1 00:00:01,090 --> 00:00:03,460 The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:03,460 --> 00:00:04,850 Commons license. 3 00:00:04,850 --> 00:00:07,060 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare 4 00:00:07,060 --> 00:00:11,150 continue to offer high quality educational resources for free. 5 00:00:11,150 --> 00:00:13,690 To make a donation, or to view additional materials 6 00:00:13,690 --> 00:00:17,650 from hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare 7 00:00:17,650 --> 00:00:18,670 at ocw.mit.edu. 8 00:00:22,050 --> 00:00:29,400 GARY GENSLER: Today we're coming back to blockchain and money, 9 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:30,787 Act Three of this course. 10 00:00:30,787 --> 00:00:33,120 Now that we've done a little of the basics, a little bit 11 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:36,390 of the economics, and now it's some use cases 12 00:00:36,390 --> 00:00:39,250 through the lens of finance. 13 00:00:39,250 --> 00:00:43,717 And to say something about one, why 14 00:00:43,717 --> 00:00:46,300 I thought it'd be worthwhile to structure the course this way, 15 00:00:46,300 --> 00:00:48,400 and what I'm hoping we all get out 16 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:54,010 of these next 10 or 11 lectures is 17 00:00:54,010 --> 00:00:56,410 that I thought that it was important after laying 18 00:00:56,410 --> 00:00:59,260 some foundation of what blockchain technology might 19 00:00:59,260 --> 00:01:02,230 or might not be, and cryptocurrencies, 20 00:01:02,230 --> 00:01:04,690 and of course, talking about the economics, 21 00:01:04,690 --> 00:01:08,200 is to use one field that's the most dominant field right now 22 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:10,840 about potential blockchain technology 23 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:13,000 use, which is finance. 24 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:16,300 It's not the only area, but finance is 25 00:01:16,300 --> 00:01:19,630 completely reliant on ledgers. 26 00:01:19,630 --> 00:01:22,690 It's completely reliant on moving property rights 27 00:01:22,690 --> 00:01:25,570 around multiple parties. 28 00:01:25,570 --> 00:01:28,680 And of course, the first use case 29 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:33,970 was about Bitcoin, which was a peer-to-peer money. 30 00:01:33,970 --> 00:01:36,610 So I thought even if you're thinking 31 00:01:36,610 --> 00:01:38,560 about this in terms of health care, 32 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,650 thinking about it terms of the internet of things, 33 00:01:41,650 --> 00:01:46,540 et cetera, many, many other use cases, why not take finance. 34 00:01:46,540 --> 00:01:49,310 Now it also happens to be my comparative background. 35 00:01:49,310 --> 00:01:51,760 And I've spent the last three or four decades of my life 36 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:53,290 around finance. 37 00:01:53,290 --> 00:01:58,180 And so I can be most helpful and dig deep, 38 00:01:58,180 --> 00:02:01,090 you know, probably as deep as you 39 00:02:01,090 --> 00:02:03,850 want to get in the mortgage market, the payment markets, 40 00:02:03,850 --> 00:02:08,229 the exchange markets. 41 00:02:08,229 --> 00:02:11,140 I've probably been there at some point in my career, 42 00:02:11,140 --> 00:02:14,360 or still have contacts and networks and have studied it. 43 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:19,368 But no doubt, with the 80 of you in this room, or 90 or so, 44 00:02:19,368 --> 00:02:20,410 you're going to press me. 45 00:02:20,410 --> 00:02:22,030 And that I like that. 46 00:02:22,030 --> 00:02:23,800 I will say last weekend was really 47 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:30,610 a joy reading 50-plus papers that it was only about 25 48 00:02:30,610 --> 00:02:35,890 of you that had decided to hand in papers early in classes 2 49 00:02:35,890 --> 00:02:36,700 through 9. 50 00:02:36,700 --> 00:02:40,880 But class 10 was 50-plus of you. 51 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:43,960 So I really do have a sense of the class 52 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:47,530 in terms of what you think about finance and blockchain. 53 00:02:47,530 --> 00:02:50,120 Of course, you'll probably do the same. 54 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:53,200 I think I might design it differently the next time. 55 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,370 But if you all hand in-- 56 00:02:55,370 --> 00:03:03,110 if 50 or 60 of you hand in the papers for class 23, 57 00:03:03,110 --> 00:03:04,350 it will be-- 58 00:03:04,350 --> 00:03:05,560 and you have that right. 59 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:07,270 I'm not taking that away from any of you. 60 00:03:07,270 --> 00:03:12,410 But it means I might be delayed getting back all the projects. 61 00:03:12,410 --> 00:03:16,720 I want to say two or three other things overall. 62 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:20,410 In terms of where we are, we're halfway through the semester. 63 00:03:20,410 --> 00:03:22,048 And Sabrina and Thalita and I did 64 00:03:22,048 --> 00:03:23,590 a good job of just saying, how are we 65 00:03:23,590 --> 00:03:24,970 doing on class participation? 66 00:03:24,970 --> 00:03:28,000 And I've kidded a lot, and I've joked a lot about who's talked 67 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:28,960 and so forth. 68 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:31,420 We're down to about 15 of you that have never 69 00:03:31,420 --> 00:03:35,120 talked in this whole 12-- 70 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:36,580 so I want to work with you. 71 00:03:36,580 --> 00:03:38,110 I'm not trying to torture anybody. 72 00:03:38,110 --> 00:03:40,180 And I really want you to all not to worry 73 00:03:40,180 --> 00:03:41,590 too much about your grades. 74 00:03:41,590 --> 00:03:42,970 I want you to worry a little bit, 75 00:03:42,970 --> 00:03:45,580 but not too much about your grades. 76 00:03:45,580 --> 00:03:48,490 But if you've not spoken yet, and you 77 00:03:48,490 --> 00:03:52,300 haven't gone online-- two people have gone online, both of whom 78 00:03:52,300 --> 00:03:55,330 I've responded to. 79 00:03:55,330 --> 00:03:56,770 You know, come see me. 80 00:03:56,770 --> 00:03:59,505 Try to figure out how to be part of this community 81 00:03:59,505 --> 00:04:00,880 and this discussion, whether it's 82 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,160 in class or online in some way. 83 00:04:06,210 --> 00:04:08,680 Cause again, I want this to be a positive learning 84 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:10,570 experience for everybody. 85 00:04:10,570 --> 00:04:13,750 In terms of the papers and just some overall things, 86 00:04:13,750 --> 00:04:16,779 by and large they were good. 87 00:04:16,779 --> 00:04:20,817 Some were extraordinarily good, which 88 00:04:20,817 --> 00:04:22,900 you'd expect with such a talented group of people. 89 00:04:22,900 --> 00:04:28,090 But some really made me think and challenged me and so forth. 90 00:04:28,090 --> 00:04:29,380 It is a bell-shaped curve. 91 00:04:29,380 --> 00:04:31,180 Some, on the other hand-- 92 00:04:31,180 --> 00:04:33,580 not many-- kind of missed the mark. 93 00:04:33,580 --> 00:04:35,570 So I just want to say a couple of things. 94 00:04:35,570 --> 00:04:39,220 One is, it's not about just answering the three study 95 00:04:39,220 --> 00:04:40,000 questions. 96 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,390 The study questions are really to spur the dialogue here. 97 00:04:43,390 --> 00:04:45,250 There's three questions. 98 00:04:45,250 --> 00:04:47,800 Not many of you, but two or three people just sort of just 99 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:49,240 tried to answer those. 100 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,750 Think about it as a uniform three-page paper. 101 00:04:52,750 --> 00:04:54,070 Five is the limit. 102 00:04:54,070 --> 00:04:56,650 One or two of you that did six or seven pages. 103 00:04:56,650 --> 00:04:58,870 That's fine, but it's just-- 104 00:04:58,870 --> 00:05:04,210 you don't need to, and it's more work, in a sense, for us. 105 00:05:04,210 --> 00:05:07,180 Two is, I really did try to give feedback and comments. 106 00:05:07,180 --> 00:05:09,880 And overall what we're trying to get to is, 107 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,690 what are the economics here? 108 00:05:12,690 --> 00:05:19,860 What is there about append-only logs and consensus protocols 109 00:05:19,860 --> 00:05:24,680 amongst multiple parties writing to a shared ledger? 110 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:29,410 So multiple parties updating some state 111 00:05:29,410 --> 00:05:33,110 of economic-- an economic state, really-- 112 00:05:33,110 --> 00:05:36,110 of property rights or something. 113 00:05:36,110 --> 00:05:38,930 And what verification costs, what networking costs, 114 00:05:38,930 --> 00:05:41,450 could be lowered. 115 00:05:41,450 --> 00:05:44,540 And it's unfair, because all of you 116 00:05:44,540 --> 00:05:47,300 are going to try to figure out a final project together. 117 00:05:47,300 --> 00:05:51,800 And I went back over the weekend looking at the final projects. 118 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:55,910 I think there's some really neat ideas that you're looking at. 119 00:05:55,910 --> 00:05:58,490 But at the core is what verification costs, what 120 00:05:58,490 --> 00:06:00,570 networking costs, can you lower. 121 00:06:00,570 --> 00:06:03,080 Why do append-only logs consensus 122 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:08,300 amongst multiple parties sharing a ledger, and possibly 123 00:06:08,300 --> 00:06:10,535 a native token. 124 00:06:10,535 --> 00:06:12,410 Because you don't have to do something around 125 00:06:12,410 --> 00:06:14,000 permissionless native tokens. 126 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:16,310 But I think some of you will get there. 127 00:06:16,310 --> 00:06:19,280 And we'll have some exciting thoughts. 128 00:06:19,280 --> 00:06:21,860 So those were my thoughts. 129 00:06:21,860 --> 00:06:25,230 If I say in the comments to your paper-- 130 00:06:25,230 --> 00:06:27,290 and I only did this two or three times-- 131 00:06:27,290 --> 00:06:29,360 come see me, don't be scared. 132 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:30,860 It might just be I want to pursue. 133 00:06:30,860 --> 00:06:33,320 I said this on some really excellent papers, 134 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:36,500 and I said this on one or two that just 135 00:06:36,500 --> 00:06:41,750 I thought it'd be worthwhile to talk about. 136 00:06:41,750 --> 00:06:44,060 But I'm trying to just get through this all with you 137 00:06:44,060 --> 00:06:45,470 and have you learn. 138 00:06:45,470 --> 00:06:47,450 So there's just some overall thoughts 139 00:06:47,450 --> 00:06:49,340 on where we are halfway through. 140 00:06:49,340 --> 00:06:50,510 Post SIP week. 141 00:06:50,510 --> 00:06:54,110 Today we're going to talk about payments. 142 00:06:54,110 --> 00:07:01,360 And Thursday we have a guest, Alin. 143 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,040 If you want to get mic'd up, I've 144 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:04,660 got a mic up here somewhere for you, 145 00:07:04,660 --> 00:07:05,952 cause I'm going to call on you. 146 00:07:05,952 --> 00:07:08,227 Or you can speak from there. 147 00:07:08,227 --> 00:07:09,310 ALIN DRAGOS: I'll be loud. 148 00:07:09,310 --> 00:07:10,318 I'll be very loud. 149 00:07:10,318 --> 00:07:11,110 GARY GENSLER: Yeah. 150 00:07:11,110 --> 00:07:13,415 That's not hard, is it? 151 00:07:13,415 --> 00:07:14,540 So what are we going to do? 152 00:07:14,540 --> 00:07:18,160 We're going to talk about just what are we 153 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:21,520 trying to cover for the rest of this semester? 154 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,510 Sort of call it H2 in blockchain and money. 155 00:07:24,510 --> 00:07:28,300 The readings, payment systems, ledgers, and credit cards. 156 00:07:28,300 --> 00:07:31,680 Just a little bit of history all together. 157 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:35,230 And that's when you're going to meet Alin. 158 00:07:35,230 --> 00:07:39,940 Not computer science Alin, but payment Alin. 159 00:07:39,940 --> 00:07:43,960 And we're going to talk about mobile payments, which 160 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:46,870 is a very significant change all the way 161 00:07:46,870 --> 00:07:50,290 around the globe in payments. 162 00:07:50,290 --> 00:07:53,690 Then global and US payments statistics. 163 00:07:53,690 --> 00:07:56,530 Bitcoin and blockchain we're going to come back to. 164 00:07:56,530 --> 00:07:57,520 And then conclusion. 165 00:07:57,520 --> 00:07:59,650 And remember, whether it's this week, next week, 166 00:07:59,650 --> 00:08:01,360 or the following week, this is all just 167 00:08:01,360 --> 00:08:02,800 to sort of say, well, wait. 168 00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:05,560 What are these use cases tell us about blockchain? 169 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:09,370 What are these use cases tell us about cryptocurrencies? 170 00:08:09,370 --> 00:08:12,820 My goal isn't that everybody here is an expert in payment. 171 00:08:12,820 --> 00:08:16,180 But if your final project is around the payment space, 172 00:08:16,180 --> 00:08:19,030 or if you ultimately want to go along and become 173 00:08:19,030 --> 00:08:21,760 an entrepreneur and do something successful in this space, 174 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:26,450 hopefully these two lectures today and Thursday will help. 175 00:08:26,450 --> 00:08:30,190 And I can't remember exactly what next week is. 176 00:08:30,190 --> 00:08:32,500 Next week's central bank and commercial banking. 177 00:08:32,500 --> 00:08:35,679 So next week we're going to turn to central bank 178 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:38,590 digital currency and what's going on in Sweden, 179 00:08:38,590 --> 00:08:40,990 and why the e-krona project's interesting, 180 00:08:40,990 --> 00:08:43,760 but how's Canada looking at it through their Jasper project? 181 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:45,430 What's China kind of thinking about 182 00:08:45,430 --> 00:08:48,550 and why they're a little worried about this space? 183 00:08:48,550 --> 00:08:51,130 And yes, what's the private sector doing 184 00:08:51,130 --> 00:08:53,380 around stable value tokens? 185 00:08:53,380 --> 00:08:55,360 So you have sort of a similar thing 186 00:08:55,360 --> 00:09:00,920 coming both from central banks and from the private sector. 187 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:04,480 I just came from a meeting where one of Larry's colleagues-- 188 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:06,227 he's from the Harvard Business School-- 189 00:09:06,227 --> 00:09:07,810 a professor at Harvard Business School 190 00:09:07,810 --> 00:09:12,300 came over because he's got a stable value token project. 191 00:09:12,300 --> 00:09:15,770 And so that's kind of next week. 192 00:09:15,770 --> 00:09:19,010 We're then going to go and talk about ICOs. 193 00:09:19,010 --> 00:09:21,010 You couldn't do a course in blockchain and money 194 00:09:21,010 --> 00:09:22,927 if we didn't talk about initial coin offerings 195 00:09:22,927 --> 00:09:27,310 with, of course, $25 or $30 billion that's been raised. 196 00:09:27,310 --> 00:09:31,690 It's an enormous crowdfunding opportunity for any of you 197 00:09:31,690 --> 00:09:35,110 that want to be venture and entrepreneurial 198 00:09:35,110 --> 00:09:36,400 after this course. 199 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,710 But it's an important, also, test. 200 00:09:38,710 --> 00:09:43,660 Are there attributes of certain economies where 201 00:09:43,660 --> 00:09:45,540 native token is appropriate? 202 00:09:45,540 --> 00:09:51,670 It will spur as an incentive function. 203 00:09:51,670 --> 00:09:53,660 I'm not willing to give up. 204 00:09:53,660 --> 00:09:55,960 I know some of you are minimalist. 205 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:59,950 I'm still thinking of the Skins and the gamers. 206 00:09:59,950 --> 00:10:04,570 Larry, when you weren't here we identified our most avid gamers 207 00:10:04,570 --> 00:10:06,650 in the class. 208 00:10:06,650 --> 00:10:10,450 And so we always refer to Skins, Shields, and Swords 209 00:10:10,450 --> 00:10:15,310 as a form of native token in the gaming sites. 210 00:10:15,310 --> 00:10:19,150 But where there might be economics-- token economics. 211 00:10:19,150 --> 00:10:21,010 So we'll sort of turn to that. 212 00:10:21,010 --> 00:10:23,020 On the 15th of November we've got 213 00:10:23,020 --> 00:10:26,950 a couple of guests in Jeff Sprecher and Kelly Loeffler, 214 00:10:26,950 --> 00:10:30,400 who run the Intercontinental Exchange and the New York Stock 215 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:35,140 Exchange and others, but have real live payments and crypto 216 00:10:35,140 --> 00:10:37,180 exchange. 217 00:10:37,180 --> 00:10:38,350 We're going to turn-- 218 00:10:38,350 --> 00:10:39,383 oh-- I'm sorry. 219 00:10:39,383 --> 00:10:40,300 I got it out of order. 220 00:10:40,300 --> 00:10:45,760 Primary markets, ICOs is before and after Thanksgiving, 221 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:46,930 I guess. 222 00:10:46,930 --> 00:10:49,510 And then do a little of the back office side. 223 00:10:49,510 --> 00:10:52,090 The back of a side is clearing and settlement. 224 00:10:52,090 --> 00:10:54,140 I mean, why is the Australian stock exchange 225 00:10:54,140 --> 00:10:55,870 using a permissioned system? 226 00:10:55,870 --> 00:10:57,880 Might you use something else? 227 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:00,970 Why is the international swap and dealer association 228 00:11:00,970 --> 00:11:04,930 using smart contracts now to try to rationalize a lot 229 00:11:04,930 --> 00:11:06,830 of their payment flows? 230 00:11:06,830 --> 00:11:09,280 So we'll get to real live use cases that 231 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,220 are happening around smart contracts 232 00:11:12,220 --> 00:11:14,630 and permissioned clearing systems. 233 00:11:14,630 --> 00:11:16,690 A little bit of trade finance, digital ID. 234 00:11:16,690 --> 00:11:18,890 I know at least one group is doing some-- 235 00:11:18,890 --> 00:11:22,600 one of the groups here is doing something on digital ID. 236 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:24,370 So you'll be out ahead of us. 237 00:11:24,370 --> 00:11:31,590 So that's kind of a review of H2 for us. 238 00:11:31,590 --> 00:11:34,050 So we had a bunch of readings. 239 00:11:34,050 --> 00:11:35,492 Some of them were quite short. 240 00:11:35,492 --> 00:11:37,200 I don't know, because you're on sip week, 241 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,780 whether you were able to go through them. 242 00:11:39,780 --> 00:11:45,330 But maybe I should just ask, does anybody 243 00:11:45,330 --> 00:11:48,490 want to tell me about some of the major trends in payments? 244 00:11:48,490 --> 00:11:50,880 I don't know how sleepy everybody is or whether-- 245 00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:56,220 Priya, I saw your hand, or you were scratching your nose. 246 00:11:56,220 --> 00:11:57,512 AUDIENCE: Either ways, I'll go. 247 00:11:57,512 --> 00:11:58,720 GARY GENSLER: All right. 248 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:03,360 AUDIENCE: So digital wallets is a big thing now. 249 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:07,723 All the articles acknowledge how kind of [INAUDIBLE] 250 00:12:07,723 --> 00:12:09,390 according to what you see in China where 251 00:12:09,390 --> 00:12:11,510 you have a digital wallet, and you pay directly, 252 00:12:11,510 --> 00:12:13,370 cutting out all the intermediaries that we 253 00:12:13,370 --> 00:12:14,120 can't [INAUDIBLE]. 254 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,520 GARY GENSLER: So one big, big trend. 255 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:18,930 I mean, I've got a bunch of discussion on this, 256 00:12:18,930 --> 00:12:19,940 but let's identify them. 257 00:12:19,940 --> 00:12:21,650 Digital wallets or mobile wallets. 258 00:12:21,650 --> 00:12:23,180 What other big trend? 259 00:12:23,180 --> 00:12:25,380 AUDIENCE: Person to person payments, so like, Venmo, 260 00:12:25,380 --> 00:12:28,210 Apple Pay, Cash. 261 00:12:28,210 --> 00:12:29,730 GARY GENSLER: And Zelle. 262 00:12:29,730 --> 00:12:30,230 All right. 263 00:12:30,230 --> 00:12:32,210 So person to person payments. 264 00:12:32,210 --> 00:12:33,440 Stephanie. 265 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,840 AUDIENCE: Tokenization, like in Apple Pay, the way 266 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,893 you, like, transform your credit card data into a token. 267 00:12:38,893 --> 00:12:41,060 GARY GENSLER: So tokenization where you can actually 268 00:12:41,060 --> 00:12:47,820 transform your identity into a token, in essence, right? 269 00:12:47,820 --> 00:12:48,320 Chris. 270 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:50,100 AUDIENCE: There's a lot of social aspects 271 00:12:50,100 --> 00:12:51,830 of payments going on. 272 00:12:51,830 --> 00:12:55,350 Like, for example, in China there's WeChat. 273 00:12:55,350 --> 00:12:59,300 They have spending millions of dollars on these red envelopes 274 00:12:59,300 --> 00:13:00,560 that used to always be cash. 275 00:13:00,560 --> 00:13:04,350 And people spend hours during the new year sending these 276 00:13:04,350 --> 00:13:06,780 back and forth to each other. 277 00:13:06,780 --> 00:13:09,520 GARY GENSLER: So you're calling it socialization of payments, 278 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:10,330 so to speak. 279 00:13:10,330 --> 00:13:10,830 Any others? 280 00:13:10,830 --> 00:13:11,840 Jeff. 281 00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:12,870 AUDIENCE: Biometrics. 282 00:13:12,870 --> 00:13:14,100 GARY GENSLER: Biometrics. 283 00:13:14,100 --> 00:13:15,570 Absolutely. 284 00:13:15,570 --> 00:13:19,470 So it's sort of another trend. 285 00:13:19,470 --> 00:13:21,180 So lots going on. 286 00:13:21,180 --> 00:13:22,263 I'm sorry. 287 00:13:22,263 --> 00:13:24,180 AUDIENCE: I'm going to mention one other thing 288 00:13:24,180 --> 00:13:26,730 that caught my eye on the statistics 289 00:13:26,730 --> 00:13:28,170 was that the larger-- 290 00:13:28,170 --> 00:13:31,230 so checks, the number of checks is going down, 291 00:13:31,230 --> 00:13:33,450 but the value is up slightly. 292 00:13:33,450 --> 00:13:36,720 So it seems to me that the remote payment 293 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:38,970 or digital payment is not capturing 294 00:13:38,970 --> 00:13:42,167 the values of payments of over $1,000 or [INAUDIBLE].. 295 00:13:42,167 --> 00:13:43,000 GARY GENSLER: Right. 296 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:48,840 And I think part of that is because for small values, 297 00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:52,470 by and large, few of us use checks anymore. 298 00:13:52,470 --> 00:13:53,220 In fact, I'll ask. 299 00:13:53,220 --> 00:13:55,890 How many in this room has written 300 00:13:55,890 --> 00:14:00,230 a physical-- any written check in the last month? 301 00:14:00,230 --> 00:14:01,050 OK. 302 00:14:01,050 --> 00:14:03,660 But how many has written a physical check 303 00:14:03,660 --> 00:14:06,580 for less than $100? 304 00:14:06,580 --> 00:14:07,080 All right. 305 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:08,970 Some. 306 00:14:08,970 --> 00:14:11,550 I can't even remember the last time I wrote a physical check 307 00:14:11,550 --> 00:14:13,150 for less than $100. 308 00:14:13,150 --> 00:14:13,650 Priya. 309 00:14:13,650 --> 00:14:15,510 AUDIENCE: If you have a child in schools, 310 00:14:15,510 --> 00:14:17,750 and schools do field trips and everything-- 311 00:14:17,750 --> 00:14:19,500 GARY GENSLER: Oh, this was not a judgment. 312 00:14:19,500 --> 00:14:21,200 I wasn't trying to-- 313 00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:22,440 oh, Priya, I'm sorry. 314 00:14:28,180 --> 00:14:31,770 But I think we tend to write them for larger. 315 00:14:31,770 --> 00:14:34,320 Rent checks sometimes, even though I now 316 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,720 pay my rent online. 317 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:38,220 Yes. 318 00:14:38,220 --> 00:14:42,800 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] like Ripple and Chain. 319 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:44,450 GARY GENSLER: So one more change. 320 00:14:44,450 --> 00:14:45,800 You said Ripple and who? 321 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:46,480 AUDIENCE: Chain. 322 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:48,090 Chain. 323 00:14:48,090 --> 00:14:48,590 Chaining? 324 00:14:48,590 --> 00:14:49,670 GARY GENSLER: Chaning. 325 00:14:49,670 --> 00:14:50,995 And are those really live? 326 00:14:50,995 --> 00:14:52,370 Or you're saying those are things 327 00:14:52,370 --> 00:14:53,530 that are going to happen? 328 00:14:53,530 --> 00:14:57,250 AUDIENCE: Well, Ripple is live, especially in Japan and Korea, 329 00:14:57,250 --> 00:14:58,090 [INAUDIBLE]. 330 00:15:01,780 --> 00:15:04,390 GARY GENSLER: So then what sort of lessons can people draw? 331 00:15:04,390 --> 00:15:07,270 We're going to talk a little bit more about M-Pesa and Alipay 332 00:15:07,270 --> 00:15:08,950 and so forth. 333 00:15:08,950 --> 00:15:10,040 But what lessons? 334 00:15:10,040 --> 00:15:10,540 Kelly. 335 00:15:10,540 --> 00:15:12,915 AUDIENCE: The thing that I took from quite a few of them. 336 00:15:12,915 --> 00:15:16,150 And I liked [INAUDIBLE] article, because it's sort of like, you 337 00:15:16,150 --> 00:15:18,480 mentioned the trend in China. 338 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:20,650 It took trends from separate countries 339 00:15:20,650 --> 00:15:23,080 and sort of identified their own statistics. 340 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:25,450 You saw a lot of countries that people 341 00:15:25,450 --> 00:15:29,890 don't feel that their payment data or their payment identity 342 00:15:29,890 --> 00:15:32,917 is secure on a lot of mobile and digital devices. 343 00:15:32,917 --> 00:15:34,750 And that lack of security if preventing them 344 00:15:34,750 --> 00:15:38,237 from entering the digital retail space. 345 00:15:38,237 --> 00:15:40,570 GARY GENSLER: How many people looked at it that Worldpay 346 00:15:40,570 --> 00:15:44,120 article, read your own country, and said, I didn't know that. 347 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:47,620 Like, there was something-- it was just one page per country. 348 00:15:47,620 --> 00:15:49,960 So, of course, it didn't say that much. 349 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:52,420 But. 350 00:15:52,420 --> 00:15:53,582 Alpha? 351 00:15:53,582 --> 00:15:55,540 I don't remember, was there a page on Ethiopia? 352 00:15:55,540 --> 00:15:56,900 AUDIENCE: There wasn't, unfortunately. 353 00:15:56,900 --> 00:15:57,410 No. 354 00:15:57,410 --> 00:15:58,660 Not yet. 355 00:15:58,660 --> 00:16:01,820 But on M-Pesa, you know, the big success story in Kenya, 356 00:16:01,820 --> 00:16:03,070 they've done a tremendous job. 357 00:16:03,070 --> 00:16:04,445 And it's billed as a huge success 358 00:16:04,445 --> 00:16:07,950 at getting mobile payments and wallet [INAUDIBLE] distributed. 359 00:16:07,950 --> 00:16:09,730 But it's interesting to note that they're 360 00:16:09,730 --> 00:16:11,560 able to acquire customers by partnering 361 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:13,625 with visible networks of agents. 362 00:16:13,625 --> 00:16:15,250 And again, something that going forward 363 00:16:15,250 --> 00:16:17,710 for a lot of these companies, we have to be [INAUDIBLE].. 364 00:16:17,710 --> 00:16:19,360 You can't be completely decentralized 365 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:20,518 or completely automated. 366 00:16:20,518 --> 00:16:21,310 That's [INAUDIBLE]. 367 00:16:21,310 --> 00:16:25,330 GARY GENSLER: I mean, initially, M-Pesa, which is in Kenya, 368 00:16:25,330 --> 00:16:26,630 and you had a reading on it. 369 00:16:26,630 --> 00:16:31,240 But it came out of mobile phones and that the values stored 370 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:35,650 on mobile phones for mobile minutes people were trading, 371 00:16:35,650 --> 00:16:36,940 in essence. 372 00:16:36,940 --> 00:16:46,000 So the network of users were these shops in Kenya 373 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:50,990 where you could go and get your minutes. 374 00:16:50,990 --> 00:16:51,490 Jihee. 375 00:16:51,490 --> 00:16:53,800 AUDIENCE: Kind of going along with that M-Pesa, 376 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:56,140 in addition to basically, like, in an easy-- 377 00:16:56,140 --> 00:17:00,280 I mean, convenient and lower transaction costs, like M-Pesa, 378 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:03,440 for example, were very instrumental 379 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,680 in corruption cases and like, keep 380 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,190 letting people know that kind of basically cutting 381 00:17:08,190 --> 00:17:08,977 the corruption. 382 00:17:08,977 --> 00:17:09,810 GARY GENSLER: Right. 383 00:17:09,810 --> 00:17:12,400 There was the example in Afghanistan. 384 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:14,480 Does anybody remember that from the reading? 385 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,510 The police officers all of a sudden 386 00:17:16,510 --> 00:17:20,470 realized that they got a 30% pay increase when the government 387 00:17:20,470 --> 00:17:22,270 was paying them directly. 388 00:17:22,270 --> 00:17:24,640 But it was actually they didn't get a pay increase. 389 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,550 It was like cutting out the middle man or middle 390 00:17:27,550 --> 00:17:30,180 woman of corruption. 391 00:17:30,180 --> 00:17:31,930 I was going to say gender neutral. 392 00:17:31,930 --> 00:17:33,740 But whomever was the-- 393 00:17:33,740 --> 00:17:35,440 it was probably men. 394 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:41,020 But in that case, in Afghanistan. 395 00:17:41,020 --> 00:17:42,520 And then what challenges are there 396 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:43,880 in the cross-border payment? 397 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,540 Well, I probably got 50% of the class 398 00:17:46,540 --> 00:17:49,180 that has personal challenges with cross-border payments. 399 00:17:49,180 --> 00:17:51,772 But what would be the biggest challenges 400 00:17:51,772 --> 00:17:53,980 that you took from the readings or your personal life 401 00:17:53,980 --> 00:17:55,850 in cross-border payments? 402 00:17:55,850 --> 00:17:56,350 Anyone? 403 00:17:59,153 --> 00:18:01,570 AUDIENCE: I'll say the number of [INAUDIBLE] from you that 404 00:18:01,570 --> 00:18:03,640 the payment service providers to the other end, 405 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:07,090 there are just so many layers, which was just incredible how 406 00:18:07,090 --> 00:18:10,690 money can move seemingly so easy from one country to another-- 407 00:18:10,690 --> 00:18:13,240 GARY GENSLER: So a lot of layers of intermediation, 408 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:14,133 tons of them. 409 00:18:14,133 --> 00:18:15,550 Anything else in the cross-border? 410 00:18:15,550 --> 00:18:16,990 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] 411 00:18:16,990 --> 00:18:18,760 GARY GENSLER: Costs. 412 00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:21,635 You've probably had that. 413 00:18:21,635 --> 00:18:23,010 So let's go through a little bit. 414 00:18:23,010 --> 00:18:25,938 So, I'm introducing a guest. 415 00:18:25,938 --> 00:18:26,480 There you go. 416 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:28,420 You want to stand up? 417 00:18:28,420 --> 00:18:30,980 [APPLAUSE] 418 00:18:30,980 --> 00:18:35,560 So Alin , he heads part of the digital currency initiative 419 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:38,220 here at MIT in the Media Lab. 420 00:18:38,220 --> 00:18:42,590 All the efforts around lightning network and layer two 421 00:18:42,590 --> 00:18:43,190 solutions. 422 00:18:43,190 --> 00:18:46,150 But before MIT, he was a vice president of First Data. 423 00:18:46,150 --> 00:18:50,270 And First Data is a payment system provider. 424 00:18:50,270 --> 00:18:52,640 And he had about 200 people reporting 425 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:56,170 to him and a big business-- 426 00:18:56,170 --> 00:18:59,540 $200 million P&L. That's revenues, right? 427 00:18:59,540 --> 00:19:00,350 Yeah. 428 00:19:00,350 --> 00:19:03,660 I mean, if it was profits, even better for you. 429 00:19:03,660 --> 00:19:06,530 And then he spent three years in a startup world. 430 00:19:06,530 --> 00:19:09,380 So he's somebody if you're interested in blockchain 431 00:19:09,380 --> 00:19:12,120 and digital currency initiative, you should get to know anyway. 432 00:19:12,120 --> 00:19:14,840 But if you're even interested in startups outside 433 00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:17,480 of payment world, Alin's great. 434 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:19,430 And he's going to be here today and Thursday. 435 00:19:19,430 --> 00:19:22,120 And not only when I make mistakes, 436 00:19:22,120 --> 00:19:23,870 but a couple of times I'm going to get you 437 00:19:23,870 --> 00:19:26,270 up here to say stuff about how payments really works. 438 00:19:26,270 --> 00:19:32,330 But he's like, way embedded in the MIT blockchain community. 439 00:19:32,330 --> 00:19:33,560 So payment systems. 440 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:37,050 Again, what is a payment system? 441 00:19:37,050 --> 00:19:38,960 It is moving money, of course. 442 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:42,470 But on some level it is a way to amend and record 443 00:19:42,470 --> 00:19:44,330 entries on ledgers. 444 00:19:44,330 --> 00:19:48,140 Because a ledger is how we keep money now. 445 00:19:48,140 --> 00:19:49,820 Certainly in the digital world it's 446 00:19:49,820 --> 00:19:53,120 always recorded on some ledger somewhere. 447 00:19:53,120 --> 00:19:55,980 So there is an authorization phase. 448 00:19:55,980 --> 00:19:59,270 There's a clearing phase, and then final settlement. 449 00:19:59,270 --> 00:20:01,430 Does anybody want to take a crack other than Alin 450 00:20:01,430 --> 00:20:04,670 as to what it means to authorize a payment? 451 00:20:04,670 --> 00:20:06,225 Just to authorize a payment. 452 00:20:06,225 --> 00:20:07,850 It might not have been in the readings, 453 00:20:07,850 --> 00:20:12,200 but it's sort of just use your language 454 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,810 skills to tell me what it might mean to authorize a payment. 455 00:20:14,810 --> 00:20:15,830 Tom. 456 00:20:15,830 --> 00:20:17,690 Your laugh gets you called on. 457 00:20:17,690 --> 00:20:19,430 AUDIENCE: I am struggling to describe it 458 00:20:19,430 --> 00:20:21,480 without using the word to authorize. 459 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,480 GARY GENSLER: It reminds me of when I was, like, 460 00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:26,135 a freshman in English class at University of Pennsylvania, 461 00:20:26,135 --> 00:20:28,940 and I had to describe a telephone without using 462 00:20:28,940 --> 00:20:31,460 the word "telephone." 463 00:20:31,460 --> 00:20:34,933 AUDIENCE: So I was thinking about the digital system 464 00:20:34,933 --> 00:20:35,850 we're using right now. 465 00:20:35,850 --> 00:20:37,990 It's like, when you click Send on Venmo, 466 00:20:37,990 --> 00:20:42,860 like, you authorize the account, the money to leave your ledger 467 00:20:42,860 --> 00:20:43,400 [INAUDIBLE]. 468 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,525 GARY GENSLER: So you just used the word "authorize" 469 00:20:45,525 --> 00:20:48,800 to define the word "authorize." 470 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:49,750 AUDIENCE: Is it just-- 471 00:20:49,750 --> 00:20:50,600 GARY GENSLER: Oh, back here. 472 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:52,220 I'm sorry, I don't remember your name. 473 00:20:52,220 --> 00:20:52,590 What's that? 474 00:20:52,590 --> 00:20:53,160 AUDIENCE: Dan. 475 00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:53,690 GARY GENSLER: Dan. 476 00:20:53,690 --> 00:20:54,315 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 477 00:20:54,315 --> 00:20:58,880 I just think it's you're approving the actual transfer 478 00:20:58,880 --> 00:20:59,540 of the money. 479 00:20:59,540 --> 00:21:01,250 You're saying it's OK that the-- 480 00:21:01,250 --> 00:21:02,083 GARY GENSLER: Right. 481 00:21:02,083 --> 00:21:04,683 [INAUDIBLE] I can't-- 482 00:21:04,683 --> 00:21:05,350 AUDIENCE: Aviva. 483 00:21:05,350 --> 00:21:06,183 GARY GENSLER: Aviva. 484 00:21:06,183 --> 00:21:07,310 Good to see you. 485 00:21:07,310 --> 00:21:10,640 AUDIENCE: It has to do also with KYC AML 486 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:14,510 And to authorize the source of-- 487 00:21:14,510 --> 00:21:17,120 the sender's identity and the source of money, what countries 488 00:21:17,120 --> 00:21:18,290 it's coming from. 489 00:21:18,290 --> 00:21:21,530 If it's above a certain threshold or a certain amount, 490 00:21:21,530 --> 00:21:25,380 financial institutions have further checks to-- 491 00:21:25,380 --> 00:21:28,700 GARY GENSLER: So most systems do what Aviva and Dan said. 492 00:21:28,700 --> 00:21:33,410 They have to say, we know who the person is. 493 00:21:33,410 --> 00:21:39,010 They have the balance is in some account. 494 00:21:39,010 --> 00:21:40,800 So they are who they say they are, 495 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:42,640 or at least digitally they are, and they 496 00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:46,630 have a certain set of balances and monies within an account. 497 00:21:46,630 --> 00:21:51,100 And they have the legal ability to move that money, 498 00:21:51,100 --> 00:21:55,240 all without using the word "authority" in essence. 499 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:56,350 Clearing. 500 00:21:56,350 --> 00:21:57,700 Anybody know what clearing is? 501 00:21:57,700 --> 00:22:00,780 Or am I going to have to call on Alin? 502 00:22:00,780 --> 00:22:01,525 James. 503 00:22:01,525 --> 00:22:04,890 AUDIENCE: Isn't the [INAUDIBLE] that confirms that money, 504 00:22:04,890 --> 00:22:07,090 it's getting somewhere, and it's going somewhere. 505 00:22:07,090 --> 00:22:07,882 GARY GENSLER: Yeah. 506 00:22:07,882 --> 00:22:09,960 And it also has to do with netting, sometimes. 507 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,470 Clearing can be-- if the 100 people in this room 508 00:22:13,470 --> 00:22:17,160 were all sending 10,000 movements all in the same day 509 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,500 at the end of the day, you might net all of those 510 00:22:19,500 --> 00:22:24,000 movements down so there's fewer actual movements. 511 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:27,240 So historic clearing, which goes back centuries, 512 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:32,160 was also a way to lower the friction, 513 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,260 just taking the 100 people in this room, 514 00:22:34,260 --> 00:22:36,310 of all those movements. 515 00:22:36,310 --> 00:22:38,555 So authorization-- Aviva. 516 00:22:38,555 --> 00:22:41,520 AUDIENCE: It also has to do with foreign exchange. 517 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:46,055 So if someone wants to transact in peso versus dollar, 518 00:22:46,055 --> 00:22:48,870 so you then also have to net off, like you said, 519 00:22:48,870 --> 00:22:49,577 that balance. 520 00:22:49,577 --> 00:22:50,410 GARY GENSLER: Right. 521 00:22:50,410 --> 00:22:54,720 So in foreign exchange, any circumstance-- 522 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:56,700 and this is in the securities world as well-- 523 00:22:56,700 --> 00:22:59,430 you'll hear the words "clearing" and "settling.". 524 00:22:59,430 --> 00:23:01,920 God knows, even when I was chairing the Commodity Futures 525 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,500 Trading Commission, all of us sometimes 526 00:23:04,500 --> 00:23:07,530 got a little bit confused about the two words. 527 00:23:07,530 --> 00:23:09,990 But clearing is pre-settlement. 528 00:23:09,990 --> 00:23:13,080 Clearing is netting of transactions, 529 00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:16,710 arranging the paper when we were still in a paper world, 530 00:23:16,710 --> 00:23:20,940 all in together, taking all the physical checks 531 00:23:20,940 --> 00:23:24,340 and getting them all in the same place in the right place. 532 00:23:24,340 --> 00:23:27,150 And then what's settlement? 533 00:23:27,150 --> 00:23:27,650 Sean. 534 00:23:27,650 --> 00:23:30,066 AUDIENCE: It's to discharge. 535 00:23:30,066 --> 00:23:31,680 GARY GENSLER: To discharge. 536 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:32,320 I like that. 537 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:33,070 AUDIENCE: Receipt. 538 00:23:33,070 --> 00:23:35,570 It's the receipt from [INAUDIBLE].. 539 00:23:35,570 --> 00:23:39,440 GARY GENSLER: So discharge the receipt. 540 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:43,430 It's basically the final amendment of a record. 541 00:23:43,430 --> 00:23:48,740 It's changing a balance from 10 to 11 or 10 to 9. 542 00:23:48,740 --> 00:23:49,730 That's settlement. 543 00:23:49,730 --> 00:23:51,240 And that's true in securities. 544 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:52,230 Alin. 545 00:23:52,230 --> 00:23:53,730 AUDIENCE: To me this is mesmerizing, 546 00:23:53,730 --> 00:23:55,105 because there has to be a history 547 00:23:55,105 --> 00:23:58,080 behind this authorized clearing and settlement 548 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:00,640 sort of free part movement of money. 549 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:02,655 Because if you think of a computer system, 550 00:24:02,655 --> 00:24:04,530 or if you think of a blockchain, if you want, 551 00:24:04,530 --> 00:24:05,980 there's no need to do any of this. 552 00:24:05,980 --> 00:24:06,480 Right? 553 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:08,640 You just do the damn transaction, and it's atomic. 554 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:11,100 A moves money to B, and you're done. 555 00:24:11,100 --> 00:24:13,590 So like, how did this even happen? 556 00:24:13,590 --> 00:24:14,670 Like, how do we-- 557 00:24:14,670 --> 00:24:18,060 like, to have a computer system that does this is just inane. 558 00:24:18,060 --> 00:24:20,340 You don't need any of this in a computer system. 559 00:24:20,340 --> 00:24:22,500 So why do we still do this in a computer system? 560 00:24:22,500 --> 00:24:23,940 Where did this evolve from? 561 00:24:23,940 --> 00:24:26,700 GARY GENSLER: So Alin's question, 562 00:24:26,700 --> 00:24:29,428 I was hoping would come out of the group. 563 00:24:29,428 --> 00:24:30,970 So I'm going to go to the other Alin. 564 00:24:30,970 --> 00:24:35,760 But there's centuries of history as to why we have these. 565 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:36,612 But this Alin. 566 00:24:36,612 --> 00:24:38,820 ALIN DRAGOS: Let me say right here, because I think-- 567 00:24:38,820 --> 00:24:41,132 so first of all, I'm happy that this came up, 568 00:24:41,132 --> 00:24:42,090 because it's excellent. 569 00:24:42,090 --> 00:24:42,590 Right? 570 00:24:42,590 --> 00:24:45,530 So when I saw the slides, you know, I-- 571 00:24:45,530 --> 00:24:48,522 GARY GENSLER: I sent this Alin the slides last night. 572 00:24:48,522 --> 00:24:49,980 ALIN DRAGOS: So I saw that there is 573 00:24:49,980 --> 00:24:53,100 a really interesting historical component to all of this, 574 00:24:53,100 --> 00:24:55,020 as you rightly pointed out, right. 575 00:24:55,020 --> 00:24:59,460 This all came from about four decades' worth of evolution 576 00:24:59,460 --> 00:25:00,090 here. 577 00:25:00,090 --> 00:25:01,800 So we started-- you know, you started 578 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,850 with a very convoluted way, as it would appear now, 579 00:25:05,850 --> 00:25:08,160 to actually send out paper-based receipts 580 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:12,090 and have a plastic-based card, if you will, 581 00:25:12,090 --> 00:25:14,960 that will have to be recorded and, you know-- first of all, 582 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:17,400 you just say, does the person have the money there? 583 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:18,000 Right. 584 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:18,820 Is the money there? 585 00:25:18,820 --> 00:25:19,650 I'm [INAUDIBLE] authorize. 586 00:25:19,650 --> 00:25:20,110 Right? 587 00:25:20,110 --> 00:25:21,960 I'm gonna get an answer right back, saying, yep. 588 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:22,620 The money's there. 589 00:25:22,620 --> 00:25:22,820 OK. 590 00:25:22,820 --> 00:25:23,840 I just authorized it. 591 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,250 But it's a very simple, like, ping right back and forth. 592 00:25:26,250 --> 00:25:26,768 Right? 593 00:25:26,768 --> 00:25:28,560 So it needs to be a very small transaction. 594 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,185 From there on you can start to say, OK. 595 00:25:30,185 --> 00:25:32,610 Now let's batch transactions and do the clearing. 596 00:25:32,610 --> 00:25:34,440 And then from there on you actually send on the money. 597 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:34,950 Right? 598 00:25:34,950 --> 00:25:37,620 The interesting part about all of this 599 00:25:37,620 --> 00:25:39,750 is that it evolved in time. 600 00:25:39,750 --> 00:25:42,020 So this technology, if you were to do it now 601 00:25:42,020 --> 00:25:44,340 with all of the tools that are at our disposal now, 602 00:25:44,340 --> 00:25:46,050 you'd do it differently, entirely. 603 00:25:46,050 --> 00:25:50,250 However, payments, as Gary will point out 604 00:25:50,250 --> 00:25:52,980 in the next couple of slides, basically evolved organically 605 00:25:52,980 --> 00:25:53,925 through decades. 606 00:25:53,925 --> 00:25:55,800 And you know, they started with [INAUDIBLE].. 607 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,050 GARY GENSLER: So stay with us. 608 00:25:57,050 --> 00:25:58,920 Stay with us just so that-- 609 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,830 That is literally a check that Thomas Jefferson 610 00:26:01,830 --> 00:26:05,570 wrote to himself in 1809. 611 00:26:05,570 --> 00:26:07,670 But that is a payment instruction 612 00:26:07,670 --> 00:26:09,470 from one Thomas Jefferson account 613 00:26:09,470 --> 00:26:12,110 to another Thomas Jefferson account. 614 00:26:12,110 --> 00:26:15,030 But it's a payment instruction. 615 00:26:15,030 --> 00:26:17,860 It didn't actually move the money. 616 00:26:17,860 --> 00:26:19,680 It's just a payment instruction. 617 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:21,170 This is a Western Union Telegram. 618 00:26:23,980 --> 00:26:28,030 The telegraph came along in the 1840's, if I remember. 619 00:26:28,030 --> 00:26:31,600 But Western Union took several decades to come along and say, 620 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:38,080 we can send instructions to move value using the telegraph. 621 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:42,160 And the Telex machine, which was post-world War II-- and yes, 622 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,380 I'm old enough to say that there were still 623 00:26:44,380 --> 00:26:46,660 telex machines at Goldman Sachs when 624 00:26:46,660 --> 00:26:50,620 I started in 1979 that you would type 625 00:26:50,620 --> 00:26:53,110 in to type in an instruction. 626 00:26:53,110 --> 00:26:55,570 So Alin, you're asking where did it come from. 627 00:26:55,570 --> 00:27:01,130 It came from technology move from first authorizing. 628 00:27:01,130 --> 00:27:04,540 Does that party have the legal rights 629 00:27:04,540 --> 00:27:07,060 to move something, move value? 630 00:27:07,060 --> 00:27:09,280 Do they have enough of the value? 631 00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:12,140 Is there enough in their account? 632 00:27:12,140 --> 00:27:12,840 And so forth. 633 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,140 That's the authorization phase. 634 00:27:15,140 --> 00:27:17,690 Now you'd say, well, can't that all be done simultaneously? 635 00:27:17,690 --> 00:27:18,648 And the answer is, yes. 636 00:27:18,648 --> 00:27:19,820 Maybe. 637 00:27:19,820 --> 00:27:22,130 But most of the payments system is still 638 00:27:22,130 --> 00:27:28,460 based on authorization, clearing, and then settlement. 639 00:27:28,460 --> 00:27:30,530 Financial ledgers that are also the reason. 640 00:27:30,530 --> 00:27:33,080 Ledgers record economic activity. 641 00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:37,010 We've talked about this earlier in the semester. 642 00:27:37,010 --> 00:27:39,770 They record transactions or accounts. 643 00:27:39,770 --> 00:27:42,970 Bitcoin is a transaction ledger. 644 00:27:42,970 --> 00:27:47,220 Ethereum and others are account ledgers. 645 00:27:47,220 --> 00:27:48,530 But they're both ledgers. 646 00:27:48,530 --> 00:27:53,690 They're both forms of recording something that has a right. 647 00:27:53,690 --> 00:27:59,660 The data is usually used around some right or a token. 648 00:27:59,660 --> 00:28:03,110 But the first ledgers were thousands of years ago. 649 00:28:03,110 --> 00:28:05,210 And I think on those ledgers, I don't 650 00:28:05,210 --> 00:28:07,400 know how they split authorization, clearing, 651 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:08,630 and settling. 652 00:28:08,630 --> 00:28:10,185 But they were a form of a ledger. 653 00:28:13,350 --> 00:28:15,850 I like presidents, I like American history. 654 00:28:15,850 --> 00:28:17,370 So I pulled-- 655 00:28:17,370 --> 00:28:22,200 George Washington used to use a personal ledger, single entry 656 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,050 ledger. 657 00:28:24,050 --> 00:28:30,190 But the IBM 360 came along in the early 1960s. 658 00:28:30,190 --> 00:28:34,280 And it revolutionized the world of finance and ledgers. 659 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,910 It still took about 14 years. 660 00:28:37,910 --> 00:28:40,470 I think it was in the early 1970s 661 00:28:40,470 --> 00:28:43,710 after big paperwork crash on Wall Street, meaning 662 00:28:43,710 --> 00:28:45,650 literal, physical pieces of paper 663 00:28:45,650 --> 00:28:48,000 were moving around the late 1960s. 664 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,370 And they had to shut the New York Stock Exchange down, 665 00:28:50,370 --> 00:28:52,800 I think, for a day or two, because they'd 666 00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:57,310 gotten weeks or months behind in clearing the paper. 667 00:28:57,310 --> 00:28:58,560 They had passed authorization. 668 00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:01,320 It was all in clearing securities trends, 669 00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:04,440 and was created by an act of Congress 670 00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:07,320 that there would be central clearing and settling. 671 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:13,100 And DTCC was in essence created to solve and get out 672 00:29:13,100 --> 00:29:14,890 of that huge mess and a problem. 673 00:29:14,890 --> 00:29:16,760 But it was on the backs of technology 674 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:18,830 that it could even be done, that there 675 00:29:18,830 --> 00:29:20,020 would be a central ledger. 676 00:29:20,020 --> 00:29:22,253 Is it helping to answer your question yet? 677 00:29:22,253 --> 00:29:24,410 AUDIENCE: I think my question kind of changed. 678 00:29:24,410 --> 00:29:26,330 So I'll talk to you after the class. 679 00:29:26,330 --> 00:29:27,120 GARY GENSLER: OK. 680 00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:27,620 You're good. 681 00:29:27,620 --> 00:29:29,210 Do you have a question? 682 00:29:29,210 --> 00:29:30,650 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 683 00:29:30,650 --> 00:29:33,530 So one thing that came out of the readings for me, 684 00:29:33,530 --> 00:29:35,550 I guess it's kind of solved by checks. 685 00:29:35,550 --> 00:29:39,440 But like, how are cash transfers captured in all of this? 686 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,150 GARY GENSLER: How are cash-- 687 00:29:41,150 --> 00:29:41,900 cash, cash. 688 00:29:41,900 --> 00:29:42,780 AUDIENCE: Cash cash. 689 00:29:42,780 --> 00:29:42,980 Right. 690 00:29:42,980 --> 00:29:44,930 Because now they have digital everything. 691 00:29:44,930 --> 00:29:48,670 Everything is really easy to track. 692 00:29:48,670 --> 00:29:53,030 And you talked about confidential transactions 693 00:29:53,030 --> 00:29:55,940 or private transactions, if you give me $10, 694 00:29:55,940 --> 00:29:59,480 nobody else in the world knows that you gave me $10 back. 695 00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:01,830 GARY GENSLER: Well, right now this is being recorded. 696 00:30:01,830 --> 00:30:02,880 It's being seen. 697 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,410 And so you'll give it back to me. 698 00:30:04,410 --> 00:30:05,500 AUDIENCE: 100%. 699 00:30:05,500 --> 00:30:06,300 GARY GENSLER: No, you can take it. 700 00:30:06,300 --> 00:30:07,000 You can take it. 701 00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:07,875 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] 702 00:30:07,875 --> 00:30:08,690 GARY GENSLER: Now! 703 00:30:08,690 --> 00:30:09,320 Yeah, yeah. 704 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:10,400 Remember. 705 00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:11,880 What lawsuit was that? 706 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:15,168 The Scottish lawsuit? 707 00:30:15,168 --> 00:30:16,210 AUDIENCE: Can't remember. 708 00:30:16,210 --> 00:30:17,168 GARY GENSLER: Crawford. 709 00:30:19,060 --> 00:30:24,078 But that bill, what's it say on the top? 710 00:30:24,078 --> 00:30:25,370 AUDIENCE: Federal Reserve note. 711 00:30:25,370 --> 00:30:27,750 GARY GENSLER: So it's a Federal Reserve note. 712 00:30:27,750 --> 00:30:29,270 It is a Federal Reserve note, which 713 00:30:29,270 --> 00:30:32,660 literally means it is a liability of the central bank 714 00:30:32,660 --> 00:30:33,610 the US government. 715 00:30:33,610 --> 00:30:35,310 Now that's a social construct. 716 00:30:35,310 --> 00:30:39,620 We talked about it's not that there is a room full of gold 717 00:30:39,620 --> 00:30:41,990 or a room full of wheat behind it. 718 00:30:41,990 --> 00:30:45,120 There's some gold in Fort Knox. 719 00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:50,220 But that is a form of a ledger transaction. 720 00:30:50,220 --> 00:30:52,020 If you read a little bit more closely, 721 00:30:52,020 --> 00:30:54,437 can you see on the upper right there's something in there? 722 00:30:57,810 --> 00:30:59,550 AUDIENCE: United States of America. 723 00:30:59,550 --> 00:31:00,550 GARY GENSLER: All right. 724 00:31:00,550 --> 00:31:02,350 Is there a serial number? 725 00:31:02,350 --> 00:31:09,990 There is a unique serial number on every Federal Reserve note. 726 00:31:09,990 --> 00:31:12,540 That unique serial number is, in essence, 727 00:31:12,540 --> 00:31:15,990 tying it to a ledger, a liability of the Federal 728 00:31:15,990 --> 00:31:17,660 Reserve. 729 00:31:17,660 --> 00:31:21,560 But it's a tokenized ledger receipt. 730 00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:22,610 I've handed it to you. 731 00:31:22,610 --> 00:31:24,680 It's anonymous-- well, it's not anonymous, 732 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:26,570 because it was captured on the film. 733 00:31:26,570 --> 00:31:30,830 But it was anonymous because it's a tokenized paper. 734 00:31:30,830 --> 00:31:32,915 It's actually linen, it's not really paper. 735 00:31:36,260 --> 00:31:39,440 Anybody know who is the sole source 736 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,290 manufacturer of the linen that goes into Federal Reserve 737 00:31:42,290 --> 00:31:43,780 notes? 738 00:31:43,780 --> 00:31:44,886 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE]? 739 00:31:44,886 --> 00:31:45,280 GARY GENSLER: No. 740 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:45,900 Crane. 741 00:31:45,900 --> 00:31:52,340 C-R-A-N-E is the name of the company that has the contract. 742 00:31:52,340 --> 00:31:53,900 But to answer your question, it's 743 00:31:53,900 --> 00:31:58,430 a tokenized form of a specific serialized ledger 744 00:31:58,430 --> 00:31:59,720 on the Federal Reserve. 745 00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:03,530 AUDIENCE: So that only gets triggered 746 00:32:03,530 --> 00:32:07,010 if it goes into and out of institutions. 747 00:32:07,010 --> 00:32:07,550 Right? 748 00:32:07,550 --> 00:32:10,270 If this bill comes to me, and then goes to somebody else 749 00:32:10,270 --> 00:32:10,860 and goes to somebody else-- 750 00:32:10,860 --> 00:32:11,600 GARY GENSLER: Like, James. 751 00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:11,810 Yeah. 752 00:32:11,810 --> 00:32:13,110 AUDIENCE: --before it goes on to a bank. 753 00:32:13,110 --> 00:32:14,020 GARY GENSLER: Yeah. 754 00:32:14,020 --> 00:32:16,430 AUDIENCE: Then none of those transactions are tracked. 755 00:32:16,430 --> 00:32:17,320 GARY GENSLER: That's correct. 756 00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:19,150 AUDIENCE: But on something like Venmo, they are. 757 00:32:19,150 --> 00:32:20,510 So something like Bitcoin, they are too. 758 00:32:20,510 --> 00:32:21,760 GARY GENSLER: So we're moving. 759 00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:24,170 There's a big trend that's happening over these last 50 760 00:32:24,170 --> 00:32:26,210 years. 761 00:32:26,210 --> 00:32:30,680 And if you go back 200 years, it was all anonymous. 762 00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:32,540 But once you get into the 20th century, 763 00:32:32,540 --> 00:32:35,480 it starts to be more or more digitized, 764 00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:38,840 even early 20th century, commerce-- big commerce-- 765 00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:41,570 was starting to be in the banking system. 766 00:32:41,570 --> 00:32:45,860 But in the last 50 years, and certainly the last 20 years, 767 00:32:45,860 --> 00:32:50,630 we're almost fully digitized in developed countries, not 768 00:32:50,630 --> 00:32:52,210 middle economic countries. 769 00:32:52,210 --> 00:32:54,180 But that's correct. 770 00:32:54,180 --> 00:32:56,330 But this still ties back to a ledger. 771 00:32:56,330 --> 00:32:58,220 I'll get that back later. 772 00:32:58,220 --> 00:33:00,110 Credit cards. 773 00:33:00,110 --> 00:33:03,110 The first big write-up of credit cards 774 00:33:03,110 --> 00:33:06,500 was a book from the 1880s that said, what would the world be 775 00:33:06,500 --> 00:33:08,600 like in the year 2000? 776 00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:13,280 And 15 or 20 times in the book it used the word "credit card." 777 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:18,530 They fictionalized the future of credit cards. 778 00:33:18,530 --> 00:33:20,360 I haven't read the book, but I just 779 00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:24,500 love that it was written in the 1880s. 780 00:33:24,500 --> 00:33:27,980 But the actual start of the use of credit tokens, 781 00:33:27,980 --> 00:33:31,130 if not credit cards, started actually 782 00:33:31,130 --> 00:33:33,380 in the late 19th century. 783 00:33:33,380 --> 00:33:35,960 And the idea is that you could have a token that 784 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:37,640 was for as particular merchant. 785 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:42,020 And by the 1920s you had them for getting your gasoline 786 00:33:42,020 --> 00:33:44,660 when automobiles started to be popular, and so forth. 787 00:33:44,660 --> 00:33:47,300 But they were not generalized credit tokens. 788 00:33:47,300 --> 00:33:50,010 They were a credit token really by one merchant. 789 00:33:50,010 --> 00:33:53,540 So think of them as a merchant-specific token. 790 00:33:53,540 --> 00:33:58,040 In the 1940s in Brooklyn, New York, somebody-- 791 00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:02,900 in essence the innovation was to have a more generalized token 792 00:34:02,900 --> 00:34:07,120 that could give you credit at more than one merchant. 793 00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:10,810 And once that happened, of course, credit cards took off. 794 00:34:10,810 --> 00:34:13,300 First in the US, Diner's Card. 795 00:34:13,300 --> 00:34:15,659 American Express was in the mid '50s. 796 00:34:15,659 --> 00:34:17,949 And then Bank of America figured out, 797 00:34:17,949 --> 00:34:23,560 maybe we will even extend credit multiple banks. 798 00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,150 And they created a network. 799 00:34:25,150 --> 00:34:27,250 Bank of America was a California bank. 800 00:34:27,250 --> 00:34:29,139 It's not the bank you think of now. 801 00:34:29,139 --> 00:34:32,469 In those days it was California based. 802 00:34:32,469 --> 00:34:35,110 But maybe we can have a network across the whole US. 803 00:34:35,110 --> 00:34:39,070 And that network is actually the network that became Visa. 804 00:34:39,070 --> 00:34:42,250 It was a shared ownership service 805 00:34:42,250 --> 00:34:46,659 amongst a bunch of banks across. 806 00:34:46,659 --> 00:34:50,170 But the cards had to be processed. 807 00:34:50,170 --> 00:34:52,960 Does anybody even ever see the processing 808 00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:54,610 that's in the left, in the middle, 809 00:34:54,610 --> 00:34:57,170 any longer in the US and Europe? 810 00:34:57,170 --> 00:34:59,005 No, you probably-- 811 00:34:59,005 --> 00:35:00,950 ALIN DRAGOS: The imprinters still exist. 812 00:35:00,950 --> 00:35:03,310 There are some cab drivers who will still 813 00:35:03,310 --> 00:35:05,710 take out, like, one of those-- 814 00:35:05,710 --> 00:35:06,647 one of those machines. 815 00:35:06,647 --> 00:35:07,480 So they still exist. 816 00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:08,897 GARY GENSLER: So they still exist. 817 00:35:08,897 --> 00:35:11,180 So technology has moved us in advance. 818 00:35:11,180 --> 00:35:13,810 So here we're going to do modern payment systems. 819 00:35:13,810 --> 00:35:16,390 I think Alin's going to help me out here. 820 00:35:16,390 --> 00:35:18,550 You've got a customer. 821 00:35:18,550 --> 00:35:19,720 You'll see this play out. 822 00:35:19,720 --> 00:35:23,020 But this is complex system. 823 00:35:23,020 --> 00:35:25,300 The customer has an issuing bank. 824 00:35:25,300 --> 00:35:26,650 I'm going to say it's me. 825 00:35:26,650 --> 00:35:30,640 And I'm Gary Gensler, and it's Bank of America. 826 00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:33,970 And I might use a credit card to instruct my bank, 827 00:35:33,970 --> 00:35:36,430 I might use a check, I might use a debit card. 828 00:35:36,430 --> 00:35:38,810 I actually have all three-- 829 00:35:38,810 --> 00:35:42,860 credit card, debit card, and checks. 830 00:35:42,860 --> 00:35:45,530 I could instruct them in any of those three ways, 831 00:35:45,530 --> 00:35:47,360 but there's other ways I can instruct them. 832 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:50,540 I can instruct them and ask Bank of America to send a wire. 833 00:35:50,540 --> 00:35:54,470 I can in the US ask them to send an automated clearing house 834 00:35:54,470 --> 00:35:55,060 payment-- 835 00:35:55,060 --> 00:35:56,510 ACH. 836 00:35:56,510 --> 00:35:58,220 Wires are more real time. 837 00:35:58,220 --> 00:36:00,650 ACH take up to two days-- 838 00:36:00,650 --> 00:36:02,053 is it now? 839 00:36:02,053 --> 00:36:03,720 ALIN DRAGOS: That's in the longest form. 840 00:36:03,720 --> 00:36:05,000 GARY GENSLER: OK. 841 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,640 ALIN DRAGOS: The ACH has been suffering some pressures, 842 00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:09,040 and now they actually offer-- 843 00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:09,440 GARY GENSLER: Real time. 844 00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:10,850 ALIN DRAGOS: --almost real time [INAUDIBLE].. 845 00:36:10,850 --> 00:36:12,433 GARY GENSLER: But traditionally, wires 846 00:36:12,433 --> 00:36:15,220 were something that you did which were more immediate, 847 00:36:15,220 --> 00:36:19,440 and what's called ACH, more slowly. 848 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,230 So there's actually five ways I could 849 00:36:21,230 --> 00:36:25,430 have my Bank of America send something of value. 850 00:36:25,430 --> 00:36:27,560 It has to go through some network. 851 00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:31,970 It's too small to see, but the first little blue arrow there 852 00:36:31,970 --> 00:36:33,450 is Visa MasterCard. 853 00:36:33,450 --> 00:36:36,560 It might be going across a credit card network. 854 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:41,410 The second arrow there is where this guy used to work, 855 00:36:41,410 --> 00:36:42,970 First Data stripe. 856 00:36:42,970 --> 00:36:48,250 There's dozens and dozens of payment processors or payment 857 00:36:48,250 --> 00:36:49,630 system processors-- 858 00:36:49,630 --> 00:36:51,400 PSPs. 859 00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,560 So you have a credit card, but you might also 860 00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:56,890 have somebody call it a PSP. 861 00:36:56,890 --> 00:36:59,170 Has anybody started a business in this room? 862 00:36:59,170 --> 00:37:00,460 A merchant? 863 00:37:00,460 --> 00:37:02,470 I'm sure somebody-- has anybody? 864 00:37:02,470 --> 00:37:03,310 All right. 865 00:37:03,310 --> 00:37:05,890 Did you have to hire a payment system processor? 866 00:37:05,890 --> 00:37:06,665 Who'd you hire? 867 00:37:06,665 --> 00:37:07,540 AUDIENCE: First Data. 868 00:37:07,540 --> 00:37:08,858 GARY GENSLER: First Data. 869 00:37:08,858 --> 00:37:10,900 When I was chief financial officer of the Hillary 870 00:37:10,900 --> 00:37:14,100 campaign, we had to hire a payment system processor. 871 00:37:14,100 --> 00:37:16,230 It was Stripe. 872 00:37:16,230 --> 00:37:19,350 So all the donations that were coming in, 873 00:37:19,350 --> 00:37:21,090 somebody could use a MasterCard, could 874 00:37:21,090 --> 00:37:23,280 use a Visa, could use an American Express. 875 00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:26,940 We didn't have any legal contract. 876 00:37:26,940 --> 00:37:27,780 We were a merchant-- 877 00:37:27,780 --> 00:37:30,030 I mean, you might think of it as a political campaign, 878 00:37:30,030 --> 00:37:30,988 but we were a merchant. 879 00:37:30,988 --> 00:37:33,490 You were a merchant, you hired first data. 880 00:37:33,490 --> 00:37:35,320 So when you start your businesses, 881 00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:39,210 whether it's a grocery store, a bar, a political campaign, 882 00:37:39,210 --> 00:37:41,130 or something else, you're a merchant. 883 00:37:41,130 --> 00:37:44,640 You don't want to deal with a bunch of credit card companies. 884 00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,840 You want one payment system processor. 885 00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:49,350 And you chose First Data. 886 00:37:49,350 --> 00:37:55,540 We chose Stripe in that circumstance. 887 00:37:55,540 --> 00:37:58,710 So those are the networks. 888 00:37:58,710 --> 00:38:01,590 Then on the other side there's the merchant bank. 889 00:38:01,590 --> 00:38:04,950 For the Hillary campaign it was Amalgamated Bank. 890 00:38:04,950 --> 00:38:05,830 Who is your bank? 891 00:38:05,830 --> 00:38:07,350 Do you care [INAUDIBLE]? 892 00:38:07,350 --> 00:38:08,510 AUDIENCE: It was in Korea. 893 00:38:08,510 --> 00:38:09,090 GARY GENSLER: It was in Korea? 894 00:38:09,090 --> 00:38:09,715 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 895 00:38:09,715 --> 00:38:12,570 GARY GENSLER: Korea Bank One, let's call it. 896 00:38:12,570 --> 00:38:13,600 Korea Bank One. 897 00:38:16,410 --> 00:38:19,410 But the customer is all of a sudden, it's at five layers 898 00:38:19,410 --> 00:38:22,770 before it gets to your bank. 899 00:38:22,770 --> 00:38:24,750 And then, of course, you have access 900 00:38:24,750 --> 00:38:26,830 and so forth, and you're the customer. 901 00:38:26,830 --> 00:38:29,250 So all of these steps are in this chain. 902 00:38:29,250 --> 00:38:34,050 This is modern payment systems, pretty detailed. 903 00:38:34,050 --> 00:38:35,383 Digital wallets we talked about. 904 00:38:35,383 --> 00:38:37,842 We're going to say a little bit more about digital wallets. 905 00:38:37,842 --> 00:38:39,960 And the big question is whether cryptocurrency 906 00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:41,490 is going to have something. 907 00:38:41,490 --> 00:38:44,010 But before you get to digital wallets, 908 00:38:44,010 --> 00:38:45,810 this is the payment stream. 909 00:38:45,810 --> 00:38:47,520 And part of the answer, Alin, too 910 00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:51,180 is why you need authorization, clearing, and settlement 911 00:38:51,180 --> 00:38:53,250 is there's a lot of steps in this, 912 00:38:53,250 --> 00:38:56,720 in the traditional movement of money. 913 00:38:56,720 --> 00:38:59,410 And this is just domestic. 914 00:38:59,410 --> 00:39:03,510 You can add digital wallets, and you could add Bitcoin. 915 00:39:03,510 --> 00:39:05,210 And the question is, does cryptocurrency 916 00:39:05,210 --> 00:39:07,520 skip all this stuff in the middle? 917 00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:11,990 And can digital wallets jump start over some of these? 918 00:39:11,990 --> 00:39:13,670 And the answer is, digital wallets 919 00:39:13,670 --> 00:39:16,460 need to do all these things if they're going to jump. 920 00:39:16,460 --> 00:39:18,140 They have to store the value; they 921 00:39:18,140 --> 00:39:22,480 have to do some authorization; the equivalent of clearing, 922 00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:24,760 if there's any clearing; and then move 923 00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:28,140 it, which is settlement. 924 00:39:28,140 --> 00:39:29,838 So these are the fees. 925 00:39:29,838 --> 00:39:30,380 You want to-- 926 00:39:30,380 --> 00:39:32,040 ALIN DRAGOS: Can I add a few things? 927 00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:32,700 GARY GENSLER: Yeah, please. 928 00:39:32,700 --> 00:39:33,360 ALIN DRAGOS: A few minutes. 929 00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:34,940 GARY GENSLER: No, take more. 930 00:39:34,940 --> 00:39:35,520 ALIN DRAGOS: I wanted to say a couple of things. 931 00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:36,090 Right? 932 00:39:36,090 --> 00:39:40,320 First of all, you'll have to appreciate the fact 933 00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:43,750 that this is a system created by banks for banks. 934 00:39:43,750 --> 00:39:44,250 Right? 935 00:39:44,250 --> 00:39:45,540 And I think that-- 936 00:39:45,540 --> 00:39:47,100 it shows, right? 937 00:39:47,100 --> 00:39:48,960 This entire value chain, which we're 938 00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:50,910 going to go through right afterwards, 939 00:39:50,910 --> 00:39:55,260 basically relies on consumer using this process 940 00:39:55,260 --> 00:39:57,030 to pay a recipient. 941 00:39:57,030 --> 00:39:59,010 It can be a merchant or another person. 942 00:39:59,010 --> 00:40:00,180 Right? 943 00:40:00,180 --> 00:40:03,420 Merchants like the fact that they get value. 944 00:40:03,420 --> 00:40:05,860 They don't have the type that have to pay a lot of money. 945 00:40:05,860 --> 00:40:08,250 So there's an inner intention there. 946 00:40:08,250 --> 00:40:10,998 And that intention manifests itself in a number of ways. 947 00:40:10,998 --> 00:40:11,790 But it's important. 948 00:40:11,790 --> 00:40:12,290 Right. 949 00:40:12,290 --> 00:40:14,370 So just the dynamics are [INAUDIBLE] 950 00:40:14,370 --> 00:40:19,017 to where this black box out here getting money over here 951 00:40:19,017 --> 00:40:20,850 automatically have kind of a [INAUDIBLE] way 952 00:40:20,850 --> 00:40:22,750 to the banks for the merchants. 953 00:40:22,750 --> 00:40:24,050 Right? 954 00:40:24,050 --> 00:40:26,580 The interesting piece here is that this access method 955 00:40:26,580 --> 00:40:30,390 is probably the most underrated aspect of this entire bank 956 00:40:30,390 --> 00:40:31,020 chain. 957 00:40:31,020 --> 00:40:33,180 If you think of anytime you go up to a merchant 958 00:40:33,180 --> 00:40:36,570 or to a website or whatever, whoever 959 00:40:36,570 --> 00:40:38,112 manages that access point is probably 960 00:40:38,112 --> 00:40:39,153 the most important thing. 961 00:40:39,153 --> 00:40:41,160 You may have the best solution out there. 962 00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,306 If you're not in that access method, 963 00:40:43,306 --> 00:40:44,810 might as well not have it. 964 00:40:44,810 --> 00:40:46,560 And that, I think, is something to import. 965 00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:49,770 Cause as you're going to go through [INAUDIBLE] 966 00:40:49,770 --> 00:40:52,470 where does value accumulate in this value chain, what you're 967 00:40:52,470 --> 00:40:55,053 going to see is more often than not [INAUDIBLE] methods aren't 968 00:40:55,053 --> 00:40:57,807 going to [INAUDIBLE] point to actually any meaningful change. 969 00:40:57,807 --> 00:40:59,390 Because those are hard changes, right? 970 00:40:59,390 --> 00:41:02,860 For a large merchant, changing anything at access point, 971 00:41:02,860 --> 00:41:03,480 it's hard. 972 00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:04,980 So that's something to keep in mind. 973 00:41:04,980 --> 00:41:05,550 Right? 974 00:41:05,550 --> 00:41:07,680 The other thing I would say is one 975 00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:09,870 of the things where we talked about how 976 00:41:09,870 --> 00:41:11,970 exactly to get big change at scale, 977 00:41:11,970 --> 00:41:13,830 and you have to have two things. 978 00:41:13,830 --> 00:41:17,015 You have to have technology, which is this is OK. 979 00:41:17,015 --> 00:41:17,640 It's not great. 980 00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:17,930 Right? 981 00:41:17,930 --> 00:41:18,640 This is kind of old. 982 00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,057 It used to be really great about two or three decades ago, 983 00:41:21,057 --> 00:41:22,770 but this is not [INAUDIBLE]. 984 00:41:22,770 --> 00:41:25,920 But this is an unbelievable business model. 985 00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,430 And if you look at the way the business model operates, 986 00:41:28,430 --> 00:41:29,430 consumer love it. 987 00:41:29,430 --> 00:41:30,210 Consumers love it. 988 00:41:30,210 --> 00:41:31,090 So consumer gets-- 989 00:41:31,090 --> 00:41:31,920 I can pay wherever. 990 00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:32,420 It's great. 991 00:41:32,420 --> 00:41:33,700 Right? 992 00:41:33,700 --> 00:41:34,640 Banks love it. 993 00:41:34,640 --> 00:41:36,515 You know, they make a lot of money out of it. 994 00:41:36,515 --> 00:41:38,550 They get what's called [INAUDIBLE].. 995 00:41:38,550 --> 00:41:41,810 All these other vendors out here exist because of it. 996 00:41:41,810 --> 00:41:45,840 Merchants, I would say are kind of neutral to it. 997 00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:49,350 They dislike many aspects of it, but then processing cash 998 00:41:49,350 --> 00:41:50,410 is also expensive. 999 00:41:50,410 --> 00:41:51,000 Right? 1000 00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:53,062 So if you're trying to understand where do 1001 00:41:53,062 --> 00:41:54,270 I want to change things here? 1002 00:41:54,270 --> 00:41:56,370 A lot of the folks in the actual payment space 1003 00:41:56,370 --> 00:41:58,370 will tell you, well, payments is kind of-- you 1004 00:41:58,370 --> 00:41:59,370 know-- it kind of works. 1005 00:41:59,370 --> 00:41:59,870 Right? 1006 00:41:59,870 --> 00:42:02,160 It really doesn't work if you're on the fringes. 1007 00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:04,540 But if you're in the middle, it kind of works. 1008 00:42:04,540 --> 00:42:06,120 It's a pretty good system. 1009 00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,915 And the beauty of the existing model we have right now 1010 00:42:08,915 --> 00:42:11,040 is actually the business model on the way it works. 1011 00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:12,995 So I'll pause right there [INAUDIBLE].. 1012 00:42:12,995 --> 00:42:14,370 GARY GENSLER: But it's expensive. 1013 00:42:14,370 --> 00:42:15,330 ALIN DRAGOS: It's expensive [INAUDIBLE].. 1014 00:42:15,330 --> 00:42:17,038 GARY GENSLER: It's got a lot of friction. 1015 00:42:19,650 --> 00:42:21,870 World Bank statistics say payment systems 1016 00:42:21,870 --> 00:42:27,290 around the globe take a half a percent to 1% of economies. 1017 00:42:27,290 --> 00:42:28,748 Now economies would be much smaller 1018 00:42:28,748 --> 00:42:31,082 if we didn't have payment systems, because we would have 1019 00:42:31,082 --> 00:42:32,950 never probably come out of the dark ages 1020 00:42:32,950 --> 00:42:35,800 without some form of payment systems. 1021 00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:38,230 And in the last 50 years I think it's 1022 00:42:38,230 --> 00:42:42,650 been part of how economic growth has continued 1023 00:42:42,650 --> 00:42:44,550 in the internet phase. 1024 00:42:44,550 --> 00:42:49,480 You know, how we all transact on the internet. 1025 00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:52,920 But if you take nothing other than, it's complicated 1026 00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:55,990 and there's a lot of points of friction, 1027 00:42:55,990 --> 00:42:57,240 then I've done my job. 1028 00:42:57,240 --> 00:43:00,240 You don't need to know all the individual pieces unless you 1029 00:43:00,240 --> 00:43:02,430 actually personally want to compete 1030 00:43:02,430 --> 00:43:11,200 with PayPal or Venmo or Zelle or Alipay, which 1031 00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:13,247 is what you might do one day. 1032 00:43:13,247 --> 00:43:14,330 ALIN DRAGOS: I don't know. 1033 00:43:14,330 --> 00:43:16,715 GARY GENSLER: Yeah, just a rumor has it. 1034 00:43:16,715 --> 00:43:19,657 ALIN DRAGOS: Well, the funny thing is, as you'll see, 1035 00:43:19,657 --> 00:43:21,740 every now and then there comes a player that says, 1036 00:43:21,740 --> 00:43:23,270 we're going to disrupt payments. 1037 00:43:23,270 --> 00:43:26,990 And it is one of the hardest products to disrupt. 1038 00:43:26,990 --> 00:43:29,930 GARY GENSLER: It's a hard place to disrupt, largely, I think, 1039 00:43:29,930 --> 00:43:32,690 because of the collective action issues. 1040 00:43:32,690 --> 00:43:34,910 There's millions of merchants that 1041 00:43:34,910 --> 00:43:38,510 rely on dozens of payment system providers that, yes, 1042 00:43:38,510 --> 00:43:43,160 only rely on three to six credit card or debit card companies. 1043 00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:46,030 In any country there's usually two to three dominant. 1044 00:43:46,030 --> 00:43:49,100 It's not always Visa and MasterCard, of course, 1045 00:43:49,100 --> 00:43:50,930 not in China, for instance. 1046 00:43:50,930 --> 00:43:56,920 But the merchant end has such a huge collective action. 1047 00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:59,845 And that's why Alin focused on the access points. 1048 00:43:59,845 --> 00:44:01,470 If you're going to disrupt this, you've 1049 00:44:01,470 --> 00:44:05,880 got to figure out some way to get adoption-- broad adoption-- 1050 00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:08,220 on the merchant class. 1051 00:44:08,220 --> 00:44:09,570 The money. 1052 00:44:09,570 --> 00:44:14,640 This was from the Bloomberg article, the Bloomberg article 1053 00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:17,510 that was reviewing China. 1054 00:44:17,510 --> 00:44:23,150 $2.75 in the US on average comes out of every $100 purchase. 1055 00:44:23,150 --> 00:44:27,980 And by the way, if you make $1,000 purchase, it's $27. 1056 00:44:27,980 --> 00:44:31,550 And I used to think when I was on the CFO of the Hillary 1057 00:44:31,550 --> 00:44:33,470 campaign, if somebody was generous enough 1058 00:44:33,470 --> 00:44:36,740 to give us $2,700, which was the legal limit 1059 00:44:36,740 --> 00:44:41,570 to a political candidate during that cycle, 1060 00:44:41,570 --> 00:44:48,320 we were paying 70 US dollars to this, 1061 00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:53,280 to that, to help elect a president. 1062 00:44:53,280 --> 00:45:01,200 Or in a billion dollar campaign, 2.7% is $27 million. 1063 00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:03,240 Now I'm not saying we spent $27 million 1064 00:45:03,240 --> 00:45:05,580 on this, because we were able to encourage 1065 00:45:05,580 --> 00:45:09,690 some donors to give us checks. 1066 00:45:09,690 --> 00:45:12,900 But I will tell you, even being recorded, 1067 00:45:12,900 --> 00:45:16,410 in the modern economy it's hard to convince somebody 1068 00:45:16,410 --> 00:45:18,810 to give you a check, even somebody who is generously 1069 00:45:18,810 --> 00:45:20,910 giving their support to a political candidate 1070 00:45:20,910 --> 00:45:22,500 to win the presidency. 1071 00:45:22,500 --> 00:45:26,520 And you say, well, we actually get $70 more 1072 00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:28,730 if you give us a check. 1073 00:45:28,730 --> 00:45:31,800 Yeah, but I got my credit card here. 1074 00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:32,970 So, yes. 1075 00:45:32,970 --> 00:45:35,860 AUDIENCE: How would that work if say, you gave 27.70? 1076 00:45:35,860 --> 00:45:38,700 And so the political campaign actually 1077 00:45:38,700 --> 00:45:41,745 ended up with $2,700 in the bucket. 1078 00:45:41,745 --> 00:45:45,030 GARY GENSLER: So this is a legal question for the Federal 1079 00:45:45,030 --> 00:45:47,340 Election Commission lawyers. 1080 00:45:47,340 --> 00:45:49,170 But we asked that question. 1081 00:45:49,170 --> 00:45:50,790 We did ask that question. 1082 00:45:50,790 --> 00:45:52,500 And it's not allowed. 1083 00:45:52,500 --> 00:45:56,100 It's not allowed, because it's going beyond the legal limit 1084 00:45:56,100 --> 00:45:58,710 under our federal laws for campaign contributions. 1085 00:45:58,710 --> 00:46:05,200 That would be deemed to be a 2,770 dollar contribution. 1086 00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:09,390 Even if somehow the donor is paying the $70 directly, 1087 00:46:09,390 --> 00:46:10,680 we weren't able to solve-- 1088 00:46:10,680 --> 00:46:14,430 by the way, we were not able to solve that, because the payment 1089 00:46:14,430 --> 00:46:19,860 system provider, in our case, Stripe or First Data, 1090 00:46:19,860 --> 00:46:23,970 is actually a vendor for the merchant. 1091 00:46:23,970 --> 00:46:27,240 And the political campaign in essence is the merchant. 1092 00:46:27,240 --> 00:46:27,740 You with me? 1093 00:46:27,740 --> 00:46:28,525 Shawn. 1094 00:46:28,525 --> 00:46:30,900 AUDIENCE: Well, when you make a, for instance, $1 million 1095 00:46:30,900 --> 00:46:32,350 donation, it's not that-- 1096 00:46:32,350 --> 00:46:33,600 GARY GENSLER: A what donation? 1097 00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:34,740 AUDIENCE: If you make a $1 million-- 1098 00:46:34,740 --> 00:46:35,730 GARY GENSLER: A million dollars, that's 1099 00:46:35,730 --> 00:46:36,938 breaking the law right there. 1100 00:46:36,938 --> 00:46:38,970 But OK. 1101 00:46:38,970 --> 00:46:39,903 I'm big filmed. 1102 00:46:39,903 --> 00:46:40,570 I just want to-- 1103 00:46:40,570 --> 00:46:41,430 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 1104 00:46:41,430 --> 00:46:43,380 You're not actually making a million, 1105 00:46:43,380 --> 00:46:47,760 because you get perhaps 1.5% or 2% of the points 1106 00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:48,962 back on your credit. 1107 00:46:48,962 --> 00:46:49,670 GARY GENSLER: Oh. 1108 00:46:49,670 --> 00:46:50,940 Yeah, right. 1109 00:46:50,940 --> 00:46:54,000 So Sean is just observing that well, actually the donor 1110 00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:56,140 is getting some points back. 1111 00:46:56,140 --> 00:46:59,660 So this is just averages, and averages sometimes mask things. 1112 00:46:59,660 --> 00:47:06,430 But $2.20 of the $2.75 actually goes back to the quote-- 1113 00:47:06,430 --> 00:47:08,870 "issuing bank." 1114 00:47:08,870 --> 00:47:11,820 So if you're doing something on Bank of America, 1115 00:47:11,820 --> 00:47:14,390 Bank of America might then give you points 1116 00:47:14,390 --> 00:47:16,010 and share generously. 1117 00:47:16,010 --> 00:47:18,560 And a lot of the bank programs will share maybe up 1118 00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:20,060 to half of that. 1119 00:47:20,060 --> 00:47:25,520 You might get $1 per every $100 or one point for every 100. 1120 00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:26,840 But they're getting $2.20. 1121 00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:29,295 But you're right. 1122 00:47:29,295 --> 00:47:30,920 There were some donors that said, well, 1123 00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:32,780 I'm using my American Express card. 1124 00:47:32,780 --> 00:47:34,310 I'm getting my points back. 1125 00:47:34,310 --> 00:47:36,080 And if they gave $1,000-- 1126 00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:38,510 not a million-- you know, that they would maybe 1127 00:47:38,510 --> 00:47:42,750 get the equivalent of $10 of points back. 1128 00:47:42,750 --> 00:47:44,480 That is correct. 1129 00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:48,620 So merchants aren't enthusiastic about this split. 1130 00:47:48,620 --> 00:47:50,960 This is the US model. 1131 00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:54,450 It does not cost this much in India. 1132 00:47:54,450 --> 00:47:57,700 It does not cost this much in China. 1133 00:47:57,700 --> 00:47:59,460 So in many other countries the jump 1134 00:47:59,460 --> 00:48:03,270 started around the credit card payment systems. 1135 00:48:03,270 --> 00:48:04,510 It costs a lot less. 1136 00:48:04,510 --> 00:48:06,720 But in the US, our payment system 1137 00:48:06,720 --> 00:48:10,440 is significantly built on credit card rails-- 1138 00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:15,750 rails like tracks-- it's called. 1139 00:48:15,750 --> 00:48:16,455 So cross-border. 1140 00:48:16,455 --> 00:48:18,330 I'm not going to go through these two charts. 1141 00:48:18,330 --> 00:48:20,257 These were-- Shimon were you-- 1142 00:48:20,257 --> 00:48:22,590 AUDIENCE: I think the US is somewhat unique in the sense 1143 00:48:22,590 --> 00:48:26,160 that there's bundling of the payment as a service, 1144 00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:27,380 and the credit. 1145 00:48:27,380 --> 00:48:27,880 Right? 1146 00:48:27,880 --> 00:48:28,360 GARY GENSLER: Right. 1147 00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:30,193 AUDIENCE: And those are being unbundled now. 1148 00:48:30,193 --> 00:48:32,410 But doesn't have to be the case. 1149 00:48:32,410 --> 00:48:33,630 And it's not always the case. 1150 00:48:33,630 --> 00:48:34,040 Right. 1151 00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:36,540 GARY GENSLER: So Shimon's point is that we, in this country, 1152 00:48:36,540 --> 00:48:39,450 have bundled the credit provision with the payment 1153 00:48:39,450 --> 00:48:40,770 provision. 1154 00:48:40,770 --> 00:48:45,450 And there are many of us that when the merchant says, give me 1155 00:48:45,450 --> 00:48:47,700 your payment data, we give him a credit card, 1156 00:48:47,700 --> 00:48:54,810 even though we might, in fact, regularly pay off our credit 1157 00:48:54,810 --> 00:48:55,920 card on a monthly. 1158 00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:57,780 I mean, many Americans don't. 1159 00:48:57,780 --> 00:48:59,460 But many Americans do. 1160 00:48:59,460 --> 00:49:02,880 So it's this bundling of payment and credit services. 1161 00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:05,580 And you're absolutely right, because when the internet came 1162 00:49:05,580 --> 00:49:10,560 along in our country, we had established credit card payment 1163 00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:11,970 rails. 1164 00:49:11,970 --> 00:49:14,130 And most of the internet payments, whether it 1165 00:49:14,130 --> 00:49:16,830 was for your mortgage-- 1166 00:49:16,830 --> 00:49:18,690 well, usually not mortgage, but whether it 1167 00:49:18,690 --> 00:49:23,820 was for your utilities or your small dollar payments 1168 00:49:23,820 --> 00:49:26,250 were built on top of the credit card rails. 1169 00:49:26,250 --> 00:49:29,370 Your mortgage-- most mortgage lenders would say, no. 1170 00:49:29,370 --> 00:49:32,850 I don't want to pay the 2.7%. 1171 00:49:36,490 --> 00:49:38,290 We didn't have enough market power 1172 00:49:38,290 --> 00:49:40,060 even as a political campaign to get 1173 00:49:40,060 --> 00:49:42,790 people to give it to us in checks, 1174 00:49:42,790 --> 00:49:46,780 or to Zelle payment to us. 1175 00:49:46,780 --> 00:49:49,540 But this 2.7 is economic rents. 1176 00:49:49,540 --> 00:49:52,540 This is a form of economic rents. 1177 00:49:52,540 --> 00:49:53,050 Fraud. 1178 00:49:53,050 --> 00:49:56,905 Does anybody know the figures for frauds in this country? 1179 00:49:56,905 --> 00:49:58,780 I went and looked at it in the last two days. 1180 00:49:58,780 --> 00:50:01,180 So it was not in the readings. 1181 00:50:01,180 --> 00:50:05,060 Total fraud is about 10 to 20 basis points. 1182 00:50:05,060 --> 00:50:10,150 So of this 270 basis points-- or 2.7%-- 1183 00:50:10,150 --> 00:50:13,460 less than 10% of it's really going to pay for fraud. 1184 00:50:13,460 --> 00:50:17,000 Now fraud is a really big thing, don't get me wrong. 1185 00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:20,980 But it's a small portion of this. 1186 00:50:20,980 --> 00:50:24,160 It's not the dominant feature here. 1187 00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:26,930 AUDIENCE: What is the credit risk cost that's covered 1188 00:50:26,930 --> 00:50:29,335 by that 2.20? 1189 00:50:29,335 --> 00:50:32,726 So the bank is-- there's typical losses on credit cards, 1190 00:50:32,726 --> 00:50:34,510 [INAUDIBLE]. 1191 00:50:34,510 --> 00:50:36,010 AUDIENCE: So one thing I would say-- 1192 00:50:36,010 --> 00:50:37,660 I think that point that was just made 1193 00:50:37,660 --> 00:50:39,380 was-- it was really just right. 1194 00:50:39,380 --> 00:50:41,360 You do want to just conceptually think 1195 00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:43,600 about payments-- digital payments-- 1196 00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:45,040 and credit as different. 1197 00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:47,690 They're just different products. 1198 00:50:47,690 --> 00:50:51,160 So typically, extending credit to someone, 1199 00:50:51,160 --> 00:50:52,660 it's a very personal relationship. 1200 00:50:52,660 --> 00:50:53,420 Right? 1201 00:50:53,420 --> 00:50:56,380 You cannot really-- you can look at [INAUDIBLE] and basically 1202 00:50:56,380 --> 00:50:56,950 make a guess. 1203 00:50:56,950 --> 00:50:59,020 Right? 1204 00:50:59,020 --> 00:51:01,438 [INAUDIBLE] there's so-- some type 1205 00:51:01,438 --> 00:51:02,980 of [INAUDIBLE] called debit payments. 1206 00:51:02,980 --> 00:51:03,480 Right? 1207 00:51:03,480 --> 00:51:05,230 When you're using money you already have. 1208 00:51:05,230 --> 00:51:07,850 Well, that credit risk is much, much smaller than the money 1209 00:51:07,850 --> 00:51:10,210 that you're not going to pay me back if [INAUDIBLE].. 1210 00:51:10,210 --> 00:51:14,350 So I would say the big thing that I would encourage everyone 1211 00:51:14,350 --> 00:51:15,730 is to separate the two. 1212 00:51:15,730 --> 00:51:18,550 And more to the point of a what is the credit risk. 1213 00:51:22,138 --> 00:51:23,680 I would say it's probably [? half. ?] 1214 00:51:23,680 --> 00:51:25,388 GARY GENSLER: So I don't know the number, 1215 00:51:25,388 --> 00:51:26,500 and I'll research it. 1216 00:51:26,500 --> 00:51:31,960 But I would caution to say the compensation for credit 1217 00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:33,520 doesn't only come out of this. 1218 00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:35,860 It also comes out of the anywhere 1219 00:51:35,860 --> 00:51:39,610 from 18% to 27% interest rates they're charging. 1220 00:51:39,610 --> 00:51:47,100 So when you think about it like, it's a dual model. 1221 00:51:47,100 --> 00:51:51,280 It's this, which is not solely for the payment, 1222 00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:55,330 but I'm saying this is largely for using the credit card rails 1223 00:51:55,330 --> 00:51:57,820 as a payment rail. 1224 00:51:57,820 --> 00:52:00,400 And then you charge an interest rate spread, 1225 00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:04,390 which is over 1,000 basis points, usually. 1226 00:52:04,390 --> 00:52:08,540 The spread versus underlying bank borrowing 1227 00:52:08,540 --> 00:52:12,360 tends to be anywhere from 1,000 to 1,800 basis points 1228 00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:14,480 on some of these. 1229 00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:17,270 But I'm not saying it's separate. 1230 00:52:17,270 --> 00:52:18,860 It's two business models. 1231 00:52:18,860 --> 00:52:20,630 Let me churn on. 1232 00:52:20,630 --> 00:52:23,330 AUDIENCE: I'm just going to [INAUDIBLE] a brief question. 1233 00:52:23,330 --> 00:52:24,710 Is that just for credit cards? 1234 00:52:24,710 --> 00:52:26,520 Or is it debit cards as well? 1235 00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:29,190 GARY GENSLER: So this is for credit cards. 1236 00:52:29,190 --> 00:52:33,350 Debit cards tended to be about the same. 1237 00:52:33,350 --> 00:52:37,490 But after the Dodd-Frank Act-- the regulatory reform bill here 1238 00:52:37,490 --> 00:52:38,990 in the US-- 1239 00:52:38,990 --> 00:52:40,610 and the Durbin Amendment-- 1240 00:52:40,610 --> 00:52:42,890 Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois had an amendment 1241 00:52:42,890 --> 00:52:47,680 where debit cards had to be priced closer to cost plus-- 1242 00:52:47,680 --> 00:52:50,920 I can't remember if it said reasonable return on capital. 1243 00:52:50,920 --> 00:52:53,840 And there was a Federal Reserve rule making on that. 1244 00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:57,080 Debit card numbers came down significantly from this. 1245 00:52:57,080 --> 00:52:58,650 I just don't know the exact figures. 1246 00:52:58,650 --> 00:53:01,100 But it's over 100 basis points still on debit cards. 1247 00:53:01,100 --> 00:53:04,230 But it's not 270. 1248 00:53:04,230 --> 00:53:05,280 Good question. 1249 00:53:05,280 --> 00:53:07,170 So I'm not going to go through the details. 1250 00:53:07,170 --> 00:53:10,818 But cross-border payments have more complexity. 1251 00:53:10,818 --> 00:53:12,610 I'm not going to go through, but the paym-- 1252 00:53:12,610 --> 00:53:15,330 this is the what I'll call the front end. 1253 00:53:15,330 --> 00:53:18,570 You have a payer on the left and a payee on the right. 1254 00:53:18,570 --> 00:53:21,000 Think of somebody in the US sending money to somebody 1255 00:53:21,000 --> 00:53:23,970 in the Philippines, maybe. 1256 00:53:23,970 --> 00:53:27,990 I need on my side a payment system processor. 1257 00:53:27,990 --> 00:53:29,400 That's the bubble on the top. 1258 00:53:29,400 --> 00:53:32,490 I need them to have some payment system processor. 1259 00:53:32,490 --> 00:53:35,250 They're both ends on the front end. 1260 00:53:35,250 --> 00:53:41,760 So just think more complexity, more friction in the system. 1261 00:53:41,760 --> 00:53:45,270 And really the reason is, is because you're jumping from one 1262 00:53:45,270 --> 00:53:47,033 money to another money. 1263 00:53:47,033 --> 00:53:49,200 Or another way you can think of it as you're usually 1264 00:53:49,200 --> 00:53:52,950 jumping from one ledger system to another ledger system, 1265 00:53:52,950 --> 00:53:57,060 if you're thinking like the computers and recording. 1266 00:53:57,060 --> 00:54:00,570 And the back end-- 1267 00:54:00,570 --> 00:54:03,630 I should have called this back end, but I labeled both of them 1268 00:54:03,630 --> 00:54:05,910 front end, sorry-- 1269 00:54:05,910 --> 00:54:09,138 has a bunch of things inside of it. 1270 00:54:09,138 --> 00:54:10,680 And the one I'm just going to mention 1271 00:54:10,680 --> 00:54:13,440 is correspondent banking. 1272 00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:18,330 It is a feature that came out of centuries of banking. 1273 00:54:18,330 --> 00:54:21,370 Arguably, you might not need it as much now. 1274 00:54:21,370 --> 00:54:25,680 But the concept was, I'm a small regional bank in the US. 1275 00:54:25,680 --> 00:54:30,900 I'm sending something to somebody in the Philippines. 1276 00:54:30,900 --> 00:54:32,880 The Philippines doesn't recognize 1277 00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:35,730 this small regional bank, let's say, in Kansas. 1278 00:54:35,730 --> 00:54:38,880 I need a correspondent bank that they can trust. 1279 00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:43,380 So it's a cost of trust that it could go from one country's 1280 00:54:43,380 --> 00:54:50,630 bank through a bank called a correspondent bank, which 1281 00:54:50,630 --> 00:54:53,630 had trust, to the other country's bank. 1282 00:54:53,630 --> 00:54:55,610 Or maybe you even had correspondent banks 1283 00:54:55,610 --> 00:54:56,420 in both countries. 1284 00:54:56,420 --> 00:55:01,850 But usually you had one international bank in between. 1285 00:55:01,850 --> 00:55:03,480 Hugo. 1286 00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:08,130 AUDIENCE: Hypothetically, if there became enough trust 1287 00:55:08,130 --> 00:55:10,200 in the Bitcoin network, could that 1288 00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:12,900 act as the correspondent bank? 1289 00:55:12,900 --> 00:55:16,290 Where like you're in the US, you go to a Chase or whatever. 1290 00:55:16,290 --> 00:55:18,450 They transfer your US dollars to Bitcoin. 1291 00:55:18,450 --> 00:55:20,398 You go over to the Philippines, they transfer 1292 00:55:20,398 --> 00:55:21,440 your Bitcoin [INAUDIBLE]. 1293 00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:23,430 There is no need for that. 1294 00:55:23,430 --> 00:55:25,410 GARY GENSLER: So Hugo's asking whether Bitcoin 1295 00:55:25,410 --> 00:55:28,650 or any cryptocurrency could play that role of a correspondent 1296 00:55:28,650 --> 00:55:33,580 bank, or effectively play the bridge currency between fiat 1297 00:55:33,580 --> 00:55:37,270 to crypto, US dollar to Bitcoin, you said. 1298 00:55:37,270 --> 00:55:39,210 And what was the other country? 1299 00:55:39,210 --> 00:55:40,780 The Philippines. 1300 00:55:40,780 --> 00:55:43,190 Which is a peso? 1301 00:55:43,190 --> 00:55:45,070 What's that? 1302 00:55:45,070 --> 00:55:45,570 Peso. 1303 00:55:45,570 --> 00:55:46,080 Yeah. 1304 00:55:46,080 --> 00:55:51,450 So US dollar fiat to crypto Bitcoin to Philippine peso. 1305 00:55:51,450 --> 00:55:54,720 That is called a bridge crypto or bridge currency. 1306 00:55:54,720 --> 00:55:59,010 That's, in fact, what Ripple is trying to do with XRP. 1307 00:55:59,010 --> 00:56:04,950 So Ripple is a company that started as a payment messaging 1308 00:56:04,950 --> 00:56:08,730 service to compete with Swift. 1309 00:56:08,730 --> 00:56:12,270 And that messaging service, which 1310 00:56:12,270 --> 00:56:16,110 we'll talk about more Thursday, has been adopted by many banks. 1311 00:56:16,110 --> 00:56:19,410 More recently in 2018 they rolled out a prototype 1312 00:56:19,410 --> 00:56:22,950 of using a crypto token-- 1313 00:56:22,950 --> 00:56:26,160 XRP-- as a bridge currency. 1314 00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:28,530 I would say yes, that is possible. 1315 00:56:28,530 --> 00:56:33,990 I think there's an issue also about volatility. 1316 00:56:33,990 --> 00:56:41,510 So if you're moving fiat dollar to crypto Bitcoin XRP 1317 00:56:41,510 --> 00:56:47,920 to fiat, if you have a lot of volatility, 1318 00:56:47,920 --> 00:56:51,630 that means it's a less-- 1319 00:56:51,630 --> 00:56:53,560 it could be costly. 1320 00:56:53,560 --> 00:56:56,110 But if it's stable value, so you can 1321 00:56:56,110 --> 00:56:58,900 you can lower the cost two ways-- 1322 00:56:58,900 --> 00:57:04,160 lowering the volatility of the crypto or lower the time. 1323 00:57:04,160 --> 00:57:06,770 And XRP believes they have a solution that 1324 00:57:06,770 --> 00:57:09,120 can be down to seconds. 1325 00:57:09,120 --> 00:57:12,290 And thus, even if it's volatility, that in seconds 1326 00:57:12,290 --> 00:57:13,385 it won't move as much. 1327 00:57:13,385 --> 00:57:14,760 And the friction will be that you 1328 00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:21,360 have to sell dollars to buy XRP, and then sell XRP to buy peso. 1329 00:57:21,360 --> 00:57:25,110 Or you can interpose any bridge currency. 1330 00:57:25,110 --> 00:57:28,830 One of the most significant opportunities for stable value 1331 00:57:28,830 --> 00:57:31,830 tokens that we'll talk about in a few classes is maybe 1332 00:57:31,830 --> 00:57:34,170 is what we can call it is a bridge currency 1333 00:57:34,170 --> 00:57:36,017 for cross-border. 1334 00:57:36,017 --> 00:57:36,600 AUDIENCE: Yes. 1335 00:57:36,600 --> 00:57:38,960 The question is, what will be the fees? 1336 00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:43,120 And if it makes sense from an economic [INAUDIBLE].. 1337 00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:46,620 GARY GENSLER: So Western Union and other remittance companies 1338 00:57:46,620 --> 00:57:49,500 can sometimes charge as much as 9% or 10%, 1339 00:57:49,500 --> 00:57:52,860 especially for small dollar remittances. 1340 00:57:52,860 --> 00:57:56,610 And I don't know if any of you do cross-border remittances, 1341 00:57:56,610 --> 00:58:01,230 but if it's small dollar, it can be very significant fees. 1342 00:58:01,230 --> 00:58:05,370 If it's large multi-million dollar transactions, 1343 00:58:05,370 --> 00:58:08,490 you're getting into corporate treasury functions. 1344 00:58:08,490 --> 00:58:13,055 So on the blockchain payment solutions side, 1345 00:58:13,055 --> 00:58:14,680 you have to always think about, is this 1346 00:58:14,680 --> 00:58:17,650 targeted for the retail small dollar transactional 1347 00:58:17,650 --> 00:58:20,920 side where you're trying to get inside of an 8% to 10% 1348 00:58:20,920 --> 00:58:22,900 fee structure? 1349 00:58:22,900 --> 00:58:25,920 But again, if it's only on $50 to $200 1350 00:58:25,920 --> 00:58:28,920 US dollar sort of transactions, you'd 1351 00:58:28,920 --> 00:58:32,460 have to figure out how to get your cost structure down there. 1352 00:58:32,460 --> 00:58:34,710 Or is it for the multi-million dollar treasury 1353 00:58:34,710 --> 00:58:38,520 function, for the Fortune 500 or the World 1354 00:58:38,520 --> 00:58:41,790 1,000 or whatever treasury function, 1355 00:58:41,790 --> 00:58:43,860 where they're really talking about frictions 1356 00:58:43,860 --> 00:58:46,480 which are in basis points. 1357 00:58:46,480 --> 00:58:50,740 But still, the bridge currency-- crypto bridge currencies-- 1358 00:58:50,740 --> 00:58:54,640 might still help in the treasury function side-- 1359 00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:57,460 I'll call the corporate treasury function side all the way 1360 00:58:57,460 --> 00:59:00,820 to the retail remittance side. 1361 00:59:00,820 --> 00:59:03,012 The percentage fees are different. 1362 00:59:03,012 --> 00:59:05,470 And you just have to be able to say, well, can I get inside 1363 00:59:05,470 --> 00:59:07,900 of those inefficiencies. 1364 00:59:07,900 --> 00:59:10,990 And on the retail side it takes two to five days 1365 00:59:10,990 --> 00:59:12,920 to do a remittance. 1366 00:59:12,920 --> 00:59:14,690 So can you get inside the timing? 1367 00:59:14,690 --> 00:59:15,190 Alin. 1368 00:59:15,190 --> 00:59:16,565 ALIN DRAGOS: So one of the things 1369 00:59:16,565 --> 00:59:19,070 that I think I found useful when I was doing remittances 1370 00:59:19,070 --> 00:59:22,210 is trying to distinguish between getting remittances 1371 00:59:22,210 --> 00:59:23,510 from an account to an account. 1372 00:59:23,510 --> 00:59:26,740 So account to account remittance versus person to person. 1373 00:59:26,740 --> 00:59:28,740 And I know they sound the same, but they're not. 1374 00:59:28,740 --> 00:59:29,240 Right. 1375 00:59:29,240 --> 00:59:30,740 A person means, hey, you know what? 1376 00:59:30,740 --> 00:59:33,100 My mother out there doesn't have a bank account. 1377 00:59:33,100 --> 00:59:34,362 She's a person. 1378 00:59:34,362 --> 00:59:36,070 If she were to have an account, then that 1379 00:59:36,070 --> 00:59:37,420 would be a fairly easy transaction. 1380 00:59:37,420 --> 00:59:37,920 Right. 1381 00:59:37,920 --> 00:59:41,100 But is she doesn't have a bank account, that's not that easy. 1382 00:59:41,100 --> 00:59:43,030 Right? 1383 00:59:43,030 --> 00:59:46,000 Most of the value that all of these Western Union 1384 00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:47,860 or whatever, they've been valued by the fact 1385 00:59:47,860 --> 00:59:49,150 that they have a lot of locations, 1386 00:59:49,150 --> 00:59:51,310 that people can walk in, get their money, get out. 1387 00:59:51,310 --> 00:59:52,090 Right? 1388 00:59:52,090 --> 00:59:53,920 A lot of the folks that are coming [INAUDIBLE] right now, 1389 00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:56,170 they're trying to address this account-to-acocunt problem. 1390 00:59:56,170 --> 00:59:57,462 As in like, hey, you know what? 1391 00:59:57,462 --> 00:59:59,230 If you have a bank account here and a bank 1392 00:59:59,230 --> 01:00:03,340 account in South Korea, that's not that complicated, right? 1393 01:00:03,340 --> 01:00:05,140 And cryptocurrency can probably actually 1394 01:00:05,140 --> 01:00:06,570 compete fairly well there. 1395 01:00:06,570 --> 01:00:09,820 However, if you're trying to say, hey, you know what? 1396 01:00:09,820 --> 01:00:11,440 I have a bank account here. 1397 01:00:11,440 --> 01:00:14,720 But my mother, who doesn't have a bank account in South Korea, 1398 01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:16,290 how do I get the money to her? 1399 01:00:16,290 --> 01:00:18,597 If I send her cryptocurrency, she's like, fine. 1400 01:00:18,597 --> 01:00:19,930 What am I going to do with this? 1401 01:00:19,930 --> 01:00:20,672 Right? 1402 01:00:20,672 --> 01:00:22,630 So the real problem is, you have to think about 1403 01:00:22,630 --> 01:00:24,700 if you [INAUDIBLE] the remittances, OK, 1404 01:00:24,700 --> 01:00:27,922 where are the exit ramps on both ends? 1405 01:00:27,922 --> 01:00:30,130 How exactly are you going to get that to actually use 1406 01:00:30,130 --> 01:00:30,765 those funds? 1407 01:00:30,765 --> 01:00:32,140 GARY GENSLER: And also, right now 1408 01:00:32,140 --> 01:00:37,750 because there's no economy-wide use of crypto, 1409 01:00:37,750 --> 01:00:42,080 if you're trying to move value around the globe, 1410 01:00:42,080 --> 01:00:46,060 on the other end it's probably fiat to crypto, crypto to fiat. 1411 01:00:46,060 --> 01:00:48,890 So it's probably two money exchanges. 1412 01:00:48,890 --> 01:00:52,130 If it's to be stored value, if it's stored value, 1413 01:00:52,130 --> 01:00:54,380 a lot of people are still willing to store value 1414 01:00:54,380 --> 01:00:54,980 in crypto. 1415 01:00:54,980 --> 01:00:58,730 But until it grows larger it's not 1416 01:00:58,730 --> 01:01:02,840 a medium of exchange in any economy-wide solution. 1417 01:01:02,840 --> 01:01:05,252 So this is a slide you've seen before. 1418 01:01:05,252 --> 01:01:06,710 We're not going to spend much time. 1419 01:01:06,710 --> 01:01:09,950 But in payments some of these matter and some don't. 1420 01:01:09,950 --> 01:01:12,050 And I think if I did my little thing-- 1421 01:01:12,050 --> 01:01:12,920 some will grow. 1422 01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:13,460 All right. 1423 01:01:13,460 --> 01:01:14,120 Yeah. 1424 01:01:14,120 --> 01:01:15,170 There you go. 1425 01:01:15,170 --> 01:01:16,800 All the illicit activity. 1426 01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:19,490 Remember in public policy there's 1427 01:01:19,490 --> 01:01:21,650 something called the Bank Secrecy Act. 1428 01:01:21,650 --> 01:01:25,700 If you're thinking about anything in the payment space, 1429 01:01:25,700 --> 01:01:28,130 you're probably moving something of value. 1430 01:01:28,130 --> 01:01:30,020 And in almost every country you have 1431 01:01:30,020 --> 01:01:32,600 to comply with some form of anti-money laundering, 1432 01:01:32,600 --> 01:01:36,090 know your customer, Bank Secrecy type of thing. 1433 01:01:36,090 --> 01:01:40,370 The US Department Treasury said so in 2013. 1434 01:01:40,370 --> 01:01:44,520 You probably also have to deal with some consumer protection. 1435 01:01:44,520 --> 01:01:47,172 That's why that box on the bottom sort of grew. 1436 01:01:47,172 --> 01:01:49,130 Like, you're just not going to lose their money 1437 01:01:49,130 --> 01:01:50,880 or steal their money. 1438 01:01:50,880 --> 01:01:53,270 And maybe something about privacy, 1439 01:01:53,270 --> 01:01:57,035 whether it's GDPR type of privacy in Europe or elsewhere. 1440 01:01:57,035 --> 01:01:58,910 You're not worried about investor protection. 1441 01:01:58,910 --> 01:02:00,860 But in this country, you have to worry 1442 01:02:00,860 --> 01:02:04,800 about how to register as a money service provider. 1443 01:02:04,800 --> 01:02:08,360 And other countries similarly register. 1444 01:02:08,360 --> 01:02:10,460 So I just raise that. 1445 01:02:10,460 --> 01:02:12,983 And as we go through use cases in H2, 1446 01:02:12,983 --> 01:02:14,900 I'm going to constantly kind of use this start 1447 01:02:14,900 --> 01:02:17,300 and say, well, what public policy issues? 1448 01:02:17,300 --> 01:02:21,980 You don't have to worry about the SEC, probably. 1449 01:02:21,980 --> 01:02:24,020 But maybe some stable value token 1450 01:02:24,020 --> 01:02:26,240 might be an exchange traded fund. 1451 01:02:26,240 --> 01:02:28,940 So it's possible you might be blurring up 1452 01:02:28,940 --> 01:02:32,960 against that regulatory state. 1453 01:02:32,960 --> 01:02:36,230 So technology is affecting us. 1454 01:02:36,230 --> 01:02:39,582 And this is a slide I think I've used before with everybody. 1455 01:02:39,582 --> 01:02:41,040 But I thought, well, wait a minute. 1456 01:02:41,040 --> 01:02:42,740 What of these eight-- and there's 1457 01:02:42,740 --> 01:02:44,690 more technology affecting finance-- but what 1458 01:02:44,690 --> 01:02:47,180 are these main eight are really hitting 1459 01:02:47,180 --> 01:02:49,160 payments, when I add payments. 1460 01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:51,650 Well, I'd say there's kind of four or five of them. 1461 01:02:51,650 --> 01:02:55,190 Blockchain is affecting payments. 1462 01:02:55,190 --> 01:02:57,650 But biometrics, we talked about that earlier. 1463 01:02:57,650 --> 01:02:58,730 Biometrics, definitely. 1464 01:02:58,730 --> 01:03:03,320 Mobile telephony, open API, which is the UK initiative 1465 01:03:03,320 --> 01:03:08,880 where they're saying that UK banks must allow merchants 1466 01:03:08,880 --> 01:03:14,670 an ability to get inside of those bank accounts, basically. 1467 01:03:14,670 --> 01:03:18,510 It's called open API, because they have an interface directly 1468 01:03:18,510 --> 01:03:20,100 into the bank accounts. 1469 01:03:20,100 --> 01:03:23,380 And even robotic scraping of data-- 1470 01:03:23,380 --> 01:03:24,383 RPA. 1471 01:03:24,383 --> 01:03:26,550 I think they're all related to payments in some way. 1472 01:03:26,550 --> 01:03:27,780 Or maybe everything. 1473 01:03:27,780 --> 01:03:30,220 Maybe cloud and AI and machine learning. 1474 01:03:30,220 --> 01:03:31,230 But I kind of think-- 1475 01:03:31,230 --> 01:03:33,390 I think that these five are the ones. 1476 01:03:33,390 --> 01:03:36,180 So blockchain is amongst the things changing payment. 1477 01:03:36,180 --> 01:03:40,980 It's not the only thing changing payments. 1478 01:03:40,980 --> 01:03:46,650 And then remember a bunch of attempts in the '90s? 1479 01:03:46,650 --> 01:03:49,110 A bunch of ways to do digital cash in the '90s? 1480 01:03:49,110 --> 01:03:52,110 We talked about this in the first or section lecture 1481 01:03:52,110 --> 01:03:54,290 of the course. 1482 01:03:54,290 --> 01:03:56,750 Fundamentally, why did they all fail? 1483 01:03:56,750 --> 01:03:59,110 Anybody remember why they failed? 1484 01:03:59,110 --> 01:04:01,318 AUDIENCE: They didn't solve the double spend problem. 1485 01:04:01,318 --> 01:04:03,890 GARY GENSLER: They didn't solve the double spend problem. 1486 01:04:03,890 --> 01:04:10,160 So bitcoin and blockchain technology, Nakamoto consensus, 1487 01:04:10,160 --> 01:04:14,170 is a solution to the double spend. 1488 01:04:14,170 --> 01:04:17,060 Nothing's 100% solution, it has some challenges too. 1489 01:04:17,060 --> 01:04:21,710 But it's a solution to the double spend issue. 1490 01:04:21,710 --> 01:04:28,900 So then before Bitcoin we had a bunch of mobile payment, 1491 01:04:28,900 --> 01:04:30,780 and now afterwards. 1492 01:04:30,780 --> 01:04:32,980 And I want to spend our last minutes 1493 01:04:32,980 --> 01:04:36,700 kind of just chatting about what are the lessons learning. 1494 01:04:36,700 --> 01:04:39,370 So first, Alipay and WeChat. 1495 01:04:39,370 --> 01:04:40,840 Who wants to tell me a little bit? 1496 01:04:40,840 --> 01:04:43,630 There's probably somebody-- who has Alipay and WeChat 1497 01:04:43,630 --> 01:04:46,570 on their phones? 1498 01:04:46,570 --> 01:04:48,440 Thalita, you want to tell us about it? 1499 01:04:48,440 --> 01:04:49,342 No? 1500 01:04:49,342 --> 01:04:50,146 AUDIENCE: Go ahead. 1501 01:04:50,146 --> 01:04:50,646 [INAUDIBLE] 1502 01:04:50,646 --> 01:04:51,645 GARY GENSLER: Chris. 1503 01:04:51,645 --> 01:04:52,270 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 1504 01:04:52,270 --> 01:04:56,770 So WeChat was started as just a chat service. 1505 01:04:56,770 --> 01:04:59,290 So they built out a huge user base, 1506 01:04:59,290 --> 01:05:02,890 which is the key to the similarity between WeChat 1507 01:05:02,890 --> 01:05:03,975 and Alipay. 1508 01:05:03,975 --> 01:05:06,100 And so essentially once they had that chatter base, 1509 01:05:06,100 --> 01:05:07,990 they wanted to start monetizing it. 1510 01:05:07,990 --> 01:05:11,560 And that's where the payment system was added on top. 1511 01:05:11,560 --> 01:05:14,710 GARY GENSLER: So when WeChat and Alipay started, 1512 01:05:14,710 --> 01:05:19,450 they started one, out of communications, basically. 1513 01:05:19,450 --> 01:05:20,940 Chat, text. 1514 01:05:20,940 --> 01:05:22,120 Right? 1515 01:05:22,120 --> 01:05:24,646 And Alipay was off of like-- 1516 01:05:24,646 --> 01:05:26,950 is it appropriate, Shawn, to call it like, 1517 01:05:26,950 --> 01:05:32,050 China's mixture of eBay and Amazon. 1518 01:05:32,050 --> 01:05:32,830 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 1519 01:05:32,830 --> 01:05:33,810 P2P. 1520 01:05:33,810 --> 01:05:34,720 GARY GENSLER: P2P. 1521 01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:36,123 AUDIENCE: Or B2B. 1522 01:05:36,123 --> 01:05:36,970 GARY GENSLER: B? 1523 01:05:36,970 --> 01:05:38,428 AUDIENCE: Alibaba is a B2B platform 1524 01:05:38,428 --> 01:05:40,660 and combines an e-commerce platform. 1525 01:05:40,660 --> 01:05:43,840 So [INAUDIBLE] combination service. 1526 01:05:43,840 --> 01:05:46,210 GARY GENSLER: And those payment channels-- 1527 01:05:46,210 --> 01:05:48,100 I don't think it's a surprise. 1528 01:05:48,100 --> 01:05:52,330 China was not as developed in terms of a credit card rails 1529 01:05:52,330 --> 01:05:57,640 as the US, and had far fewer banked. 1530 01:05:57,640 --> 01:06:02,510 So these two companies solved a problem that kind of 1531 01:06:02,510 --> 01:06:04,160 existed because there was not-- 1532 01:06:04,160 --> 01:06:08,930 as it developed, banking system and credit card systems. 1533 01:06:08,930 --> 01:06:12,710 Overall, those systems cost less than in the US 1534 01:06:12,710 --> 01:06:15,760 then 270 basis points. 1535 01:06:15,760 --> 01:06:17,720 And you had an article in the readings 1536 01:06:17,720 --> 01:06:21,430 that maybe the US payment system is going to get shook up. 1537 01:06:21,430 --> 01:06:22,430 I don't know the answer. 1538 01:06:22,430 --> 01:06:26,330 But you know, maybe they'll get shaken up by these two. 1539 01:06:26,330 --> 01:06:28,490 How about the M-Pesa story? 1540 01:06:28,490 --> 01:06:30,790 Anybody have any M-Pesa on their phones? 1541 01:06:30,790 --> 01:06:31,290 No. 1542 01:06:33,940 --> 01:06:37,120 Who wants to give a crack at M-Pesa? 1543 01:06:37,120 --> 01:06:41,820 It's basically telephone, mobile minutes. 1544 01:06:41,820 --> 01:06:45,330 In all three of these, the central banks 1545 01:06:45,330 --> 01:06:49,080 saw a traditional banking function-- 1546 01:06:49,080 --> 01:06:52,230 payments, and a second traditional banking 1547 01:06:52,230 --> 01:06:57,882 function-- the store of value, being done by non-banks. 1548 01:06:57,882 --> 01:06:59,340 What do you think the central banks 1549 01:06:59,340 --> 01:07:03,440 in the official sector did? 1550 01:07:03,440 --> 01:07:05,270 AUDIENCE: They came in and started 1551 01:07:05,270 --> 01:07:07,760 to regulate those [INAUDIBLE]. 1552 01:07:07,760 --> 01:07:10,700 For example, we now are reading, they talk about M-Pesa. 1553 01:07:10,700 --> 01:07:14,030 Actually, the Kenya government oversaw the trust 1554 01:07:14,030 --> 01:07:18,290 so that even Vodaphone ran out of the business, 1555 01:07:18,290 --> 01:07:21,608 people can still use the money stored with the M-Pesa. 1556 01:07:21,608 --> 01:07:23,150 GARY GENSLER: So let's break it down. 1557 01:07:23,150 --> 01:07:26,510 So one is, the official sector said, whoa. 1558 01:07:26,510 --> 01:07:30,790 We've got to bring this inside the public policy framework. 1559 01:07:30,790 --> 01:07:33,290 Regulate it. 1560 01:07:33,290 --> 01:07:37,820 And then two, they said in the Kenya case, 1561 01:07:37,820 --> 01:07:41,630 it's gotta be set up as a trust. 1562 01:07:41,630 --> 01:07:44,540 And the value-- the stored value-- 1563 01:07:44,540 --> 01:07:48,410 has to be in the banking system, literally. 1564 01:07:48,410 --> 01:07:51,050 So all those little-- 1565 01:07:51,050 --> 01:07:52,050 Eric? 1566 01:07:52,050 --> 01:07:55,310 AUDIENCE: Yeah, I just wanted to add one example 1567 01:07:55,310 --> 01:07:58,340 to your list that actually is the opposite of what 1568 01:07:58,340 --> 01:07:59,760 [INAUDIBLE] described. 1569 01:07:59,760 --> 01:08:02,175 [INAUDIBLE] which is Peru modal. 1570 01:08:02,175 --> 01:08:03,800 And it's the initiative [INAUDIBLE]---- 1571 01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:05,090 GARY GENSLER: Peru-- 1572 01:08:05,090 --> 01:08:06,177 AUDIENCE: Peru modal. 1573 01:08:06,177 --> 01:08:07,010 GARY GENSLER: Modal. 1574 01:08:07,010 --> 01:08:07,635 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 1575 01:08:07,635 --> 01:08:14,030 And it was tackled or begun by a former production 1576 01:08:14,030 --> 01:08:16,550 minister in Peru, who actually thought 1577 01:08:16,550 --> 01:08:18,920 about that potential issue. 1578 01:08:18,920 --> 01:08:25,250 And she started reaching out to all local banks 1579 01:08:25,250 --> 01:08:29,450 and all local telcos, brought them all together 1580 01:08:29,450 --> 01:08:33,520 and created a whole model that's called 1581 01:08:33,520 --> 01:08:38,330 [SPANISH] which is mobile wallet in Spanish. 1582 01:08:38,330 --> 01:08:44,000 And it's been growing since 2016 as a means 1583 01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:47,960 of financial inclusion for underserved populations 1584 01:08:47,960 --> 01:08:51,560 and people that don't have bank accounts. 1585 01:08:51,560 --> 01:08:53,779 Because banks see that as an opportunity 1586 01:08:53,779 --> 01:08:55,707 to get more customers. 1587 01:08:55,707 --> 01:08:58,040 GARY GENSLER: So Eric, can I ask you a couple questions? 1588 01:08:58,040 --> 01:09:01,130 Do you know, was it a means for just payment? 1589 01:09:01,130 --> 01:09:04,840 Or did they actually store value in this system? 1590 01:09:04,840 --> 01:09:05,810 AUDIENCE: It's both. 1591 01:09:05,810 --> 01:09:07,000 Yeah. 1592 01:09:07,000 --> 01:09:11,260 You can use your mobile to pay to another person, 1593 01:09:11,260 --> 01:09:14,439 to a merchant, for example, a small store 1594 01:09:14,439 --> 01:09:16,630 with another mobile. 1595 01:09:16,630 --> 01:09:19,509 Or you can actually cash it out to a-- 1596 01:09:20,521 --> 01:09:22,229 GARY GENSLER: Has it been brought inside? 1597 01:09:22,229 --> 01:09:24,776 Is it now being regulated as a financial firm? 1598 01:09:24,776 --> 01:09:26,109 AUDIENCE: We got them regulated. 1599 01:09:26,109 --> 01:09:28,590 And begun with a-- 1600 01:09:28,590 --> 01:09:31,149 it's now a spinoff as a-- 1601 01:09:31,149 --> 01:09:32,790 what we call sociedad anonima, which 1602 01:09:32,790 --> 01:09:35,500 is some sort of private company. 1603 01:09:35,500 --> 01:09:40,540 But it's basically a consortium of all the banks in Peru. 1604 01:09:40,540 --> 01:09:43,120 GARY GENSLER: So if you can send me an email with its name, 1605 01:09:43,120 --> 01:09:43,740 I'd love that. 1606 01:09:43,740 --> 01:09:46,359 And maybe I'll put something on Canvas about it. 1607 01:09:46,359 --> 01:09:49,240 But in all these circumstances, they were payments. 1608 01:09:49,240 --> 01:09:51,790 But they also had-- 1609 01:09:51,790 --> 01:09:53,290 they started storing value. 1610 01:09:53,290 --> 01:09:56,530 The other one I want to mention is Starbucks. 1611 01:09:56,530 --> 01:09:57,290 Starbucks. 1612 01:09:57,290 --> 01:09:59,530 How many people have Starbucks on their phone? 1613 01:09:59,530 --> 01:10:01,900 And they have-- right? 1614 01:10:01,900 --> 01:10:03,820 So wait a minute. 1615 01:10:03,820 --> 01:10:04,330 Wait. 1616 01:10:04,330 --> 01:10:05,900 I saw a hand back there. 1617 01:10:05,900 --> 01:10:06,810 Larry. 1618 01:10:06,810 --> 01:10:07,310 Geez. 1619 01:10:07,310 --> 01:10:09,460 I'm going to call on you, then. 1620 01:10:09,460 --> 01:10:10,180 Who knew? 1621 01:10:10,180 --> 01:10:10,780 All right. 1622 01:10:10,780 --> 01:10:12,695 Does it store value? 1623 01:10:12,695 --> 01:10:13,320 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 1624 01:10:13,320 --> 01:10:14,380 It steals value. 1625 01:10:14,380 --> 01:10:17,340 Like, you have a minimum amount you have to deposit. 1626 01:10:17,340 --> 01:10:19,270 So $20, for example. 1627 01:10:19,270 --> 01:10:21,670 Whenever it goes below the minimum, it kicks another 20 1628 01:10:21,670 --> 01:10:22,170 in. 1629 01:10:22,170 --> 01:10:24,310 So you never-- so they've basically taken $20 1630 01:10:24,310 --> 01:10:26,440 and held it permanently. 1631 01:10:26,440 --> 01:10:29,050 GARY GENSLER: So they're taking it out of your bank account. 1632 01:10:29,050 --> 01:10:29,550 Right? 1633 01:10:29,550 --> 01:10:31,630 You gave them authorization-- back to that word 1634 01:10:31,630 --> 01:10:33,220 "authorization"-- 1635 01:10:33,220 --> 01:10:36,490 to just take money out of your bank account. 1636 01:10:36,490 --> 01:10:40,270 So this is a form of what used to be 1637 01:10:40,270 --> 01:10:42,250 when Larry and I were kids. 1638 01:10:42,250 --> 01:10:46,990 you could have physical prepaid cards, gift cards. 1639 01:10:46,990 --> 01:10:49,196 I got them on my birthday. 1640 01:10:49,196 --> 01:10:50,620 It's a gift card. 1641 01:10:50,620 --> 01:10:57,380 But now it's sort of prepaid cards on your mobile | 1642 01:10:57,380 --> 01:11:01,790 I think if Starbucks had billions of dollars 1643 01:11:01,790 --> 01:11:06,380 in everybody's $20, that the US Federal Reserve might 1644 01:11:06,380 --> 01:11:09,020 knock on their door and say, you've 1645 01:11:09,020 --> 01:11:11,740 got to register as a bank, or you've got to-- 1646 01:11:11,740 --> 01:11:18,080 In China, basically, that's what happened to Alibaba. 1647 01:11:18,080 --> 01:11:22,400 The largest money market fund in the whole world 1648 01:11:22,400 --> 01:11:24,970 is at And Financial Alipay. 1649 01:11:24,970 --> 01:11:25,610 Largest. 1650 01:11:25,610 --> 01:11:27,950 About $300 billion US dollars. 1651 01:11:27,950 --> 01:11:32,090 But I think the same would happen with Starbucks, 1652 01:11:32,090 --> 01:11:34,400 because they're storing value. 1653 01:11:34,400 --> 01:11:37,550 And Kenya, they said you've got to put it in a trust. 1654 01:11:37,550 --> 01:11:40,550 And by the way, we want you to make deposits 1655 01:11:40,550 --> 01:11:43,620 with 100% of this in the banking system. 1656 01:11:43,620 --> 01:11:45,650 And that official sector said, we 1657 01:11:45,650 --> 01:11:48,900 don't want to dis-intermediate the commercial banks. 1658 01:11:48,900 --> 01:11:51,350 Now, they didn't write that in a statement. 1659 01:11:51,350 --> 01:11:55,190 They probably couched it all in consumer protection. 1660 01:11:55,190 --> 01:11:58,150 But at the essence, the outcome was, 1661 01:11:58,150 --> 01:11:59,900 they were keeping their commercial banking 1662 01:11:59,900 --> 01:12:03,140 system alive by doing it. 1663 01:12:03,140 --> 01:12:05,510 Starbucks, I don't know what they're doing, 1664 01:12:05,510 --> 01:12:06,545 Larry, with your $20. 1665 01:12:09,330 --> 01:12:11,560 But you don't, either. 1666 01:12:11,560 --> 01:12:12,060 No. 1667 01:12:12,060 --> 01:12:13,435 But I don't think it's a surprise 1668 01:12:13,435 --> 01:12:19,200 that Starbucks has partnered with Intercontinental Exchange. 1669 01:12:19,200 --> 01:12:21,510 And you should ask Jeff and Kelly 1670 01:12:21,510 --> 01:12:24,010 when they're with us, well, why is that connection? 1671 01:12:24,010 --> 01:12:24,510 I'm sorry. 1672 01:12:24,510 --> 01:12:25,718 There were a couple of hands. 1673 01:12:25,718 --> 01:12:27,428 I saw Jihee And I saw Alin. 1674 01:12:27,428 --> 01:12:29,220 AUDIENCE: Well, we just wanted to point out 1675 01:12:29,220 --> 01:12:32,510 that you probably had set-- 1676 01:12:32,510 --> 01:12:34,955 set the auto subscriber, or-- 1677 01:12:34,955 --> 01:12:35,773 OK. 1678 01:12:35,773 --> 01:12:37,440 GARY GENSLER: You can tell Larry advice. 1679 01:12:37,440 --> 01:12:39,072 How did he set his auto subscriber? 1680 01:12:39,072 --> 01:12:39,780 Oh, that's right. 1681 01:12:39,780 --> 01:12:42,250 I mean, I could physically have to go through every time I 1682 01:12:42,250 --> 01:12:43,160 want to reload. 1683 01:12:43,160 --> 01:12:45,650 But obviously, that's just wasting my time. 1684 01:12:45,650 --> 01:12:47,570 So. 1685 01:12:47,570 --> 01:12:48,900 It's like the internet. 1686 01:12:48,900 --> 01:12:51,490 That I'm losing is probably worth my time. 1687 01:12:51,490 --> 01:12:53,280 So I'm not saying I have [INAUDIBLE].. 1688 01:12:53,280 --> 01:12:54,090 But it is amazing. 1689 01:12:54,090 --> 01:12:56,947 There must be an extraordinary amount of money [INAUDIBLE] 1690 01:12:56,947 --> 01:12:57,780 GARY GENSLER: Oh no. 1691 01:12:57,780 --> 01:12:59,130 They're doing you a service. 1692 01:12:59,130 --> 01:13:00,420 I'm not saying they're not doing you a service. 1693 01:13:00,420 --> 01:13:01,962 Let me take one more, Priya, then I'm 1694 01:13:01,962 --> 01:13:03,510 going to go to [INAUDIBLE]. 1695 01:13:03,510 --> 01:13:07,290 AUDIENCE: Interesting back story to the M-Pesa Safaricom fees. 1696 01:13:07,290 --> 01:13:09,870 I used to work for one of the NGOs 1697 01:13:09,870 --> 01:13:14,160 that pioneered the savings and loans concept in all of Africa, 1698 01:13:14,160 --> 01:13:15,300 really. 1699 01:13:15,300 --> 01:13:17,610 And what happened in Kenya was that you 1700 01:13:17,610 --> 01:13:21,000 had these groups, like hundreds of thousands of them, 1701 01:13:21,000 --> 01:13:23,070 in very remote places. 1702 01:13:23,070 --> 01:13:25,758 And these groups, you know, they had annual saving cycles. 1703 01:13:25,758 --> 01:13:28,300 And eventually, you know, they were saving very little money. 1704 01:13:28,300 --> 01:13:29,850 But they were saving. 1705 01:13:29,850 --> 01:13:33,540 And they didn't have a way to then move 1706 01:13:33,540 --> 01:13:34,862 into the formal economy. 1707 01:13:34,862 --> 01:13:36,570 You know, so the money just stayed there. 1708 01:13:36,570 --> 01:13:39,300 And it literally was money stored in a box with three 1709 01:13:39,300 --> 01:13:41,280 locks, and they were-- 1710 01:13:41,280 --> 01:13:44,070 And you know, it was a way that even without literacy you 1711 01:13:44,070 --> 01:13:45,090 could do it. 1712 01:13:45,090 --> 01:13:49,410 At that time, DFID, the British overseas development agency, 1713 01:13:49,410 --> 01:13:53,170 was sponsoring a few of these NGOs to do this work. 1714 01:13:53,170 --> 01:13:55,080 And the consortium's biggest problem 1715 01:13:55,080 --> 01:13:58,980 was, now how did we-- the next step up is to transition them 1716 01:13:58,980 --> 01:14:01,835 into the formal economy and gain access to credit. 1717 01:14:01,835 --> 01:14:03,210 It was like the opposite approach 1718 01:14:03,210 --> 01:14:05,070 of the micro [INAUDIBLE]. 1719 01:14:05,070 --> 01:14:07,890 And that's the point when in Kenya this breakthrough 1720 01:14:07,890 --> 01:14:11,920 happened is when these savings groups finally had some money. 1721 01:14:11,920 --> 01:14:14,820 And the first thing that happened at their villages-- 1722 01:14:14,820 --> 01:14:17,610 like, no bank was going to open a branch. 1723 01:14:17,610 --> 01:14:20,340 There was a movement around mobile branches. 1724 01:14:20,340 --> 01:14:23,220 But even that was very expensive for the amount of money 1725 01:14:23,220 --> 01:14:25,630 that each of these scripts was saving. 1726 01:14:25,630 --> 01:14:28,740 And so then these first operators came up. 1727 01:14:28,740 --> 01:14:31,230 It was almost like an act of frustration, you know. 1728 01:14:31,230 --> 01:14:32,130 Like, OK. 1729 01:14:32,130 --> 01:14:35,577 We have this cash in this box that cannot be stored. 1730 01:14:35,577 --> 01:14:36,910 So now we're just going to move. 1731 01:14:36,910 --> 01:14:38,480 GARY GENSLER: So let me capture it. 1732 01:14:38,480 --> 01:14:43,170 So some of the themes is that where there is a market gap, 1733 01:14:43,170 --> 01:14:47,040 there is a gap in Kenya with unbanked. 1734 01:14:47,040 --> 01:14:49,770 And by the way, half of sub-Saharan Africa 1735 01:14:49,770 --> 01:14:52,470 is still unbanked. 1736 01:14:52,470 --> 01:14:56,760 But half of that unbanked have mobile phones. 1737 01:14:56,760 --> 01:14:59,790 But there is a gap in China. 1738 01:14:59,790 --> 01:15:04,590 And so Alipay and WeChat and so forth started to fill it. 1739 01:15:04,590 --> 01:15:10,710 What gaps are there today that you all can fill. 1740 01:15:10,710 --> 01:15:14,190 And then secondly, does a blockchain technology solution 1741 01:15:14,190 --> 01:15:17,350 help fill that gap? 1742 01:15:17,350 --> 01:15:20,890 There might be big gaps created by 275 basis 1743 01:15:20,890 --> 01:15:25,000 points in the US, the 2 and 3/4 percent 1744 01:15:25,000 --> 01:15:27,790 using the credit card rails for payments. 1745 01:15:27,790 --> 01:15:30,490 There might be gaps of the unbanked. 1746 01:15:30,490 --> 01:15:35,860 There might be big gaps in customer user interface, 1747 01:15:35,860 --> 01:15:37,450 because a lot of the customer user 1748 01:15:37,450 --> 01:15:42,340 interface in current banking isn't that great 1749 01:15:42,340 --> 01:15:44,680 as we move to mobile phones. 1750 01:15:44,680 --> 01:15:45,655 QR codes. 1751 01:15:49,270 --> 01:15:51,630 There was a nice comment-- 1752 01:15:51,630 --> 01:15:55,090 see, if you do comment, I remember what you say online. 1753 01:15:55,090 --> 01:15:57,460 But there was a nice comment about QR codes. 1754 01:15:57,460 --> 01:16:00,790 Where are QR codes used in payment most dominantly? 1755 01:16:00,790 --> 01:16:01,750 Two countries. 1756 01:16:01,750 --> 01:16:02,650 What? 1757 01:16:02,650 --> 01:16:04,600 China and India. 1758 01:16:07,260 --> 01:16:10,500 The US, and I would even contend Europe, 1759 01:16:10,500 --> 01:16:14,600 are no longer at the forefront of payments. 1760 01:16:14,600 --> 01:16:18,110 Because we're sort of had existing big legacy systems. 1761 01:16:18,110 --> 01:16:21,380 But that might mean that there is big legacy systems built 1762 01:16:21,380 --> 01:16:23,660 on the credit card rails dominantly, 1763 01:16:23,660 --> 01:16:25,170 might be vulnerable. 1764 01:16:25,170 --> 01:16:29,090 A quick thing just on the methods. 1765 01:16:29,090 --> 01:16:31,700 This was out of a report you had, but I just thought 1766 01:16:31,700 --> 01:16:35,300 in 2016, 29% stole credit card. 1767 01:16:35,300 --> 01:16:39,410 Estimate, five years from now worldwide down to 15%. 1768 01:16:39,410 --> 01:16:42,500 eWallet is 18% to 46%. 1769 01:16:42,500 --> 01:16:45,650 Those trends, if they're right, and of course, 1770 01:16:45,650 --> 01:16:48,710 they won't be exactly right, but those trends 1771 01:16:48,710 --> 01:16:51,380 creates opportunity. 1772 01:16:51,380 --> 01:16:55,250 When you have huge changes, and people are changing the way 1773 01:16:55,250 --> 01:16:57,410 they're doing things, that's usually where 1774 01:16:57,410 --> 01:17:00,020 business opportunities are. 1775 01:17:00,020 --> 01:17:03,810 You had-- this is too detailed. 1776 01:17:03,810 --> 01:17:05,690 But I think it's sort of fascinating 1777 01:17:05,690 --> 01:17:09,590 that the Federal Reserve puts this out once a year. 1778 01:17:09,590 --> 01:17:11,250 It's always old, stale data. 1779 01:17:11,250 --> 01:17:13,850 But the big things I took away is 1780 01:17:13,850 --> 01:17:15,650 that we've got a huge change that's 1781 01:17:15,650 --> 01:17:19,970 happening here even in the US. 1782 01:17:19,970 --> 01:17:24,290 And card payments still growing, of course. 1783 01:17:24,290 --> 01:17:26,210 But not like they once were. 1784 01:17:26,210 --> 01:17:27,800 Mobile payments are big changing. 1785 01:17:27,800 --> 01:17:30,470 Half of all card payments are done online, by the way, 1786 01:17:30,470 --> 01:17:33,740 not in person now. 1787 01:17:33,740 --> 01:17:35,350 So those statistics, if you're going 1788 01:17:35,350 --> 01:17:37,790 to build a real business and not just a business 1789 01:17:37,790 --> 01:17:41,780 for a final project for Gensler's course, 1790 01:17:41,780 --> 01:17:44,450 you're going to want to dive into these statistics. 1791 01:17:44,450 --> 01:17:46,500 You want to see where are the opportunities. 1792 01:17:46,500 --> 01:17:50,720 What are the trends in the statistics. 1793 01:17:50,720 --> 01:17:52,720 And then Bitcoin came along. 1794 01:17:52,720 --> 01:17:54,860 And we're not going to chat more, 1795 01:17:54,860 --> 01:18:00,360 but I'm going to just say, just as the two minutes left, 1796 01:18:00,360 --> 01:18:02,160 don't forget the economics. 1797 01:18:02,160 --> 01:18:04,410 And I say this again coming back to having read 1798 01:18:04,410 --> 01:18:07,050 50 papers over the weekend. 1799 01:18:07,050 --> 01:18:11,370 When you're writing for the rest of the semester, 1800 01:18:11,370 --> 01:18:12,290 whatever section-- 1801 01:18:12,290 --> 01:18:14,040 whether you write on payments, whether you 1802 01:18:14,040 --> 01:18:17,610 write on central bank, whatever you write one, remember 1803 01:18:17,610 --> 01:18:21,690 about thinking about what are the benefits of block J. 1804 01:18:21,690 --> 01:18:23,280 What are the real specifics? 1805 01:18:23,280 --> 01:18:25,770 And particularly, how does it lower verification 1806 01:18:25,770 --> 01:18:26,890 or networking costs? 1807 01:18:26,890 --> 01:18:28,890 Like Christian Catalini wrote about, 1808 01:18:28,890 --> 01:18:30,720 but just we talked about it. 1809 01:18:30,720 --> 01:18:32,070 Coming to my office. 1810 01:18:32,070 --> 01:18:33,120 Ask for office hours. 1811 01:18:33,120 --> 01:18:34,140 Say, wait a minute. 1812 01:18:34,140 --> 01:18:38,530 How does-- does it really need to happen this way? 1813 01:18:38,530 --> 01:18:42,000 And most importantly, what are the net benefits? 1814 01:18:42,000 --> 01:18:44,040 And I keep coming to my friend Brotish. 1815 01:18:44,040 --> 01:18:46,860 No, don't do a traditional database. 1816 01:18:46,860 --> 01:18:50,710 You gotta get to a private blockchain. 1817 01:18:50,710 --> 01:18:53,540 This is not a traditional database course. 1818 01:18:53,540 --> 01:18:55,740 We're about permission blockchains or permissionless 1819 01:18:55,740 --> 01:18:56,890 blockchain. 1820 01:18:56,890 --> 01:19:01,250 And remember, blockchains are about append-only logs 1821 01:19:01,250 --> 01:19:04,130 with some consensus with multiple parties 1822 01:19:04,130 --> 01:19:08,690 having the right to change the state of the ledger. 1823 01:19:08,690 --> 01:19:11,140 So it's sort of like, when does that valuable? 1824 01:19:11,140 --> 01:19:13,640 I believe there is value to that. 1825 01:19:13,640 --> 01:19:15,700 But not in every circumstance. 1826 01:19:15,700 --> 01:19:18,040 And certainly if there is a native token, 1827 01:19:18,040 --> 01:19:19,540 why do you need a native token? 1828 01:19:19,540 --> 01:19:22,360 Is it there to jump start a network? 1829 01:19:22,360 --> 01:19:25,120 Is it to help with token economics? 1830 01:19:25,120 --> 01:19:28,300 Remembering that there is great network effects to having 1831 01:19:28,300 --> 01:19:31,620 one currency per jurisdiction. 1832 01:19:31,620 --> 01:19:35,310 But let's not forget that certain multi-jurisdiction 1833 01:19:35,310 --> 01:19:37,560 currencies have failed. 1834 01:19:37,560 --> 01:19:39,870 The history of multi-jurisdiction currencies 1835 01:19:39,870 --> 01:19:42,000 is they almost always fail. 1836 01:19:42,000 --> 01:19:44,700 We still have not seen the end or what's 1837 01:19:44,700 --> 01:19:46,350 going to happen with the URL. 1838 01:19:46,350 --> 01:19:48,510 I mean, decades from now, I'm saying. 1839 01:19:48,510 --> 01:19:52,240 And don't forget the skins and the swords as well. 1840 01:19:52,240 --> 01:19:54,175 So we're back together again on Thursday. 1841 01:19:54,175 --> 01:19:55,800 We're going to do payments on that day. 1842 01:19:55,800 --> 01:19:59,100 We're going to dive more into payments-- actual blockchain 1843 01:19:59,100 --> 01:20:01,260 technology stuff and payments. 1844 01:20:01,260 --> 01:20:02,830 Thank you, Alin. 1845 01:20:02,830 --> 01:20:06,480 [APPLAUSE]