumer 281 00:12:18,350 --> 00:12:20,450 on the other end, it happens to be a US model. 282 00:12:20,450 --> 00:12:22,940 But it's not that different in most countries. 283 00:12:22,940 --> 00:12:27,260 But what pain points could blockchain help address 284 00:12:27,260 --> 00:12:32,000 in this complex system? 285 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:33,530 So pain points. 286 00:12:33,530 --> 00:12:35,270 Anybody want to give me-- 287 00:12:35,270 --> 00:12:36,810 Brodish. 288 00:12:36,810 --> 00:12:38,890 AUDIENCE: There are too many intermediaries 289 00:12:38,890 --> 00:12:42,750 in the system, which means that too many parallel ledgers. 290 00:12:42,750 --> 00:12:45,070 GARY GENSLER: So multiple intermediaries 291 00:12:45,070 --> 00:12:47,020 with parallel ledgers. 292 00:12:47,020 --> 00:12:48,377 What else? 293 00:12:48,377 --> 00:12:50,710 AUDIENCE: I guess the usual suspect would be high costs. 294 00:12:50,710 --> 00:12:53,200 GARY GENSLER: So high cost, usual suspect. 295 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,720 World Bank estimates it's between a half a percent 296 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:58,840 and 1% of world GDP, which would be, 297 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:02,230 I guess, about $400 to $800 billion a year. 298 00:13:04,730 --> 00:13:05,230 Zan? 299 00:13:05,230 --> 00:13:06,910 AUDIENCE: Speed of execution. 300 00:13:06,910 --> 00:13:08,357 GARY GENSLER: Speed of execution. 301 00:13:08,357 --> 00:13:09,940 So what do you mean when you say speed 302 00:13:09,940 --> 00:13:11,890 of execution and payments? 303 00:13:11,890 --> 00:13:14,230 AUDIENCE: I guess the ability for a counterparty 304 00:13:14,230 --> 00:13:19,130 to receive the money and be able to spend it. 305 00:13:19,130 --> 00:13:21,310 GARY GENSLER: So the final settlement-- 306 00:13:21,310 --> 00:13:23,350 sometimes it's authorization, clearing, 307 00:13:23,350 --> 00:13:26,500 settlement-- but final settlement 308 00:13:26,500 --> 00:13:28,405 often doesn't occur for a couple of days. 309 00:13:31,350 --> 00:13:36,820 AUDIENCE: But I would then like for the customer perspective 310 00:13:36,820 --> 00:13:40,947 just closing three seconds. 311 00:13:40,947 --> 00:13:42,780 GARY GENSLER: So it's a really interesting-- 312 00:13:42,780 --> 00:13:44,070 there's a bifurcated market. 313 00:13:44,070 --> 00:13:46,690 From the customer's perspective, there's 314 00:13:46,690 --> 00:13:48,490 great speed of settlement. 315 00:13:48,490 --> 00:13:51,760 For the merchant's side, the merchant 316 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:56,650 might not have that is what you're highlighting. 317 00:13:56,650 --> 00:13:59,040 Sorry. 318 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,920 AUDIENCE: So are those for the bank? 319 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:04,740 Like if I have never had a bank account and [INAUDIBLE] 320 00:14:04,740 --> 00:14:07,770 so it's very difficult for me to go through all this process. 321 00:14:07,770 --> 00:14:09,770 GARY GENSLER: All right, so financial inclusion. 322 00:14:09,770 --> 00:14:13,420 So we had cost, financial inclusion, latency at least 323 00:14:13,420 --> 00:14:17,170 for the merchant side, lots of intermediaries as Brodish said. 324 00:14:17,170 --> 00:14:19,570 There's a lot of ledgers-- 325 00:14:19,570 --> 00:14:23,800 there are multiple ledgers that might have some reconciliation 326 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:26,350 and cost to them. 327 00:14:26,350 --> 00:14:27,490 Sure, Sean. 328 00:14:27,490 --> 00:14:29,560 AUDIENCE: Real time FX settlement. 329 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:31,600 GARY GENSLER: Real time FX settlement. 330 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,240 What do you mean there? 331 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:35,470 AUDIENCE: When you have one currency, 332 00:14:35,470 --> 00:14:38,170 it basically can convert the-- 333 00:14:38,170 --> 00:14:41,415 if you have the US dollar [INAUDIBLE] to Russian ruble. 334 00:14:41,415 --> 00:14:45,215 And then if you can pledge that into one kind 335 00:14:45,215 --> 00:14:47,435 of cryptocurrency, you could actually 336 00:14:47,435 --> 00:14:51,000 resize you know that token, you can settle the trade 337 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:51,950 right away. 338 00:14:51,950 --> 00:14:53,790 GARY GENSLER: So I think I'm with you. 339 00:14:53,790 --> 00:14:55,540 It's basically cross-border. 340 00:14:55,540 --> 00:14:58,360 Jumping from one currency, one fiat currency 341 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:01,450 to another, which happens to be technically jumping 342 00:15:01,450 --> 00:15:03,520 from one ledger system-- 343 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:06,850 the US dollar ledger system, did you say ruble? 344 00:15:06,850 --> 00:15:07,675 Ruble. 345 00:15:07,675 --> 00:15:08,800 Do they have ledgers there? 346 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:10,050 Yeah, they have ledgers there. 347 00:15:13,565 --> 00:15:18,680 You know, as a background story, I 348 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,950 used to attend the financial stability board 349 00:15:21,950 --> 00:15:25,160 meetings in Switzerland from time to time. 350 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:29,180 And when Russia was going to have the next G20 meeting-- 351 00:15:29,180 --> 00:15:31,460 I think it's next going to be in Argentina, 352 00:15:31,460 --> 00:15:34,160 but that was the year is going to be in Russia-- 353 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,220 the deputy governor of the central bank 354 00:15:37,220 --> 00:15:41,630 wanted to have a dive into issues 355 00:15:41,630 --> 00:15:45,020 that were in my area, the derivatives space. 356 00:15:45,020 --> 00:15:47,700 So I got to know something of that. 357 00:15:47,700 --> 00:15:49,700 They do have ledgers is what I just want to say. 358 00:15:49,700 --> 00:15:53,480 I did know this. 359 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:55,310 So what are some of the things? 360 00:15:55,310 --> 00:15:58,550 I heard from you cost, delayed settlement especially 361 00:15:58,550 --> 00:16:00,050 for the merchant side. 362 00:16:00,050 --> 00:16:02,990 I didn't hear anybody talk about charge backs. 363 00:16:02,990 --> 00:16:05,840 So does anybody want to tell me about why merchants are not 364 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:09,160 happy what's called charge backs, 365 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:12,557 or is this something more a US thing? 366 00:16:12,557 --> 00:16:13,840 Brodish? 367 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:20,300 AUDIENCE: So we saw the last class that out of $100, $2.75 368 00:16:20,300 --> 00:16:22,620 was being given to the friend of. 369 00:16:22,620 --> 00:16:25,050 Multiple interpreter is like the issuing bank 370 00:16:25,050 --> 00:16:26,250 and the [INAUDIBLE]. 371 00:16:26,250 --> 00:16:27,875 GARY GENSLER: So there's a lot of cost, 372 00:16:27,875 --> 00:16:29,850 2 and 3/4 percent in the US, when it's 373 00:16:29,850 --> 00:16:32,430 crossed the credit card rails. 374 00:16:32,430 --> 00:16:35,120 But one of the features is charge backs. 375 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,745 AUDIENCE: There's just a lack of finality to the transactions. 376 00:16:37,745 --> 00:16:40,290 So I think you talked about the example of the campaign 377 00:16:40,290 --> 00:16:43,360 after the campaign was over having people 378 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,620 claiming the charges were fraud or whatever 379 00:16:45,620 --> 00:16:47,227 and having to give back [INAUDIBLE].. 380 00:16:47,227 --> 00:16:48,060 GARY GENSLER: Right. 381 00:16:48,060 --> 00:16:51,600 So merchants don't really have finality. 382 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:53,106 Jack. 383 00:16:53,106 --> 00:16:55,603 AUDIENCE: Sometimes charge backs are recourse for things 384 00:16:55,603 --> 00:16:56,770 that weren't actually spent. 385 00:16:56,770 --> 00:16:58,490 So doesn't this kind of affect what-- 386 00:16:58,490 --> 00:17:00,240 consumers might not be as willing to enter 387 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,157 a transaction that has that level of finality. 388 00:17:02,157 --> 00:17:03,157 GARY GENSLER: All right. 389 00:17:03,157 --> 00:17:04,907 So I think-- remind me your first name? 390 00:17:04,907 --> 00:17:05,490 AUDIENCE: Dan. 391 00:17:05,490 --> 00:17:06,240 GARY GENSLER: Dan. 392 00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:08,670 So Dan and Jack really have the two sides of this. 393 00:17:08,670 --> 00:17:10,589 From the consumer-- 394 00:17:10,589 --> 00:17:13,560 I'm sorry, Jack's the consumer side, 395 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:14,910 and Dan's the merchant side. 396 00:17:14,910 --> 00:17:17,819 From the merchant, they want finality of settlement. 397 00:17:17,819 --> 00:17:21,000 They want, I've sold you a good-- 398 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:22,560 I was working on a campaign. 399 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:25,760 We weren't selling a good, but we got a donation 400 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:28,310 and we wanted to know that $2,700 was there. 401 00:17:28,310 --> 00:17:33,130 Or I sell a good, a cup of coffee, and it's done. 402 00:17:33,130 --> 00:17:35,040 But from Jack's perspective, well, I 403 00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:37,330 might not have gotten a good or service. 404 00:17:37,330 --> 00:17:39,610 I'm going to dispute it. 405 00:17:39,610 --> 00:17:43,390 You say that I'm a monthly subscriber to the New York 406 00:17:43,390 --> 00:17:43,890 Times. 407 00:17:43,890 --> 00:17:46,140 I'm not a monthly subscriber to the New York Times. 408 00:17:46,140 --> 00:17:49,560 I don't want to pay the $15 a month because I'm not 409 00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:52,680 getting the New York Times, and it's called a charge back. 410 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,250 And so it's really consumers and merchants are a little bit 411 00:17:56,250 --> 00:18:01,020 on the different side, but in the US that's 412 00:18:01,020 --> 00:18:04,170 part of that 2 and 3/4 percent. 413 00:18:04,170 --> 00:18:06,410 But merchants, probably in the US at least 414 00:18:06,410 --> 00:18:09,420 say, I'd rather not be there. 415 00:18:09,420 --> 00:18:12,960 And then it's whether customers are going to push back. 416 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:14,790 Fraud, of course. 417 00:18:14,790 --> 00:18:17,460 Privacy I didn't hear anybody say, 418 00:18:17,460 --> 00:18:21,060 but the current payment rails actually in the modern computer 419 00:18:21,060 --> 00:18:25,620 age gives everybody along the chain, a lot of information 420 00:18:25,620 --> 00:18:27,950 about all of us. 421 00:18:27,950 --> 00:18:29,510 Now, many of us don't mind it. 422 00:18:29,510 --> 00:18:31,220 I still want to use my Visa card, 423 00:18:31,220 --> 00:18:33,260 and I want to use my bank account, 424 00:18:33,260 --> 00:18:35,180 but know that we are all giving up 425 00:18:35,180 --> 00:18:38,270 a little bit of our personal identity 426 00:18:38,270 --> 00:18:40,310 because they know how we spend. 427 00:18:40,310 --> 00:18:41,960 And based on those spending patterns, 428 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:46,750 they can know whether we like guns or we don't like guns. 429 00:18:46,750 --> 00:18:49,010 And in the political space there's 430 00:18:49,010 --> 00:18:50,600 people sort of look at those things. 431 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:57,520 Or how you live your life in many ways. 432 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:59,180 And in good ways, too, because it 433 00:18:59,180 --> 00:19:02,570 means they can market to us what books we want to read, 434 00:19:02,570 --> 00:19:05,270 and what wines we want to drink. 435 00:19:05,270 --> 00:19:08,720 But it's privacy, as well. 436 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:10,300 Financial inclusion was mentioned. 437 00:19:10,300 --> 00:19:11,600 Rahim? 438 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:14,600 AUDIENCE: To the privacy is cyber attacks 439 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:16,920 and identity theft. 440 00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,925 So I will say this is a big pain point. 441 00:19:19,925 --> 00:19:21,050 GARY GENSLER: So I should-- 442 00:19:21,050 --> 00:19:21,800 good. 443 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:23,240 I agree with you. 444 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:24,740 Cyber attacks and so forth. 445 00:19:24,740 --> 00:19:27,110 So with all these pain points the question is, 446 00:19:27,110 --> 00:19:30,890 will blockchain help address some of these or all of these? 447 00:19:30,890 --> 00:19:33,657 So then we go back to benefits of blockchain. 448 00:19:33,657 --> 00:19:35,240 What are the two big benefits that you 449 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:38,510 keep hearing me spout about whether it's from Christian 450 00:19:38,510 --> 00:19:40,120 Catalini's paper or just-- 451 00:19:40,120 --> 00:19:40,890 Kelly? 452 00:19:40,890 --> 00:19:42,970 AUDIENCE: The cost of the network 453 00:19:42,970 --> 00:19:44,810 and then the cost of the verification. 454 00:19:44,810 --> 00:19:47,030 GARY GENSLER: Yeah, so verification cost 455 00:19:47,030 --> 00:19:48,150 and networking cost. 456 00:19:48,150 --> 00:19:49,817 We're not going to go back through this, 457 00:19:49,817 --> 00:19:57,150 but can lowering the verification cost address 458 00:19:57,150 --> 00:19:59,320 basically some of these pain points, 459 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,480 including this cybersecurity one? 460 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,210 And where does that fit together? 461 00:20:05,210 --> 00:20:06,690 I mean, Alon? 462 00:20:06,690 --> 00:20:11,820 AUDIENCE: I would add, does blockchain add problems? 463 00:20:11,820 --> 00:20:14,760 So it may solve some problem but add other problems. 464 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:17,890 And then we need to nab those problems and seize them. 465 00:20:21,370 --> 00:20:23,490 GARY GENSLER: You're ahead of me. 466 00:20:23,490 --> 00:20:24,670 No, no, it's good. 467 00:20:24,670 --> 00:20:26,020 It's good. 468 00:20:26,020 --> 00:20:27,820 In fact I'm going to go, challenges. 469 00:20:27,820 --> 00:20:29,560 Which problems you're going to add. 470 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:30,477 AUDIENCE: Scalability. 471 00:20:30,477 --> 00:20:31,560 GARY GENSLER: Scalability. 472 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:32,410 What other problems? 473 00:20:32,410 --> 00:20:34,950 Brodish I've heard from, over here. 474 00:20:34,950 --> 00:20:37,130 AUDIENCE: High transaction costs. 475 00:20:37,130 --> 00:20:41,290 GARY GENSLER: High transaction costs, one blockchain. 476 00:20:41,290 --> 00:20:44,080 AUDIENCE: Takes some days to process the transaction. 477 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:45,250 It's slow. 478 00:20:45,250 --> 00:20:46,630 GARY GENSLER: So it's slow. 479 00:20:46,630 --> 00:20:48,070 So scalability is slow. 480 00:20:48,070 --> 00:20:49,570 It might be high transaction costs. 481 00:20:49,570 --> 00:20:50,070 Alexis? 482 00:20:50,070 --> 00:20:51,480 AUDIENCE: And interoperability. 483 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:52,780 GARY GENSLER: Interoperability. 484 00:20:52,780 --> 00:20:53,970 So it's all our friends. 485 00:20:53,970 --> 00:20:54,860 Stephanie? 486 00:20:54,860 --> 00:20:57,538 AUDIENCE: There's also the issue of error resolution. 487 00:20:57,538 --> 00:20:58,830 GARY GENSLER: Error resolution. 488 00:20:58,830 --> 00:20:59,560 Good one. 489 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:01,160 AUDIENCE: Like when consumers are 490 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:04,300 trying to fix something wrong with like fraudulent card 491 00:21:04,300 --> 00:21:05,350 transaction or something. 492 00:21:05,350 --> 00:21:09,277 Like with blockchain, if it's immutable you can't do that. 493 00:21:09,277 --> 00:21:11,110 GARY GENSLER: Right, so it's this trade-off. 494 00:21:11,110 --> 00:21:14,890 It's a little bit like what Jack was saying about charge backs. 495 00:21:14,890 --> 00:21:17,770 From the customer's side there might be an actual error-- 496 00:21:17,770 --> 00:21:19,875 it's a different type of error, but an error, 497 00:21:19,875 --> 00:21:21,250 and I want to be able to say, I'm 498 00:21:21,250 --> 00:21:23,590 not taking the New York Times any longer. 499 00:21:23,590 --> 00:21:26,380 I'm sorry to the New York Times, I'm just picking. 500 00:21:26,380 --> 00:21:28,550 But you're saying there could be true error. 501 00:21:28,550 --> 00:21:29,640 Shimon, did you-- 502 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:31,600 AUDIENCE: Isn't like the core system 503 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:35,552 where we have these delays in, is that really technologically 504 00:21:35,552 --> 00:21:37,510 advance-- sort of a business issue in the sense 505 00:21:37,510 --> 00:21:43,670 that [INAUDIBLE] finality opens up a lot of exposure for fraud. 506 00:21:43,670 --> 00:21:46,150 So the core level that we see will probably 507 00:21:46,150 --> 00:21:51,270 go up a lot if someone could game the system, 508 00:21:51,270 --> 00:21:54,970 get their cash out at the same time. 509 00:21:54,970 --> 00:21:56,740 It'd be very hard to trace it back. 510 00:21:56,740 --> 00:22:00,780 GARY GENSLER: So Shimon's raising, 511 00:22:00,780 --> 00:22:03,090 maybe we have delayed settlement. 512 00:22:03,090 --> 00:22:05,970 Maybe we don't have immediate finality 513 00:22:05,970 --> 00:22:11,160 because as a market feature we want some delayed settlement 514 00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:15,030 to protect against fraud, to make sure that there's not 515 00:22:15,030 --> 00:22:16,650 errors as Stephanie says. 516 00:22:16,650 --> 00:22:21,750 Maybe there's a delay for business reasons. 517 00:22:21,750 --> 00:22:23,850 But-- Kelly? 518 00:22:23,850 --> 00:22:25,560 Now, anybody want to take the other side? 519 00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:27,185 I want somebody to take the other side. 520 00:22:27,185 --> 00:22:28,080 This Alin. 521 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:30,360 AUDIENCE: I mean, I'm biased, I'll admit it. 522 00:22:30,360 --> 00:22:33,510 But I think that basically that says 523 00:22:33,510 --> 00:22:35,400 let let's have an inferior system out there 524 00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,680 because it's good. 525 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:39,480 And it's like, yeah, I mean, I think 526 00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,880 to some extent you do want-- there are benefits 527 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:43,653 to having a delayed settlement. 528 00:22:43,653 --> 00:22:45,570 But there are also a lot of benefits on having 529 00:22:45,570 --> 00:22:48,360 finality, so why not have both? 530 00:22:48,360 --> 00:22:50,690 You don't need just have an inferior settlement 531 00:22:50,690 --> 00:22:53,670 kind of system out there and say, OK, this is established. 532 00:22:53,670 --> 00:22:56,665 You can also bring another solution right 533 00:22:56,665 --> 00:22:58,290 beside it that actually offers finality 534 00:22:58,290 --> 00:22:59,270 for people who want it. 535 00:22:59,270 --> 00:23:00,600 GARY GENSLER: All right, so if everybody remembers, 536 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,650 Alin works at the digital currency initiative. 537 00:23:02,650 --> 00:23:04,163 Used to work in payments. 538 00:23:04,163 --> 00:23:06,330 He's admitting he might have a little bit of a bias, 539 00:23:06,330 --> 00:23:09,720 but he's saying, fine, you want some delayed settlement. 540 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,940 But shouldn't we have an alternative? 541 00:23:11,940 --> 00:23:16,970 Because not every market will want delayed settlement. 542 00:23:16,970 --> 00:23:17,520 Eric? 543 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,080 AUDIENCE: Yeah, but I just wanted 544 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:22,590 to tie these two points of view to another challenge, which 545 00:23:22,590 --> 00:23:25,982 is the issues on the handling of governance. 546 00:23:25,982 --> 00:23:27,690 In the case of [INAUDIBLE],, for example, 547 00:23:27,690 --> 00:23:30,370 there's a little bit of more elaborate governance 548 00:23:30,370 --> 00:23:33,330 of the distributed arrangement of the blockchain. 549 00:23:33,330 --> 00:23:41,680 That decision between going from supposedly a theft close-- 550 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:42,450 a fork. 551 00:23:42,450 --> 00:23:46,440 So handling a centralized arrangement 552 00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,230 is much easier than a blockchain [INAUDIBLE].. 553 00:23:52,660 --> 00:23:54,680 GARY GENSLER: Rhys? 554 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,870 AUDIENCE: Another challenge is the government regulation 555 00:23:57,870 --> 00:24:01,820 on the anti money laundering and the [INAUDIBLE].. 556 00:24:01,820 --> 00:24:03,780 GARY GENSLER: Yeah, right. 557 00:24:03,780 --> 00:24:06,540 So-- Kelly? 558 00:24:06,540 --> 00:24:09,810 AUDIENCE: I'm not sure if this ties into the finality of it, 559 00:24:09,810 --> 00:24:13,170 but one of the articles talked a little bit about the fact 560 00:24:13,170 --> 00:24:16,320 that there is an issue with managing liquidity given 561 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,390 the speed of the transactions, especially 562 00:24:18,390 --> 00:24:21,120 at the corporate level where the value of the transactions 563 00:24:21,120 --> 00:24:22,510 are much higher. 564 00:24:22,510 --> 00:24:24,737 There's a bit of an opportunity cost trade-off there. 565 00:24:24,737 --> 00:24:25,570 GARY GENSLER: Right. 566 00:24:25,570 --> 00:24:28,400 So we're going to chat about that 567 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:31,830 in a minute about the liquidity in particularly 568 00:24:31,830 --> 00:24:37,320 using a cryptocurrency as a bridge between two fiat 569 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:37,890 currencies. 570 00:24:37,890 --> 00:24:40,470 But it has somewhat to do with the volatility 571 00:24:40,470 --> 00:24:43,200 of cryptocurrencies. 572 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:46,570 But I would say to this point about-- 573 00:24:46,570 --> 00:24:54,090 I'm coming back to Alin versus Dan, or Shimon, really-- 574 00:24:54,090 --> 00:24:58,110 sorry, different debate. 575 00:24:58,110 --> 00:25:02,460 I think that this new technology is coming along at a time 576 00:25:02,460 --> 00:25:06,990 where we can shorten settlement, and a lot 577 00:25:06,990 --> 00:25:10,950 of the delayed settlement in payments, in Wall Street, 578 00:25:10,950 --> 00:25:14,670 and securities we used to have that you would do equity trades 579 00:25:14,670 --> 00:25:17,940 transaction day plus five days. 580 00:25:17,940 --> 00:25:20,680 Before I was born, too, long time ago. 581 00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:23,430 Then it went to transaction day plus three. 582 00:25:23,430 --> 00:25:26,640 And in Europe they went to transaction plus two days-- 583 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,280 two days for settlement of securities trades 584 00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:32,070 somewhere 10 or 15 years ago, and the US caught up. 585 00:25:32,070 --> 00:25:37,170 The US was behind and just went to transaction plus two days. 586 00:25:37,170 --> 00:25:44,370 But I think technology could be t plus 0 in securities, 587 00:25:44,370 --> 00:25:49,140 and in payments you could go to real time payments. 588 00:25:49,140 --> 00:25:53,040 The US Federal Reserve had a big process 589 00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:57,810 where they got public comment, and they're 590 00:25:57,810 --> 00:26:02,460 moving towards what's called real time payments by 2020. 591 00:26:02,460 --> 00:26:05,520 Now, maybe it will be adopted in 2021 because it'll take longer 592 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:12,260 to roll out, but I think that technology does provide 593 00:26:12,260 --> 00:26:16,040 that it will be more options. 594 00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:17,690 And in some cases, the markets will 595 00:26:17,690 --> 00:26:21,740 stay with delayed settlement because it's just history, 596 00:26:21,740 --> 00:26:23,913 it's just legacy. 597 00:26:23,913 --> 00:26:26,080 And other times it will stay with delayed settlement 598 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:27,490 because they actually prefer it. 599 00:26:27,490 --> 00:26:30,190 I think in the securities world some people actually 600 00:26:30,190 --> 00:26:32,020 prefer delayed settlement. 601 00:26:32,020 --> 00:26:33,890 We'll talk about this in a few lectures, 602 00:26:33,890 --> 00:26:37,870 but they'd prefer it because it allows shorting of securities. 603 00:26:37,870 --> 00:26:40,120 When you actually borrow somebody else's security 604 00:26:40,120 --> 00:26:45,360 and sell it, you usually sell it before you borrow it. 605 00:26:45,360 --> 00:26:49,560 And so the whole parts of our capital markets 606 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,290 that are built around delayed settlement, 607 00:26:52,290 --> 00:26:56,880 because you usually sell, borrow, and settle rather 608 00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:58,580 than borrow, sell, and settle. 609 00:26:58,580 --> 00:27:00,330 AUDIENCE: So if you put securities lending 610 00:27:00,330 --> 00:27:03,540 on a blockchain, then you're able to immediately point 611 00:27:03,540 --> 00:27:06,840 to the varo that you get and trace that back. 612 00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:09,360 When you then have securities lending on a t0 613 00:27:09,360 --> 00:27:11,190 and you can short on t0, know exactly what 614 00:27:11,190 --> 00:27:13,280 securities will be borrowed? 615 00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:17,420 GARY GENSLER: I think that it is technically feasible to move 616 00:27:17,420 --> 00:27:22,160 stock borrow onto a blockchain. 617 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:23,700 I'm agreeing with that. 618 00:27:23,700 --> 00:27:26,390 But the question is whether the economics of that market-- 619 00:27:26,390 --> 00:27:29,330 whether the market participants want to actually arrange 620 00:27:29,330 --> 00:27:32,630 the borrow before they sell because currently 621 00:27:32,630 --> 00:27:35,060 they sell before they arrange the borrow. 622 00:27:35,060 --> 00:27:37,850 AUDIENCE: But they have to get the locate on that same day, 623 00:27:37,850 --> 00:27:39,380 right? 624 00:27:39,380 --> 00:27:43,190 GARY GENSLER: Well, when it's t plus 2 depending upon-- 625 00:27:43,190 --> 00:27:46,480 I'm sorry I'm speaking finance here, but maybe you'll help me. 626 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:49,460 AUDIENCE: Well we have to give-- 627 00:27:49,460 --> 00:27:51,460 I used to be in sales and training. 628 00:27:51,460 --> 00:27:53,460 We had to get a borrow, like a reference number, 629 00:27:53,460 --> 00:27:58,160 before someone shorted something so they couldn't short. 630 00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:01,930 I don't know if it's changed, so I don't know. 631 00:28:01,930 --> 00:28:03,560 GARY GENSLER: No, it might be that I'm 632 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:05,870 the old season dog that was-- now that you're 633 00:28:05,870 --> 00:28:07,340 saying they're tighter. 634 00:28:07,340 --> 00:28:07,940 But-- 635 00:28:07,940 --> 00:28:09,940 AUDIENCE: If a client wanted to short something, 636 00:28:09,940 --> 00:28:14,270 they would call me, and then I'd have to call the market maker, 637 00:28:14,270 --> 00:28:16,570 get a borrow, get a reference number. 638 00:28:16,570 --> 00:28:18,710 And they would carve off that amount, whatever 639 00:28:18,710 --> 00:28:20,420 they wanted to borrow, so it wasn't 640 00:28:20,420 --> 00:28:21,830 available for anyone else. 641 00:28:21,830 --> 00:28:23,270 Then they sold it. 642 00:28:23,270 --> 00:28:24,510 So it was like-- 643 00:28:24,510 --> 00:28:26,668 it was done on a ledger, but yeah. 644 00:28:26,668 --> 00:28:29,210 GARY GENSLER: So the market may already be moving towards it. 645 00:28:29,210 --> 00:28:30,680 AUDIENCE: So I work in the securities lending desk 646 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:31,952 that he used to call. 647 00:28:31,952 --> 00:28:32,910 That's what I'm saying. 648 00:28:35,730 --> 00:28:38,690 And that came into effect after 2008 649 00:28:38,690 --> 00:28:40,090 with the no naked short selling. 650 00:28:40,090 --> 00:28:42,097 And so then you had to get the locate on teaser 651 00:28:42,097 --> 00:28:43,680 on the same exact day that you borrow. 652 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:47,058 But you didn't actually need to borrow the stocks until t3. 653 00:28:47,058 --> 00:28:49,100 GARY GENSLER: So you just had to have the locate. 654 00:28:49,100 --> 00:28:50,810 AUDIENCE: You just need to have a good locate on it. 655 00:28:50,810 --> 00:28:52,130 AUDIENCE: So you couldn't double lend. 656 00:28:52,130 --> 00:28:53,672 AUDIENCE: But I guess my question was 657 00:28:53,672 --> 00:28:55,400 if you moved that securities lending 658 00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:58,250 transaction to a blockchain, you could immediately borrow it 659 00:28:58,250 --> 00:28:59,820 and be able to trace that. 660 00:28:59,820 --> 00:29:01,435 And then when it came against recall-- 661 00:29:01,435 --> 00:29:02,810 GARY GENSLER: So for those of you 662 00:29:02,810 --> 00:29:05,600 that are not as close to the world of finance, and stock 663 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,470 loan, and stock borrow, the point of the discussion 664 00:29:09,470 --> 00:29:16,830 is that markets have evolved built upon delayed settlement. 665 00:29:16,830 --> 00:29:18,390 And the delayed settlement may well 666 00:29:18,390 --> 00:29:21,180 have been because they all evolved from paper, not 667 00:29:21,180 --> 00:29:22,860 computer days. 668 00:29:22,860 --> 00:29:25,560 So we had authorization, clearing, settling 669 00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:27,600 in the payment world, but in stock 670 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:33,330 borrow you had to actually locate a security to sell. 671 00:29:33,330 --> 00:29:35,310 It sounds like there's some market evolution 672 00:29:35,310 --> 00:29:38,910 post-2008 that you actually had to add an identifier, 673 00:29:38,910 --> 00:29:40,890 though you didn't have to borrow. 674 00:29:40,890 --> 00:29:45,510 My point is that all of this can be put on a blockchain, 675 00:29:45,510 --> 00:29:48,630 but there's also economic market realities 676 00:29:48,630 --> 00:29:51,240 as to whether somebody wants to. 677 00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:52,980 And I think, let's see, if you're 678 00:29:52,980 --> 00:29:57,630 Dan you don't want charge backs but Jack still wants them. 679 00:29:57,630 --> 00:30:00,210 And in the delayed settlement Shimon 680 00:30:00,210 --> 00:30:02,670 wants to keep his delayed settlement, 681 00:30:02,670 --> 00:30:05,200 and Alin wants to go the other way. 682 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:10,580 And I suspect that in some markets, let's go with Dan 683 00:30:10,580 --> 00:30:15,490 and Alin are together, that finality will be important. 684 00:30:15,490 --> 00:30:17,610 And what blockchain allows, it allows 685 00:30:17,610 --> 00:30:24,270 for the economics of finality to be a fair debate in a sense. 686 00:30:24,270 --> 00:30:27,840 A level whereas in the past you couldn't even 687 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:33,310 have the debate because it was so paper intensive. 688 00:30:33,310 --> 00:30:36,280 So blockchain changes that economics. 689 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:38,035 Let me go back a slide to say why-- 690 00:30:42,100 --> 00:30:44,450 what are the possible suitability 691 00:30:44,450 --> 00:30:49,390 of payments to the blockchain technology world? 692 00:30:49,390 --> 00:30:51,190 And these were some that I threw out. 693 00:30:51,190 --> 00:30:54,100 Payment systems use ledgers. 694 00:30:54,100 --> 00:30:55,800 Geez all right, that's the sweet spot. 695 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:57,140 They use ledgers. 696 00:30:57,140 --> 00:30:59,120 In fact, that's what Satoshi Nakamoto 697 00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:00,980 started this whole thing on. 698 00:31:00,980 --> 00:31:03,890 Multiple parties certainly want to read, 699 00:31:03,890 --> 00:31:06,050 and in a lot of circumstances multiple parties 700 00:31:06,050 --> 00:31:07,650 want to write to the ledger. 701 00:31:07,650 --> 00:31:11,670 Like actually record to the ledger. 702 00:31:11,670 --> 00:31:13,580 So it's kind of right in the middle of this. 703 00:31:13,580 --> 00:31:15,990 You might be able to lower verification costs, 704 00:31:15,990 --> 00:31:18,500 but more importantly verification costs 705 00:31:18,500 --> 00:31:22,380 are really critical to the economics of payment. 706 00:31:22,380 --> 00:31:26,610 That you have the money that you say you have, or the value. 707 00:31:26,610 --> 00:31:30,870 You're sending it to this account and not that account. 708 00:31:30,870 --> 00:31:32,790 So in a sense, I look at this and I go, 709 00:31:32,790 --> 00:31:41,650 this feels like fertile ground that hasn't yet been plowed. 710 00:31:41,650 --> 00:31:44,440 Because 10 year anniversary-- 711 00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:52,030 or birthday-- we're still not there. 712 00:31:52,030 --> 00:31:53,800 But any other thoughts? 713 00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:55,360 I mean, micro payments is another, 714 00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:56,907 but Alin, you're the expert. 715 00:31:56,907 --> 00:31:58,990 AUDIENCE: Yeah, I mean, the one thing that I think 716 00:31:58,990 --> 00:32:01,810 is exciting to some of the folks in the DCI, myself included, 717 00:32:01,810 --> 00:32:03,310 is the fact that we can attach codes 718 00:32:03,310 --> 00:32:05,890 to these movements of value. 719 00:32:05,890 --> 00:32:09,770 So you can program these chunks of money. 720 00:32:09,770 --> 00:32:12,040 GARY GENSLER: And are you saying attach code 721 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:14,650 to identify it's Kelly's payment, 722 00:32:14,650 --> 00:32:17,890 or it's James' payment, or are you saying identify code 723 00:32:17,890 --> 00:32:20,110 in the form of smart contracts? 724 00:32:20,110 --> 00:32:22,210 AUDIENCE: Basically it's smart contract. 725 00:32:22,210 --> 00:32:23,770 Just say, hey, you know what, I'm 726 00:32:23,770 --> 00:32:27,600 going to release the funds of this individual side 727 00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:29,350 and this individual side at the same time, 728 00:32:29,350 --> 00:32:30,767 and then you get the money, right? 729 00:32:30,767 --> 00:32:33,640 And that adds an additional layer of complexity 730 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,790 that traditional payments of the Visa, MasterCard variety 731 00:32:36,790 --> 00:32:38,140 don't have. 732 00:32:38,140 --> 00:32:42,190 So you get a whole new layer, for lack of a better word, 733 00:32:42,190 --> 00:32:43,950 of possibilities. 734 00:32:43,950 --> 00:32:46,173 When you start adding, OK, I'm going 735 00:32:46,173 --> 00:32:47,590 to I'm going to give you something 736 00:32:47,590 --> 00:32:49,840 if it's sunny outside. 737 00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,868 OK, we can make that happen real time. 738 00:32:52,868 --> 00:32:54,410 GARY GENSLER: We didn't have a real-- 739 00:32:54,410 --> 00:32:56,980 AUDIENCE: Would that eliminate some cost and-- 740 00:32:56,980 --> 00:32:58,850 I mean, with the Visas and whatnot? 741 00:32:58,850 --> 00:33:02,380 GARY GENSLER: Can you say a little louder just so we-- 742 00:33:02,380 --> 00:33:05,050 AUDIENCE: I get his point, yes, but I 743 00:33:05,050 --> 00:33:08,290 mean, it will eliminate the trust issue, 744 00:33:08,290 --> 00:33:11,620 which is with the Visa? 745 00:33:11,620 --> 00:33:13,840 GARY GENSLER: I'm not sure I get why. 746 00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:16,330 AUDIENCE: The cost, and the transaction movement, 747 00:33:16,330 --> 00:33:18,430 and the validation. 748 00:33:18,430 --> 00:33:19,810 Wouldn't that be eliminated? 749 00:33:19,810 --> 00:33:21,850 Yes, you have a smart contract. 750 00:33:21,850 --> 00:33:23,295 It's adding a layer. 751 00:33:23,295 --> 00:33:26,260 But on the other hand, it's eliminating some layers 752 00:33:26,260 --> 00:33:28,050 from the other process, as well. 753 00:33:28,050 --> 00:33:30,050 AUDIENCE: Yeah, so assuming-- 754 00:33:30,050 --> 00:33:32,090 so the onus is on the technologies 755 00:33:32,090 --> 00:33:34,660 that build this to make sure that you don't lose 756 00:33:34,660 --> 00:33:36,580 functionality that you have in a Visa world 757 00:33:36,580 --> 00:33:39,490 because otherwise nobody would use this whole new way of doing 758 00:33:39,490 --> 00:33:40,135 payments. 759 00:33:40,135 --> 00:33:41,510 So it's assumed that you may take 760 00:33:41,510 --> 00:33:45,100 part of what the technology offers and then add 761 00:33:45,100 --> 00:33:46,872 additional functionality. 762 00:33:46,872 --> 00:33:48,580 GARY GENSLER: I'm going to say I'm pretty 763 00:33:48,580 --> 00:33:50,500 relaxed about the open laptops. 764 00:33:50,500 --> 00:33:54,160 I get less relaxed about people texting during class, 765 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:56,980 and I know that we're all multitaskers. 766 00:33:56,980 --> 00:34:00,188 But I'm the most relaxed you can imagine, 767 00:34:00,188 --> 00:34:02,230 but I'm starting to get a little on my edge here. 768 00:34:02,230 --> 00:34:02,740 Tom? 769 00:34:02,740 --> 00:34:04,550 AUDIENCE: So I get that blockchain 770 00:34:04,550 --> 00:34:07,930 allows for smart contracts, and it's obviously 771 00:34:07,930 --> 00:34:09,833 a much more brute force system where 772 00:34:09,833 --> 00:34:11,500 you're talking about like attaching code 773 00:34:11,500 --> 00:34:13,120 or the payments are automated. 774 00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:16,150 I think of like I set up an automatic payment of my cable 775 00:34:16,150 --> 00:34:16,889 bill every month. 776 00:34:16,889 --> 00:34:20,860 And so it's like as soon as that payment comes to me, 777 00:34:20,860 --> 00:34:22,600 I pre-authorize it to go through. 778 00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:28,989 So why can't you, in a non-blockchain setting, 779 00:34:28,989 --> 00:34:31,730 establish basically a smart contract that's got some more-- 780 00:34:31,730 --> 00:34:33,730 GARY GENSLER: A conditional payment? 781 00:34:33,730 --> 00:34:34,730 AUDIENCE: Right. 782 00:34:34,730 --> 00:34:37,010 So do you have to have a blockchain 783 00:34:37,010 --> 00:34:39,257 to have a smart contract? 784 00:34:39,257 --> 00:34:41,090 AUDIENCE: Sorry, if I could respond to that. 785 00:34:41,090 --> 00:34:43,540 One of the coolest use cases that I've heard-- 786 00:34:43,540 --> 00:34:45,889 and I'm not going to name any entities, but you know, 787 00:34:45,889 --> 00:34:49,280 this blockchain-based let's say company 788 00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,100 for lack of a better word who wants to pay their employees. 789 00:34:52,100 --> 00:34:54,949 And I said, look, you join me here now, 790 00:34:54,949 --> 00:34:57,777 we're going to make a smart contract that basically 791 00:34:57,777 --> 00:35:00,110 is going to pay you for your services for the next three 792 00:35:00,110 --> 00:35:01,170 years period. 793 00:35:01,170 --> 00:35:01,670 That's it. 794 00:35:01,670 --> 00:35:04,410 There's no additional at such a such frequency. 795 00:35:04,410 --> 00:35:06,500 And we sign a contract now and that's it. 796 00:35:06,500 --> 00:35:07,850 You're going to get paid, right? 797 00:35:07,850 --> 00:35:10,550 And then you start working and you actually 798 00:35:10,550 --> 00:35:12,680 have a very ensured way that I will get 799 00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:16,140 paid that nobody can stop it. 800 00:35:16,140 --> 00:35:17,677 Today you don't have that. 801 00:35:17,677 --> 00:35:19,760 There are many things that will happen-- you know, 802 00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:21,460 management happens, you know, whatever 803 00:35:21,460 --> 00:35:23,960 happens I can find a way to-- got to get around all of that, 804 00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:24,980 right? 805 00:35:24,980 --> 00:35:26,480 That's kind of useful to make sure 806 00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:28,563 that, hey, I'm going to get paid for [INAUDIBLE].. 807 00:35:28,563 --> 00:35:29,560 That's useful. 808 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,240 AUDIENCE: Do you have to then put aside-- 809 00:35:32,240 --> 00:35:34,340 like if I am your employer, I have 810 00:35:34,340 --> 00:35:38,110 to put that three years worth of salary into a lockbox 811 00:35:38,110 --> 00:35:40,360 and I can't do anything with it for those three years? 812 00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:41,610 AUDIENCE: Yeah, if you're escrowing 813 00:35:41,610 --> 00:35:42,527 three years more work. 814 00:35:42,527 --> 00:35:46,013 AUDIENCE: It's a limitation. 815 00:35:46,013 --> 00:35:47,180 All of this is a limitation. 816 00:35:47,180 --> 00:35:48,750 It's not like you suddenly have free money, 817 00:35:48,750 --> 00:35:50,330 it's all good for everyone, right? 818 00:35:50,330 --> 00:35:52,790 But there are useful things that show up-- usable things 819 00:35:52,790 --> 00:35:53,990 that we never thought about. 820 00:35:53,990 --> 00:35:55,490 So I think all I'm saying that there 821 00:35:55,490 --> 00:35:56,765 are a lot of possibilities. 822 00:35:56,765 --> 00:35:58,760 And I don't know the right use case for it. 823 00:35:58,760 --> 00:35:59,870 And I don't know, it's just an example 824 00:35:59,870 --> 00:36:02,465 that I thought was like, that's pretty cool, I could use this. 825 00:36:02,465 --> 00:36:03,590 But you know, you're right. 826 00:36:03,590 --> 00:36:04,850 I mean, there are many implications. 827 00:36:04,850 --> 00:36:07,070 But just the very fact that you have a whole new area 828 00:36:07,070 --> 00:36:09,510 to explore, to me that's exciting. 829 00:36:09,510 --> 00:36:11,655 Like we've seen what the system does. 830 00:36:11,655 --> 00:36:12,530 We've seen it, right? 831 00:36:12,530 --> 00:36:15,530 Like we bank 90% of the people. 832 00:36:15,530 --> 00:36:17,423 If you're in the 10%, that's kind of sucky. 833 00:36:17,423 --> 00:36:19,590 But for the [INAUDIBLE],, this kind of works, right? 834 00:36:19,590 --> 00:36:22,500 You know, you have deep lines too, it's awesome, right? 835 00:36:22,500 --> 00:36:24,830 But we've hit the ceiling of what 836 00:36:24,830 --> 00:36:26,528 we can do with this system. 837 00:36:26,528 --> 00:36:28,070 Maybe there's an additional approach. 838 00:36:28,070 --> 00:36:29,300 Let's see what happens there. 839 00:36:29,300 --> 00:36:30,925 GARY GENSLER: I invited Alin because we 840 00:36:30,925 --> 00:36:36,110 needed a little bit more maximalism in the room 841 00:36:36,110 --> 00:36:37,730 I'm sorry, James? 842 00:36:37,730 --> 00:36:40,100 AUDIENCE: But think back to the point earlier, 843 00:36:40,100 --> 00:36:41,930 it's do we really need blockchain 844 00:36:41,930 --> 00:36:46,420 to do a lot of the stuff that smart contracts promised to do? 845 00:36:46,420 --> 00:36:47,822 I mean, I set up my-- 846 00:36:47,822 --> 00:36:49,280 in the UK, our system [INAUDIBLE].. 847 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,470 That happens, that just disappeared from my account 848 00:36:51,470 --> 00:36:53,490 at a certain time period. 849 00:36:53,490 --> 00:36:55,680 Doesn't involve blockchain. 850 00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:58,630 I could see some benefits of blockchain, but again, 851 00:36:58,630 --> 00:37:01,410 a lot of the smart contracts, can we 852 00:37:01,410 --> 00:37:03,210 not already use existing systems, 853 00:37:03,210 --> 00:37:04,442 make those systems better? 854 00:37:04,442 --> 00:37:06,400 But this goes back to the whole payment system. 855 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:09,810 There are a lot of players in the field that 856 00:37:09,810 --> 00:37:13,786 haven't been innovating the last 20 years, what we read. 857 00:37:13,786 --> 00:37:17,460 But can they not make existing systems so much better 858 00:37:17,460 --> 00:37:18,742 without the use of blockchain? 859 00:37:18,742 --> 00:37:20,700 GARY GENSLER: So the question is, do you really 860 00:37:20,700 --> 00:37:22,260 need blockchain or is it just going 861 00:37:22,260 --> 00:37:25,500 to be a catalyst for sort of the legacy systems to kind of 862 00:37:25,500 --> 00:37:29,400 do what they otherwise technologically could have done 863 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:34,680 but it's a kind of sharp kick in the backside to kind of do 864 00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:36,147 a little bit better? 865 00:37:36,147 --> 00:37:37,980 AUDIENCE: That's a really good point, right? 866 00:37:37,980 --> 00:37:40,250 That's something that we debate a lot about them. 867 00:37:40,250 --> 00:37:42,332 And it actually is as we sit now, 868 00:37:42,332 --> 00:37:44,790 it's absolutely possible that this would be the way, right? 869 00:37:44,790 --> 00:37:47,402 So one example that shows up frequently is BitTorrent. 870 00:37:47,402 --> 00:37:49,360 So BitTorrent, for those of you who don't know, 871 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,575 it's a way in which you share video online and nobody-- 872 00:37:52,575 --> 00:37:54,520 it has a lot of problems with it, 873 00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:57,850 but it catalyzed and change the entire distribution of media, 874 00:37:57,850 --> 00:37:58,683 right? 875 00:37:58,683 --> 00:38:00,600 It has a lot of problems so it didn't work out 876 00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,450 the way folks thought it would, but it still kind of changed 877 00:38:03,450 --> 00:38:04,523 the whole industry. 878 00:38:04,523 --> 00:38:06,440 And it is absolutely possible that blockchains 879 00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,010 will take that path. 880 00:38:08,010 --> 00:38:10,565 It's unclear now, but it's absolutely possible. 881 00:38:10,565 --> 00:38:11,940 GARY GENSLER: So blockchain could 882 00:38:11,940 --> 00:38:14,520 be just a catalyst like BitTorrent was, 883 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:19,520 and then all of a sudden at the end of the day we got Apple-- 884 00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:21,740 what do they call it? 885 00:38:21,740 --> 00:38:23,360 Apple Store, thank you. 886 00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:26,497 But Zan, were you're trying to-- 887 00:38:26,497 --> 00:38:28,580 AUDIENCE: Yeah well, I was going to build on that. 888 00:38:28,580 --> 00:38:30,560 I think I've already seen that happening. 889 00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:33,650 Like I was looking into Swift recently 890 00:38:33,650 --> 00:38:36,350 and I think after blockchain in the past few years 891 00:38:36,350 --> 00:38:39,680 they launched the Global Payments Innovation Initiative. 892 00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,050 Which seems like, all right, we recognize 893 00:38:42,050 --> 00:38:44,300 that our infrastructure is legacy 894 00:38:44,300 --> 00:38:47,235 and we need to do something to kind of keep current. 895 00:38:47,235 --> 00:38:49,110 And they've spent and invested a ton of money 896 00:38:49,110 --> 00:38:52,430 in unifying standards across the messaging platform 897 00:38:52,430 --> 00:38:53,950 and making it much easier to use. 898 00:38:53,950 --> 00:38:57,080 So not a blockchain solution, but has certainly 899 00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:57,663 been an event. 900 00:38:57,663 --> 00:38:59,955 GARY GENSLER: Right, so it's been a catalyst for Swift. 901 00:38:59,955 --> 00:39:01,520 Ripple has been a catalyst for Swift 902 00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:03,750 that we're going to talk about in a minute, 903 00:39:03,750 --> 00:39:05,420 but others have been as well. 904 00:39:05,420 --> 00:39:07,430 But I still would challenge the group-- 905 00:39:07,430 --> 00:39:09,860 and it's sort of what we're all trying to do here-- 906 00:39:09,860 --> 00:39:14,030 are there still opportunities that an append-only log, 907 00:39:14,030 --> 00:39:17,660 that you're appending, you're adding information 908 00:39:17,660 --> 00:39:23,660 to the registry or the ledger, you're not deleting it-- 909 00:39:23,660 --> 00:39:25,040 well, this is going to be good-- 910 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:28,250 and you need a consensus of multiple parties writing 911 00:39:28,250 --> 00:39:29,810 to the ledger. 912 00:39:29,810 --> 00:39:31,328 A special guest. 913 00:39:31,328 --> 00:39:32,552 AUDIENCE: Hi, it's Sri. 914 00:39:32,552 --> 00:39:33,650 Many of you know me. 915 00:39:33,650 --> 00:39:36,040 GARY GENSLER: Sri many people might now 916 00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:38,985 is Priya's significant other-- husband, I think. 917 00:39:38,985 --> 00:39:40,610 AUDIENCE: But that's not why he's here. 918 00:39:40,610 --> 00:39:42,320 GARY GENSLER: He's not here-- he's here as a payment expert. 919 00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:44,530 AUDIENCE: No, that's the reason why I'm here. 920 00:39:44,530 --> 00:39:45,800 GARY GENSLER: No, but you are a payment-- 921 00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:46,420 do you want to introduce-- 922 00:39:46,420 --> 00:39:47,837 AUDIENCE: Well, I'm not an expert. 923 00:39:47,837 --> 00:39:50,480 I work for MasterCard, and I happen 924 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:51,890 to be Pria's husband, as well. 925 00:39:54,450 --> 00:39:56,477 I've been in this industry for a few years. 926 00:39:56,477 --> 00:39:57,310 AUDIENCE: Priceless. 927 00:39:57,310 --> 00:39:58,690 AUDIENCE: Price? 928 00:39:58,690 --> 00:39:59,700 AUDIENCE: Priceless. 929 00:39:59,700 --> 00:40:00,533 AUDIENCE: Priceless. 930 00:40:00,533 --> 00:40:02,052 Exactly, we're still running that. 931 00:40:02,052 --> 00:40:04,010 GARY GENSLER: So you're at MasterCard payments, 932 00:40:04,010 --> 00:40:06,800 and give us your thoughts on this. 933 00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:09,020 AUDIENCE: So I'm actually in the opposite camp 934 00:40:09,020 --> 00:40:12,050 from this blockchain and cryptocurrency 935 00:40:12,050 --> 00:40:14,130 for a few reasons. 936 00:40:14,130 --> 00:40:16,140 GARY GENSLER: So you're in a minimalist camp? 937 00:40:16,140 --> 00:40:20,120 AUDIENCE: You can call it minimalist. 938 00:40:20,120 --> 00:40:21,830 I believe that you can do everything 939 00:40:21,830 --> 00:40:25,280 that blockchain promises it does using the currency 940 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:28,520 systems we have. 941 00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:30,420 There are a couple of reasons for that. 942 00:40:30,420 --> 00:40:33,580 Number one is crypto is expensive average 943 00:40:33,580 --> 00:40:35,060 per transaction. 944 00:40:35,060 --> 00:40:37,790 You can always secure transactions 945 00:40:37,790 --> 00:40:42,090 in systems we have today using technologies that exist, 946 00:40:42,090 --> 00:40:45,300 but you don't need to have a Bitcoin or a blockchain, 947 00:40:45,300 --> 00:40:47,250 as an example. 948 00:40:47,250 --> 00:40:49,070 So interlockability that you're talking 949 00:40:49,070 --> 00:40:53,360 about when it comes to Bitcoin and the other kind 950 00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:55,610 of advantages about distributed measures, 951 00:40:55,610 --> 00:40:58,160 everything can be accomplished through the systems 952 00:40:58,160 --> 00:40:59,480 we have today. 953 00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:03,500 They just don't choose to do it because it's expensive, 954 00:41:03,500 --> 00:41:06,560 and it will be expensive when you scale blockchain 955 00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:10,180 to the millions of people in other industries you have. 956 00:41:10,180 --> 00:41:11,860 It will become expensive there, as well. 957 00:41:15,900 --> 00:41:20,960 So the two main things that are important in payment systems 958 00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:23,690 are acceptance and scale. 959 00:41:23,690 --> 00:41:25,100 Simple. 960 00:41:25,100 --> 00:41:29,160 If you achieve the acceptance and scale to blockchain, sure. 961 00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:31,410 That'll work, and everybody will be using blockchains, 962 00:41:31,410 --> 00:41:33,410 and Bitcoins, and it'll all work. 963 00:41:33,410 --> 00:41:36,530 The problem is it's taken us 40 years 964 00:41:36,530 --> 00:41:39,550 to achieve acceptance of scale with Visa and MasterCard, 965 00:41:39,550 --> 00:41:42,290 and [INAUDIBLE] of this whole ecosystem. 966 00:41:42,290 --> 00:41:44,090 It's taken a long time. 967 00:41:44,090 --> 00:41:45,650 And it's working. 968 00:41:45,650 --> 00:41:48,710 And if you want to replace that with this new system 969 00:41:48,710 --> 00:41:52,050 and achieve the same level of acceptance and scale, 970 00:41:52,050 --> 00:41:55,130 think about how big of an effort that is. 971 00:41:55,130 --> 00:41:56,620 It's almost impossible. 972 00:41:56,620 --> 00:41:59,270 And the amount of dollars you would have to spend on that, 973 00:41:59,270 --> 00:42:00,710 why? 974 00:42:00,710 --> 00:42:03,950 GARY GENSLER: So I see a few people want to take-- 975 00:42:03,950 --> 00:42:06,460 Hugo are you going to take the other side? 976 00:42:06,460 --> 00:42:08,033 AUDIENCE: I can start, sure. 977 00:42:08,033 --> 00:42:09,950 GARY GENSLER: And then we're going to move on, 978 00:42:09,950 --> 00:42:12,320 but I want to hear the other side. 979 00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:14,960 And I thank you for being willing to speak up, 980 00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:16,620 because it's really helpful. 981 00:42:16,620 --> 00:42:20,640 And I don't know your role at MasterCard, but it's just-- 982 00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:21,140 what's that? 983 00:42:21,140 --> 00:42:22,220 AUDIENCE: Product management. 984 00:42:22,220 --> 00:42:23,600 GARY GENSLER: Product management. 985 00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:27,068 But you're speaking for yourself personally or MasterCard? 986 00:42:27,068 --> 00:42:29,360 AUDIENCE: MasterCard is dabbling in blockchain as well, 987 00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,212 so I'm speaking for personally. 988 00:42:32,212 --> 00:42:33,920 GARY GENSLER: Because MasterCard actually 989 00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:37,010 filed a patent with the US Patent Office 990 00:42:37,010 --> 00:42:40,570 for crypto fractional banking. 991 00:42:40,570 --> 00:42:45,200 And Bank of America has 43 patents in the crypto space, 992 00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:47,390 and Visa's filed for patents in the book. 993 00:42:47,390 --> 00:42:51,200 So you have Visa, Bank of America MasterCard, 994 00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:56,090 and others filing for patents on blockchain fractional banking 995 00:42:56,090 --> 00:42:57,330 payments and so forth. 996 00:42:57,330 --> 00:43:00,650 So it's sort of an interesting side. 997 00:43:00,650 --> 00:43:04,130 We'll get established Professor Lessig. 998 00:43:04,130 --> 00:43:05,840 AUDIENCE: Just one qualification on this. 999 00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:09,320 It kind of depends on who you are right now. 1000 00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:14,300 I mean, because this is all true as a description of banking 1001 00:43:14,300 --> 00:43:16,640 in the developed world, but to the extent 1002 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:18,650 you're talking about these transactions 1003 00:43:18,650 --> 00:43:22,580 outside the developed world then the coefficients 1004 00:43:22,580 --> 00:43:25,170 on these variables changes significantly. 1005 00:43:25,170 --> 00:43:29,120 So if you have no reliable legal infrastructure, 1006 00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:32,150 then blockchain technology becomes a real plus 1007 00:43:32,150 --> 00:43:33,680 relative to a world where you have 1008 00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:38,240 a very reliable infrastructure, which is obviously developed. 1009 00:43:38,240 --> 00:43:40,280 GARY GENSLER: So what Larry shared 1010 00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,800 with us is, well, there's a lot of different countries-- 1011 00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:44,015 180. 1012 00:43:44,015 --> 00:43:47,190 There's 1.7 billion people still not banked in the world. 1013 00:43:47,190 --> 00:43:50,240 Half of sub-Saharan Africa, for instance. 1014 00:43:50,240 --> 00:43:53,840 So there is still a challenge there. 1015 00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:55,070 I'm sorry, Hugo, we-- 1016 00:43:55,070 --> 00:43:57,630 AUDIENCE: I was going to say something similar. 1017 00:43:57,630 --> 00:43:59,727 Like I appreciate the argument but it 1018 00:43:59,727 --> 00:44:01,810 kind of sounds like, it's not broke, don't fix it. 1019 00:44:01,810 --> 00:44:05,000 Like we've spent so much money building this system. 1020 00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:07,160 So you know it works now, but like, 1021 00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:09,590 let's not look at what technological innovation can 1022 00:44:09,590 --> 00:44:10,090 add. 1023 00:44:10,090 --> 00:44:11,882 AUDIENCE: Well no, that's not what I meant. 1024 00:44:11,882 --> 00:44:16,640 What I meant was it's not if it's not broken, don't fix it. 1025 00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:21,020 We have achieved so much in the payments world over the past 40 1026 00:44:21,020 --> 00:44:22,340 years. 1027 00:44:22,340 --> 00:44:27,430 Improve it while maintaining the goodness of the infrastructure 1028 00:44:27,430 --> 00:44:30,080 that exists today, instead of blockchain is just a rip 1029 00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:33,890 and replace the whole thing which doesn't solve a purpose. 1030 00:44:33,890 --> 00:44:34,580 AUDIENCE: Sure. 1031 00:44:34,580 --> 00:44:38,990 I don't think that blockchain is the, like, one stop shop 1032 00:44:38,990 --> 00:44:40,280 for everything. 1033 00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,530 I'm more on the Bitcoin maximalist side 1034 00:44:42,530 --> 00:44:46,850 where I think, sure, if you have a global currency where you can 1035 00:44:46,850 --> 00:44:52,100 go anywhere, and use it, and it's self-sovereign 1036 00:44:52,100 --> 00:44:55,560 and you can do all that, that would be great. 1037 00:44:55,560 --> 00:45:01,490 I know like MasterCard and Visa have an interest in saying, 1038 00:45:01,490 --> 00:45:03,590 well, we've spent so much money, you 1039 00:45:03,590 --> 00:45:06,120 can use MasterCard and Visa in most places in the world. 1040 00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:11,810 But what happens if you go into the middle of some village 1041 00:45:11,810 --> 00:45:15,120 in India or sub-Saharan Africa or wherever, 1042 00:45:15,120 --> 00:45:17,540 and they don't take a credit card. 1043 00:45:17,540 --> 00:45:21,290 But they have a cell phone with a Bitcoin wallet, 1044 00:45:21,290 --> 00:45:22,670 I can still transact there. 1045 00:45:22,670 --> 00:45:24,075 And yeah. 1046 00:45:24,075 --> 00:45:27,045 AUDIENCE: You can transact with a real currency, also. 1047 00:45:27,045 --> 00:45:29,060 AUDIENCE: Right, but then they have 1048 00:45:29,060 --> 00:45:32,870 to go through the process of changing that and [INAUDIBLE].. 1049 00:45:32,870 --> 00:45:36,263 GARY GENSLER: So let's take Brodish and then we'll-- 1050 00:45:36,263 --> 00:45:37,680 this is a good debate, by the way. 1051 00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,090 AUDIENCE: Since the discussion came to India, so-- 1052 00:45:40,090 --> 00:45:41,184 [LAUGHTER] 1053 00:45:41,184 --> 00:45:43,886 GARY GENSLER: So we have our expert now. 1054 00:45:43,886 --> 00:45:47,570 AUDIENCE: So there could be a third solution, as well. 1055 00:45:47,570 --> 00:45:50,860 So we have once we're in the readings of the last class, 1056 00:45:50,860 --> 00:45:54,110 as well, the united payment interests in India, 1057 00:45:54,110 --> 00:45:56,630 which is not a blockchain solution. 1058 00:45:56,630 --> 00:45:59,270 So the government of India has actually 1059 00:45:59,270 --> 00:46:02,330 promoted a new entity called a payment bank, which 1060 00:46:02,330 --> 00:46:04,790 is like a no frills, no service kind of bank 1061 00:46:04,790 --> 00:46:08,540 to promote financial inclusion. 1062 00:46:08,540 --> 00:46:11,600 And based on that, just using a unique identification number 1063 00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:14,700 and just a mobile device you can make any sort of payments 1064 00:46:14,700 --> 00:46:16,340 of any denomination. 1065 00:46:16,340 --> 00:46:20,740 It can be very, very local currency as well, 1066 00:46:20,740 --> 00:46:23,480 and you can do all of that at real time basis 1067 00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:25,320 without any of these intermediaries. 1068 00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:27,410 And those are low cost transactions 1069 00:46:27,410 --> 00:46:30,452 without leveraging on the blockchain technology. 1070 00:46:30,452 --> 00:46:32,410 AUDIENCE: So what you need an [INAUDIBLE] card? 1071 00:46:32,410 --> 00:46:34,990 AUDIENCE: You need a [INAUDIBLE] card, which is more than-- 1072 00:46:34,990 --> 00:46:37,747 it's more than 95% coverage in the country. 1073 00:46:37,747 --> 00:46:39,330 AUDIENCE: What's the name of the card? 1074 00:46:39,330 --> 00:46:42,460 Just like, do you need some form of identification? 1075 00:46:42,460 --> 00:46:44,640 GARY GENSLER: So India's really been 1076 00:46:44,640 --> 00:46:48,840 at the cutting edge in the last, say, two to three years 1077 00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:51,020 partly because they could leapfrog 1078 00:46:51,020 --> 00:46:52,430 some of the card rails. 1079 00:46:52,430 --> 00:46:56,270 There was not broad adoption or access 1080 00:46:56,270 --> 00:46:59,930 Sri has talked about in India for credit cards. 1081 00:46:59,930 --> 00:47:02,850 And so similar to what we saw in Kenya 1082 00:47:02,850 --> 00:47:06,230 And we talked about on Tuesday in China 1083 00:47:06,230 --> 00:47:11,090 where companies, private sector, leapfrogged, 1084 00:47:11,090 --> 00:47:13,550 in India it was more if I believe it was the government 1085 00:47:13,550 --> 00:47:15,350 sector rather than the private sector 1086 00:47:15,350 --> 00:47:19,400 said we want to bring a great many of the population 1087 00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:21,020 into a system. 1088 00:47:21,020 --> 00:47:24,620 So they created a unique ID system. 1089 00:47:24,620 --> 00:47:28,040 I can't remember the name of each of these. 1090 00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:30,380 That's the card. 1091 00:47:30,380 --> 00:47:32,960 They created a payment-- 1092 00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,205 IMSP, if I got that right? 1093 00:47:35,205 --> 00:47:36,580 AUDIENCE: IMPS was the older one. 1094 00:47:36,580 --> 00:47:38,038 Now it's UPI. 1095 00:47:38,038 --> 00:47:39,080 United payment interface. 1096 00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:42,470 GARY GENSLER: A payment system, which is not 270 basis points 1097 00:47:42,470 --> 00:47:45,890 but probably is measured and single to low double digit 1098 00:47:45,890 --> 00:47:48,560 basis points. 1099 00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:55,490 Your actual pay, everybody in India, your employment 1100 00:47:55,490 --> 00:47:56,700 goes into this. 1101 00:47:56,700 --> 00:48:01,100 And there's biometrics as well to the ID system. 1102 00:48:01,100 --> 00:48:03,170 Now there, might be cybersecurity risks 1103 00:48:03,170 --> 00:48:07,070 that this is all then in a sense somewhat centralized. 1104 00:48:07,070 --> 00:48:09,610 But India sort of leapfrogged. 1105 00:48:09,610 --> 00:48:11,870 It's kind of interesting. 1106 00:48:11,870 --> 00:48:13,240 But we've had a lively debate. 1107 00:48:13,240 --> 00:48:15,320 Is finality something we want or not? 1108 00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:17,570 Is charge back something we want or not? 1109 00:48:17,570 --> 00:48:19,520 Can you do this all without blockchain, 1110 00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:22,250 or is blockchain something that's needed? 1111 00:48:22,250 --> 00:48:24,440 And of course, the question even if blockchain's 1112 00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:27,710 really kind of neat and good, will it just 1113 00:48:27,710 --> 00:48:31,520 get the incumbents to move a little bit more 1114 00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:33,470 into innovation and lowering their costs? 1115 00:48:33,470 --> 00:48:35,950 Do you want to close this one out? 1116 00:48:35,950 --> 00:48:38,720 AUDIENCE: I think I may add something else. 1117 00:48:38,720 --> 00:48:40,820 It's censorship resistant. 1118 00:48:40,820 --> 00:48:46,160 So everyone can be exchanging Bitcoins 1119 00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:49,475 without any government forbidding it. 1120 00:48:49,475 --> 00:48:51,350 GARY GENSLER: Now, it's an interesting thing. 1121 00:48:51,350 --> 00:48:56,150 If it's censorship resistant to you must extend me credit 1122 00:48:56,150 --> 00:49:00,230 and you can't decide whether I get credit based on my race, 1123 00:49:00,230 --> 00:49:03,350 or religion, or ethnicity, and so forth, 1124 00:49:03,350 --> 00:49:05,690 that's probably something a broad group of people 1125 00:49:05,690 --> 00:49:07,580 would say, that's pretty good. 1126 00:49:07,580 --> 00:49:10,340 But if it's censorship resistant to being like you can 1127 00:49:10,340 --> 00:49:14,810 drug traffic society might say, well, that's not what we want. 1128 00:49:14,810 --> 00:49:17,160 So it's an interesting set of-- 1129 00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:20,400 when the technology allows you to be censorship resistant 1130 00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:21,980 but society says, well, there's still 1131 00:49:21,980 --> 00:49:30,155 some social cohesion about drug trafficking, or child labor. 1132 00:49:30,155 --> 00:49:33,080 And I'm using the ones that are easy to hold onto, 1133 00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:35,840 so it's a little interesting debate. 1134 00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:38,300 Yes? 1135 00:49:38,300 --> 00:49:41,690 AUDIENCE: So when we're speaking about the underdeveloped 1136 00:49:41,690 --> 00:49:44,340 and developing part of the economy, 1137 00:49:44,340 --> 00:49:45,590 and payments, and blockchain-- 1138 00:49:45,590 --> 00:49:46,860 GARY GENSLER: Professor Lessig's comments. 1139 00:49:46,860 --> 00:49:47,120 AUDIENCE: Yes. 1140 00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:49,280 And I think one thing that we haven't addressed 1141 00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,140 is the last mile, which is liquidity. 1142 00:49:52,140 --> 00:49:55,250 And so even if blockchain addresses, let's say, 1143 00:49:55,250 --> 00:49:57,590 the accountability of the transfer, 1144 00:49:57,590 --> 00:50:00,860 what it doesn't address is the actual liquidity 1145 00:50:00,860 --> 00:50:05,000 and utilization in the last mile on the ground, which 1146 00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:07,830 is very essential to a developing economy. 1147 00:50:07,830 --> 00:50:08,940 GARY GENSLER: Right. 1148 00:50:08,940 --> 00:50:10,350 Sorry, remind me-- 1149 00:50:10,350 --> 00:50:10,850 Aviva. 1150 00:50:10,850 --> 00:50:13,940 So Aviva, are you saying last mile like that somebody could 1151 00:50:13,940 --> 00:50:18,470 actually use this cryptocurrency in a store to buy their grains, 1152 00:50:18,470 --> 00:50:21,418 or their goods for the week right to keep their family-- 1153 00:50:21,418 --> 00:50:23,460 AUDIENCE: Yeah, so that doesn't solve the problem 1154 00:50:23,460 --> 00:50:27,120 of adoption and scalability. 1155 00:50:27,120 --> 00:50:28,400 GARY GENSLER: Right. 1156 00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:31,190 Fiat money-- and before we had paper money, 1157 00:50:31,190 --> 00:50:34,800 we had coins and everything-- money is a social construct. 1158 00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:36,440 We've talked about that. 1159 00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:40,160 And beyond its advantages that it's used for taxes, 1160 00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:43,190 and it's good for all debts public and private in most 1161 00:50:43,190 --> 00:50:47,570 countries, it really is exactly what Aviva's saying. 1162 00:50:47,570 --> 00:50:51,440 That society at large says, I will use this 1163 00:50:51,440 --> 00:50:54,010 as a unit of account. 1164 00:50:54,010 --> 00:51:00,760 That whether it's my employment, or the milled goods I'm buying 1165 00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:06,070 to feed my family, it's this unit of account that over 1166 00:51:06,070 --> 00:51:09,880 hundreds of years people adopt until they don't. 1167 00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:11,500 I don't know how long in Venezuela, 1168 00:51:11,500 --> 00:51:16,130 though I keep using their currency as a unit of account. 1169 00:51:16,130 --> 00:51:19,540 So sometimes there's last mile problem 1170 00:51:19,540 --> 00:51:24,040 is even with fiat currency, but I not only 1171 00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:28,110 hear you, I share your thoughts that where 1172 00:51:28,110 --> 00:51:36,260 is the adoption in the last mile, if you well said. 1173 00:51:36,260 --> 00:51:40,820 So just we talked about the challenges. 1174 00:51:40,820 --> 00:51:42,400 What are some companies? 1175 00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:44,100 Well, there's in crypto-- 1176 00:51:44,100 --> 00:51:46,130 and I'm listing two or three. 1177 00:51:46,130 --> 00:51:48,140 But if you wanted to talk about others, 1178 00:51:48,140 --> 00:51:50,870 I just listed in crypto there's startups. 1179 00:51:50,870 --> 00:51:54,280 BitPay is one of the most popular ones where 1180 00:51:54,280 --> 00:51:57,590 it was basically saying to merchants, if you 1181 00:51:57,590 --> 00:52:02,240 want to take Bitcoin, we'll convert your Bitcoin for you 1182 00:52:02,240 --> 00:52:03,650 to fiat. 1183 00:52:03,650 --> 00:52:06,272 And that's in essence what they're doing. 1184 00:52:06,272 --> 00:52:08,520 So I'm going to take it back to the Hillary campaign. 1185 00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:12,960 We had some donors that wanted to give us Bitcoin. 1186 00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:15,570 We're a merchant in a sense, but we also 1187 00:52:15,570 --> 00:52:17,430 wanted to elect a president. 1188 00:52:17,430 --> 00:52:19,840 And those donors might have wanted to give us Bitcoin. 1189 00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:26,490 So one of my colleagues had to investigate, could we 1190 00:52:26,490 --> 00:52:29,700 take Bitcoin, and what did it mean under federal election 1191 00:52:29,700 --> 00:52:31,230 law, and things like that. 1192 00:52:31,230 --> 00:52:35,880 And we looked at whether to hire BitPay or somebody like that. 1193 00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:37,650 We chose not to because we didn't 1194 00:52:37,650 --> 00:52:40,950 think there was enough donors who really wanted to give us 1195 00:52:40,950 --> 00:52:43,290 enough Bitcoin, and we didn't think 1196 00:52:43,290 --> 00:52:46,470 we would freshen up Hillary's image 1197 00:52:46,470 --> 00:52:47,850 because we were going to announce 1198 00:52:47,850 --> 00:52:51,210 she's the Bitcoin candidate or something. 1199 00:52:51,210 --> 00:52:52,710 Tom, did we miss it? 1200 00:52:52,710 --> 00:52:53,320 Is this-- 1201 00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:54,640 AUDIENCE: Could've won Wisconsin with that. 1202 00:52:54,640 --> 00:52:56,723 GARY GENSLER: We could've won Wisconsin with that. 1203 00:52:56,723 --> 00:53:00,840 [LAUGHTER] OK. 1204 00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:03,660 I'm going to be apologizing until my grave 1205 00:53:03,660 --> 00:53:07,140 for that election, but this is it, right? 1206 00:53:07,140 --> 00:53:08,920 But it's a real story. 1207 00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:10,770 One of my colleagues investigated it. 1208 00:53:10,770 --> 00:53:13,110 I'm not trying to throw him under the bus or anything, 1209 00:53:13,110 --> 00:53:16,560 but it was just like, oh my gosh, the amount of time 1210 00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:19,140 we would ad spend with Perkins Coie, the law firm, 1211 00:53:19,140 --> 00:53:22,290 and what we would have to pay to kind of think this through. 1212 00:53:22,290 --> 00:53:28,350 And we can only take $2,700, so every day 1213 00:53:28,350 --> 00:53:30,330 would be a different number of Bitcoin. 1214 00:53:30,330 --> 00:53:32,940 It could not be more than $2,700 because there 1215 00:53:32,940 --> 00:53:36,990 was no way that we were going to break the election laws. 1216 00:53:36,990 --> 00:53:41,080 So ultimately, the project went away. 1217 00:53:41,080 --> 00:53:43,920 And the reason I share that story is for a lot of merchants 1218 00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:46,080 right now, maybe as Aviva said in the last mile, 1219 00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:50,145 the merchants are saying, I'm not sure I need to do this. 1220 00:53:50,145 --> 00:53:51,270 But there's a way to do it. 1221 00:53:51,270 --> 00:53:53,820 If anybody in this room starts a company and you say, 1222 00:53:53,820 --> 00:53:57,540 I want to take crypto, there are companies out there 1223 00:53:57,540 --> 00:54:03,540 that will provide you that interface and their fees. 1224 00:54:03,540 --> 00:54:05,760 Does anybody know BitPay's fees? 1225 00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:10,460 It wasn't part of the readings, but other than Alin? 1226 00:54:10,460 --> 00:54:11,400 All right, Alin? 1227 00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:12,230 AUDIENCE: 1%. 1228 00:54:12,230 --> 00:54:14,550 GARY GENSLER: 1%. 1229 00:54:14,550 --> 00:54:16,530 So if you are a merchant-- 1230 00:54:16,530 --> 00:54:20,180 Starbucks, the Hillary campaign-- 1231 00:54:20,180 --> 00:54:23,330 if you're a merchant and you say, 1232 00:54:23,330 --> 00:54:28,430 I want to have less than 2.7%, I can have 1% fees. 1233 00:54:28,430 --> 00:54:30,830 I want finality and I don't want charge backs 1234 00:54:30,830 --> 00:54:34,070 depending upon which side of this you're on. 1235 00:54:34,070 --> 00:54:36,950 They're trying to just do it as a lower cost solution. 1236 00:54:36,950 --> 00:54:38,160 1%. 1237 00:54:38,160 --> 00:54:39,110 Pria? 1238 00:54:39,110 --> 00:54:42,310 AUDIENCE: Similar story, but maybe with a happy ending. 1239 00:54:42,310 --> 00:54:42,883 So a lot-- 1240 00:54:42,883 --> 00:54:45,050 GARY GENSLER: Happier than not winning the election? 1241 00:54:45,050 --> 00:54:47,540 [LAUGHTER] 1242 00:54:47,540 --> 00:54:50,480 AUDIENCE: So far a lot of philanthropic organizations, 1243 00:54:50,480 --> 00:54:52,730 this is becoming a very real issue. 1244 00:54:52,730 --> 00:54:55,060 So the Silicon Valley Community Foundation 1245 00:54:55,060 --> 00:54:58,340 recorded a 30% increase in its endowment 1246 00:54:58,340 --> 00:55:01,460 due to digital assets donations. 1247 00:55:01,460 --> 00:55:05,240 And it's happening in a few community foundations as well. 1248 00:55:05,240 --> 00:55:07,490 It's a growing field of interest, and there 1249 00:55:07,490 --> 00:55:08,690 even a story-- 1250 00:55:08,690 --> 00:55:11,270 I mean, not a story, It really happened-- 1251 00:55:11,270 --> 00:55:13,820 of one of the exchanges doing this service, 1252 00:55:13,820 --> 00:55:18,440 converting the digital donations into fiat currency, 1253 00:55:18,440 --> 00:55:19,760 and it crashed. 1254 00:55:19,760 --> 00:55:22,820 Because the volume was just so much they could not-- 1255 00:55:22,820 --> 00:55:24,680 even the trickle they could not keep up. 1256 00:55:24,680 --> 00:55:27,860 But this is becoming a real thing now. 1257 00:55:27,860 --> 00:55:30,380 GARY GENSLER: And whether it's a large foundation 1258 00:55:30,380 --> 00:55:32,390 or political campaign, there's also a little bit 1259 00:55:32,390 --> 00:55:33,530 of reputational risk. 1260 00:55:33,530 --> 00:55:38,540 Because you want to make sure that the funds are not 1261 00:55:38,540 --> 00:55:41,000 illicit funds. 1262 00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,070 So there's a little bit of a reputational risk 1263 00:55:43,070 --> 00:55:45,847 that maybe a Starbucks wouldn't have when you're just 1264 00:55:45,847 --> 00:55:46,805 buying a cup of coffee. 1265 00:55:49,550 --> 00:55:52,550 Never run a Starbucks, but-- 1266 00:55:52,550 --> 00:55:55,310 So the crypto exchanges and BitPay 1267 00:55:55,310 --> 00:55:57,320 sort of provide a lot of services. 1268 00:55:57,320 --> 00:55:59,960 E-wallet companies provide services. 1269 00:55:59,960 --> 00:56:00,560 Sean? 1270 00:56:00,560 --> 00:56:03,590 AUDIENCE: I'm just curious, how does BitPay manage volatility? 1271 00:56:03,590 --> 00:56:05,120 How does it cash out? 1272 00:56:05,120 --> 00:56:07,290 GARY GENSLER: How does it manage volatility? 1273 00:56:07,290 --> 00:56:10,440 AUDIENCE: So it only takes a 1% cut of the transaction value, 1274 00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:13,470 but the volatility of which can go over 1% 1275 00:56:13,470 --> 00:56:15,230 like every couple of seconds. 1276 00:56:15,230 --> 00:56:17,660 So in that case, how do they manage? 1277 00:56:17,660 --> 00:56:21,680 GARY GENSLER: So they are arranged basically 1278 00:56:21,680 --> 00:56:24,040 with a number of crypto exchanges. 1279 00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:25,790 I once knew, but I don't know whether they 1280 00:56:25,790 --> 00:56:28,370 have arrangements with three, or five, or whatever. 1281 00:56:28,370 --> 00:56:31,460 And they basically are pricing right at the-- 1282 00:56:31,460 --> 00:56:35,810 so they have sort of close to real time pricing. 1283 00:56:35,810 --> 00:56:39,140 So I'm going to buy a cup of coffee. 1284 00:56:39,140 --> 00:56:41,290 The way the technology works-- 1285 00:56:41,290 --> 00:56:42,470 and let's say it's-- 1286 00:56:42,470 --> 00:56:46,460 what's a Starbucks cup of coffee, it's $5? 1287 00:56:46,460 --> 00:56:49,160 It's pretty expensive, isn't it? 1288 00:56:49,160 --> 00:56:50,810 AUDIENCE: Depending on what you buy. 1289 00:56:50,810 --> 00:56:52,573 GARY GENSLER: What's your cup of coffee? 1290 00:56:52,573 --> 00:56:53,240 AUDIENCE: $2.25. 1291 00:56:53,240 --> 00:56:55,070 GARY GENSLER: $2.25, all right. 1292 00:56:55,070 --> 00:56:58,580 But in real time, the app-- 1293 00:56:58,580 --> 00:57:02,690 the BitPay app-- is computing what that is. 1294 00:57:02,690 --> 00:57:07,220 And they feel that within these seconds for them 1295 00:57:07,220 --> 00:57:12,540 to convert at they take volatility risk. 1296 00:57:12,540 --> 00:57:17,500 Is it possible that in some transactions 1297 00:57:17,500 --> 00:57:19,710 the volatility eats up the whole 1%? 1298 00:57:19,710 --> 00:57:20,620 Yes. 1299 00:57:20,620 --> 00:57:25,500 But basically they have that in their pricing model. 1300 00:57:25,500 --> 00:57:32,430 And then move basically Pria's Bitcoin to dollars, 1301 00:57:32,430 --> 00:57:34,960 and the dollars goes to Starbucks. 1302 00:57:34,960 --> 00:57:45,580 And they guarantee Starbucks $2.25 minus 1%. 1303 00:57:45,580 --> 00:57:50,800 Then there's startups actually getting in. 1304 00:57:50,800 --> 00:57:52,240 But most of these-- 1305 00:57:52,240 --> 00:57:53,980 at least the second, third, and fourth-- 1306 00:57:53,980 --> 00:57:57,060 are kind of institutional services. 1307 00:57:57,060 --> 00:58:00,730 Now, there might be retail services that I'm not-- 1308 00:58:00,730 --> 00:58:03,160 Qurom was started by JP Morgan. 1309 00:58:03,160 --> 00:58:05,300 I think it might even still be owned by JP Morgan. 1310 00:58:05,300 --> 00:58:06,730 It was going to be spun out. 1311 00:58:06,730 --> 00:58:09,790 But R3, Ripple, these are really institutions. 1312 00:58:09,790 --> 00:58:15,010 Almost B2B or financial firm to financial firm right now. 1313 00:58:17,740 --> 00:58:22,970 I couldn't find a really good startup in the retail space, 1314 00:58:22,970 --> 00:58:25,400 but two weeks from today you're going 1315 00:58:25,400 --> 00:58:29,050 to have Jeff Sprecher and Kelly here, and you can-- 1316 00:58:29,050 --> 00:58:32,340 Shrim, are you going to be back on November 15th? 1317 00:58:32,340 --> 00:58:32,840 No? 1318 00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:35,690 But you'll be able to challenge. 1319 00:58:35,690 --> 00:58:37,340 They're going to have a retail payments 1320 00:58:37,340 --> 00:58:40,340 system in their Bitcoin. 1321 00:58:40,340 --> 00:58:42,830 So it'll be interesting. 1322 00:58:42,830 --> 00:58:46,820 One retail payment solution is if anybody walks over 1323 00:58:46,820 --> 00:58:50,990 to building E14 there's a vending machine in the media 1324 00:58:50,990 --> 00:58:53,920 lab right now that takes Bitcoin. 1325 00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:55,270 Thank you, MIT. 1326 00:58:55,270 --> 00:58:57,760 Thank you, the digital currency initiative. 1327 00:58:57,760 --> 00:58:59,140 Thank you Alin. 1328 00:58:59,140 --> 00:59:02,650 But there is literally-- 1329 00:59:02,650 --> 00:59:05,320 if you want to describe it, you put a QR code up? 1330 00:59:05,320 --> 00:59:07,480 AUDIENCE: Yeah, I mean, so yes absolutely. 1331 00:59:07,480 --> 00:59:09,340 So anyone who wants to do that, we 1332 00:59:09,340 --> 00:59:11,690 can walk over there and look at it. 1333 00:59:11,690 --> 00:59:13,150 It has cross change slots so we can 1334 00:59:13,150 --> 00:59:16,220 transact real time between three different currencies. 1335 00:59:16,220 --> 00:59:16,720 And-- 1336 00:59:16,720 --> 00:59:18,345 GARY GENSLER: So you can take Bitcoin-- 1337 00:59:18,345 --> 00:59:20,140 AUDIENCE: Litecoins, and you know, 1338 00:59:20,140 --> 00:59:21,690 dummy US dollars we call it. 1339 00:59:21,690 --> 00:59:24,067 But it's basically a stable coin, it's a stable coin. 1340 00:59:24,067 --> 00:59:25,150 GARY GENSLER: Stable coin. 1341 00:59:25,150 --> 00:59:28,540 So Bitcoin, Litecoin, and a stable coin. 1342 00:59:28,540 --> 00:59:31,000 And there's a vending machine sitting in the media lab. 1343 00:59:31,000 --> 00:59:34,462 You put a QR code up, if I remember? 1344 00:59:34,462 --> 00:59:36,430 AUDIENCE: Yeah, so QR code on the machine. 1345 00:59:36,430 --> 00:59:42,430 you scan, we published an app on Android and iOS. 1346 00:59:42,430 --> 00:59:46,240 And you basically scan your home null or you computer, 1347 00:59:46,240 --> 00:59:48,280 you allow your phone to control your computer, 1348 00:59:48,280 --> 00:59:50,080 and then you can send money from your phone 1349 00:59:50,080 --> 00:59:52,180 to your vending machine. 1350 00:59:52,180 --> 00:59:53,090 Real time. 1351 00:59:53,090 --> 00:59:55,215 GARY GENSLER: But in that case, the vending machine 1352 00:59:55,215 --> 00:59:56,640 receives the Bitcoin. 1353 00:59:56,640 --> 00:59:59,710 AUDIENCE: No, so we actually added an arduino 1354 00:59:59,710 --> 01:00:02,860 as well that converts the Bitcoin into impulses 1355 01:00:02,860 --> 01:00:05,650 that trick the machine to say, these are coins. 1356 01:00:05,650 --> 01:00:07,810 So the vending machine actually gets-- 1357 01:00:07,810 --> 01:00:08,410 we tell it-- 1358 01:00:08,410 --> 01:00:09,280 [INTERPOSING VOICES] 1359 01:00:09,280 --> 01:00:10,180 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 1360 01:00:10,180 --> 01:00:11,305 GARY GENSLER: There you go. 1361 01:00:14,190 --> 01:00:16,000 Check it out over in the media lab. 1362 01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:18,840 It was rolled out for media lab members' week, actually, 1363 01:00:18,840 --> 01:00:22,110 two weeks ago. 1364 01:00:22,110 --> 01:00:24,420 And then there's incumbents-- 1365 01:00:24,420 --> 01:00:26,850 ICE's startup Bakkt. 1366 01:00:26,850 --> 01:00:31,420 I do put MasterCard on there, Sharim, I do. 1367 01:00:31,420 --> 01:00:35,160 But it's remarkable how many patents are being filed. 1368 01:00:35,160 --> 01:00:36,900 Hundreds of patents are being filed, 1369 01:00:36,900 --> 01:00:39,363 but they're almost all by the incumbents. 1370 01:00:39,363 --> 01:00:41,280 Now, is that because they want to block others 1371 01:00:41,280 --> 01:00:43,530 from getting in, or are they trying to create barriers 1372 01:00:43,530 --> 01:00:48,060 to entry, or are they doing it because they see real prospect 1373 01:00:48,060 --> 01:00:50,550 and opportunity, and they want to pursue it? 1374 01:00:50,550 --> 01:00:53,990 It's probably a bit of both. 1375 01:00:53,990 --> 01:00:55,580 Larry, you're shaking your head. 1376 01:00:55,580 --> 01:00:57,350 AUDIENCE: It's all barriers to entry. 1377 01:00:57,350 --> 01:01:00,333 GARY GENSLER: It's all barriers to-- you don't think it's any? 1378 01:01:00,333 --> 01:01:02,000 AUDIENCE: No, it's all barriers to entry 1379 01:01:02,000 --> 01:01:03,460 and then the argument's like this. 1380 01:01:03,460 --> 01:01:04,990 Our system's great, and guess what? 1381 01:01:04,990 --> 01:01:06,710 The legal cost of pursuing your system 1382 01:01:06,710 --> 01:01:08,510 is going to be through the roof, so. 1383 01:01:08,510 --> 01:01:10,500 GARY GENSLER: And we'll get some patents along the way. 1384 01:01:10,500 --> 01:01:12,216 AUDIENCE: No, those patterns are the legal costs. 1385 01:01:12,216 --> 01:01:13,190 That's the point. 1386 01:01:13,190 --> 01:01:14,900 The threat of the patent litigation 1387 01:01:14,900 --> 01:01:16,190 is enough to stop any-- 1388 01:01:16,190 --> 01:01:18,620 so if you're a venture capitalist, 1389 01:01:18,620 --> 01:01:22,240 then they walk in like you make before your announcement, 1390 01:01:22,240 --> 01:01:23,550 you're dead. 1391 01:01:23,550 --> 01:01:26,080 GARY GENSLER: Well, Bank of America has 43, so-- 1392 01:01:26,080 --> 01:01:27,555 in the blockchain space, I read. 1393 01:01:27,555 --> 01:01:28,930 AUDIENCE: This is the strategy in 1394 01:01:28,930 --> 01:01:33,580 every major incumbent complex, so it's nothing new here. 1395 01:01:33,580 --> 01:01:35,330 GARY GENSLER: So is it a sign that there's 1396 01:01:35,330 --> 01:01:37,310 something really real here? 1397 01:01:37,310 --> 01:01:42,260 That these startups might have something to be figured out? 1398 01:01:42,260 --> 01:01:45,140 Visa's started a business to business payment 1399 01:01:45,140 --> 01:01:47,410 connect in 2016. 1400 01:01:47,410 --> 01:01:49,490 They've even announced-- Visa's even outside it 1401 01:01:49,490 --> 01:01:51,080 hasn't had a lot of adoption. 1402 01:01:51,080 --> 01:01:52,820 They're not sure. 1403 01:01:52,820 --> 01:01:54,950 I think it's more permission than permissionless, 1404 01:01:54,950 --> 01:01:56,390 by the way. 1405 01:01:56,390 --> 01:01:58,730 But this is kind of-- 1406 01:01:58,730 --> 01:02:01,713 now, is anybody in their own readings, maybe Alin-- 1407 01:02:01,713 --> 01:02:03,380 I mean, I'm not trying to be exhaustive, 1408 01:02:03,380 --> 01:02:05,210 but there's not a lot of-- 1409 01:02:05,210 --> 01:02:08,600 because of some of these issues back here, these 1410 01:02:08,600 --> 01:02:11,720 are real challenges, but I would say these 1411 01:02:11,720 --> 01:02:15,550 are real possibilities, too. 1412 01:02:15,550 --> 01:02:16,713 Kelly and then Alin? 1413 01:02:16,713 --> 01:02:18,588 AUDIENCE: So what about some of the companies 1414 01:02:18,588 --> 01:02:19,760 that sort of backed out? 1415 01:02:19,760 --> 01:02:24,440 And I'm reading Stripe ended their export [INAUDIBLE] 1416 01:02:24,440 --> 01:02:26,666 program. 1417 01:02:26,666 --> 01:02:30,290 It sounds like a pretty defeated situation, 1418 01:02:30,290 --> 01:02:33,735 but I don't really understand that much exactly why. 1419 01:02:35,932 --> 01:02:38,140 GARY GENSLER: You want to answer the Stripe question? 1420 01:02:38,140 --> 01:02:41,510 AUDIENCE: Yes, and Stripe is not Bitcoin. 1421 01:02:41,510 --> 01:02:44,405 Stripe wanted to maybe use Bitcoin as a service. 1422 01:02:44,405 --> 01:02:45,610 I mean, they're clients. 1423 01:02:45,610 --> 01:02:47,240 They're not the startup. 1424 01:02:47,240 --> 01:02:49,630 So I think backing up is-- 1425 01:02:49,630 --> 01:02:52,150 it makes sense because they're clients. 1426 01:02:52,150 --> 01:02:56,320 But there's many startups out there that are still 1427 01:02:56,320 --> 01:02:57,390 here and not [INAUDIBLE]. 1428 01:02:57,390 --> 01:02:59,500 GARY GENSLER: Yeah, and just as background, Stripe 1429 01:02:59,500 --> 01:03:01,930 is a payment system provider. 1430 01:03:01,930 --> 01:03:05,980 So they're not extending credit like a Visa, or MasterCard, 1431 01:03:05,980 --> 01:03:08,800 or they're not a network like Visa or MasterCard 1432 01:03:08,800 --> 01:03:10,930 where actually they don't provide the credit, 1433 01:03:10,930 --> 01:03:11,690 the banks do. 1434 01:03:11,690 --> 01:03:15,220 But they are a payment system provider 1435 01:03:15,220 --> 01:03:17,800 that merchants would hire, Stripe, 1436 01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:20,140 to interface with MasterCard, Discover, 1437 01:03:20,140 --> 01:03:23,180 American Express, and others. 1438 01:03:23,180 --> 01:03:27,940 But why did Stripe decide not to continue on this? 1439 01:03:27,940 --> 01:03:31,330 Partly they didn't see a lot of adoption is what I took. 1440 01:03:31,330 --> 01:03:32,700 But Alin, you were going to-- 1441 01:03:32,700 --> 01:03:33,910 AUDIENCE: Yeah, just a couple of-- 1442 01:03:33,910 --> 01:03:34,810 couple things I wanted to. 1443 01:03:34,810 --> 01:03:35,810 So this is a great list. 1444 01:03:35,810 --> 01:03:37,780 I think it's a great starting point. 1445 01:03:37,780 --> 01:03:43,780 And the rule that I think at some three months ago I had was 1446 01:03:43,780 --> 01:03:48,460 in the cryptocurrency space, most non-speculation money-- 1447 01:03:48,460 --> 01:03:50,650 so no like I'm going to buy low, sell high-- 1448 01:03:50,650 --> 01:03:53,920 is coming from either exchanges or miners. 1449 01:03:53,920 --> 01:03:54,513 So you got-- 1450 01:03:54,513 --> 01:03:55,930 GARY GENSLER: Exchanges or mining. 1451 01:03:55,930 --> 01:03:56,290 AUDIENCE: Yes. 1452 01:03:56,290 --> 01:03:57,550 So that's where the money's made. 1453 01:03:57,550 --> 01:03:59,440 If you don't speculate, you're either a miner 1454 01:03:59,440 --> 01:04:01,447 and you make money or an exchanger make money. 1455 01:04:01,447 --> 01:04:03,280 The miner down I think would be interesting. 1456 01:04:03,280 --> 01:04:05,933 I think I would put Bitmain over there because I think it's-- 1457 01:04:05,933 --> 01:04:06,850 GARY GENSLER: Bitmain? 1458 01:04:06,850 --> 01:04:07,600 AUDIENCE: Bitmain. 1459 01:04:07,600 --> 01:04:09,390 So Bitmain, for those who don't know, 1460 01:04:09,390 --> 01:04:12,790 is going through an ICO, an initial-- 1461 01:04:12,790 --> 01:04:13,810 sorry, IPO. 1462 01:04:13,810 --> 01:04:14,470 Initial-- 1463 01:04:14,470 --> 01:04:16,166 GARY GENSLER: Public offering. 1464 01:04:16,166 --> 01:04:19,682 A traditional [INAUDIBLE]. 1465 01:04:19,682 --> 01:04:21,140 AUDIENCE: They have a lot of money, 1466 01:04:21,140 --> 01:04:24,070 there will be [INAUDIBLE] a very hefty rate. 1467 01:04:24,070 --> 01:04:27,830 They want to stop producing AI chips, artificial intelligence 1468 01:04:27,830 --> 01:04:28,330 chips. 1469 01:04:28,330 --> 01:04:30,310 So they're very good at producing chips, 1470 01:04:30,310 --> 01:04:31,162 and they will go-- 1471 01:04:31,162 --> 01:04:32,370 they'll go into one of those. 1472 01:04:32,370 --> 01:04:35,080 GARY GENSLER: But is Bitmain in the payment space, using 1473 01:04:35,080 --> 01:04:35,950 blockchain for pay? 1474 01:04:35,950 --> 01:04:38,060 AUDIENCE: I mean, they've invested in Circle, 1475 01:04:38,060 --> 01:04:40,158 which is another exchange, so they're like-- 1476 01:04:40,158 --> 01:04:41,200 they have a lot of money. 1477 01:04:41,200 --> 01:04:43,658 They're trying to kind of place it towards other companies. 1478 01:04:43,658 --> 01:04:46,812 So yeah, so exchanges of the finance or all 1479 01:04:46,812 --> 01:04:48,520 these other [INAUDIBLE],, there are a lot 1480 01:04:48,520 --> 01:04:49,728 of exchanges that make money. 1481 01:04:49,728 --> 01:04:50,811 And the other ones aren't. 1482 01:04:50,811 --> 01:04:52,645 GARY GENSLER: So I want to talk a little bit 1483 01:04:52,645 --> 01:04:53,980 about cross-border. 1484 01:04:53,980 --> 01:04:56,277 On Tuesday we put up a complex chart. 1485 01:04:56,277 --> 01:04:57,860 I don't need to go through that again, 1486 01:04:57,860 --> 01:04:59,650 but we all know and there's a lot of people here 1487 01:04:59,650 --> 01:05:00,900 that probably send money back. 1488 01:05:00,900 --> 01:05:03,790 When you're moving something overseas, 1489 01:05:03,790 --> 01:05:07,960 you're moving from one fiat to another fiat currency, 1490 01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:09,730 it takes some time. 1491 01:05:09,730 --> 01:05:12,370 And the banking system over centuries 1492 01:05:12,370 --> 01:05:16,900 has formed a way to do that to move from one money to another, 1493 01:05:16,900 --> 01:05:20,650 or as we say, one ledger system to another ledger system, 1494 01:05:20,650 --> 01:05:23,150 through correspondent banking. 1495 01:05:23,150 --> 01:05:27,610 And correspondent banking is a reasonably concentrated 1496 01:05:27,610 --> 01:05:28,960 business. 1497 01:05:28,960 --> 01:05:32,110 One student sent in the group chat 1498 01:05:32,110 --> 01:05:35,137 last night that there's only really 10 banks in this field. 1499 01:05:35,137 --> 01:05:36,970 I don't know if that's accurate, by the way, 1500 01:05:36,970 --> 01:05:39,970 but it is a very concentrated business 1501 01:05:39,970 --> 01:05:41,960 because they're large international banks. 1502 01:05:41,960 --> 01:05:43,780 Whether it's 10 or 20, it's-- 1503 01:05:43,780 --> 01:05:47,590 you know, and they can charge a little excess because they 1504 01:05:47,590 --> 01:05:49,060 have to have correspondence. 1505 01:05:49,060 --> 01:05:52,570 They have to have relationships with all the local banks, 1506 01:05:52,570 --> 01:05:55,600 and they're taking some credit risk-- the correspondent banks 1507 01:05:55,600 --> 01:05:59,020 standing in between-- some credit risk of the local banks 1508 01:05:59,020 --> 01:06:02,590 on both sides in the US and so forth and in, 1509 01:06:02,590 --> 01:06:05,900 let's say, Mexico if it's between the US and Mexico. 1510 01:06:05,900 --> 01:06:10,540 So one idea that's been around, it's 1511 01:06:10,540 --> 01:06:13,150 widely associated with Ripple but it's not only 1512 01:06:13,150 --> 01:06:15,880 associated with Ripple is this simple chart. 1513 01:06:15,880 --> 01:06:20,930 What if I move fiat to crypto and crypto to fiat? 1514 01:06:20,930 --> 01:06:25,020 Just call it a bridge crypto or bridge currency. 1515 01:06:25,020 --> 01:06:30,150 I can say I can go from US dollars to Bitcoin, 1516 01:06:30,150 --> 01:06:35,570 or XRP, you fill in the middle, and then 1517 01:06:35,570 --> 01:06:38,720 move over to the other fiat-- 1518 01:06:38,720 --> 01:06:42,200 Mexican peso, in my example. 1519 01:06:42,200 --> 01:06:46,200 And might that take some cost out of the system? 1520 01:06:46,200 --> 01:06:49,190 We have Sean's issue earlier of volatility. 1521 01:06:49,190 --> 01:06:55,920 If the crypto is fluctuating a lot, that causes some issues. 1522 01:06:55,920 --> 01:06:58,410 If there's a lot of cost or friction, 1523 01:06:58,410 --> 01:07:03,480 because now you're doing two currency exchanges not one. 1524 01:07:03,480 --> 01:07:06,360 I'm calling crypto a currency for this purpose. 1525 01:07:06,360 --> 01:07:11,360 I know that crypto is not technically a currency, 1526 01:07:11,360 --> 01:07:14,220 but for this moment let me just call it-- 1527 01:07:14,220 --> 01:07:16,530 you have two currency exchanges, and thus you 1528 01:07:16,530 --> 01:07:20,580 have two bid ask spreads to pay. 1529 01:07:20,580 --> 01:07:22,920 Just the market makers you need to pay the bid 1530 01:07:22,920 --> 01:07:26,370 ask spreads twice, and you have some volatility 1531 01:07:26,370 --> 01:07:29,480 if the middle crypto is moving around. 1532 01:07:29,480 --> 01:07:34,050 But this simple diagram is a big part 1533 01:07:34,050 --> 01:07:37,050 of what Ripple is trying to create with xRapid. 1534 01:07:40,250 --> 01:07:44,960 xCurrent is a messaging app of Ripple's and it's 1535 01:07:44,960 --> 01:07:46,970 competing with Swift. 1536 01:07:46,970 --> 01:07:50,450 And it had some reasonable adoption. 1537 01:07:50,450 --> 01:07:53,110 A lot of banks are starting to use it. 1538 01:07:53,110 --> 01:07:56,140 But don't confuse that with another product, which 1539 01:07:56,140 --> 01:07:59,500 is an interesting product that kind of does this that goes 1540 01:07:59,500 --> 01:08:02,520 fiat to crypto, crypto to fiat. 1541 01:08:02,520 --> 01:08:04,290 So what problem, what pain points 1542 01:08:04,290 --> 01:08:09,840 would this be solving if it worked in the cross border? 1543 01:08:09,840 --> 01:08:11,720 Anybody want to remind the class what the-- 1544 01:08:11,720 --> 01:08:12,220 Tom? 1545 01:08:12,220 --> 01:08:14,637 AUDIENCE: Well, this reduces the number of intermediaries. 1546 01:08:14,637 --> 01:08:17,550 You don't have to have your bank engaged with a correspondence 1547 01:08:17,550 --> 01:08:21,330 bank, which engages with a local bank, which then-- 1548 01:08:21,330 --> 01:08:22,090 it sort of-- 1549 01:08:22,090 --> 01:08:23,632 GARY GENSLER: All right, so it might. 1550 01:08:23,632 --> 01:08:26,520 I'm going to say it might lower the intermediation because you 1551 01:08:26,520 --> 01:08:31,580 still have on the two fiat sides your local bank and a bank, 1552 01:08:31,580 --> 01:08:36,960 and to do the crosses you need some market making function 1553 01:08:36,960 --> 01:08:40,790 which in Ripple's case they try to build into the application. 1554 01:08:40,790 --> 01:08:43,200 And they have market makers to provide liquidity. 1555 01:08:43,200 --> 01:08:45,300 There was a question somebody mentioned liquidity. 1556 01:08:45,300 --> 01:08:46,790 Some liquidity. 1557 01:08:46,790 --> 01:08:49,073 But it might lower the numbers of intermediaries. 1558 01:08:49,073 --> 01:08:49,990 What else might it do? 1559 01:08:52,979 --> 01:08:56,899 AUDIENCE: There's usually between exchanging currency 1560 01:08:56,899 --> 01:08:59,779 there's a balance between the settlement time and the fee 1561 01:08:59,779 --> 01:09:00,350 that you pay. 1562 01:09:00,350 --> 01:09:03,740 So if you want quick settlement you have to pay a higher fee, 1563 01:09:03,740 --> 01:09:06,950 or you can accept a lower fee but it takes multiple days 1564 01:09:06,950 --> 01:09:08,899 sometimes to catch over, so potentially it 1565 01:09:08,899 --> 01:09:09,812 could solve that. 1566 01:09:09,812 --> 01:09:11,479 GARY GENSLER: So this is basically a way 1567 01:09:11,479 --> 01:09:14,600 that you can shorten the settlement times. 1568 01:09:14,600 --> 01:09:16,784 This can be done literally in seconds. 1569 01:09:19,330 --> 01:09:23,189 I'm not saying that you wouldn't pay a little extra for it, 1570 01:09:23,189 --> 01:09:26,729 but this can be done very quickly. 1571 01:09:26,729 --> 01:09:28,460 If you have arrangements. 1572 01:09:28,460 --> 01:09:32,000 So some contend-- and I've spoken to them at conferences 1573 01:09:32,000 --> 01:09:32,870 and so forth-- 1574 01:09:32,870 --> 01:09:36,750 that big corporate treasuries are going to try to do this-- 1575 01:09:36,750 --> 01:09:40,069 that the treasury function of Apple and others 1576 01:09:40,069 --> 01:09:41,840 might take this up. 1577 01:09:41,840 --> 01:09:44,180 The big banks say that's ridiculous. 1578 01:09:44,180 --> 01:09:46,970 The big banks say, no, we can provide 1579 01:09:46,970 --> 01:09:50,840 real-time cross-border cash movement between dollar 1580 01:09:50,840 --> 01:09:53,840 and euro, and dollar and yen, and you 1581 01:09:53,840 --> 01:09:57,016 don't need to interpose something in the middle. 1582 01:09:57,016 --> 01:10:01,370 AUDIENCE: Wouldn't that require huge amounts of cash reserves 1583 01:10:01,370 --> 01:10:04,520 to be able to protect against volatility, and not 1584 01:10:04,520 --> 01:10:06,860 only volatility of the crypto, but the volatility 1585 01:10:06,860 --> 01:10:11,930 of the actual fiat for that particular country [INAUDIBLE].. 1586 01:10:11,930 --> 01:10:13,970 GARY GENSLER: So the question is, will it need 1587 01:10:13,970 --> 01:10:17,877 a lot of liquidity, basically? 1588 01:10:17,877 --> 01:10:19,460 You used a different word maybe, but-- 1589 01:10:19,460 --> 01:10:20,360 AUDIENCE: Reserves. 1590 01:10:20,360 --> 01:10:21,620 GARY GENSLER: Reserves. 1591 01:10:21,620 --> 01:10:25,100 But somebody who can make markets in size 1592 01:10:25,100 --> 01:10:27,980 in crypto versus fiat, in crypto versus fiat, 1593 01:10:27,980 --> 01:10:30,560 I think the answer is yes in terms of-- 1594 01:10:30,560 --> 01:10:33,740 the only probably token right now 1595 01:10:33,740 --> 01:10:37,130 that has enough liquidity in it to do this in size 1596 01:10:37,130 --> 01:10:38,780 is probably Bitcoin. 1597 01:10:38,780 --> 01:10:41,420 Even though Ripple is promoting this 1598 01:10:41,420 --> 01:10:44,540 and it's sort of an interesting technology, 1599 01:10:44,540 --> 01:10:49,140 they have a software, xRapid, that you can do this right now. 1600 01:10:49,140 --> 01:10:53,360 They're promoting on XRP, but is there enough liquidity? 1601 01:10:53,360 --> 01:10:55,910 Could you move more than a million dollars? 1602 01:10:55,910 --> 01:10:57,350 Probably not. 1603 01:10:57,350 --> 01:10:59,840 You probably couldn't move $100 million payment 1604 01:10:59,840 --> 01:11:02,606 without moving the market a lot. 1605 01:11:02,606 --> 01:11:04,040 Shimon. 1606 01:11:04,040 --> 01:11:06,775 AUDIENCE: So back to finance, the only way-- 1607 01:11:06,775 --> 01:11:08,150 GARY GENSLER: So back to finance, 1608 01:11:08,150 --> 01:11:09,800 that's good from a finance professor. 1609 01:11:09,800 --> 01:11:11,550 AUDIENCE: The only way that this will work 1610 01:11:11,550 --> 01:11:14,810 is sort of subject to the cost of arbitraging this, right? 1611 01:11:14,810 --> 01:11:18,770 You don't care about the value of XRP provided that you're not 1612 01:11:18,770 --> 01:11:21,700 validating arbitrage relationship between the two 1613 01:11:21,700 --> 01:11:23,020 fiats, right? 1614 01:11:23,020 --> 01:11:24,320 GARY GENSLER: That's correct. 1615 01:11:24,320 --> 01:11:26,325 AUDIENCE: So whatever those frictions are, 1616 01:11:26,325 --> 01:11:29,270 you won't be able to go underneath them. 1617 01:11:29,270 --> 01:11:33,290 And if you're Apple, I don't see the treasury 1618 01:11:33,290 --> 01:11:34,260 in a business case. 1619 01:11:34,260 --> 01:11:39,500 If you're Apple and you're banking with JP Morgan Chase, 1620 01:11:39,500 --> 01:11:45,710 I mean, they're probably quoting you, you know, bips. 1621 01:11:45,710 --> 01:11:48,650 I mean, the two major currencies, the spread 1622 01:11:48,650 --> 01:11:50,720 is like in bips. 1623 01:11:50,720 --> 01:11:54,740 GARY GENSLER: A bip is 1/100 of a cent, basically. 1624 01:11:54,740 --> 01:11:56,710 I mean, it's very tiny. 1625 01:11:56,710 --> 01:11:58,250 We'll get there, just a second. 1626 01:11:58,250 --> 01:12:00,260 AUDIENCE: I'm not sure that isn't the-- 1627 01:12:00,260 --> 01:12:02,000 GARY GENSLER: So the proponents-- 1628 01:12:02,000 --> 01:12:05,660 and then we'll come back-- proponents of this say, yeah, 1629 01:12:05,660 --> 01:12:09,740 JP Morgan might solve Apple's needs between dollar euro, 1630 01:12:09,740 --> 01:12:16,220 but are they really doing it between dollar peso, or dollar 1631 01:12:16,220 --> 01:12:19,063 Kenyan currency? 1632 01:12:19,063 --> 01:12:21,230 AUDIENCE: Let's say they're not and the spread there 1633 01:12:21,230 --> 01:12:24,410 is 10 basis points, 50 basis points. 1634 01:12:24,410 --> 01:12:30,170 Well, that's going to be by construction, the spread, 1635 01:12:30,170 --> 01:12:32,930 that's going to be [INAUDIBLE] arbitrage that will be allowed 1636 01:12:32,930 --> 01:12:34,080 if you go that way to-- 1637 01:12:34,080 --> 01:12:35,580 GARY GENSLER: All right, so Shimon's 1638 01:12:35,580 --> 01:12:37,520 saying there's maybe a cost in friction. 1639 01:12:40,940 --> 01:12:42,650 I think the proponents of this would also 1640 01:12:42,650 --> 01:12:46,910 say there's a friction in time moving from dollars to peso. 1641 01:12:46,910 --> 01:12:48,260 Remind me your first name? 1642 01:12:48,260 --> 01:12:50,360 AUDIENCE: My name's [INAUDIBLE]. 1643 01:12:50,360 --> 01:12:52,947 Well, it's certainly true even in pesos or any currency, 1644 01:12:52,947 --> 01:12:54,780 like, all these points that anyone's getting 1645 01:12:54,780 --> 01:12:55,940 are extremely tight. 1646 01:12:55,940 --> 01:12:58,190 But there's still probably like weekends, for example. 1647 01:12:58,190 --> 01:12:59,923 Weekends they're just not quoted at all. 1648 01:12:59,923 --> 01:13:01,340 So if there's a major event that's 1649 01:13:01,340 --> 01:13:02,882 happening over a weekend that's going 1650 01:13:02,882 --> 01:13:05,600 to change the value of your asset or your currency, 1651 01:13:05,600 --> 01:13:08,730 then you can't trade until Sunday night 1652 01:13:08,730 --> 01:13:10,080 when Hong Kong opens. 1653 01:13:10,080 --> 01:13:14,150 And so there's still like a 36-hour time period 1654 01:13:14,150 --> 01:13:16,880 that is completely [INAUDIBLE]. 1655 01:13:16,880 --> 01:13:19,040 GARY GENSLER: So the worldwide currency markets 1656 01:13:19,040 --> 01:13:23,780 are depending upon banks, and banks do actually 1657 01:13:23,780 --> 01:13:24,395 have holidays. 1658 01:13:26,990 --> 01:13:29,940 I know it's sometimes hard to believe, but. 1659 01:13:29,940 --> 01:13:32,210 And so there's a question of-- 1660 01:13:32,210 --> 01:13:33,775 so there's a question of friction 1661 01:13:33,775 --> 01:13:35,900 which Shimon would say if it's even if it costs you 1662 01:13:35,900 --> 01:13:40,660 half a percent it better get inside of that. 1663 01:13:40,660 --> 01:13:44,290 There's a question of settlement delay, this could be faster. 1664 01:13:44,290 --> 01:13:46,040 But you're saying they could change that-- 1665 01:13:46,040 --> 01:13:48,450 JP Morgan can change that. 1666 01:13:48,450 --> 01:13:49,740 And then there's weekends. 1667 01:13:49,740 --> 01:13:53,080 Do you have 160 some hour week? 1668 01:13:53,080 --> 01:13:55,630 I'm going to go to Alexis and back here. 1669 01:13:55,630 --> 01:13:59,310 AUDIENCE: I was just thinking like-- because this system like 1670 01:13:59,310 --> 01:14:01,770 India at the end of the day, it depends 1671 01:14:01,770 --> 01:14:05,040 on the a fixed rate on the two fiat rate 1672 01:14:05,040 --> 01:14:07,260 on the normal markets, right? 1673 01:14:07,260 --> 01:14:10,410 So even if we can't trade on a Sunday, 1674 01:14:10,410 --> 01:14:14,640 the rate is going to change on the tax form based on, 1675 01:14:14,640 --> 01:14:17,400 I don't know, the assumption of what the rate is going to be 1676 01:14:17,400 --> 01:14:18,337 tomorrow. 1677 01:14:18,337 --> 01:14:20,670 It's going to adjust, normally you should adjust, right? 1678 01:14:20,670 --> 01:14:24,010 Because as has been raised before, 1679 01:14:24,010 --> 01:14:27,130 adjust for new arbitrage take place. 1680 01:14:27,130 --> 01:14:31,830 So even if it's possible, doesn't this system 1681 01:14:31,830 --> 01:14:34,790 add more risk in terms of two different risk-- 1682 01:14:34,790 --> 01:14:36,780 fiat-crypto, crypto-fiat? 1683 01:14:36,780 --> 01:14:40,965 And just there will always be the underlying risk of fiat 1684 01:14:40,965 --> 01:14:43,260 to fiat because it's always based 1685 01:14:43,260 --> 01:14:45,050 on a price on the private-- 1686 01:14:45,050 --> 01:14:46,800 GARY GENSLER: Hold your question because I 1687 01:14:46,800 --> 01:14:48,630 want to see if the other-- 1688 01:14:48,630 --> 01:14:49,530 yours comes in. 1689 01:14:49,530 --> 01:14:50,707 I got it, it's the risk. 1690 01:14:50,707 --> 01:14:52,290 AUDIENCE: I was just going to bring up 1691 01:14:52,290 --> 01:14:56,910 the accessibility for non-first world countries 1692 01:14:56,910 --> 01:14:58,550 or unbanked countries. 1693 01:14:58,550 --> 01:15:03,180 And I would be less concerned about moving like a yard 1694 01:15:03,180 --> 01:15:07,470 and more concerned about, OK, well maybe I could transact 1695 01:15:07,470 --> 01:15:08,780 like sub-$100-- 1696 01:15:08,780 --> 01:15:10,363 GARY GENSLER: Do you want to translate 1697 01:15:10,363 --> 01:15:11,760 for the room what a yard is? 1698 01:15:11,760 --> 01:15:13,890 My Goldman Sachs days I knew what a yard is, 1699 01:15:13,890 --> 01:15:16,440 but some of the non-bankers. 1700 01:15:16,440 --> 01:15:17,810 AUDIENCE: It's $1 billion. 1701 01:15:17,810 --> 01:15:19,170 GARY GENSLER: $1 billion. 1702 01:15:19,170 --> 01:15:20,787 Now you can work on-- 1703 01:15:20,787 --> 01:15:22,370 what trading floor to did you work on? 1704 01:15:22,370 --> 01:15:22,960 [INAUDIBLE] 1705 01:15:22,960 --> 01:15:23,460 Citi. 1706 01:15:23,460 --> 01:15:25,350 Now you can work on Citi. 1707 01:15:25,350 --> 01:15:26,490 A yard is $1 billion. 1708 01:15:26,490 --> 01:15:28,754 At Goldman Sachs it's floor 2. 1709 01:15:28,754 --> 01:15:29,712 AUDIENCE: Yeah, oh boy. 1710 01:15:32,960 --> 01:15:35,970 GARY GENSLER: We measured it differently, yeah. 1711 01:15:35,970 --> 01:15:39,420 AUDIENCE: But I think if you wanted 1712 01:15:39,420 --> 01:15:48,020 to transact maybe like under $100 from dollars to whatever, 1713 01:15:48,020 --> 01:15:51,395 no large bank is going to open an account and do that for you. 1714 01:15:51,395 --> 01:15:52,770 You're going to have to do that-- 1715 01:15:52,770 --> 01:15:55,210 like a commercial bank, if you have access to it, 1716 01:15:55,210 --> 01:15:56,940 there's a really wide spread there. 1717 01:15:56,940 --> 01:15:59,380 So you can do this through an app through a Stablecoin, 1718 01:15:59,380 --> 01:16:00,920 or Ripple, or whatever, you're going 1719 01:16:00,920 --> 01:16:03,030 to be able to do it for cheaper if you're 1720 01:16:03,030 --> 01:16:04,720 making like micro transactions. 1721 01:16:04,720 --> 01:16:06,725 GARY GENSLER: So I'm going to react 1722 01:16:06,725 --> 01:16:08,850 and then trust bring it all together and summarize. 1723 01:16:08,850 --> 01:16:11,610 It's the last slide, so. 1724 01:16:11,610 --> 01:16:13,690 Alexis' point about risk, I agree. 1725 01:16:13,690 --> 01:16:16,260 I think that all of these points are valid that there 1726 01:16:16,260 --> 01:16:18,210 is additional cost. 1727 01:16:18,210 --> 01:16:21,240 There's two hops in this example, 1728 01:16:21,240 --> 01:16:23,010 and there's additional risks. 1729 01:16:23,010 --> 01:16:25,080 So the real business case question 1730 01:16:25,080 --> 01:16:27,660 is, is there enough value added on the other side? 1731 01:16:27,660 --> 01:16:29,340 Are you shortening settlement cycles? 1732 01:16:29,340 --> 01:16:31,440 Can you do it on the weekends when you otherwise 1733 01:16:31,440 --> 01:16:32,140 couldn't do it? 1734 01:16:32,140 --> 01:16:36,060 Could you move small dollar amounts, maybe retail? 1735 01:16:36,060 --> 01:16:39,150 Because Western Union still charges something 1736 01:16:39,150 --> 01:16:44,350 like 8% to 10% to do cross-border remittances. 1737 01:16:44,350 --> 01:16:47,970 So send some money to the Philippines, 1738 01:16:47,970 --> 01:16:50,400 and do it only for a couple of hundred dollars, 1739 01:16:50,400 --> 01:16:54,350 and you're probably spending 10%. 1740 01:16:54,350 --> 01:16:58,400 Could somebody build inside of those types of-- 1741 01:16:58,400 --> 01:17:02,000 now, $200 movement 10%'s $20. 1742 01:17:02,000 --> 01:17:04,190 You still have to bring transaction costs down-- 1743 01:17:04,190 --> 01:17:06,500 fixed transaction costs down. 1744 01:17:06,500 --> 01:17:11,060 But if you can bring the fixed transaction cost down and have 1745 01:17:11,060 --> 01:17:14,985 enough liquidity, it's kind of-- 1746 01:17:14,985 --> 01:17:17,630 I wouldn't count this out. 1747 01:17:17,630 --> 01:17:19,490 I'm one who sort of doubts it will 1748 01:17:19,490 --> 01:17:21,620 be in the heart of treasury function 1749 01:17:21,620 --> 01:17:25,070 that Apple will be using it between dollar and euro, 1750 01:17:25,070 --> 01:17:28,940 but I want to say just the wide spectrum and just 1751 01:17:28,940 --> 01:17:33,440 an interesting-- can crypto be a bridge currency, 1752 01:17:33,440 --> 01:17:36,770 and might it be in the world of stable value? 1753 01:17:36,770 --> 01:17:38,840 I hope-- I mean, this was a good discussion 1754 01:17:38,840 --> 01:17:41,160 because this is what the rest of the semester is about. 1755 01:17:41,160 --> 01:17:45,690 We're going to take use case by use case and really debate, 1756 01:17:45,690 --> 01:17:48,420 and through it the learning objective is for all of us 1757 01:17:48,420 --> 01:17:50,580 to leave with a little critical reasoning skills 1758 01:17:50,580 --> 01:17:53,730 about when does an append-only log with consensus 1759 01:17:53,730 --> 01:17:57,360 amongst multiple parties and maybe a native token make 1760 01:17:57,360 --> 01:17:57,990 sense? 1761 01:17:57,990 --> 01:17:59,370 That's usually called blockchain, 1762 01:17:59,370 --> 01:18:03,450 but Aline doesn't let me call it blockchain technology anymore. 1763 01:18:03,450 --> 01:18:09,030 Next Tuesday is election day, so I'm going to make my pitch. 1764 01:18:09,030 --> 01:18:10,842 If you're a US citizen, please vote. 1765 01:18:10,842 --> 01:18:12,300 If you're not, I'm not going to ask 1766 01:18:12,300 --> 01:18:14,340 you to vote but please vote. 1767 01:18:14,340 --> 01:18:18,240 Participate in our incredible thing called democracy, 1768 01:18:18,240 --> 01:18:20,010 but we're going to talk about central bank 1769 01:18:20,010 --> 01:18:21,240 digital currencies. 1770 01:18:21,240 --> 01:18:24,430 And so I think we're doing this over two sessions, as well. 1771 01:18:24,430 --> 01:18:26,910 So next Tuesday is going to be a lot about central banking 1772 01:18:26,910 --> 01:18:28,060 and so forth. 1773 01:18:28,060 --> 01:18:29,220 So thank you. 1774 01:18:29,220 --> 01:18:31,830 Happy anniversary, Bitcoin. 1775 01:18:31,830 --> 01:18:34,880 [APPLAUSE]